{"status":true,"post":{"id":12633,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:18:18","created_at":"2015-09-13T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:18:18.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":12633,"is_featured":0,"title":"Reel sekt\u00f6rde \u00fcretim verilerinin verdi\u011fi mesajlar","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun 8 Eyl\u00fcl 2015 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re mevsim ve takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretimi bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.5 azald\u0131. Sanayinin alt sekt\u00f6rleri (2010=100 temel y\u0131ll\u0131) incelendi\u011finde, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 Temmuz ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi y\u00fczde 2.4 azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Buradan bize gelen mesaj; reel sekt\u00f6r \u00fcretiminde temmuz ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2.4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f verisi piyasada canl\u0131l\u0131k konusunda olumsuz bir beklenti yaratabilir. Firmalar gerek i\u00e7 piyasada gerekse global bazda meydana gelen durgunluktan etkilenmi\u015f olabilirler. Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yeterince canl\u0131 olmamas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak da \u00fcretimde bir miktar frene basmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f olabilirler diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretimine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.3 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Sanayinin alt sekt\u00f6rleri (2010=100 temel y\u0131ll\u0131) incelendi\u011finde, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 Temmuz ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi ise y\u00fczde 0.2 artm\u0131\u015f durumda. K\u0131sacas\u0131 1 y\u0131ld\u0131r endekste hemen hemen bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yukar\u0131daki grafikte de g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere Ocak 2015 ay\u0131nda endeks 2014 Ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f, \u015eubat ve en son veri olan Temmuz 2015 verisi de ge\u00e7en sene ayn\u0131 ay verisiyle neredeyse ayn\u0131. Di\u011fer aylarda ise takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretim verileri 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 ayn\u0131 aylar\u0131na g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f idi. Grafikte de bariz olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere ge\u00e7en sene haziran ay\u0131na g\u00f6re temmuz ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretim endeksi artarken bu sene tam tersine d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu hareketin en \u00f6nemli nedeni siyasi belirsizlik ve k\u0131smen bununla k\u0131smen ise global piyasalarla ili\u015fkili kur ve faizlerde meydana gelen y\u00fckseli\u015flerdir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumun devam etmesi piyasalarda gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik ciro art\u0131\u015f\u0131na dayal\u0131 bir gider b\u00fct\u00e7esi, nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 planlayan firmalarda \u00f6nemli \u00f6deme s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 yaratabilir. Bu nedenle, \u00f6zellikle se\u00e7imlere kadar piyasalarda \u00f6nemli bir canl\u0131l\u0131k beklemedi\u011fimizden, \u00f6deme plan\u0131n\u0131 yaparken olumsuz senaryoya yani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck cirolara g\u00f6re hesap yapmak gelecekte alt\u0131ndan kalk\u0131lamayacak geli\u015fmelere kar\u015f\u0131 tedbirli olmam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Belirsizli\u011fin h\u00fck\u00fcm s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ortamda kredi bor\u00e7lar\u0131 verilen vadeli \u00e7ekler gibi belirli vadede bor\u00e7lar her zaman risk yarat\u0131r. Cari bor\u00e7lar ise tedarik\u00e7i ho\u015fg\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak bir miktar vade esnemesi yapabildi\u011finden nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki bozulmalarda hareket kabiliyetini art\u0131rabilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"reel-sektorde-uretim-verilerinin-verdigi-mesajlar","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Reel sekt\u00f6rde \u00fcretim verilerinin verdi\u011fi mesajlar","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1072,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":12732,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":12633,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Reel sekt\u00f6rde \u00fcretim verilerinin verdi\u011fi mesajlar","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun 8 Eyl\u00fcl 2015 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re mevsim ve takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretimi bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.5 azald\u0131. Sanayinin alt sekt\u00f6rleri (2010=100 temel y\u0131ll\u0131) incelendi\u011finde, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 Temmuz ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi y\u00fczde 2.4 azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Buradan bize gelen mesaj; reel sekt\u00f6r \u00fcretiminde temmuz ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2.4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f verisi piyasada canl\u0131l\u0131k konusunda olumsuz bir beklenti yaratabilir. Firmalar gerek i\u00e7 piyasada gerekse global bazda meydana gelen durgunluktan etkilenmi\u015f olabilirler. Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yeterince canl\u0131 olmamas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak da \u00fcretimde bir miktar frene basmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f olabilirler diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretimine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.3 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Sanayinin alt sekt\u00f6rleri (2010=100 temel y\u0131ll\u0131) incelendi\u011finde, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 Temmuz ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi ise y\u00fczde 0.2 artm\u0131\u015f durumda. K\u0131sacas\u0131 1 y\u0131ld\u0131r endekste hemen hemen bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yukar\u0131daki grafikte de g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere Ocak 2015 ay\u0131nda endeks 2014 Ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f, \u015eubat ve en son veri olan Temmuz 2015 verisi de ge\u00e7en sene ayn\u0131 ay verisiyle neredeyse ayn\u0131. Di\u011fer aylarda ise takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretim verileri 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 ayn\u0131 aylar\u0131na g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f idi. Grafikte de bariz olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere ge\u00e7en sene haziran ay\u0131na g\u00f6re temmuz ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretim endeksi artarken bu sene tam tersine d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu hareketin en \u00f6nemli nedeni siyasi belirsizlik ve k\u0131smen bununla k\u0131smen ise global piyasalarla ili\u015fkili kur ve faizlerde meydana gelen y\u00fckseli\u015flerdir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumun devam etmesi piyasalarda gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik ciro art\u0131\u015f\u0131na dayal\u0131 bir gider b\u00fct\u00e7esi, nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 planlayan firmalarda \u00f6nemli \u00f6deme s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 yaratabilir. Bu nedenle, \u00f6zellikle se\u00e7imlere kadar piyasalarda \u00f6nemli bir canl\u0131l\u0131k beklemedi\u011fimizden, \u00f6deme plan\u0131n\u0131 yaparken olumsuz senaryoya yani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck cirolara g\u00f6re hesap yapmak gelecekte alt\u0131ndan kalk\u0131lamayacak geli\u015fmelere kar\u015f\u0131 tedbirli olmam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Belirsizli\u011fin h\u00fck\u00fcm s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ortamda kredi bor\u00e7lar\u0131 verilen vadeli \u00e7ekler gibi belirli vadede bor\u00e7lar her zaman risk yarat\u0131r. Cari bor\u00e7lar ise tedarik\u00e7i ho\u015fg\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak bir miktar vade esnemesi yapabildi\u011finden nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki bozulmalarda hareket kabiliyetini art\u0131rabilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"reel-sektorde-uretim-verilerinin-verdigi-mesajlar","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Reel sekt\u00f6rde \u00fcretim verilerinin verdi\u011fi mesajlar","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1072,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}