{"status":true,"post":{"id":48362,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-02-05 09:05:00","created_at":"2024-02-05T06:05:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-02-05T06:05:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":48362,"is_featured":0,"title":"Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00fcncellemeleri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"PROF. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR","content":"

nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

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Uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar, \u015fu s\u0131ralar 2024\u2019e dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerine y\u00f6nelik ilk g\u00fcncellemelerini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiriyor. Bu g\u00fcncellemelerin en dikkat \u00e7ekenlerinden biri, IMF\u2019den geldi. IMF, k\u00fcresel ekonomiye dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini 0.2 puan yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yarak, y\u00fczde 3.1 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. ABD, \u00c7in, Rusya ve T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ve Suudi Arabistan i\u00e7in ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya revize edildi.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2024-2025 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye d\u00f6n\u00fck \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler az da olsa iyile\u015fme kaydetse de k\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki y\u0131l boyunca tarihsel ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek. K\u00fcresel ekonomi salg\u0131ndan \u00f6nceki 20 y\u0131ll\u0131k periyotta ortalama y\u00fczde 3.8 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 0.7 puanl\u0131k yava\u015f performans az gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin dinamikleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kayda de\u011fer bir fark. Faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fc alt\u0131nda ezilen kamu kesiminin ekonomiye verdi\u011fi mali destekleri azaltmas\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck verimlilik, k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi dizginleyen temel unsurlar.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

OLUMLU TARAFLAR VE R\u0130SKLER<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

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Bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel ekonomik gidi\u015fata y\u00f6nelik olumlu say\u0131labilecek geli\u015fmeler ve beklentiler \u015funlar:<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>