{"status":true,"post":{"id":31115,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 16:46:09","created_at":"2022-02-10T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T13:46:09.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":31115,"is_featured":0,"title":"Yeni y\u0131la hareketli ba\u015flad\u0131k","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

D\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, 2022\u2019ye hareketli ba\u015flad\u0131. D\u00fcnyada salg\u0131na y\u00f6nelik iyimser beklentiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yeni ekonomi politikas\u0131 uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131n etkileri ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/span>
<\/span>
1. SALGINDA \u0130K\u0130 YAKLA\u015eIM; S\u00dcR\u00dc BA\u011eI\u015eIKLI\u011eI VE SIFIR TAV\u0130Z<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131, yeni varyantlar\u0131 ile devam ediyor. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda yo\u011fun a\u015f\u0131lama faaliyetlerine ra\u011fmen Omicron varyant\u0131 ile d\u00fcnya genelinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 3 milyonu da a\u015ft\u0131. Salg\u0131nda \u00fclkeler iki ayr\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m uyguluyor. Bat\u0131 \u00fclkeleri salg\u0131nda toplu ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na ge\u00e7ti. K\u0131s\u0131tlamalar azalt\u0131l\u0131yor ve ilkbaharda toplu ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k hedefleniyor. Bu beklentiye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ilkbahardan itibaren i\u015flerde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geli\u015fme bekleniyor. Asya \u00fclkeleri ise salg\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r taviz politikas\u0131 izliyor ve kat\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar uyguluyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, i\u015fleri olumsuz etkiliyor. Salg\u0131nda en \u00f6nemli risk, yeni etkili varyantlar\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131.<\/span>
<\/span>
2. K\u00dcRESEL ENFLASYON ARTI\u015eI KAR\u015eISINDA PARASAL SIKILA\u015eMALAR BA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte enflasyonda art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Pandeminin etkileri ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ve daha \u00e7ok arz kaynakl\u0131 olan enflasyon, ABD ve AB\u2019de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde y\u00fckseldi. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed, mart ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ba\u015flayacak. Bilan\u00e7oda daraltmaya nisan ay\u0131nda ge\u00e7ecek. Y\u0131l boyunca daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 izlenecek. Euro b\u00f6lgesinde de Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan temmuz ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi fiyatlan\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere merkez bankas\u0131, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na devam edecek. K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 likidite ve daha y\u00fcksek faizler olu\u015facak. <\/span>
<\/span>
3. BATI-RUSYA-UKRAYNA GERG\u0130NL\u0130\u011e\u0130 JEOPOL\u0130T\u0130K R\u0130SKLER OLU\u015eTURUYOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 NATO \u00fcyeli\u011fini hayati bir g\u00fcvenlik riski olarak g\u00f6ren Rusya, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusuna \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde askeri y\u0131\u011f\u0131nak yapt\u0131 ve Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusunu i\u015fgal etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. Bir i\u015fgal ve sava\u015f\u0131n ya\u015fanmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in yo\u011fun diplomatik \u00e7abalar s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Rusya\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik taleplerini reddetmesi, gerginli\u011fi ve i\u015fgal riskini daha da art\u0131rd\u0131. Olas\u0131 bir i\u015fgal halinde Bat\u0131 ve NATO, kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcdahale ve yapt\u0131r\u0131m tehdidinde bulunuyor. Jeopolitik gerginlik petrol, do\u011falgaz ve metal fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Olas\u0131 bir i\u015fgal ve sava\u015f\u0131n etkileri \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olacak.<\/span>
<\/span>
4. ENERJ\u0130 VE EMT\u0130A F\u0130YATLARI Y\u00dcKSEK KALACAK<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Salg\u0131nda toplu ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k kazan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ile i\u015flerin ilkbahar aylar\u0131ndan itibaren kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak canlanaca\u011f\u0131 iyimserli\u011fi bulunuyor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak emtia, yar\u0131 mamul ve girdi tedarik talebi art\u0131yor. Artan talep de emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Yine petrol ve do\u011falgaz talebinde art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ile enerji fiyatlar\u0131 da y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor. Salg\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tedarik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131, y\u00fcksek navlun fiyatlar\u0131 ve \u00fcretimdeki gecikmeler de emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f\u0131 destekliyor. En az\u0131ndan yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda t\u00fcm enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam edecek.<\/span>
<\/span>
5. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019DE YEN\u0130 EKONOM\u0130 POL\u0130T\u0130KASI UYGULAMALARI \u0130ZLEN\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
T\u00fcrkiye, 20 Aral\u0131k sonras\u0131 yeni bir ekonomi politikas\u0131 uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yeni ekonomi politikas\u0131n\u0131n amac\u0131, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizler uygulayarak yat\u0131r\u0131m ve \u00fcretimi art\u0131rmak, b\u00f6ylece cari i\u015flemler dengesinde fazla vermek, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda da istikrar sa\u011flayarak enflasyonda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flamak. Bu ama\u00e7la yeni ekonomi politikas\u0131nda ilk a\u015famada T\u00fcrk liras\u0131na cazibe sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in ba\u015fta kur korumal\u0131 TL mevduatlar\u0131 olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok finansal ara\u00e7 kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Uygulamalar\u0131n ilk sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ek ve t\u00fczel ki\u015filerin d\u00f6viz hesaplar\u0131ndan kur korumal\u0131 TL hesaplara ge\u00e7mekte istekli olmad\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. T\u00fczel ki\u015filerde 17 \u015eubat\u2019a kadar ge\u00e7i\u015fte sa\u011flanacak vergi avantaj\u0131 bulunuyor. Bu nedenle 17 \u015eubat, uygulamalar\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131nda bir milat olacak. Yeni uygulamalar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u015firketlere ve bankalara y\u00f6nelik m\u00fcdahaleler de ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Uygulamalar\u0131n ilk sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olarak h\u0131zl\u0131 artan enflasyon, kredi s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131, y\u00fcksek kredi faizleri ve i\u015flerde y\u00fcksek maliyetlerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. <\/span>
<\/span>
SON S\u00d6Z <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Salg\u0131nda toplu ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olursa y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde i\u015flerde h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler ya\u015fanabilir. Buna haz\u0131rl\u0131k i\u00e7in i\u00e7eride h\u0131zla finansal istikrar\u0131 ve fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"yeni-yila-hareketli-basladik","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Yeni y\u0131la hareketli ba\u015flad\u0131k","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1079,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":31214,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":31115,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Yeni y\u0131la hareketli ba\u015flad\u0131k","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

D\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, 2022\u2019ye hareketli ba\u015flad\u0131. D\u00fcnyada salg\u0131na y\u00f6nelik iyimser beklentiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yeni ekonomi politikas\u0131 uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131n etkileri ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/span>
<\/span>
1. SALGINDA \u0130K\u0130 YAKLA\u015eIM; S\u00dcR\u00dc BA\u011eI\u015eIKLI\u011eI VE SIFIR TAV\u0130Z<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131, yeni varyantlar\u0131 ile devam ediyor. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda yo\u011fun a\u015f\u0131lama faaliyetlerine ra\u011fmen Omicron varyant\u0131 ile d\u00fcnya genelinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 3 milyonu da a\u015ft\u0131. Salg\u0131nda \u00fclkeler iki ayr\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m uyguluyor. Bat\u0131 \u00fclkeleri salg\u0131nda toplu ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na ge\u00e7ti. K\u0131s\u0131tlamalar azalt\u0131l\u0131yor ve ilkbaharda toplu ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k hedefleniyor. Bu beklentiye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ilkbahardan itibaren i\u015flerde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geli\u015fme bekleniyor. Asya \u00fclkeleri ise salg\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r taviz politikas\u0131 izliyor ve kat\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar uyguluyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, i\u015fleri olumsuz etkiliyor. Salg\u0131nda en \u00f6nemli risk, yeni etkili varyantlar\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131.<\/span>
<\/span>
2. K\u00dcRESEL ENFLASYON ARTI\u015eI KAR\u015eISINDA PARASAL SIKILA\u015eMALAR BA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte enflasyonda art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Pandeminin etkileri ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ve daha \u00e7ok arz kaynakl\u0131 olan enflasyon, ABD ve AB\u2019de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde y\u00fckseldi. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed, mart ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ba\u015flayacak. Bilan\u00e7oda daraltmaya nisan ay\u0131nda ge\u00e7ecek. Y\u0131l boyunca daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 izlenecek. Euro b\u00f6lgesinde de Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan temmuz ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi fiyatlan\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere merkez bankas\u0131, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na devam edecek. K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 likidite ve daha y\u00fcksek faizler olu\u015facak. <\/span>
<\/span>
3. BATI-RUSYA-UKRAYNA GERG\u0130NL\u0130\u011e\u0130 JEOPOL\u0130T\u0130K R\u0130SKLER OLU\u015eTURUYOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 NATO \u00fcyeli\u011fini hayati bir g\u00fcvenlik riski olarak g\u00f6ren Rusya, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusuna \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde askeri y\u0131\u011f\u0131nak yapt\u0131 ve Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusunu i\u015fgal etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. Bir i\u015fgal ve sava\u015f\u0131n ya\u015fanmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in yo\u011fun diplomatik \u00e7abalar s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Rusya\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik taleplerini reddetmesi, gerginli\u011fi ve i\u015fgal riskini daha da art\u0131rd\u0131. Olas\u0131 bir i\u015fgal halinde Bat\u0131 ve NATO, kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcdahale ve yapt\u0131r\u0131m tehdidinde bulunuyor. Jeopolitik gerginlik petrol, do\u011falgaz ve metal fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Olas\u0131 bir i\u015fgal ve sava\u015f\u0131n etkileri \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olacak.<\/span>
<\/span>
4. ENERJ\u0130 VE EMT\u0130A F\u0130YATLARI Y\u00dcKSEK KALACAK<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Salg\u0131nda toplu ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k kazan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ile i\u015flerin ilkbahar aylar\u0131ndan itibaren kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak canlanaca\u011f\u0131 iyimserli\u011fi bulunuyor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak emtia, yar\u0131 mamul ve girdi tedarik talebi art\u0131yor. Artan talep de emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Yine petrol ve do\u011falgaz talebinde art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ile enerji fiyatlar\u0131 da y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor. Salg\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tedarik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131, y\u00fcksek navlun fiyatlar\u0131 ve \u00fcretimdeki gecikmeler de emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f\u0131 destekliyor. En az\u0131ndan yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda t\u00fcm enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam edecek.<\/span>
<\/span>
5. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019DE YEN\u0130 EKONOM\u0130 POL\u0130T\u0130KASI UYGULAMALARI \u0130ZLEN\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
T\u00fcrkiye, 20 Aral\u0131k sonras\u0131 yeni bir ekonomi politikas\u0131 uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yeni ekonomi politikas\u0131n\u0131n amac\u0131, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizler uygulayarak yat\u0131r\u0131m ve \u00fcretimi art\u0131rmak, b\u00f6ylece cari i\u015flemler dengesinde fazla vermek, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda da istikrar sa\u011flayarak enflasyonda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flamak. Bu ama\u00e7la yeni ekonomi politikas\u0131nda ilk a\u015famada T\u00fcrk liras\u0131na cazibe sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in ba\u015fta kur korumal\u0131 TL mevduatlar\u0131 olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok finansal ara\u00e7 kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Uygulamalar\u0131n ilk sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ek ve t\u00fczel ki\u015filerin d\u00f6viz hesaplar\u0131ndan kur korumal\u0131 TL hesaplara ge\u00e7mekte istekli olmad\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. T\u00fczel ki\u015filerde 17 \u015eubat\u2019a kadar ge\u00e7i\u015fte sa\u011flanacak vergi avantaj\u0131 bulunuyor. Bu nedenle 17 \u015eubat, uygulamalar\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131nda bir milat olacak. Yeni uygulamalar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u015firketlere ve bankalara y\u00f6nelik m\u00fcdahaleler de ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Uygulamalar\u0131n ilk sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olarak h\u0131zl\u0131 artan enflasyon, kredi s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131, y\u00fcksek kredi faizleri ve i\u015flerde y\u00fcksek maliyetlerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. <\/span>
<\/span>
SON S\u00d6Z <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Salg\u0131nda toplu ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olursa y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde i\u015flerde h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler ya\u015fanabilir. Buna haz\u0131rl\u0131k i\u00e7in i\u00e7eride h\u0131zla finansal istikrar\u0131 ve fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"yeni-yila-hareketli-basladik","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Yeni y\u0131la hareketli ba\u015flad\u0131k","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1079,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}