{"status":true,"post":{"id":32028,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 20:56:35","created_at":"2022-03-24T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T17:56:35.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":32028,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ukrayna meselesi, b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi ve ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkileri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

FAT\u0130H OKTAY<\/strong><\/span>
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ABD\u2019nin so\u011fuk sava\u015f d\u00f6nemi Sovyetler politikas\u0131n\u0131n mimarlar\u0131ndan Zbigniew Brzezinski\u2019nin 1992\u2019de Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan hemen sonra yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede, bunun asl\u0131nda Rus \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 oldu\u011fu, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ileride tekrar bir emperyal g\u00fc\u00e7 haline gelmemesi i\u00e7in eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Rus olmayan b\u00f6lgelerinde, \u00f6zellikle de Ukrayna\u2019da, ulus ve Rus etkisinden uzak devletler olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemini vurguluyordu. <\/span>
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30 y\u0131l sonra g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n da NATO\u2019ya \u00fcye olmas\u0131yla bu hedef b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmek \u00fczereyken Putin y\u00f6netimi Ukrayna\u2019ya girme karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Ancak bu harekat, gerek Ukrayna i\u00e7inde gerekse di\u011fer \u00fclkelerden, anla\u015f\u0131lan Putin y\u00f6netiminin hi\u00e7 beklemedi\u011fi bir diren\u00e7 ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar\u0131yla y\u00f6netim sistemi kaynakl\u0131 ak\u0131l almaz bilgi ak\u0131\u015f ve de\u011ferlendirme zaaflar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, bu karar ve uygulan\u0131\u015f\u0131 Ukrayna ve Rus insan\u0131 i\u00e7in bir facia yarat\u0131rken, hedeflenenin aksine Rusya\u2019y\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fcnya g\u00fcc\u00fc olma hedefinden giderek daha da uzakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131 bir rotaya sokmu\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span>
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RUSYA\u2019NIN EKONOM\u0130K G\u00dcC\u00dc<\/strong><\/span>
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Ancak Rusya, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00fc\u00e7 iken, d\u00fcnya s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n, petrol ve gaz d\u0131\u015far\u0131da tutulursa \u0130spanya\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda yer alan GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ile co\u011frafi boyutlar\u0131na g\u00f6re ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan c\u00fcce denebilecek bir konumda bulunuyor. Bu boyutlardaki ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme e\u011filimi g\u00f6stermeyen ekonomisi ile uzun d\u00f6nemde bir b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 olma \u015fans\u0131 zaten pek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Ukrayna giri\u015fiminin Rusya\u2019y\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kayba u\u011fratmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir. <\/span>
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Ukrayna\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesinde Rusya\u2019dan \u00e7ok \u00c7in\u2019in elini zay\u0131flatmas\u0131, ABD\u2019ninkini ise g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. <\/span>
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Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131larda belirtti\u011fimiz gibi Trump y\u00f6netimi \u00c7in\u2019i ekonomik, teknolojik, politik olarak d\u0131\u015flamaya, yaln\u0131z b\u0131rakmaya, \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 bir k\u00fcresel cephe olu\u015fturmaya y\u00f6nelik politikalar izliyordu, Biden d\u00f6neminde de bu \u00e7aba, daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bi\u00e7imde de olsa s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc, ancak bu konuda ba\u015far\u0131 sa\u011flanamad\u0131. Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgaliyle, ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6nl\u00fcnde yatan cephe, Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 kuruluverdi. Art\u0131k uygun ko\u015fullar olu\u015ftu\u011fu veya olu\u015fturuldu\u011funda bu cephe \u00c7in\u2019i de kapsayacak \u015fekilde konumland\u0131r\u0131labilir. \u00d6te yandan, Rusya\u2019ya petrol ve gaz ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fayan ekonomisi geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler, \u00c7in\u2019e ekonomik ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irerek, ABD\u2019nin politikas\u0131na uygun \u015fekilde \u00c7in ile ekonomik ili\u015fkilerini zay\u0131flatma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ilerliyor olabilirler.<\/span>
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\u00c7\u0130N\u2019\u0130N ARABULUCULUK G\u0130R\u0130\u015e\u0130M\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
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Bir ay \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131da belirtti\u011fim gibi \u00c7in ve ABD aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7eki\u015fmede olas\u0131 so\u011fuk ve s\u0131cak sava\u015f senaryolar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu, \u00c7in\u2019in g\u00fcney ve do\u011fusunda denizden enerji, hammadde, mal ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n sekteye u\u011frat\u0131lmas\u0131na ba\u011flan\u0131yor. B\u00f6yle bir durumda dev enerji ve tar\u0131msal kaynaklar\u0131yla baz\u0131 senaryolarda buna n\u00fckleer g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc de ekleyebiliriz- dost bir Rusya\u2019n\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00c7in i\u00e7in ya\u015famsal bir \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgalinin \u00c7in a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131 zarar\u0131n\u0131, onu b\u00f6yle bir m\u00fcttefikten mahrum etmesi olu\u015fturur. Bu nedenle \u00c7in, b\u00f6yle bir olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7acak politikalar izlemekten uzak duracakt\u0131r. <\/span>
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Bu, \u00c7in\u2019in Rusya\u2019n\u0131n dostlu\u011funu veya Putin\u2019in iktidar\u0131 kaybetmesine yol a\u00e7acak politikalardan uzak durulmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. <\/span>
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Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00c7in\u2019in, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6kmemesi ve Putin\u2019in iktidar\u0131n\u0131 zora sokacak bir konuma d\u00fc\u015fmemesi i\u00e7in do\u011frudan silah sa\u011flayarak sava\u015f\u0131 destekler konuma d\u00fc\u015fmeden, elinden geleni yapmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz. Bu nedenle \u00c7in taraf\u0131n\u0131n, Putin\u2019in \u00fclke i\u00e7inde ba\u015far\u0131 olarak sunabilece\u011fi bir noktaya gelmeden Ukrayna\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek bir arabuluculuk giri\u015fiminde bulunmas\u0131 da beklenmez. <\/span>
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Bu ko\u015fullar alt\u0131nda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde Biden ve Xi aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan, ana konusu Ukrayna olan tele-g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeden somut bir sonu\u00e7 al\u0131nmas\u0131 beklenemezdi ve al\u0131namad\u0131.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ukrayna-meselesi-buyuk-guc-mucadelesi-ve-abd-cin-iliskileri","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ukrayna meselesi, b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi ve ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkileri","meta_description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1127,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":32127,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":32028,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ukrayna meselesi, b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi ve ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkileri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

FAT\u0130H OKTAY<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD\u2019nin so\u011fuk sava\u015f d\u00f6nemi Sovyetler politikas\u0131n\u0131n mimarlar\u0131ndan Zbigniew Brzezinski\u2019nin 1992\u2019de Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan hemen sonra yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede, bunun asl\u0131nda Rus \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 oldu\u011fu, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ileride tekrar bir emperyal g\u00fc\u00e7 haline gelmemesi i\u00e7in eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Rus olmayan b\u00f6lgelerinde, \u00f6zellikle de Ukrayna\u2019da, ulus ve Rus etkisinden uzak devletler olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemini vurguluyordu. <\/span>
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30 y\u0131l sonra g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n da NATO\u2019ya \u00fcye olmas\u0131yla bu hedef b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmek \u00fczereyken Putin y\u00f6netimi Ukrayna\u2019ya girme karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Ancak bu harekat, gerek Ukrayna i\u00e7inde gerekse di\u011fer \u00fclkelerden, anla\u015f\u0131lan Putin y\u00f6netiminin hi\u00e7 beklemedi\u011fi bir diren\u00e7 ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar\u0131yla y\u00f6netim sistemi kaynakl\u0131 ak\u0131l almaz bilgi ak\u0131\u015f ve de\u011ferlendirme zaaflar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, bu karar ve uygulan\u0131\u015f\u0131 Ukrayna ve Rus insan\u0131 i\u00e7in bir facia yarat\u0131rken, hedeflenenin aksine Rusya\u2019y\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fcnya g\u00fcc\u00fc olma hedefinden giderek daha da uzakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131 bir rotaya sokmu\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span>
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RUSYA\u2019NIN EKONOM\u0130K G\u00dcC\u00dc<\/strong><\/span>
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Ancak Rusya, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00fc\u00e7 iken, d\u00fcnya s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n, petrol ve gaz d\u0131\u015far\u0131da tutulursa \u0130spanya\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda yer alan GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ile co\u011frafi boyutlar\u0131na g\u00f6re ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan c\u00fcce denebilecek bir konumda bulunuyor. Bu boyutlardaki ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme e\u011filimi g\u00f6stermeyen ekonomisi ile uzun d\u00f6nemde bir b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 olma \u015fans\u0131 zaten pek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Ukrayna giri\u015fiminin Rusya\u2019y\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kayba u\u011fratmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir. <\/span>
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Ukrayna\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesinde Rusya\u2019dan \u00e7ok \u00c7in\u2019in elini zay\u0131flatmas\u0131, ABD\u2019ninkini ise g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. <\/span>
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Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131larda belirtti\u011fimiz gibi Trump y\u00f6netimi \u00c7in\u2019i ekonomik, teknolojik, politik olarak d\u0131\u015flamaya, yaln\u0131z b\u0131rakmaya, \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 bir k\u00fcresel cephe olu\u015fturmaya y\u00f6nelik politikalar izliyordu, Biden d\u00f6neminde de bu \u00e7aba, daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bi\u00e7imde de olsa s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc, ancak bu konuda ba\u015far\u0131 sa\u011flanamad\u0131. Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgaliyle, ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6nl\u00fcnde yatan cephe, Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 kuruluverdi. Art\u0131k uygun ko\u015fullar olu\u015ftu\u011fu veya olu\u015fturuldu\u011funda bu cephe \u00c7in\u2019i de kapsayacak \u015fekilde konumland\u0131r\u0131labilir. \u00d6te yandan, Rusya\u2019ya petrol ve gaz ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fayan ekonomisi geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler, \u00c7in\u2019e ekonomik ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irerek, ABD\u2019nin politikas\u0131na uygun \u015fekilde \u00c7in ile ekonomik ili\u015fkilerini zay\u0131flatma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ilerliyor olabilirler.<\/span>
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\u00c7\u0130N\u2019\u0130N ARABULUCULUK G\u0130R\u0130\u015e\u0130M\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
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Bir ay \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131da belirtti\u011fim gibi \u00c7in ve ABD aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7eki\u015fmede olas\u0131 so\u011fuk ve s\u0131cak sava\u015f senaryolar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu, \u00c7in\u2019in g\u00fcney ve do\u011fusunda denizden enerji, hammadde, mal ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n sekteye u\u011frat\u0131lmas\u0131na ba\u011flan\u0131yor. B\u00f6yle bir durumda dev enerji ve tar\u0131msal kaynaklar\u0131yla baz\u0131 senaryolarda buna n\u00fckleer g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc de ekleyebiliriz- dost bir Rusya\u2019n\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00c7in i\u00e7in ya\u015famsal bir \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgalinin \u00c7in a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131 zarar\u0131n\u0131, onu b\u00f6yle bir m\u00fcttefikten mahrum etmesi olu\u015fturur. Bu nedenle \u00c7in, b\u00f6yle bir olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7acak politikalar izlemekten uzak duracakt\u0131r. <\/span>
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Bu, \u00c7in\u2019in Rusya\u2019n\u0131n dostlu\u011funu veya Putin\u2019in iktidar\u0131 kaybetmesine yol a\u00e7acak politikalardan uzak durulmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. <\/span>
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Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00c7in\u2019in, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6kmemesi ve Putin\u2019in iktidar\u0131n\u0131 zora sokacak bir konuma d\u00fc\u015fmemesi i\u00e7in do\u011frudan silah sa\u011flayarak sava\u015f\u0131 destekler konuma d\u00fc\u015fmeden, elinden geleni yapmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz. Bu nedenle \u00c7in taraf\u0131n\u0131n, Putin\u2019in \u00fclke i\u00e7inde ba\u015far\u0131 olarak sunabilece\u011fi bir noktaya gelmeden Ukrayna\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ek bir arabuluculuk giri\u015fiminde bulunmas\u0131 da beklenmez. <\/span>
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Bu ko\u015fullar alt\u0131nda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde Biden ve Xi aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan, ana konusu Ukrayna olan tele-g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeden somut bir sonu\u00e7 al\u0131nmas\u0131 beklenemezdi ve al\u0131namad\u0131.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ukrayna-meselesi-buyuk-guc-mucadelesi-ve-abd-cin-iliskileri","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ukrayna meselesi, b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi ve ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkileri","meta_description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1127,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}