{"status":true,"post":{"id":18208,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:10:51","created_at":"2018-04-01T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:10:51.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":18208,"is_featured":0,"title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde i\u015fler","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

2018\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemini tamaml\u0131yoruz. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte i\u015flerde ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeleri ve ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin beklentileri de\u011ferlendirelim: <\/span><\/p>

1 - SANAY\u0130 \u00dcRET\u0130M\u0130 Z\u0130RVEYE ULA\u015eTI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde sanayi \u00fcretimi, sanayide yeni sipari\u015fler ve sanayideki girdi sat\u0131n almalar\u0131 son 83 ay\u0131n zirvesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Sanayide kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 da y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda son 7 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Sanayi \u00fcretimini zirveye ta\u015f\u0131yan \u00f6zellikle canl\u0131 d\u0131\u015f talep oldu. Bir miktar ivme kayb\u0131 olsa da i\u00e7eride de talep g\u00f6receli canl\u0131 seyretmeye devam etti.<\/span><\/p>

2 - \u0130HRACAT S\u00dcR\u00dcKLEY\u0130C\u0130 OLMAYA DEVAM ED\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde ihracat yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 15 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6ylece ihracat, ekonomide s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici iktisadi faaliyet olmaya devam ediyor. \u0130hracat miktar olarak da yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 4 y\u00fckseldi. Bu y\u0131l ihracatta t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerde art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fan\u0131yor olmas\u0131 da ekonomi i\u00e7in daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir geli\u015fme oluyor. <\/span><\/p>

3 - YATIRIM VE T\u00dcKET\u0130M MALI \u0130THALATI DA ARTI\u015eA GE\u00c7T\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2017\u2019de sadece ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. 2018\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde ise ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f devam ederken, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 da y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131m mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda canlanma beklentisini destekledi. T\u00fcketim mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ise i\u00e7 pazarda talebin g\u00fc\u00e7lenece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00f6steriyor. <\/span><\/p>

4 - KONUT, OTOMOT\u0130V VE BEYAZ E\u015eYA SATI\u015eLARINDA GEL\u0130\u015eMELER<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f verilerine g\u00f6re, konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4 geriledi. Konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda yava\u015flama ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Beyaz e\u015fya i\u00e7 pazar sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 17 geriledi. Otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yine y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4 artarken, ticari ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 y\u00fczde 11 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

5 - PERAKENDE VE H\u0130ZMETLER SEKT\u00d6RLER\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Perakende ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6rlerinde y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde sat\u0131\u015flar ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ancak perakende ve hizmetlerdeki i\u015f aktivitesi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re ise bir miktar ivme kaybetti. <\/span><\/p>

6 - \u0130N\u015eAAT SEKT\u00d6R\u00dcNDE YEN\u0130 BA\u015eLANGI\u00c7LAR VE SATI\u015eLAR DURA\u011eANLA\u015eIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sat\u0131\u015flar taraf\u0131nda dura\u011fanla\u015fma ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak sekt\u00f6rde yeni ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7lar da daha temkinli oluyor. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde firmalar\u0131n mali yap\u0131lar\u0131 \u00fczerinde k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131k ve nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 alanlar\u0131nda bask\u0131 art\u0131yor. Bu nedenle barter tekliflerinde art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

7 - Y\u00dcKSELEN FA\u0130ZLER KRED\u0130 \u0130\u015eTAHINI SINIRLIYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde kredi faizlerinde \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. En iyi m\u00fc\u015fterinin TL cinsi ticari kredi faizi y\u00fczde 17-18 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseldi. Ticari kredi faizleri y\u00fczde 25\u2019lere kadar y\u00fckseliyor. Kredi faizlerindeki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda kredi kullanma i\u015ftah\u0131 en aza indi. Bankalar da kredi kulland\u0131rmada daha temkinli. Kredi kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131, piyasalarda \u00f6deme ve tahsilatlarda da vadelerin uzamas\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/span><\/p>

8 - MAL\u0130YET ARTI\u015eLARI VE TL\u2019DE DE\u011eER KAYBI REEL KES\u0130M\u0130 ZORLUYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde reel sekt\u00f6r \u00f6nemli bir maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131. Girdiler, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc, enerji, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k, al\u0131nan hizmetler maliyetleri art\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 zorluyor. Di\u011fer yandan T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 da d\u00f6viz y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fckleri olan firmalar\u0131 giderek daha \u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

9 - \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 \u00c7EYREK \u0130\u00c7\u0130N BEKLENT\u0130LER REEL KES\u0130MDE OLUMLU, T\u00dcKET\u0130C\u0130DE TEMK\u0130NL\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Reel kesim ve t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksleri verilerine g\u00f6re y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin olarak reel kesim \u00f6zellikle i\u015flerin canlanaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda olumlu. T\u00fcketiciler ise y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine temkinli giriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> \u0130\u00e7 talepteki ivme kayb\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. ancak riskler iyi y\u00f6netilirse ikinci \u00e7eyrekte de firmalar i\u00e7in olumlu bir d\u00f6nem olabilir.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"yilin-ilk-ceyrek-doneminde-isler","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde i\u015fler","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":195,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":18307,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":18208,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde i\u015fler","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

2018\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemini tamaml\u0131yoruz. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte i\u015flerde ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeleri ve ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin beklentileri de\u011ferlendirelim: <\/span><\/p>

1 - SANAY\u0130 \u00dcRET\u0130M\u0130 Z\u0130RVEYE ULA\u015eTI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde sanayi \u00fcretimi, sanayide yeni sipari\u015fler ve sanayideki girdi sat\u0131n almalar\u0131 son 83 ay\u0131n zirvesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Sanayide kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 da y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda son 7 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Sanayi \u00fcretimini zirveye ta\u015f\u0131yan \u00f6zellikle canl\u0131 d\u0131\u015f talep oldu. Bir miktar ivme kayb\u0131 olsa da i\u00e7eride de talep g\u00f6receli canl\u0131 seyretmeye devam etti.<\/span><\/p>

2 - \u0130HRACAT S\u00dcR\u00dcKLEY\u0130C\u0130 OLMAYA DEVAM ED\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde ihracat yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 15 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6ylece ihracat, ekonomide s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici iktisadi faaliyet olmaya devam ediyor. \u0130hracat miktar olarak da yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 4 y\u00fckseldi. Bu y\u0131l ihracatta t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerde art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fan\u0131yor olmas\u0131 da ekonomi i\u00e7in daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir geli\u015fme oluyor. <\/span><\/p>

3 - YATIRIM VE T\u00dcKET\u0130M MALI \u0130THALATI DA ARTI\u015eA GE\u00c7T\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2017\u2019de sadece ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. 2018\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde ise ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f devam ederken, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 da y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131m mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda canlanma beklentisini destekledi. T\u00fcketim mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ise i\u00e7 pazarda talebin g\u00fc\u00e7lenece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00f6steriyor. <\/span><\/p>

4 - KONUT, OTOMOT\u0130V VE BEYAZ E\u015eYA SATI\u015eLARINDA GEL\u0130\u015eMELER<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f verilerine g\u00f6re, konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4 geriledi. Konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda yava\u015flama ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Beyaz e\u015fya i\u00e7 pazar sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 17 geriledi. Otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yine y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4 artarken, ticari ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 y\u00fczde 11 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

5 - PERAKENDE VE H\u0130ZMETLER SEKT\u00d6RLER\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Perakende ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6rlerinde y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde sat\u0131\u015flar ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ancak perakende ve hizmetlerdeki i\u015f aktivitesi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re ise bir miktar ivme kaybetti. <\/span><\/p>

6 - \u0130N\u015eAAT SEKT\u00d6R\u00dcNDE YEN\u0130 BA\u015eLANGI\u00c7LAR VE SATI\u015eLAR DURA\u011eANLA\u015eIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sat\u0131\u015flar taraf\u0131nda dura\u011fanla\u015fma ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak sekt\u00f6rde yeni ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7lar da daha temkinli oluyor. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde firmalar\u0131n mali yap\u0131lar\u0131 \u00fczerinde k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131k ve nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 alanlar\u0131nda bask\u0131 art\u0131yor. Bu nedenle barter tekliflerinde art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

7 - Y\u00dcKSELEN FA\u0130ZLER KRED\u0130 \u0130\u015eTAHINI SINIRLIYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde kredi faizlerinde \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. En iyi m\u00fc\u015fterinin TL cinsi ticari kredi faizi y\u00fczde 17-18 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseldi. Ticari kredi faizleri y\u00fczde 25\u2019lere kadar y\u00fckseliyor. Kredi faizlerindeki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda kredi kullanma i\u015ftah\u0131 en aza indi. Bankalar da kredi kulland\u0131rmada daha temkinli. Kredi kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131, piyasalarda \u00f6deme ve tahsilatlarda da vadelerin uzamas\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/span><\/p>

8 - MAL\u0130YET ARTI\u015eLARI VE TL\u2019DE DE\u011eER KAYBI REEL KES\u0130M\u0130 ZORLUYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde reel sekt\u00f6r \u00f6nemli bir maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131. Girdiler, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc, enerji, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k, al\u0131nan hizmetler maliyetleri art\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 zorluyor. Di\u011fer yandan T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 da d\u00f6viz y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fckleri olan firmalar\u0131 giderek daha \u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

9 - \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 \u00c7EYREK \u0130\u00c7\u0130N BEKLENT\u0130LER REEL KES\u0130MDE OLUMLU, T\u00dcKET\u0130C\u0130DE TEMK\u0130NL\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Reel kesim ve t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksleri verilerine g\u00f6re y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin olarak reel kesim \u00f6zellikle i\u015flerin canlanaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda olumlu. T\u00fcketiciler ise y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine temkinli giriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> \u0130\u00e7 talepteki ivme kayb\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. ancak riskler iyi y\u00f6netilirse ikinci \u00e7eyrekte de firmalar i\u00e7in olumlu bir d\u00f6nem olabilir.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"yilin-ilk-ceyrek-doneminde-isler","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde i\u015fler","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":195,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}