{"status":true,"post":{"id":83628,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":0,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2026-02-06 09:28:00","created_at":"2026-02-06T06:28:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2026-02-06T06:28:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2026-02-06 09:28:00","source_id":null,"post_id":83628,"is_featured":0,"title":"Rekor d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 ve ikinci \u00c7in \u015foku","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":"Rekor d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 ve ikinci \u00c7in \u015foku","sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"<p id=\"isPasted\"><strong>ABD ile ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ve g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n \u00c7in, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda 1 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015fan bir mal ticareti fazlas\u0131 verdi. Bu fazlan\u0131n toplam tutar\u0131 kadar \u00fclkeler ve mal t\u00fcrleri baz\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi de d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli i\u015faretler veriyor.<\/strong><\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>T\u0130CARET FAZLASININ YAPISI\u00a0<br><\/strong><\/p><p>\u00dclkenin mal ticareti fazlas\u0131 2024\u2019te 990 milyar dolar olmu\u015ftu; 2025\u2019te 1 trilyon 190 milyar dolar oldu. Y\u00fczde 20 gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f\u2026 Bu, dolar \u00fczerinden bak\u0131nca ithalat hi\u00e7 artmazken, ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 5.5 artmas\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Bu d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131ndan aslan pay\u0131n\u0131 ABD, AB, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri Birli\u011fi s\u0131ras\u0131yla 290, 280, 275 milyar dolarla al\u0131yor. Bu rakamlar \u00f6zellikle ABD ve AB\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 verilen fazlay\u0131 eksik yans\u0131t\u0131yor. \u0130statistikler Hong Kong\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 300 milyar dolarl\u0131k fazla g\u00f6steriyor; bunun tamam\u0131na yak\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019in bu b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinden bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ihracatla ilgili. G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri Birli\u011fi\u2019ne yap\u0131lan ihracat\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc de buralarda kurulan \u00fcretim tesislerine sa\u011flanan girdileri ve nihai olarak bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerine ula\u015fan ihracat\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Afrika \u00fclkeleri ve Hindistan da 100 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan rakamlarla \u00c7in\u2019in ticaret fazlas\u0131ndan iri pay alanlar aras\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Ancak her \u00fclke \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k vermiyor. \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck fazlay\u0131 150 milyar dolara yak\u0131n bir rakamla Tayvan veriyor. Bu, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde entegre devre \u00e7ip ticaretini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. \u00c7in, G\u00fcney Kore ve Japonya kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda da entegre devre \u00e7ip ticaretine dayanan daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck a\u00e7\u0131klar veriyor. Avustralya, Brezilya, Rusya, G\u00fcney Afrika gibi \u00fclkeler de \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 petrol ve hammadde ticaretine ba\u011fl\u0131 ticaret fazlalar\u0131 veriyor.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>\u0130HRACATTA DURUM\u00a0<br><\/strong><\/p><p>Ticaret fazlas\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131\u015f\u0131n arkas\u0131ndaki ihracat geli\u015fmelerine bakarsak, istatistiklerde \u00c7in\u2019in ABD\u2019ye ihracat\u0131nda y\u00fczde 20 gibi \u00f6nemli bir azal\u0131\u015f olurken hemen di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelere ihracatta art\u0131\u015flar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: AB y\u00fczde 8, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri Birli\u011fi y\u00fczde 13, Avustralya y\u00fczde 13, Hindistan y\u00fczde 8, Latin Amerika y\u00fczde 7, Afrika y\u00fczde 25\u2026 Belirtti\u011fimiz gibi Hong Kong ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri \u00fczerinden dola\u015fan ihracat nedeniyle ABD\u2019ye ihracattaki azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n ger\u00e7ekte daha az, AB\u2019ye ihracattaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n da daha fazla oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>\u00c7\u0130N \u015eOKU\u00a0<br><\/strong><\/p><p>Ekonomist David Autor ve arkada\u015flar\u0131, 10 y\u0131l kadar \u00f6nce yapt\u0131klar\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalarda \u00c7in\u2019in ABD sanayisi ve bu sekt\u00f6rdeki istihdam \u00fczerindeki etkisini \u00c7in \u015foku olarak nitelemi\u015ftiler. Ayn\u0131 ekip, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ABD y\u00f6netimlerini bir ikinci \u00c7in \u015foku ile ilgili uyar\u0131yordu. Buna g\u00f6re ilk \u00c7in \u015foku, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc ucuzlu\u011funa dayal\u0131, \u00c7in geli\u015ftik\u00e7e i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetlerinin art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ortadan kalkacak ge\u00e7ici bir etkiydi. Ancak \u015fimdi \u00c7in bir\u00e7ok sekt\u00f6rde teknolojik olarak \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck sa\u011fl\u0131yordu; bu, kal\u0131c\u0131 ve \u00e7ok daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015foka yol a\u00e7acakt\u0131. Veriler bunu destekliyor, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda oyuncak, ayakkab\u0131, mobilya, ev e\u015fyas\u0131 gibi kalemlerde ihracat azal\u0131rken y\u00fcksek teknoloji \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015flar var: Entegre devre \u00e7ipler y\u00fczde 27, otomobiller y\u00fczde 21, gemiler y\u00fczde 27\u2026<\/p>","slug":"rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku","tags":null,"meta_title":"Rekor d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 ve ikinci \u00c7in \u015foku","meta_description":"ABD ile ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ve g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n \u00c7in, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda 1 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015fan bir mal ticareti fazlas\u0131 verdi. Bu fazlan\u0131n toplam tutar\u0131 kadar \u00fclkeler ve mal t\u00fcrleri baz\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi de d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli i\u015faretler veriyor.","meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1770325200CvQeLq2Tl38U047.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":0,"cropped_1200x675":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/1200x675\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_1200x675_hSxHRr7etu.webp","user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":83760,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":83628,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Rekor d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 ve ikinci \u00c7in \u015foku","home_title":"Rekor d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 ve ikinci \u00c7in \u015foku","sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"<p id=\"isPasted\"><strong>ABD ile ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ve g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n \u00c7in, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda 1 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015fan bir mal ticareti fazlas\u0131 verdi. Bu fazlan\u0131n toplam tutar\u0131 kadar \u00fclkeler ve mal t\u00fcrleri baz\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi de d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli i\u015faretler veriyor.<\/strong><\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>T\u0130CARET FAZLASININ YAPISI\u00a0<br><\/strong><\/p><p>\u00dclkenin mal ticareti fazlas\u0131 2024\u2019te 990 milyar dolar olmu\u015ftu; 2025\u2019te 1 trilyon 190 milyar dolar oldu. Y\u00fczde 20 gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f\u2026 Bu, dolar \u00fczerinden bak\u0131nca ithalat hi\u00e7 artmazken, ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 5.5 artmas\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Bu d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131ndan aslan pay\u0131n\u0131 ABD, AB, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri Birli\u011fi s\u0131ras\u0131yla 290, 280, 275 milyar dolarla al\u0131yor. Bu rakamlar \u00f6zellikle ABD ve AB\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 verilen fazlay\u0131 eksik yans\u0131t\u0131yor. \u0130statistikler Hong Kong\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 300 milyar dolarl\u0131k fazla g\u00f6steriyor; bunun tamam\u0131na yak\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019in bu b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinden bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ihracatla ilgili. G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri Birli\u011fi\u2019ne yap\u0131lan ihracat\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc de buralarda kurulan \u00fcretim tesislerine sa\u011flanan girdileri ve nihai olarak bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerine ula\u015fan ihracat\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Afrika \u00fclkeleri ve Hindistan da 100 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan rakamlarla \u00c7in\u2019in ticaret fazlas\u0131ndan iri pay alanlar aras\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Ancak her \u00fclke \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k vermiyor. \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck fazlay\u0131 150 milyar dolara yak\u0131n bir rakamla Tayvan veriyor. Bu, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde entegre devre \u00e7ip ticaretini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. \u00c7in, G\u00fcney Kore ve Japonya kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda da entegre devre \u00e7ip ticaretine dayanan daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck a\u00e7\u0131klar veriyor. Avustralya, Brezilya, Rusya, G\u00fcney Afrika gibi \u00fclkeler de \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 petrol ve hammadde ticaretine ba\u011fl\u0131 ticaret fazlalar\u0131 veriyor.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>\u0130HRACATTA DURUM\u00a0<br><\/strong><\/p><p>Ticaret fazlas\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131\u015f\u0131n arkas\u0131ndaki ihracat geli\u015fmelerine bakarsak, istatistiklerde \u00c7in\u2019in ABD\u2019ye ihracat\u0131nda y\u00fczde 20 gibi \u00f6nemli bir azal\u0131\u015f olurken hemen di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelere ihracatta art\u0131\u015flar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: AB y\u00fczde 8, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri Birli\u011fi y\u00fczde 13, Avustralya y\u00fczde 13, Hindistan y\u00fczde 8, Latin Amerika y\u00fczde 7, Afrika y\u00fczde 25\u2026 Belirtti\u011fimiz gibi Hong Kong ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri \u00fczerinden dola\u015fan ihracat nedeniyle ABD\u2019ye ihracattaki azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n ger\u00e7ekte daha az, AB\u2019ye ihracattaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n da daha fazla oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>\u00c7\u0130N \u015eOKU\u00a0<br><\/strong><\/p><p>Ekonomist David Autor ve arkada\u015flar\u0131, 10 y\u0131l kadar \u00f6nce yapt\u0131klar\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalarda \u00c7in\u2019in ABD sanayisi ve bu sekt\u00f6rdeki istihdam \u00fczerindeki etkisini \u00c7in \u015foku olarak nitelemi\u015ftiler. Ayn\u0131 ekip, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ABD y\u00f6netimlerini bir ikinci \u00c7in \u015foku ile ilgili uyar\u0131yordu. Buna g\u00f6re ilk \u00c7in \u015foku, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc ucuzlu\u011funa dayal\u0131, \u00c7in geli\u015ftik\u00e7e i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetlerinin art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ortadan kalkacak ge\u00e7ici bir etkiydi. Ancak \u015fimdi \u00c7in bir\u00e7ok sekt\u00f6rde teknolojik olarak \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck sa\u011fl\u0131yordu; bu, kal\u0131c\u0131 ve \u00e7ok daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015foka yol a\u00e7acakt\u0131. Veriler bunu destekliyor, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda oyuncak, ayakkab\u0131, mobilya, ev e\u015fyas\u0131 gibi kalemlerde ihracat azal\u0131rken y\u00fcksek teknoloji \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015flar var: Entegre devre \u00e7ipler y\u00fczde 27, otomobiller y\u00fczde 21, gemiler y\u00fczde 27\u2026<\/p>","slug":"rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1770325200CvQeLq2Tl38U047.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1770325200CvQeLq2Tl38U047.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/638x552\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_638x552_5Xc7pZ3sPB.webp","cropped_310x208":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/310x208\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_310x208_4iGe9OOjBv.webp","cropped_416x247":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/416x247\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_416x247_3n7HLYu3Qj.webp","cropped_197x247":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/197x247\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_197x247_tU4rhxOngJ.webp","cropped_416x600":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/416x600\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_416x600_DWO55jjIL4.webp","cropped_1200x675":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/1200x675\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_1200x675_hSxHRr7etu.webp","tags":null,"meta_title":"Rekor d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 ve ikinci \u00c7in \u015foku","meta_description":"ABD ile ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ve g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n \u00c7in, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda 1 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015fan bir mal ticareti fazlas\u0131 verdi. Bu fazlan\u0131n toplam tutar\u0131 kadar \u00fclkeler ve mal t\u00fcrleri baz\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi de d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli i\u015faretler veriyor.","meta_keywords":null,"view_count":0,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/358x214\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_358x214_pDnkMqO48s.webp","cropped_842x474":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/842x474\/rekor-dis-ticaret-fazlasi-ve-ikinci-cin-soku_842x474_mZXDJzq98x.webp"}]}}