{"status":true,"post":{"id":14794,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:51:00","created_at":"2016-10-09T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:51:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":14794,"is_featured":0,"title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine girerken ekonomik beklentiler","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2016\u2019n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine girdik. 2016 da oluk\u00e7a zorlu ve dalgal\u0131 ge\u00e7iyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine girerken ekonomideki geli\u015fmeleri ve beklentileri de\u011ferlendirelim:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. EKONOM\u0130K B\u00dcY\u00dcME <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ivme kaybetti. Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z darbe giri\u015fiminin olumsuz etkileri ve kredi notunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi sonucu ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flad\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ise b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin g\u00f6receli olarak toparlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemek i\u00e7in t\u00fcketim taraf\u0131nda kredi kartlar\u0131, taksitli al\u0131\u015fveri\u015f, faiz indirimleri gibi benzeri \u00f6nlemlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131 kademeli olarak s\u00fcrecek. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. MAKRO EKONOM\u0130K G\u00d6STERGELER OLUMLU <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ivme kaybetmesine kar\u015f\u0131n \u00f6nemli makro g\u00f6stergelerde olumlu e\u011filim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Eyl\u00fclde enflasyonda gerileme daha belirgin bir hal ald\u0131. B\u00fct\u00e7e fazlas\u0131 ile kamu mali disiplini korunuyor. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k da gerileme e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. D\u00f6viz rezervleri a\u011fustosta y\u00fckseldi. \u0130\u015fsizlik ise ekonomik yava\u015flama ile birlikte art\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fsizlik d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki temel makroekonomik g\u00f6stergelerdeki olumlu geli\u015fme, darbe giri\u015fimi sonras\u0131 normalle\u015fme s\u00fcrecini de destekliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. MB, TEMK\u0130NL\u0130 PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KASINA GE\u00c7\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Merkez Bankas\u0131 (MB) \u2018s\u0131k\u0131\u2019 para politikas\u0131ndan \u2018temkinli\u2019 para politikas\u0131na ge\u00e7me karar\u0131 ald\u0131. MB, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye odaklanarak makro ihtiyari gev\u015feme kararlar\u0131 al\u0131yor. MB, munzam kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131klarda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 indirimler yaparken, likidite olanaklar\u0131n\u0131 kademeli olarak art\u0131r\u0131yor. Merkez Bankas\u0131, eyl\u00fclde enflasyonda g\u00f6r\u00fclen gerilemeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak kredi notunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen faiz indirimlerine devam edecek ve likidite olanaklar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak. K\u00fcresel mali ko\u015fullar da MB\u2019nin temkinli para politikas\u0131na ge\u00e7i\u015fini \u015fimdilik destekliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. TL\u2019DE \u2018DE\u011eER KAYBI BASKISI\u2019 S\u00dcRECEK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda kademeli olarak bir de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar \u00e7ok uygun olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen TL, \u2018de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131\u2019 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Darbe giri\u015fimi ve kredi notu kayb\u0131n\u0131n etkileri ard\u0131ndan d\u0131\u015f politik riskler nedeniyle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 kademeli de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam edecek. FED faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 da yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a de\u011fer kayb\u0131 h\u0131zlanabilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>5. TL FA\u0130ZLER\u0130 A\u015eA\u011eI Y\u00d6NL\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z darbe giri\u015fiminin etkilerine ra\u011fmen, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faizleri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fcd\u00fcr. K\u00fcresel alanda \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ve negatif faizler nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye, sermaye giri\u015fi olmaktad\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimlerine devam ediyor olmas\u0131 da faizleri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. MB, ekimde de faiz indirimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. Piyasada bono faizleri daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Mevduat ve kredi faizleri ise ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015femiyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> \u0130\u015fler, y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde kademeli bir toparlanma i\u00e7inde olacak. Firmalar i\u00e7in varl\u0131klar\u0131n korunmas\u0131 ile yeterli nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ilk \u00f6ncelikler olmal\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"yilin-son-ceyregine-girerken-ekonomik-beklentiler","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine girerken ekonomik beklentiler","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":101,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":14893,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":14794,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine girerken ekonomik beklentiler","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2016\u2019n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine girdik. 2016 da oluk\u00e7a zorlu ve dalgal\u0131 ge\u00e7iyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine girerken ekonomideki geli\u015fmeleri ve beklentileri de\u011ferlendirelim:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. EKONOM\u0130K B\u00dcY\u00dcME <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ivme kaybetti. Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z darbe giri\u015fiminin olumsuz etkileri ve kredi notunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi sonucu ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flad\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ise b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin g\u00f6receli olarak toparlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemek i\u00e7in t\u00fcketim taraf\u0131nda kredi kartlar\u0131, taksitli al\u0131\u015fveri\u015f, faiz indirimleri gibi benzeri \u00f6nlemlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131 kademeli olarak s\u00fcrecek. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. MAKRO EKONOM\u0130K G\u00d6STERGELER OLUMLU <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ivme kaybetmesine kar\u015f\u0131n \u00f6nemli makro g\u00f6stergelerde olumlu e\u011filim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Eyl\u00fclde enflasyonda gerileme daha belirgin bir hal ald\u0131. B\u00fct\u00e7e fazlas\u0131 ile kamu mali disiplini korunuyor. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k da gerileme e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. D\u00f6viz rezervleri a\u011fustosta y\u00fckseldi. \u0130\u015fsizlik ise ekonomik yava\u015flama ile birlikte art\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fsizlik d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki temel makroekonomik g\u00f6stergelerdeki olumlu geli\u015fme, darbe giri\u015fimi sonras\u0131 normalle\u015fme s\u00fcrecini de destekliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. MB, TEMK\u0130NL\u0130 PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KASINA GE\u00c7\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Merkez Bankas\u0131 (MB) \u2018s\u0131k\u0131\u2019 para politikas\u0131ndan \u2018temkinli\u2019 para politikas\u0131na ge\u00e7me karar\u0131 ald\u0131. MB, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye odaklanarak makro ihtiyari gev\u015feme kararlar\u0131 al\u0131yor. MB, munzam kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131klarda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 indirimler yaparken, likidite olanaklar\u0131n\u0131 kademeli olarak art\u0131r\u0131yor. Merkez Bankas\u0131, eyl\u00fclde enflasyonda g\u00f6r\u00fclen gerilemeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak kredi notunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen faiz indirimlerine devam edecek ve likidite olanaklar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak. K\u00fcresel mali ko\u015fullar da MB\u2019nin temkinli para politikas\u0131na ge\u00e7i\u015fini \u015fimdilik destekliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. TL\u2019DE \u2018DE\u011eER KAYBI BASKISI\u2019 S\u00dcRECEK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda kademeli olarak bir de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar \u00e7ok uygun olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen TL, \u2018de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131\u2019 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Darbe giri\u015fimi ve kredi notu kayb\u0131n\u0131n etkileri ard\u0131ndan d\u0131\u015f politik riskler nedeniyle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 kademeli de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam edecek. FED faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 da yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a de\u011fer kayb\u0131 h\u0131zlanabilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>5. TL FA\u0130ZLER\u0130 A\u015eA\u011eI Y\u00d6NL\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z darbe giri\u015fiminin etkilerine ra\u011fmen, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faizleri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fcd\u00fcr. K\u00fcresel alanda \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ve negatif faizler nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye, sermaye giri\u015fi olmaktad\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimlerine devam ediyor olmas\u0131 da faizleri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. MB, ekimde de faiz indirimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. Piyasada bono faizleri daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Mevduat ve kredi faizleri ise ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015femiyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> \u0130\u015fler, y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde kademeli bir toparlanma i\u00e7inde olacak. Firmalar i\u00e7in varl\u0131klar\u0131n korunmas\u0131 ile yeterli nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ilk \u00f6ncelikler olmal\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"yilin-son-ceyregine-girerken-ekonomik-beklentiler","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine girerken ekonomik beklentiler","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":101,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}