{"status":true,"post":{"id":20860,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:57:26","created_at":"2019-09-05T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:57:26.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":20860,"is_featured":0,"title":"T\u00fcketici enflasyonu mu yoksa \u00fcretici enflasyonu mu?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun a\u011fustos ay\u0131 enflasyon verilerine g\u00f6re T\u00dcFE, A\u011fustos 2019\u2019da ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 0.86 oran\u0131nda artarken, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise y\u00fczde 16.65 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 15.01 seviyelerine geriledi. Bu oran 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde \u015fu ana kadar g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda oran. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na en b\u00fcy\u00fck destek y\u00fczde 1.94 ayl\u0131k bazda d\u00fc\u015fen ula\u015ft\u0131rma ile y\u00fczde 1.10 d\u00fc\u015fen ayakkab\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden gelirken, e\u011fitim ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 4.26 ile enflasyonu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde bask\u0131lam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>HARCAMALARIN ETK\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2018\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde dalgalanan kurlar nedeniyle enflasyon y\u00fczde 25\u2019lerin \u00fczerine kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Bu hareket \u00e7ok sert bir \u015fekilde olmu\u015ftu. Bu sene kura dayal\u0131 b\u00f6yle bir hareket olacak m\u0131 birlikte g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Ancak s\u00fcrpriz olmazsa bu oranlar 2019 son \u00e7eyre\u011finde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131ndan y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir son \u00e7eyrek enflasyonuyla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabiliriz. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fck beklentilere ne kadar uyar, onu \u015fimdiden bilmek zor. Bu konuya ya\u015fanan s\u00fcrprizler nedeniyle temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131yoruz. \u015eimdilik 15 seviyelerinin alt\u0131na inmesi konusunda \u00e7ok da beklentimiz yok. Burada t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Yani t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n etkili oldu\u011fu bir hesaplama.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>DI\u015eSAL \u015eOKLAR YA\u015eANMAZSA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015eimdi gelelim \u00fcretici taraf\u0131nda durum nedir onu incelemeye. E\u011fer burada oran y\u00fcksekse gelecekte enflasyonun artma riski var. Ancak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckse gelecekte enflasyon gev\u015femeye devam edebilir. Yurti\u00e7i \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi, A\u011fustos 2019\u2019da ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 9.59 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ferek y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 13.45 seviyelerine gev\u015femi\u015f durumda. Temmuz ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 21.56 oran\u0131ndayd\u0131. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ciddi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6z konusu. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00fcretici fiyat endeksinin y\u00fczde 46.16 seviyelerine kadar y\u00fckseldi\u011fini, en y\u00fcksek noktay\u0131 Ekim 2018 verileriyle g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de unutmamak laz\u0131m. Bu durumda e\u011fer s\u00fcrpriz olmazsa 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00fcretici fiyat endeksinde gev\u015femenin devam\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliriz. Ancak mevcut rakam olduk\u00e7a iddial\u0131 olup, herhangi bir olumsuzlu\u011fa an\u0131nda tepki verebilecek bir noktadad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere daha \u00f6nce T\u00dcFE\u2019nin \u00e7ok \u00e7ok \u00fczerlerine \u00e7\u0131kan yurti\u00e7i \u00dcFE, bu sefer T\u00dcFE\u2019den daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyrediyor. Bu durum enflasyonun, d\u0131\u015fsal \u015foklar\u0131n ya\u015fanmamas\u0131 kayd\u0131yla \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tuketici-enflasyonu-mu-yoksa-uretici-enflasyonu-mu","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcketici enflasyonu mu yoksa \u00fcretici enflasyonu mu?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":480,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":20959,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":20860,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"T\u00fcketici enflasyonu mu yoksa \u00fcretici enflasyonu mu?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun a\u011fustos ay\u0131 enflasyon verilerine g\u00f6re T\u00dcFE, A\u011fustos 2019\u2019da ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 0.86 oran\u0131nda artarken, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise y\u00fczde 16.65 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 15.01 seviyelerine geriledi. Bu oran 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde \u015fu ana kadar g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda oran. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na en b\u00fcy\u00fck destek y\u00fczde 1.94 ayl\u0131k bazda d\u00fc\u015fen ula\u015ft\u0131rma ile y\u00fczde 1.10 d\u00fc\u015fen ayakkab\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden gelirken, e\u011fitim ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 4.26 ile enflasyonu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde bask\u0131lam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>HARCAMALARIN ETK\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2018\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde dalgalanan kurlar nedeniyle enflasyon y\u00fczde 25\u2019lerin \u00fczerine kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Bu hareket \u00e7ok sert bir \u015fekilde olmu\u015ftu. Bu sene kura dayal\u0131 b\u00f6yle bir hareket olacak m\u0131 birlikte g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Ancak s\u00fcrpriz olmazsa bu oranlar 2019 son \u00e7eyre\u011finde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131ndan y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir son \u00e7eyrek enflasyonuyla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabiliriz. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fck beklentilere ne kadar uyar, onu \u015fimdiden bilmek zor. Bu konuya ya\u015fanan s\u00fcrprizler nedeniyle temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131yoruz. \u015eimdilik 15 seviyelerinin alt\u0131na inmesi konusunda \u00e7ok da beklentimiz yok. Burada t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Yani t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n etkili oldu\u011fu bir hesaplama.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>DI\u015eSAL \u015eOKLAR YA\u015eANMAZSA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015eimdi gelelim \u00fcretici taraf\u0131nda durum nedir onu incelemeye. E\u011fer burada oran y\u00fcksekse gelecekte enflasyonun artma riski var. Ancak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckse gelecekte enflasyon gev\u015femeye devam edebilir. Yurti\u00e7i \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi, A\u011fustos 2019\u2019da ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 9.59 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ferek y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 13.45 seviyelerine gev\u015femi\u015f durumda. Temmuz ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 21.56 oran\u0131ndayd\u0131. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ciddi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6z konusu. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00fcretici fiyat endeksinin y\u00fczde 46.16 seviyelerine kadar y\u00fckseldi\u011fini, en y\u00fcksek noktay\u0131 Ekim 2018 verileriyle g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de unutmamak laz\u0131m. Bu durumda e\u011fer s\u00fcrpriz olmazsa 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00fcretici fiyat endeksinde gev\u015femenin devam\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliriz. Ancak mevcut rakam olduk\u00e7a iddial\u0131 olup, herhangi bir olumsuzlu\u011fa an\u0131nda tepki verebilecek bir noktadad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere daha \u00f6nce T\u00dcFE\u2019nin \u00e7ok \u00e7ok \u00fczerlerine \u00e7\u0131kan yurti\u00e7i \u00dcFE, bu sefer T\u00dcFE\u2019den daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyrediyor. Bu durum enflasyonun, d\u0131\u015fsal \u015foklar\u0131n ya\u015fanmamas\u0131 kayd\u0131yla \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tuketici-enflasyonu-mu-yoksa-uretici-enflasyonu-mu","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcketici enflasyonu mu yoksa \u00fcretici enflasyonu mu?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":480,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}