{"status":true,"post":{"id":32170,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 20:58:23","created_at":"2022-03-31T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T17:58:23.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":32170,"is_featured":0,"title":"S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nmaya 4.2 trilyon dolar laz\u0131m","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>ine.com<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130ki \u2018Siyah Ku\u011fu\u2019, \u2018Covid-19\u2019 k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu k\u00fcresel karga\u015fa, k\u00fcresel belirsizlik ve endi\u015feler sadece enerji piyasalar\u0131 ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131 veya k\u00fcresel tedarik zinciri ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil. K\u00fcresel ekonomik sistemi endi\u015felendiren bir ba\u015fka ba\u015fl\u0131kta \u2018do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FDI) yak\u0131n gelecekte ak\u0131betinin ne olaca\u011f\u0131 da merak ediliyor. K\u00fcresel do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, tarihi rekoru 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel finans krizi \u00f6ncesinde 2 trilyon dolar\u0131 yakalayarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. 2008\u2019den itibaren, \u00f6nce yakla\u015fmakta olan, ard\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen k\u00fcresel finans kriziyle k\u00fcresel hacim<\/span><span class=\"large\">1.2 trilyon dolara geriledi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2015\u2019de, tekrar toparlanarak, 1.8 trilyon dolar\u0131 g\u00f6ren FDI, ard\u0131ndan tekrar 1.2 trilyon dolara gerileyip, sadece bir y\u0131l 1.3 trilyon dolara y\u00fckseldi. Ard\u0131ndan 2020 ve 2021\u2019de k\u00fcresel pandemide 750 milyar dolara kadar geriledi. Daha \u2018Covid-19\u2019un etkilerinden yeni yeni kurtuluyor iken, \u00fcst\u00fcne gelen Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131, k\u00fcresel sistem i\u00e7in yeni bir belirsizli\u011fi tetiklemi\u015f durumda. Bu ko\u015fullarda, k\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel ekonomik ve siyasi gerginlikler ve belirsizlikler bitene kadar FDI\u2019\u0131n yeniden canlanmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek hayal olur. Oysa, k\u00fcresel pandemi patlak vermezden \u00f6nce dahi k\u00fcresel \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma\u2019 hedeflerini yakalayabilmek i\u00e7in FDI\u2019\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda 2.5 trilyon dolara y\u00fckselmesi gerekti\u011fi konu\u015fuluyordu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YABANCI SERMAYE YATIRIMLARI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yani, 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda 2 trilyon dolarla tarihi seviyesini yakalayan FDI\u2019\u0131n, bunu da a\u015farak, yeni bir rekor seviye olan 2.5 trilyon dolar\u0131 yakalamas\u0131 gerekiyordu. \u015eimdi ise 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k k\u00fcresel pandemi bu tablonun \u00fczerinde 1 trilyon dolar daha eklemi\u015f durumda. Rusya-Ukrayna gerginli\u011finin sebep oldu\u011fu ve birka\u00e7 sene daha sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 etkilerin giderilmesi ad\u0131na da, daha \u015fimdiden 700 milyar dolar daha konu\u015fuluyor. Yani, 2 Siyah Ku\u011fu, 2 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde, k\u00fcresel s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma hedeflerinin tutturulabilmesi i\u00e7in ihtiya\u00e7 duyulan FDI miktar\u0131n\u0131 2.5 trilyon dolardan 4.2 trilyon dolara y\u00fckseltmi\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin giri\u015fimlerinin ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc beklenti ile Rusya-Ukrayna gerginli\u011fi k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sonu\u00e7lansa da, 3 ile 5 y\u0131l aras\u0131 4 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015fan bir do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 hamlesi, b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel hamlelerin kapanmas\u0131 ad\u0131na elzem olacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KORUMACILIK R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ayr\u0131ca, aralar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7kin ekonomiler grubu, baz\u0131 ekonomilerin pani\u011fe kap\u0131larak \u2018korumac\u0131l\u0131k\u2019 e\u011filimini hortlatmalar\u0131 riskinin \u00f6nlenmesi, do\u011frudan yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda adil ve uluslararas\u0131 kurallara ba\u011fl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi; bilhassa Afrika\u2019da \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00fclkelerin sebep oldu\u011fu endi\u015fe ve zararlar\u0131 bertaraf edecek yeni yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n hayat bulmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmi\u015f durumda. Bu noktada, Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tecr\u00fcbelerinden yararlanmak ad\u0131na i\u015fbirli\u011fi noktas\u0131nda hayli pozitif olduklar\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. Hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz ki, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7erisinde pek \u00e7ok Avrupa, Ortado\u011fu ve K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkesi de T\u00fcrkiye ile i\u015fbirli\u011fi konusunu h\u0131zland\u0131racak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KEND\u0130 KEND\u0130NE YETERL\u0130L\u0130\u011e\u0130N \u00d6NEM\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130ki \u2018Siyah Ku\u011fu\u2019, k\u00fcresel pandemi ve Rusya-Ukrayna gerginli\u011fi, tar\u0131m ve g\u0131dadan demir-\u00e7elik ve nadir metallere, sa\u011fl\u0131ktan lojisti\u011fe, savunmadan enerjiye, finansal hizmetlerden siber g\u00fcvenli\u011fe, \u2018kendi kendine yetebilen \u00fclke\u2019 olman\u0131n vazge\u00e7ilmezli\u011fini de bir kez daha \u2018mutlak ger\u00e7eklik\u2019 boyutuyla g\u00f6stermi\u015f oldu. Art\u0131k, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 uydusuyla, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131yla, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 bu\u011fday\u0131yla, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 enerjisiyle, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 \u00e7eli\u011fiyle \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 yaz\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ile yola \u00e7\u0131kman\u0131n, ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131laman\u0131n, ekonomiyi d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n riskleriyle t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya y\u00fcz y\u00fcze gelmi\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"surdurulebilir-kalkinmaya-42-trilyon-dolar-lazim","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nmaya 4.2 trilyon dolar laz\u0131m","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1135,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":32269,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":32170,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nmaya 4.2 trilyon dolar laz\u0131m","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>ine.com<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130ki \u2018Siyah Ku\u011fu\u2019, \u2018Covid-19\u2019 k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu k\u00fcresel karga\u015fa, k\u00fcresel belirsizlik ve endi\u015feler sadece enerji piyasalar\u0131 ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131 veya k\u00fcresel tedarik zinciri ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil. K\u00fcresel ekonomik sistemi endi\u015felendiren bir ba\u015fka ba\u015fl\u0131kta \u2018do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FDI) yak\u0131n gelecekte ak\u0131betinin ne olaca\u011f\u0131 da merak ediliyor. K\u00fcresel do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, tarihi rekoru 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel finans krizi \u00f6ncesinde 2 trilyon dolar\u0131 yakalayarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. 2008\u2019den itibaren, \u00f6nce yakla\u015fmakta olan, ard\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen k\u00fcresel finans kriziyle k\u00fcresel hacim<\/span><span class=\"large\">1.2 trilyon dolara geriledi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2015\u2019de, tekrar toparlanarak, 1.8 trilyon dolar\u0131 g\u00f6ren FDI, ard\u0131ndan tekrar 1.2 trilyon dolara gerileyip, sadece bir y\u0131l 1.3 trilyon dolara y\u00fckseldi. Ard\u0131ndan 2020 ve 2021\u2019de k\u00fcresel pandemide 750 milyar dolara kadar geriledi. Daha \u2018Covid-19\u2019un etkilerinden yeni yeni kurtuluyor iken, \u00fcst\u00fcne gelen Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131, k\u00fcresel sistem i\u00e7in yeni bir belirsizli\u011fi tetiklemi\u015f durumda. Bu ko\u015fullarda, k\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel ekonomik ve siyasi gerginlikler ve belirsizlikler bitene kadar FDI\u2019\u0131n yeniden canlanmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek hayal olur. Oysa, k\u00fcresel pandemi patlak vermezden \u00f6nce dahi k\u00fcresel \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma\u2019 hedeflerini yakalayabilmek i\u00e7in FDI\u2019\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda 2.5 trilyon dolara y\u00fckselmesi gerekti\u011fi konu\u015fuluyordu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YABANCI SERMAYE YATIRIMLARI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yani, 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda 2 trilyon dolarla tarihi seviyesini yakalayan FDI\u2019\u0131n, bunu da a\u015farak, yeni bir rekor seviye olan 2.5 trilyon dolar\u0131 yakalamas\u0131 gerekiyordu. \u015eimdi ise 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k k\u00fcresel pandemi bu tablonun \u00fczerinde 1 trilyon dolar daha eklemi\u015f durumda. Rusya-Ukrayna gerginli\u011finin sebep oldu\u011fu ve birka\u00e7 sene daha sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 etkilerin giderilmesi ad\u0131na da, daha \u015fimdiden 700 milyar dolar daha konu\u015fuluyor. Yani, 2 Siyah Ku\u011fu, 2 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde, k\u00fcresel s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma hedeflerinin tutturulabilmesi i\u00e7in ihtiya\u00e7 duyulan FDI miktar\u0131n\u0131 2.5 trilyon dolardan 4.2 trilyon dolara y\u00fckseltmi\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin giri\u015fimlerinin ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc beklenti ile Rusya-Ukrayna gerginli\u011fi k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sonu\u00e7lansa da, 3 ile 5 y\u0131l aras\u0131 4 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015fan bir do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 hamlesi, b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel hamlelerin kapanmas\u0131 ad\u0131na elzem olacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KORUMACILIK R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ayr\u0131ca, aralar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7kin ekonomiler grubu, baz\u0131 ekonomilerin pani\u011fe kap\u0131larak \u2018korumac\u0131l\u0131k\u2019 e\u011filimini hortlatmalar\u0131 riskinin \u00f6nlenmesi, do\u011frudan yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda adil ve uluslararas\u0131 kurallara ba\u011fl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi; bilhassa Afrika\u2019da \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00fclkelerin sebep oldu\u011fu endi\u015fe ve zararlar\u0131 bertaraf edecek yeni yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n hayat bulmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmi\u015f durumda. Bu noktada, Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tecr\u00fcbelerinden yararlanmak ad\u0131na i\u015fbirli\u011fi noktas\u0131nda hayli pozitif olduklar\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. Hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz ki, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7erisinde pek \u00e7ok Avrupa, Ortado\u011fu ve K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkesi de T\u00fcrkiye ile i\u015fbirli\u011fi konusunu h\u0131zland\u0131racak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KEND\u0130 KEND\u0130NE YETERL\u0130L\u0130\u011e\u0130N \u00d6NEM\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130ki \u2018Siyah Ku\u011fu\u2019, k\u00fcresel pandemi ve Rusya-Ukrayna gerginli\u011fi, tar\u0131m ve g\u0131dadan demir-\u00e7elik ve nadir metallere, sa\u011fl\u0131ktan lojisti\u011fe, savunmadan enerjiye, finansal hizmetlerden siber g\u00fcvenli\u011fe, \u2018kendi kendine yetebilen \u00fclke\u2019 olman\u0131n vazge\u00e7ilmezli\u011fini de bir kez daha \u2018mutlak ger\u00e7eklik\u2019 boyutuyla g\u00f6stermi\u015f oldu. Art\u0131k, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 uydusuyla, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131yla, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 bu\u011fday\u0131yla, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 enerjisiyle, \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 \u00e7eli\u011fiyle \u2018ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 yaz\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ile yola \u00e7\u0131kman\u0131n, ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131laman\u0131n, ekonomiyi d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n riskleriyle t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya y\u00fcz y\u00fcze gelmi\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"surdurulebilir-kalkinmaya-42-trilyon-dolar-lazim","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nmaya 4.2 trilyon dolar laz\u0131m","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1135,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}