{"status":true,"post":{"id":22799,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:20:59","created_at":"2020-08-27T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:20:59.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":22799,"is_featured":0,"title":"T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda beklentiler","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda da de\u011fer kayb\u0131na devam ediyor. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren h\u0131zland\u0131. 2017, 2018 ve 2019 y\u0131llar\u0131ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda farkl\u0131 unsurlar yer ald\u0131. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ise daha \u00e7ok uygulanan para politikas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>1. Covid-19\u2019a finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar ile yakaland\u0131k, ihtiyac\u0131 a\u015fan para ve kredi geni\u015flemesi ile k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131k<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye, Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131na 2019 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sarkan ve 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda artan finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 ile yakaland\u0131. Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ko\u015fullar nedeniyle h\u00fck\u00fcmet ve merkez bankas\u0131, di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde oldu\u011fu gibi para ve kredi geni\u015flemesine ba\u015fvurdu. Ancak parasal geni\u015fleme ve kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ihtiyac\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131 ve negatif faizle desteklenen geni\u015fleme ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi hedeflemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Emisyon hacmi y\u00fczde 80, TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n piyasalara b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 likidite 4 kat\u0131 artt\u0131. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan 13 A\u011fustos tarihine kadar kur etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f kredi geni\u015flemesi 772 milyar TL oldu. Bu ihtiya\u00e7lar \u00f6tesi geni\u015fleme ile enflasyon ve cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u0131zla artarken, artan riskler ve finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar ile T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 da de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam etti. A\u011fustos ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda s\u0131\u00e7rama ya\u015fand\u0131. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>2. D\u00f6viz rezervlerindeki h\u0131zl\u0131 erime endi\u015fe veriyor <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bu d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir erime ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Rezervdeki h\u0131zl\u0131 erimenin 3 \u00f6nemli nedeni bulunuyor. \u0130lk olarak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 6 ay\u0131nda banka ve reel sekt\u00f6r \u015firketleri 19 milyar dolar net d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 \u00f6dedi. \u0130kinci olarak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 6 ay\u0131nda yabanc\u0131larda 14.8 milyar dolar sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Yabanc\u0131lar olas\u0131 bir sermaye kontrol\u00fcnden de endi\u015fe ediyorlar. D\u00f6viz rezervlerini h\u0131zla eriten en \u00f6nemli unsur ise TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferini korumak i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 oldu.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>3. Ge\u00e7 gelen s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 korumaya yeterli olam\u0131yor<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131, finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klara ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda sert de\u011fer kayb\u0131na yol a\u00e7an a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 geni\u015flemeye a\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131n sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru son vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Munzam kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131klar artt\u0131, bankalara verilen likidite olanaklar\u0131 azalt\u0131ld\u0131 ve fonlama maliyetleri de y\u00fckseltildi. Ancak TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.25 olan politika faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyerek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 di\u011fer \u00f6nlemler ile yapmay\u0131 tercih etti. S\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma \u00f6nlemleri ile piyasa faiz oranlar\u0131 da y\u00fckseldi. \u00d6nlemler T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdilik durdurdu. Ancak T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 halen \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>4. Do\u011falgaz rezervi, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 orta vadede destekler<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye, tarihinin en \u00f6nemli gaz rezervini ke\u015ffetmi\u015f bulunuyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari dengesinde tarihi ve kal\u0131c\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa yol a\u00e7an enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k ve enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131nda do\u011falgaz rezervi ke\u015ffi \u00f6nemli katk\u0131 sa\u011flayacak. Ancak bu enerji rezervinin fiilen kullan\u0131ma al\u0131narak d\u00f6viz talebini azaltmas\u0131 birka\u00e7 y\u0131l alabilecek. Bu nedenle do\u011falgaz rezervi ke\u015ffi, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferine ancak orta vadede destek sa\u011flayabilecek. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>5. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in neler yapmal\u0131y\u0131z? Yeni ekonomi program\u0131 politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini kapsamal\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye, her y\u0131l eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 3 y\u0131ll\u0131k yeni ekonomi program\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2021-2023 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan program, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferini korumak i\u00e7in yeni politikalar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat sunuyor. TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131, politika faizini kullanmal\u0131 ve faizleri en az\u0131ndan y\u0131lsonu enflasyon hedefine \u00e7\u0131kartmal\u0131. Finansal piyasalar \u00fczerindeki k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeler kademeli olarak kald\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131. Uluslararas\u0131 para piyasalar\u0131 ile yeniden normal ba\u011flant\u0131lara d\u00f6n\u00fclmeli. TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131, d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirmeli. Bilan\u00e7o \u015feffafl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmal\u0131. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131, ekonomide yine dengelenme y\u0131l\u0131 olmal\u0131.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131 f\u0131rsat\u0131n\u0131 iyi kullanal\u0131m, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na yeniden g\u00fcven ve itibar kazand\u0131ral\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"turk-lirasinda-beklentiler","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda beklentiler","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1112,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":22898,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":22799,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda beklentiler","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda da de\u011fer kayb\u0131na devam ediyor. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren h\u0131zland\u0131. 2017, 2018 ve 2019 y\u0131llar\u0131ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda farkl\u0131 unsurlar yer ald\u0131. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ise daha \u00e7ok uygulanan para politikas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>1. Covid-19\u2019a finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar ile yakaland\u0131k, ihtiyac\u0131 a\u015fan para ve kredi geni\u015flemesi ile k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131k<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye, Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131na 2019 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sarkan ve 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda artan finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 ile yakaland\u0131. Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ko\u015fullar nedeniyle h\u00fck\u00fcmet ve merkez bankas\u0131, di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde oldu\u011fu gibi para ve kredi geni\u015flemesine ba\u015fvurdu. Ancak parasal geni\u015fleme ve kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ihtiyac\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131 ve negatif faizle desteklenen geni\u015fleme ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi hedeflemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Emisyon hacmi y\u00fczde 80, TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n piyasalara b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 likidite 4 kat\u0131 artt\u0131. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan 13 A\u011fustos tarihine kadar kur etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f kredi geni\u015flemesi 772 milyar TL oldu. Bu ihtiya\u00e7lar \u00f6tesi geni\u015fleme ile enflasyon ve cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u0131zla artarken, artan riskler ve finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar ile T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 da de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam etti. A\u011fustos ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda s\u0131\u00e7rama ya\u015fand\u0131. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>2. D\u00f6viz rezervlerindeki h\u0131zl\u0131 erime endi\u015fe veriyor <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bu d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir erime ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Rezervdeki h\u0131zl\u0131 erimenin 3 \u00f6nemli nedeni bulunuyor. \u0130lk olarak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 6 ay\u0131nda banka ve reel sekt\u00f6r \u015firketleri 19 milyar dolar net d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 \u00f6dedi. \u0130kinci olarak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 6 ay\u0131nda yabanc\u0131larda 14.8 milyar dolar sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Yabanc\u0131lar olas\u0131 bir sermaye kontrol\u00fcnden de endi\u015fe ediyorlar. D\u00f6viz rezervlerini h\u0131zla eriten en \u00f6nemli unsur ise TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferini korumak i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 oldu.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>3. Ge\u00e7 gelen s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 korumaya yeterli olam\u0131yor<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131, finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klara ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda sert de\u011fer kayb\u0131na yol a\u00e7an a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 geni\u015flemeye a\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131n sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru son vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Munzam kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131klar artt\u0131, bankalara verilen likidite olanaklar\u0131 azalt\u0131ld\u0131 ve fonlama maliyetleri de y\u00fckseltildi. Ancak TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.25 olan politika faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyerek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 di\u011fer \u00f6nlemler ile yapmay\u0131 tercih etti. S\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma \u00f6nlemleri ile piyasa faiz oranlar\u0131 da y\u00fckseldi. \u00d6nlemler T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdilik durdurdu. Ancak T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 halen \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>4. Do\u011falgaz rezervi, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 orta vadede destekler<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye, tarihinin en \u00f6nemli gaz rezervini ke\u015ffetmi\u015f bulunuyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari dengesinde tarihi ve kal\u0131c\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa yol a\u00e7an enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k ve enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131nda do\u011falgaz rezervi ke\u015ffi \u00f6nemli katk\u0131 sa\u011flayacak. Ancak bu enerji rezervinin fiilen kullan\u0131ma al\u0131narak d\u00f6viz talebini azaltmas\u0131 birka\u00e7 y\u0131l alabilecek. Bu nedenle do\u011falgaz rezervi ke\u015ffi, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferine ancak orta vadede destek sa\u011flayabilecek. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>5. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in neler yapmal\u0131y\u0131z? Yeni ekonomi program\u0131 politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini kapsamal\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye, her y\u0131l eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 3 y\u0131ll\u0131k yeni ekonomi program\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2021-2023 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan program, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferini korumak i\u00e7in yeni politikalar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat sunuyor. TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131, politika faizini kullanmal\u0131 ve faizleri en az\u0131ndan y\u0131lsonu enflasyon hedefine \u00e7\u0131kartmal\u0131. Finansal piyasalar \u00fczerindeki k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeler kademeli olarak kald\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131. Uluslararas\u0131 para piyasalar\u0131 ile yeniden normal ba\u011flant\u0131lara d\u00f6n\u00fclmeli. TC. Merkez Bankas\u0131, d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirmeli. Bilan\u00e7o \u015feffafl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmal\u0131. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131, ekonomide yine dengelenme y\u0131l\u0131 olmal\u0131.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131 f\u0131rsat\u0131n\u0131 iyi kullanal\u0131m, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na yeniden g\u00fcven ve itibar kazand\u0131ral\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"turk-lirasinda-beklentiler","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda beklentiler","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1112,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}