{"status":true,"post":{"id":23674,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:31:54","created_at":"2020-11-26T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:31:54.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":23674,"is_featured":0,"title":"Sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda g\u00fcven endekslerinin mesajlar\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun 24 Kas\u0131m 2020 tarihli b\u00fcltenine g\u00f6re, sekt\u00f6rel bazda g\u00fcven endeksleri \u015fu \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f: Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f g\u00fcven endeksi kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re; hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 2.8 azalarak 77.5, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 5.7 azalarak 79 olurken, perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 95 ile ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeyde kalm\u0131\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta endekslerin 100 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 olumsuz olarak yorumlanabilir. Ancak genel gidi\u015fe bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, pandemi ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 d\u00f6nemi olan May\u0131s 2020\u2019ye g\u00f6re k\u0131yaslanmayacak kadar iyi seviyelerde. Bu veriler, panik havas\u0131n\u0131n bitti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6steriyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Nisan 2020\u2019de hizmet ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 50 seviyelerine kadar, perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise 70\u2019li seviyelere kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Bilahare Temmuz 2020\u2019ye kadar d\u00fczenli bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steren endeksler, Temmuz 2020\u2019den sonra perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde yatay seyretmi\u015f, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine girmi\u015f, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise Ekim 2020\u2019ye kadar artmaya devam etse de Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019de bir miktar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetmi\u015f. \u00d6zellikle perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fc 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerine kolayl\u0131kla \u00e7\u0131kabilirken, Nisan 2020\u2019den bu yana 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamam\u0131\u015f. Genel olarak pozitif bir beklenti yerine, negatif beklentilerde azalma diye yorumlayabilece\u011fimiz genel bir tabloyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SATI\u015e F\u0130YATLARI BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Endeksteki bu geli\u015fmenin sebeplerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; son 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde i\u015f durumu, son 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hizmetlere olan talep ve gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hizmetlere olan talep beklentisinde Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019de hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler olmu\u015f. Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise de\u011fi\u015fim bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re s\u0131f\u0131r. Ancak in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00f6zellikle al\u0131nan kay\u0131tl\u0131 sipari\u015flerin mevcut d\u00fczeyinde <\/span><span class=\"large\">bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 10.3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. Buradan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ciro beklentisinin pek de olumlu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonucuna var\u0131yoruz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada ilgimizi \u00e7eken en \u00f6nemli nokta, gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 beklentisi t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerde 100 seviyesinin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde. Bu durum \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nem enflasyonun artaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini yans\u0131tan bir g\u00f6sterge olabilir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>DAHA D\u0130NAM\u0130K MAL\u0130YET KONTROL\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sekt\u00f6rel bazda bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 beklentisi perakende ve ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in 149, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in 122.1, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in ise 113.8 olarak belirlenmi\u015f. Gerek faizlerdeki \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, gerekse kurdaki yukar\u0131 hareket nedeniyle ithal girdi maliyetinin artmas\u0131 enflasyon konusunda beklentilerin yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekilmesine neden oluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gerek kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 gerekse sanayi \u00fcretim verileri h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00e7arklar\u0131n d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterse de fiyatlardaki y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi dikkatle analiz edilmeli ve bu beklentiyi k\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 politikalar \u00fcretilmeli. Pandemi bitti\u011fi takdirde talep enflasyonu ve \u00fcretimin talebi ge\u00e7ici bir s\u00fcre kar\u015f\u0131layamama riskleri bizleri bekliyor. Bak\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n tarihi zirvelerine t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 da bu konuda en g\u00fczel \u00f6rneklerden biri.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda hem daha dinamik maliyet kontrol\u00fc hem de daha aktif sat\u0131nalma politikas\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmek ve detayl\u0131 analiz yapmak \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"sektor-bazinda-guven-endekslerinin-mesajlari","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda g\u00fcven endekslerinin mesajlar\u0131","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1095,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":23773,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":23674,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda g\u00fcven endekslerinin mesajlar\u0131","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun 24 Kas\u0131m 2020 tarihli b\u00fcltenine g\u00f6re, sekt\u00f6rel bazda g\u00fcven endeksleri \u015fu \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f: Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f g\u00fcven endeksi kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re; hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 2.8 azalarak 77.5, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 5.7 azalarak 79 olurken, perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 95 ile ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeyde kalm\u0131\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta endekslerin 100 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 olumsuz olarak yorumlanabilir. Ancak genel gidi\u015fe bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, pandemi ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 d\u00f6nemi olan May\u0131s 2020\u2019ye g\u00f6re k\u0131yaslanmayacak kadar iyi seviyelerde. Bu veriler, panik havas\u0131n\u0131n bitti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6steriyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Nisan 2020\u2019de hizmet ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 50 seviyelerine kadar, perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise 70\u2019li seviyelere kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Bilahare Temmuz 2020\u2019ye kadar d\u00fczenli bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steren endeksler, Temmuz 2020\u2019den sonra perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde yatay seyretmi\u015f, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine girmi\u015f, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise Ekim 2020\u2019ye kadar artmaya devam etse de Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019de bir miktar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetmi\u015f. \u00d6zellikle perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fc 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerine kolayl\u0131kla \u00e7\u0131kabilirken, Nisan 2020\u2019den bu yana 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamam\u0131\u015f. Genel olarak pozitif bir beklenti yerine, negatif beklentilerde azalma diye yorumlayabilece\u011fimiz genel bir tabloyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SATI\u015e F\u0130YATLARI BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Endeksteki bu geli\u015fmenin sebeplerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; son 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde i\u015f durumu, son 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hizmetlere olan talep ve gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hizmetlere olan talep beklentisinde Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019de hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler olmu\u015f. Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise de\u011fi\u015fim bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re s\u0131f\u0131r. Ancak in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00f6zellikle al\u0131nan kay\u0131tl\u0131 sipari\u015flerin mevcut d\u00fczeyinde <\/span><span class=\"large\">bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 10.3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. Buradan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ciro beklentisinin pek de olumlu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonucuna var\u0131yoruz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada ilgimizi \u00e7eken en \u00f6nemli nokta, gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 beklentisi t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerde 100 seviyesinin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde. Bu durum \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nem enflasyonun artaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini yans\u0131tan bir g\u00f6sterge olabilir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>DAHA D\u0130NAM\u0130K MAL\u0130YET KONTROL\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sekt\u00f6rel bazda bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 beklentisi perakende ve ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in 149, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in 122.1, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in ise 113.8 olarak belirlenmi\u015f. Gerek faizlerdeki \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, gerekse kurdaki yukar\u0131 hareket nedeniyle ithal girdi maliyetinin artmas\u0131 enflasyon konusunda beklentilerin yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekilmesine neden oluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gerek kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 gerekse sanayi \u00fcretim verileri h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00e7arklar\u0131n d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterse de fiyatlardaki y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi dikkatle analiz edilmeli ve bu beklentiyi k\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 politikalar \u00fcretilmeli. Pandemi bitti\u011fi takdirde talep enflasyonu ve \u00fcretimin talebi ge\u00e7ici bir s\u00fcre kar\u015f\u0131layamama riskleri bizleri bekliyor. Bak\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n tarihi zirvelerine t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 da bu konuda en g\u00fczel \u00f6rneklerden biri.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda hem daha dinamik maliyet kontrol\u00fc hem de daha aktif sat\u0131nalma politikas\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmek ve detayl\u0131 analiz yapmak \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"sektor-bazinda-guven-endekslerinin-mesajlari","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda g\u00fcven endekslerinin mesajlar\u0131","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1095,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}