{"status":true,"post":{"id":18276,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:11:43","created_at":"2018-04-16T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:11:43.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":18276,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ticaret \u00f6nlemleri i\u015fi ciddiyet kazan\u0131yor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

ABD\u2019nin muafiyet tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 7 birlik\/\u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ba\u015fta \u00c7in olmak \u00fczere geri kalan t\u00fcm \u00fclkelere \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyum ithalat\u0131nda koydu\u011fu ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri ile ba\u015flayan ticaret \u00f6nlemleri uygulamalar\u0131, geldi\u011fi a\u015fama itibari ile ciddiyet kazanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Ge\u00e7en haftaki yaz\u0131m\u0131zda da k\u0131smen de\u011findi\u011fimiz bu konuda ya\u015fanan h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fmeler, endi\u015felerin artmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede mevcut gelinen noktay\u0131 ve olas\u0131 beklentileri de\u011ferlendirelim. <\/span><\/p>

1 - T\u0130CARETTE KORUMACI \u00d6NLEMLER KAR\u015eILIKLI YA\u011eMUR G\u0130B\u0130 YA\u011eMAYA BA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD\u2019nin teti\u011fini \u00e7ekti\u011fi ticarette korumac\u0131 \u00f6nlemler uygulamas\u0131, k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 \u00f6nlemler ya\u011fmuruna d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00c7in\u2019in kar\u015f\u0131 ad\u0131m\u0131 sonras\u0131 ABD, 100 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat i\u00e7in yeni bir koruma listesi olu\u015fturuyor. ABD ve \u00c7in\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, ne yaz\u0131k ki kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerin en az\u0131ndan bir s\u00fcre daha devam edece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u00c7in, ABD\u2019yi D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019ne (DT\u00d6) \u015fik\u00e2yet etti ve resmi ba\u015fvurusunu yapt\u0131. Ancak DT\u00d6\u2019den uzla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir karar \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.<\/span><\/p>

2 - D\u0130\u011eER \u00dcLKELER DE DEVREYE G\u0130RER M\u0130?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD, \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyumda Kanada ve Meksika\u2019ya NAFTA g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri s\u00fcresince tam istisna tan\u0131d\u0131. AB, Brezilya, Arjantin, Avustralya ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019ye ise ge\u00e7ici muafiyet verdi. Bu \u00fclkeler 25 May\u0131s\u2019a kadar ABD\u2019ye ba\u015fvurarak kendilerini savunacak ve kal\u0131c\u0131 muafiyet isteyecekler. E\u011fer 25 May\u0131s\u2019tan sonra \u00f6zellikle AB\u2019ye de vergi uygulan\u0131r ve AB de kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler al\u0131rsa s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 hale gelecek. Japonya, Hindistan ve Rusya bir kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlem d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. G\u00f6zler daha \u00e7ok AB \u00fczerinde olacak. <\/span><\/p>

3 - AVRUPA B\u0130RL\u0130\u011e\u0130 DE SORU\u015eTURMA BA\u015eLATTI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Avrupa Birli\u011fi de 26 \u00e7elik \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc ithalat\u0131nda t\u00fcm \u00fclkeleri kapsayan soru\u015fturma ba\u015flatt\u0131. AB, ABD\u2019ye \u00e7elik ihra\u00e7 edemeyecek \u00fclkelerin AB pazar\u0131na h\u00fccum etmesinden \u00e7ekiniyor. Bu nedenle AB de b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle di\u011fer \u00fclkelere korunma \u00f6nlemi uygulayacak. Di\u011fer \u00fclkeler de AB\u2019ye cevap verirse ticaret \u00f6nlemleri ger\u00e7ek anlamda bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olacak.<\/span><\/p>

4 - KORUMACILIK \u00d6NLEMLER\u0130 MAL\u0130 P\u0130YASALARI \u015e\u0130MD\u0130L\u0130K KONJONKT\u00dcREL OLARAK ETK\u0130L\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri bug\u00fcn gelmi\u015f oldu\u011fu a\u015famada mali piyasalarda \u015fimdilik konjonkt\u00fcrel etkide bulunuyor. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle, olu\u015fan ana e\u011filimlerde hen\u00fcz kal\u0131c\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131. Faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yava\u015flad\u0131. Dolar zay\u0131f kalmaya devam ediyor. Korunma \u00f6nlemlerinin etkileyece\u011fi sekt\u00f6rlerdeki firmalar\u0131n hisse senedi fiyatlar\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Yine korunma \u00f6nlemlerine konu olan emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda gerilemeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Ancak bu hareketler kal\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil. Bu fiyat hareketleri ancak ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemlerinin sava\u015fa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi halinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olacak.<\/span><\/p>

5 - T\u00dcRK\u0130YE T\u0130CARETTE KORUMACILIK \u00d6NLEMLER\u0130N\u0130N NERES\u0130NDE?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye, ilk a\u015famada ABD\u2019nin \u00e7elik ithalat\u0131nda uygulamay\u0131 hedefledi\u011fi y\u00fczde 25 ve al\u00fcminyum ithalat\u0131nda y\u00fczde 10 ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. T\u00fcrkiye de ABD nezdinde lobi ve savunma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na ba\u015flayarak tam muafiyet talebinde bulunuyor. Ancak e\u011fer ABD bu talebi kar\u015f\u0131lamaz ise bir alternatif G\u00fcney Kore\u2019ye yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi kota al\u0131nmas\u0131 olacak. Bu da olmaz ise T\u00fcrkiye ABD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar atmak zorunda kalacak. E\u011fer AB de soru\u015fturmalar sonras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye koruma \u00f6nlemi uygularsa T\u00fcrkiye kendini \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 bir sava\u015f\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulabilecek. <\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> ABD ve AB\u2019nin ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri giri\u015fimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ticaret diplomasisi yetene\u011fimizi iyi kullanal\u0131m ve kendimizi olas\u0131 ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda tutal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ticaret-onlemleri-isi-ciddiyet-kazaniyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ticaret \u00f6nlemleri i\u015fi ciddiyet kazan\u0131yor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":203,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":18375,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":18276,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ticaret \u00f6nlemleri i\u015fi ciddiyet kazan\u0131yor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

ABD\u2019nin muafiyet tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 7 birlik\/\u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ba\u015fta \u00c7in olmak \u00fczere geri kalan t\u00fcm \u00fclkelere \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyum ithalat\u0131nda koydu\u011fu ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri ile ba\u015flayan ticaret \u00f6nlemleri uygulamalar\u0131, geldi\u011fi a\u015fama itibari ile ciddiyet kazanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Ge\u00e7en haftaki yaz\u0131m\u0131zda da k\u0131smen de\u011findi\u011fimiz bu konuda ya\u015fanan h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fmeler, endi\u015felerin artmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede mevcut gelinen noktay\u0131 ve olas\u0131 beklentileri de\u011ferlendirelim. <\/span><\/p>

1 - T\u0130CARETTE KORUMACI \u00d6NLEMLER KAR\u015eILIKLI YA\u011eMUR G\u0130B\u0130 YA\u011eMAYA BA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD\u2019nin teti\u011fini \u00e7ekti\u011fi ticarette korumac\u0131 \u00f6nlemler uygulamas\u0131, k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 \u00f6nlemler ya\u011fmuruna d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00c7in\u2019in kar\u015f\u0131 ad\u0131m\u0131 sonras\u0131 ABD, 100 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat i\u00e7in yeni bir koruma listesi olu\u015fturuyor. ABD ve \u00c7in\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, ne yaz\u0131k ki kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerin en az\u0131ndan bir s\u00fcre daha devam edece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u00c7in, ABD\u2019yi D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019ne (DT\u00d6) \u015fik\u00e2yet etti ve resmi ba\u015fvurusunu yapt\u0131. Ancak DT\u00d6\u2019den uzla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir karar \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.<\/span><\/p>

2 - D\u0130\u011eER \u00dcLKELER DE DEVREYE G\u0130RER M\u0130?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD, \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyumda Kanada ve Meksika\u2019ya NAFTA g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri s\u00fcresince tam istisna tan\u0131d\u0131. AB, Brezilya, Arjantin, Avustralya ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019ye ise ge\u00e7ici muafiyet verdi. Bu \u00fclkeler 25 May\u0131s\u2019a kadar ABD\u2019ye ba\u015fvurarak kendilerini savunacak ve kal\u0131c\u0131 muafiyet isteyecekler. E\u011fer 25 May\u0131s\u2019tan sonra \u00f6zellikle AB\u2019ye de vergi uygulan\u0131r ve AB de kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler al\u0131rsa s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 hale gelecek. Japonya, Hindistan ve Rusya bir kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlem d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. G\u00f6zler daha \u00e7ok AB \u00fczerinde olacak. <\/span><\/p>

3 - AVRUPA B\u0130RL\u0130\u011e\u0130 DE SORU\u015eTURMA BA\u015eLATTI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Avrupa Birli\u011fi de 26 \u00e7elik \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc ithalat\u0131nda t\u00fcm \u00fclkeleri kapsayan soru\u015fturma ba\u015flatt\u0131. AB, ABD\u2019ye \u00e7elik ihra\u00e7 edemeyecek \u00fclkelerin AB pazar\u0131na h\u00fccum etmesinden \u00e7ekiniyor. Bu nedenle AB de b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle di\u011fer \u00fclkelere korunma \u00f6nlemi uygulayacak. Di\u011fer \u00fclkeler de AB\u2019ye cevap verirse ticaret \u00f6nlemleri ger\u00e7ek anlamda bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olacak.<\/span><\/p>

4 - KORUMACILIK \u00d6NLEMLER\u0130 MAL\u0130 P\u0130YASALARI \u015e\u0130MD\u0130L\u0130K KONJONKT\u00dcREL OLARAK ETK\u0130L\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri bug\u00fcn gelmi\u015f oldu\u011fu a\u015famada mali piyasalarda \u015fimdilik konjonkt\u00fcrel etkide bulunuyor. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle, olu\u015fan ana e\u011filimlerde hen\u00fcz kal\u0131c\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131. Faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yava\u015flad\u0131. Dolar zay\u0131f kalmaya devam ediyor. Korunma \u00f6nlemlerinin etkileyece\u011fi sekt\u00f6rlerdeki firmalar\u0131n hisse senedi fiyatlar\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Yine korunma \u00f6nlemlerine konu olan emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda gerilemeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Ancak bu hareketler kal\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil. Bu fiyat hareketleri ancak ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemlerinin sava\u015fa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi halinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olacak.<\/span><\/p>

5 - T\u00dcRK\u0130YE T\u0130CARETTE KORUMACILIK \u00d6NLEMLER\u0130N\u0130N NERES\u0130NDE?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye, ilk a\u015famada ABD\u2019nin \u00e7elik ithalat\u0131nda uygulamay\u0131 hedefledi\u011fi y\u00fczde 25 ve al\u00fcminyum ithalat\u0131nda y\u00fczde 10 ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. T\u00fcrkiye de ABD nezdinde lobi ve savunma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na ba\u015flayarak tam muafiyet talebinde bulunuyor. Ancak e\u011fer ABD bu talebi kar\u015f\u0131lamaz ise bir alternatif G\u00fcney Kore\u2019ye yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi kota al\u0131nmas\u0131 olacak. Bu da olmaz ise T\u00fcrkiye ABD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar atmak zorunda kalacak. E\u011fer AB de soru\u015fturmalar sonras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye koruma \u00f6nlemi uygularsa T\u00fcrkiye kendini \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 bir sava\u015f\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulabilecek. <\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> ABD ve AB\u2019nin ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri giri\u015fimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ticaret diplomasisi yetene\u011fimizi iyi kullanal\u0131m ve kendimizi olas\u0131 ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda tutal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ticaret-onlemleri-isi-ciddiyet-kazaniyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ticaret \u00f6nlemleri i\u015fi ciddiyet kazan\u0131yor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":203,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}