{"status":true,"post":{"id":18633,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:15:21","created_at":"2018-06-26T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:15:21.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":18633,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyecek","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2008 k\u00fcresel finans krizinden bu yana ba\u015fta ABD ve Fransa olmak \u00fczere, G7 \u00fclkelerinin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n ticari korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 savundu\u011fu, k\u0131smen tehditler savurdu\u011fu; Almanya, Japonya, Kanada, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ise gerek D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (DT\u00d6) kurallar\u0131na ayk\u0131r\u0131l\u0131k, gerekse de k\u00fcresel ticarete olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkileriyle ABD ve Fransa\u2019n\u0131n tutumunu ele\u015ftirdi\u011fini g\u00f6zlemledik. O d\u00f6nemde Ba\u015fkan Obama bu tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bir s\u00fcre sonra sonland\u0131r\u0131rken, Fransa\u2019da bu tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona ermesi i\u00e7in Sarkozy\u2019in Holland\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 se\u00e7imleri kaybetmesi gerekiyordu. Bu noktada, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 ve bu konuyla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 kur sava\u015flar\u0131, G7 ve G20 toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda bir s\u00fcre uzak durulmas\u0131 gereken, \u00fclkelerin asla tenezz\u00fcl etmediklerini iddia etti\u011fi bir konu olarak y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ancak aday oldu\u011fu g\u00fcnden itibaren \u00f6ncelikle \u00c7in ve Meksika mallar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump, resmen g\u00f6reve ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bir y\u0131l sonra, 9 Mart\u2019ta ithal \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyuma s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 25 ve y\u00fczde 10 g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifesi uygulanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayarak, ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n fitilini ate\u015fledi. ABD, \u00c7in ve haks\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa u\u011frayacak \u015fekilde T\u00fcrkiye gibi \u00fclkelere tarifeye hemen ba\u015flarken, Kanada, Meksika, AB, Avustralya, Arjantin, Brezilya ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019ye 1 Haziran\u2019a kadar ge\u00e7ici muafiyet tan\u0131d\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>AB\u2019N\u0130N \u00c7A\u011eRISI SONU\u00c7SUZ KALDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB, ABD\u2019nin g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinden muaf tutulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen sonu\u00e7 alamad\u0131. AB, bunun \u00fczerine ABD\u2019nin ithal \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyuma y\u00f6nelik uygulamay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerine kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 25 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplam 10 sayfal\u0131k \u00fcr\u00fcn listesi haz\u0131rlad\u0131. Aralar\u0131nda m\u0131s\u0131r, barbunya, pirin\u00e7, m\u0131s\u0131r gevre\u011fi, f\u0131st\u0131k ezmesi, yaban mersini, portakal suyu, puro, sigara, t\u00fct\u00fcn, ruj, kot pantolon, nevresim, ayakkab\u0131, lavabo, merdiven, vantilat\u00f6r, motosiklet, yat, tekne, t\u00fcp ve \u00e7elik gibi y\u00fczlerce farkl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn bulunan listeyle AB, ABD\u2019yi karar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7irmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ama ba\u015faramad\u0131. Bu nedenle ABD\u2019nin ithal \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyuma ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri uygulamaya ba\u015flamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 ticari misillemenin 22 Haziran g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131 karar\u0131 ald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB bu ad\u0131m\u0131 atarken, s\u00f6z konusu dengeleyici g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc kurallar\u0131yla tamamen uyumlu oldu\u011funu, AB\u2019nin ilk a\u015famada ABD \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine 2.8 milyar Euro\u2019luk bir ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirece\u011fini, 3.6 milyar Euro\u2019luk di\u011fer k\u0131s\u0131m hakk\u0131nda ise karar\u0131n ileride al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemekten de geri kalmad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>M\u0130S\u0130LLEMELER TIRMANDIRIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ise s\u00fcrekli t\u0131rman\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131n Atlantik ile Pasifik aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ticaret \u00fczerindeki olumsuz etkisine dair endi\u015feleri de art\u0131yor. ABD\u2019nin, \u00c7in\u2019e 50 milyar dolarl\u0131k ek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00c7in\u2019in ayn\u0131 oranda misilleme yapmas\u0131yla artan endi\u015feler, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n, 200 milyar dolarl\u0131k daha g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirilmesinin direktifini vermesiyle birlikte yeni bir a\u015famaya ge\u00e7ti. Anadolu Ajans\u0131\u2019na konu\u015fan Capital Economics K\u00fcresel Ekonomisti Simon MacAdam, ABD ve \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, misillemenin k\u00fcresel ekonomide daha olumsuz sonu\u00e7lara neden olabilece\u011fini dile getirdi. En olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lardan birinin tarifelerin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lmas\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden MacAdam, g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifesi uygulanacak \u00fcr\u00fcnleri geni\u015fletmenin ABD i\u00e7in daha zor olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">MacAdam, \u00c7in ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ve birbirlerine uygulad\u0131klar\u0131 tarifelerin, k\u0131sa vadede finansal piyasalar ve i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 g\u00fcvenini etkileyerek k\u00fcresel ekonomiye zarar verebilece\u011fini, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde de bask\u0131 olu\u015fabilece\u011fini ifade etti. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00c7\u0130N-ABD GERG\u0130NL\u0130\u011e\u0130NDEN JAPONYA DA END\u0130\u015eEL\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BOJ) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Haruhiko Kuroda, ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Asya B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin tedarik zincirini etkileyebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ticaret anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Japonya i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir endi\u015fe haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade eden Kuroda, y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en bu anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n feshedilmesini samimiyetle umut etti\u011fini belirtti. Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel resesyona da yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fine dikkati \u00e7eken Capital Economics K\u00fcresel Ekonomisti Simon MacAdam ise Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n tehditlerine devam etse de di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin ayn\u0131 derecede misilleme yapmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. UBS Group AG, 50 milyar dolarl\u0131k \u00c7in mal\u0131na gelecek ilk tur verginin \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00fczerinde ilk y\u0131l 0.1, ek olarak 100 milyar dolar\u0131n 0.3-0.5 y\u00fczde puan; Deutsche Bank AG, 250 milyar dolarl\u0131k paketin ilk bir y\u0131lda 0.2-0.3 y\u00fczde puan, Oxford Economics Ltd. 2019-2020\u2019de 0.3 y\u00fczde puan; Bloomberg Economics\u2019ten Tom Orlik ve Fielding Chen ise 0.5 y\u00fczde puan negatif etkisi olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ticaret-savasi-kuresel-buyumeyi-etkileyecek","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyecek","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":148,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":18732,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":18633,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyecek","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2008 k\u00fcresel finans krizinden bu yana ba\u015fta ABD ve Fransa olmak \u00fczere, G7 \u00fclkelerinin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n ticari korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 savundu\u011fu, k\u0131smen tehditler savurdu\u011fu; Almanya, Japonya, Kanada, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ise gerek D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (DT\u00d6) kurallar\u0131na ayk\u0131r\u0131l\u0131k, gerekse de k\u00fcresel ticarete olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkileriyle ABD ve Fransa\u2019n\u0131n tutumunu ele\u015ftirdi\u011fini g\u00f6zlemledik. O d\u00f6nemde Ba\u015fkan Obama bu tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bir s\u00fcre sonra sonland\u0131r\u0131rken, Fransa\u2019da bu tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona ermesi i\u00e7in Sarkozy\u2019in Holland\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 se\u00e7imleri kaybetmesi gerekiyordu. Bu noktada, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 ve bu konuyla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 kur sava\u015flar\u0131, G7 ve G20 toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda bir s\u00fcre uzak durulmas\u0131 gereken, \u00fclkelerin asla tenezz\u00fcl etmediklerini iddia etti\u011fi bir konu olarak y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ancak aday oldu\u011fu g\u00fcnden itibaren \u00f6ncelikle \u00c7in ve Meksika mallar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump, resmen g\u00f6reve ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bir y\u0131l sonra, 9 Mart\u2019ta ithal \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyuma s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 25 ve y\u00fczde 10 g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifesi uygulanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayarak, ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n fitilini ate\u015fledi. ABD, \u00c7in ve haks\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa u\u011frayacak \u015fekilde T\u00fcrkiye gibi \u00fclkelere tarifeye hemen ba\u015flarken, Kanada, Meksika, AB, Avustralya, Arjantin, Brezilya ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019ye 1 Haziran\u2019a kadar ge\u00e7ici muafiyet tan\u0131d\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>AB\u2019N\u0130N \u00c7A\u011eRISI SONU\u00c7SUZ KALDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB, ABD\u2019nin g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinden muaf tutulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen sonu\u00e7 alamad\u0131. AB, bunun \u00fczerine ABD\u2019nin ithal \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyuma y\u00f6nelik uygulamay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerine kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 25 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplam 10 sayfal\u0131k \u00fcr\u00fcn listesi haz\u0131rlad\u0131. Aralar\u0131nda m\u0131s\u0131r, barbunya, pirin\u00e7, m\u0131s\u0131r gevre\u011fi, f\u0131st\u0131k ezmesi, yaban mersini, portakal suyu, puro, sigara, t\u00fct\u00fcn, ruj, kot pantolon, nevresim, ayakkab\u0131, lavabo, merdiven, vantilat\u00f6r, motosiklet, yat, tekne, t\u00fcp ve \u00e7elik gibi y\u00fczlerce farkl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn bulunan listeyle AB, ABD\u2019yi karar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7irmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ama ba\u015faramad\u0131. Bu nedenle ABD\u2019nin ithal \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyuma ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri uygulamaya ba\u015flamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 ticari misillemenin 22 Haziran g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131 karar\u0131 ald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB bu ad\u0131m\u0131 atarken, s\u00f6z konusu dengeleyici g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc kurallar\u0131yla tamamen uyumlu oldu\u011funu, AB\u2019nin ilk a\u015famada ABD \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine 2.8 milyar Euro\u2019luk bir ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirece\u011fini, 3.6 milyar Euro\u2019luk di\u011fer k\u0131s\u0131m hakk\u0131nda ise karar\u0131n ileride al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemekten de geri kalmad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>M\u0130S\u0130LLEMELER TIRMANDIRIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ise s\u00fcrekli t\u0131rman\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131n Atlantik ile Pasifik aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ticaret \u00fczerindeki olumsuz etkisine dair endi\u015feleri de art\u0131yor. ABD\u2019nin, \u00c7in\u2019e 50 milyar dolarl\u0131k ek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00c7in\u2019in ayn\u0131 oranda misilleme yapmas\u0131yla artan endi\u015feler, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n, 200 milyar dolarl\u0131k daha g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirilmesinin direktifini vermesiyle birlikte yeni bir a\u015famaya ge\u00e7ti. Anadolu Ajans\u0131\u2019na konu\u015fan Capital Economics K\u00fcresel Ekonomisti Simon MacAdam, ABD ve \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, misillemenin k\u00fcresel ekonomide daha olumsuz sonu\u00e7lara neden olabilece\u011fini dile getirdi. En olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lardan birinin tarifelerin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lmas\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden MacAdam, g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifesi uygulanacak \u00fcr\u00fcnleri geni\u015fletmenin ABD i\u00e7in daha zor olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">MacAdam, \u00c7in ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ve birbirlerine uygulad\u0131klar\u0131 tarifelerin, k\u0131sa vadede finansal piyasalar ve i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 g\u00fcvenini etkileyerek k\u00fcresel ekonomiye zarar verebilece\u011fini, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde de bask\u0131 olu\u015fabilece\u011fini ifade etti. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00c7\u0130N-ABD GERG\u0130NL\u0130\u011e\u0130NDEN JAPONYA DA END\u0130\u015eEL\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BOJ) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Haruhiko Kuroda, ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Asya B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin tedarik zincirini etkileyebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ticaret anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Japonya i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir endi\u015fe haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade eden Kuroda, y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en bu anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n feshedilmesini samimiyetle umut etti\u011fini belirtti. Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel resesyona da yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fine dikkati \u00e7eken Capital Economics K\u00fcresel Ekonomisti Simon MacAdam ise Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n tehditlerine devam etse de di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin ayn\u0131 derecede misilleme yapmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. UBS Group AG, 50 milyar dolarl\u0131k \u00c7in mal\u0131na gelecek ilk tur verginin \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00fczerinde ilk y\u0131l 0.1, ek olarak 100 milyar dolar\u0131n 0.3-0.5 y\u00fczde puan; Deutsche Bank AG, 250 milyar dolarl\u0131k paketin ilk bir y\u0131lda 0.2-0.3 y\u00fczde puan, Oxford Economics Ltd. 2019-2020\u2019de 0.3 y\u00fczde puan; Bloomberg Economics\u2019ten Tom Orlik ve Fielding Chen ise 0.5 y\u00fczde puan negatif etkisi olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ticaret-savasi-kuresel-buyumeyi-etkileyecek","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyecek","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":148,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}