{"status":true,"post":{"id":16714,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:11:22","created_at":"2017-06-11T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:11:22.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":16714,"is_featured":0,"title":"Trump ile nereye kadar?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerini Trump kazan\u0131nca d\u00fcnya ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik beklenmedik bir iyimserlik olu\u015fmu\u015ftu. Trump\u2019\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme yanl\u0131s\u0131 ekonomi politikalar\u0131 vaatleri ile d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00fcmitleri artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu \u00fcmitler halen korunuyor olsa bile Trump\u2019\u0131n uygulamalar\u0131 sonras\u0131 bug\u00fcnlerde Trump ile nereye kadar tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ve endi\u015feleri de giderek yayg\u0131nla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede Trump\u2019\u0131n uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131 ve gelece\u011fini de\u011ferlendirelim. <\/span><\/p>

1. DI\u015e T\u0130CARETTE KORUMACI B\u0130R YAKLA\u015eIM SERG\u0130L\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump, ABD\u2019nin mevcut ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan memnun de\u011fil. Bu nedenle Trans Pasifik Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ekildi. AB ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen Transatlantik Anla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fczakereleri de neredeyse buzdolab\u0131na kalkt\u0131. ABD, Kanada ve Meksika ile aras\u0131ndaki NAFTA anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 da yeniden m\u00fczakere etmek istiyor ve ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tetikliyor.<\/span><\/p>

2. ABD PAR\u0130S \u0130KL\u0130M ANLA\u015eMASINDAN \u00c7EK\u0130LD\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump, kampanya d\u00f6neminde s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc verdi\u011fi \u015fekilde ABD\u2019yi, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadeleyi ama\u00e7layan ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131l imzalanan uluslararas\u0131 anla\u015fmadan geri \u00e7ekti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Anla\u015fma, 22 Nisan 2016\u2019da BM Genel Merkezi\u2019nde aralar\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin de oldu\u011fu \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00fclke taraf\u0131ndan imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. ABD, \u00c7in ve T\u00fcrkiye dahil 190\u2019dan fazla \u00fclkenin imza att\u0131\u011f\u0131 iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadeleyi hedefleyen anla\u015fma, 4 Kas\u0131m 2016\u2019da y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015fti. ABD\u2019nin anla\u015fmadan \u00e7ekilmesi ciddi endi\u015felere yol a\u00e7t\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

3. ENERJ\u0130 POL\u0130T\u0130KASI \u0130LE FOS\u0130L YAKIT \u00dcRET\u0130M\u0130N\u0130 ARTIRIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump ile birlikte ABD\u2019nin enerji politikas\u0131 da de\u011fi\u015fti. ABD enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rmak istiyor. Bu nedenle de petrol ve do\u011falgaz \u00fcretimini kademeli olarak art\u0131r\u0131yor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak zaten zay\u0131f seyreden k\u00fcresel petrol talebi ABD\u2019nin de artan \u00fcretimi ile azal\u0131yor ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. \u00dcretici \u00fclkeler aralar\u0131nda anla\u015farak \u00fcretimlerini k\u0131ssalar dahi petrol fiyatlar\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Bu da petrol \u00fcreticisi ve ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ekonomilerini olumsuz etkiliyor.<\/span><\/p>

4. P\u0130YASALARA \u00dcM\u0130T VEREN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 HIZLANDIRICI ADIMLAR HALEN ATILAMADI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7ilmesi ile birlikte uygulayaca\u011f\u0131 politikalarla ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi h\u0131zland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 \u00fcmitleri artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve bir iyimserlik r\u00fczgar\u0131 estirmi\u015fti. Ancak Trump y\u00f6netimi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi h\u0131zland\u0131racak en \u00f6nemli unsur olan vergi indirimlerine ili\u015fkin somut bir ad\u0131m atamad\u0131. Kamu alt yap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ilave harcamalar da hen\u00fcz bir programa ba\u011flanamad\u0131. Trump\u2019\u0131n bu alandaki vaatlerini yerine getirme konusunda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan belirsizlik Trump r\u00fczgar\u0131n\u0131 da giderek azalt\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>

5. ABD PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KASI \u00dcZER\u0130NDE BEL\u0130RS\u0130ZL\u0130K OLU\u015eTURUYOR, DOLAR ZAYIFLIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump ile birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131, enflasyonun daha \u00e7abuk y\u00fckselece\u011fi ve bu nedenle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda 3-4 kez faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 kabul\u00fc yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Dolar da \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015fti. Ancak Trump\u2019a ili\u015fkin kayg\u0131lar Fed para politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in de belirsizlikler olu\u015fturuyor ve dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 i\u00e7in de \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik azal\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

6. SEYAHAT YASA\u011eI VE DI\u015e POL\u0130T\u0130KADA \u0130\u00c7E D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump ulusal g\u00fcvenlik politikalar\u0131 ile i\u00e7 g\u00fcvenlik politikalar\u0131n\u0131 birbirine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale getirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130lk icraatlar\u0131ndan biri bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke vatanda\u015f\u0131na giri\u015f yasa\u011f\u0131 koymak oldu. Y\u00fcksek mahkeme uygulamay\u0131 durdurdu, ancak Trump\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 ayn\u0131 kat\u0131l\u0131kta s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Trump, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fi konusunda da art\u0131k eski ABD deste\u011fi olamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. NATO i\u00e7in Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n artan katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 talep etti. NATO zirvesi ve G7 Zirvesi\u2019nden geriye Trump ile ortaklar aras\u0131ndaki bir\u00e7ok uzla\u015fmazl\u0131k kald\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

7. TRUMP \u0130LE T\u00dcRK\u0130YE DE ZORLANACAK <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye ile ABD ili\u015fkilerinde g\u00fcncel iki konu hayati \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bunlardan biri FET\u00d6\u2019n\u00fcn iadesi, di\u011feri ise Suriye ve Irak\u2019taki geli\u015fmeler. Her iki alanda da Trump y\u00f6netimi ile bir yak\u0131nl\u0131k ve uyum sa\u011flanamad\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in en \u00f6nemli risk kayna\u011f\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n belirsiz gelece\u011fi olabilir.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"trump-ile-nereye-kadar","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Trump ile nereye kadar?","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":221,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":16813,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":16714,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Trump ile nereye kadar?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerini Trump kazan\u0131nca d\u00fcnya ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik beklenmedik bir iyimserlik olu\u015fmu\u015ftu. Trump\u2019\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme yanl\u0131s\u0131 ekonomi politikalar\u0131 vaatleri ile d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00fcmitleri artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu \u00fcmitler halen korunuyor olsa bile Trump\u2019\u0131n uygulamalar\u0131 sonras\u0131 bug\u00fcnlerde Trump ile nereye kadar tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ve endi\u015feleri de giderek yayg\u0131nla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede Trump\u2019\u0131n uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131 ve gelece\u011fini de\u011ferlendirelim. <\/span><\/p>

1. DI\u015e T\u0130CARETTE KORUMACI B\u0130R YAKLA\u015eIM SERG\u0130L\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump, ABD\u2019nin mevcut ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan memnun de\u011fil. Bu nedenle Trans Pasifik Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ekildi. AB ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen Transatlantik Anla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fczakereleri de neredeyse buzdolab\u0131na kalkt\u0131. ABD, Kanada ve Meksika ile aras\u0131ndaki NAFTA anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 da yeniden m\u00fczakere etmek istiyor ve ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tetikliyor.<\/span><\/p>

2. ABD PAR\u0130S \u0130KL\u0130M ANLA\u015eMASINDAN \u00c7EK\u0130LD\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump, kampanya d\u00f6neminde s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc verdi\u011fi \u015fekilde ABD\u2019yi, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadeleyi ama\u00e7layan ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131l imzalanan uluslararas\u0131 anla\u015fmadan geri \u00e7ekti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Anla\u015fma, 22 Nisan 2016\u2019da BM Genel Merkezi\u2019nde aralar\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin de oldu\u011fu \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00fclke taraf\u0131ndan imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. ABD, \u00c7in ve T\u00fcrkiye dahil 190\u2019dan fazla \u00fclkenin imza att\u0131\u011f\u0131 iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadeleyi hedefleyen anla\u015fma, 4 Kas\u0131m 2016\u2019da y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015fti. ABD\u2019nin anla\u015fmadan \u00e7ekilmesi ciddi endi\u015felere yol a\u00e7t\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

3. ENERJ\u0130 POL\u0130T\u0130KASI \u0130LE FOS\u0130L YAKIT \u00dcRET\u0130M\u0130N\u0130 ARTIRIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump ile birlikte ABD\u2019nin enerji politikas\u0131 da de\u011fi\u015fti. ABD enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rmak istiyor. Bu nedenle de petrol ve do\u011falgaz \u00fcretimini kademeli olarak art\u0131r\u0131yor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak zaten zay\u0131f seyreden k\u00fcresel petrol talebi ABD\u2019nin de artan \u00fcretimi ile azal\u0131yor ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. \u00dcretici \u00fclkeler aralar\u0131nda anla\u015farak \u00fcretimlerini k\u0131ssalar dahi petrol fiyatlar\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Bu da petrol \u00fcreticisi ve ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ekonomilerini olumsuz etkiliyor.<\/span><\/p>

4. P\u0130YASALARA \u00dcM\u0130T VEREN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 HIZLANDIRICI ADIMLAR HALEN ATILAMADI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7ilmesi ile birlikte uygulayaca\u011f\u0131 politikalarla ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi h\u0131zland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 \u00fcmitleri artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve bir iyimserlik r\u00fczgar\u0131 estirmi\u015fti. Ancak Trump y\u00f6netimi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi h\u0131zland\u0131racak en \u00f6nemli unsur olan vergi indirimlerine ili\u015fkin somut bir ad\u0131m atamad\u0131. Kamu alt yap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ilave harcamalar da hen\u00fcz bir programa ba\u011flanamad\u0131. Trump\u2019\u0131n bu alandaki vaatlerini yerine getirme konusunda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan belirsizlik Trump r\u00fczgar\u0131n\u0131 da giderek azalt\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>

5. ABD PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KASI \u00dcZER\u0130NDE BEL\u0130RS\u0130ZL\u0130K OLU\u015eTURUYOR, DOLAR ZAYIFLIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump ile birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131, enflasyonun daha \u00e7abuk y\u00fckselece\u011fi ve bu nedenle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda 3-4 kez faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 kabul\u00fc yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Dolar da \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015fti. Ancak Trump\u2019a ili\u015fkin kayg\u0131lar Fed para politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in de belirsizlikler olu\u015fturuyor ve dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 i\u00e7in de \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik azal\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

6. SEYAHAT YASA\u011eI VE DI\u015e POL\u0130T\u0130KADA \u0130\u00c7E D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump ulusal g\u00fcvenlik politikalar\u0131 ile i\u00e7 g\u00fcvenlik politikalar\u0131n\u0131 birbirine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale getirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130lk icraatlar\u0131ndan biri bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke vatanda\u015f\u0131na giri\u015f yasa\u011f\u0131 koymak oldu. Y\u00fcksek mahkeme uygulamay\u0131 durdurdu, ancak Trump\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 ayn\u0131 kat\u0131l\u0131kta s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Trump, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fi konusunda da art\u0131k eski ABD deste\u011fi olamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. NATO i\u00e7in Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n artan katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 talep etti. NATO zirvesi ve G7 Zirvesi\u2019nden geriye Trump ile ortaklar aras\u0131ndaki bir\u00e7ok uzla\u015fmazl\u0131k kald\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

7. TRUMP \u0130LE T\u00dcRK\u0130YE DE ZORLANACAK <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye ile ABD ili\u015fkilerinde g\u00fcncel iki konu hayati \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bunlardan biri FET\u00d6\u2019n\u00fcn iadesi, di\u011feri ise Suriye ve Irak\u2019taki geli\u015fmeler. Her iki alanda da Trump y\u00f6netimi ile bir yak\u0131nl\u0131k ve uyum sa\u011flanamad\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in en \u00f6nemli risk kayna\u011f\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n belirsiz gelece\u011fi olabilir.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"trump-ile-nereye-kadar","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Trump ile nereye kadar?","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":221,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}