{"status":true,"post":{"id":18485,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:13:55","created_at":"2018-05-22T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:13:55.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":18485,"is_featured":0,"title":"Pekin-Londra hatt\u0131 \u0130stanbul\u2019dan ge\u00e7iyor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda, d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun y\u00fczde 44\u2019\u00fc Asya\u2019da, y\u00fczde 39\u2019u ise Afrika\u2019da ya\u015f\u0131yor olacak. <\/span>
11.3 milyar insan\u0131n y\u00fczde 83\u2019\u00fc bu iki k\u0131tada ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusundaki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 6\u2019ya kadar gerilemi\u015f olacak. 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda 150 trilyon dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 beklenen d\u00fcnya milli gelirinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 63 trilyon dolarl\u0131k b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fclkeler ve k\u0131talar aras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ticarete konu olacak. Bu ticaretin 40 trilyon dolar\u0131 \u2018Afro-Asya\u2019 hinterland\u0131nda, 9.3 milyar insan\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 iki k\u0131ta aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor olacak. Bu nedenle 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda ortalama sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc sadece 600 dolar olup, 2030\u2019da 2 bin dolara, 2060\u2019da 6 bin dolara y\u00fckselecek olan Afrika k\u0131tas\u0131, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde iddias\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmek istemeyen t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin var olmak istedikleri \u2018y\u00fckselen k\u0131ta\u2019 olarak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Londra\u2019da, Chatham House\u2019da belirtti\u011fi \u00fczere kapsay\u0131c\u0131 refah ve bar\u0131\u015f ad\u0131na T\u00fcrkiye, Balkanlar\u2019dan Orta Asya\u2019ya, Kafkasya\u2019dan Afrika\u2019ya giri\u015fimci ve vicdani bir d\u0131\u015f politika izliyor.<\/span><\/p>

D\u0130PLOMAT\u0130K M\u0130SYONDA 5. SIRADA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

B\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte, diplomatik misyon say\u0131s\u0131yla d\u00fcnyada 5. s\u0131rada yer alan T\u00fcrkiye, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n tan\u0131m\u0131yla herkes i\u00e7in bar\u0131\u015f, herkes i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenlik, herkes i\u00e7in refah ilkelerine dayal\u0131, \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fine \u00f6nem atfeden bir b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel vizyonla hareket ediyor. Hem b\u00f6lgesinde hem de d\u00fcnyada dostluklar\u0131n\u0131 kazan-kazan anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 etraf\u0131nda kurmaya veya y\u00fckseltmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kapsaml\u0131 ve ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir vizyonu ortaya koyan ve hakk\u0131n\u0131 veren T\u00fcrkiye ile Japonya\u2019dan \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye, hem Avrupa hem de Asya i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fin co\u011frafyalar\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde olmalar\u0131ndan daha do\u011fal bir geli\u015fme beklememek gerekir. Orta Asya\u2019dan Afrika\u2019ya, y\u00fckselen co\u011frafyalarda, T\u00fcrk i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n hem do\u011fu hem de bat\u0131daki muhataplar\u0131yla olu\u015fturacaklar\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi f\u0131rsatlar\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2030\u2019da 1.7 ile 2 trilyon dolar aras\u0131nda bir milli gelire ula\u015fmas\u0131na da en etkili imkan\u0131 sunacak.<\/span><\/p>

VAZGE\u00c7\u0130LMEZ STRATEJ\u0130K ORTAK <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u015eangay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn Enerji Kul\u00fcb\u00fc d\u00f6nem ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcstlenmi\u015f olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Londra ziyaretinde, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin de \u2018vazge\u00e7ilmez stratejik ortak\u2019 duru\u015funu g\u00f6stermi\u015f olmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonomi-politi\u011fin yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00fcnyada, \u2018Pekin-Londra Hatt\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u0130stanbul\u2019dan ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130stanbul, Avrasya\u2019n\u0131n en kritik \u00f6nemdeki finans, ticaret ve hizmet merkezi olma \u00f6zelli\u011fini daha da per\u00e7inleyecek ad\u0131mlarla fintech, e-ticaret, e-ihracat a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131 ve dijital platformlar\u0131yla k\u00fcresel ula\u015f\u0131m, lojistik kav\u015fak noktas\u0131 \u00f6zelli\u011fini, k\u00fcresel ticaret kav\u015fak noktas\u0131 avantajlar\u0131yla da tahkim etmeli.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130LK \u00c7EYREKTE Y\u00dcZDE 8.5 B\u00dcY\u00dcME<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mart ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verisi, 2018\u2019in ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda T\u00fcrk sanayisinin, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 9.93\u2019l\u00fck bir \u00fcretim performans\u0131 yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Sanayinin enerji, imalat ve madencilik alt sekt\u00f6rlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n mart ay\u0131na g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek bir \u00fcretim endeksine sahip. <\/span>
Bu da, i\u00e7 piyasa ve ihracat ba\u011flant\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc rahats\u0131z edecek bir talep dalgalanmas\u0131, talep s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Reel sekt\u00f6rde temel sorun, s\u00fcrekli dalgalanan, manip\u00fcle edilen d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 nedeniyle mikro i\u015fletmeden KOB\u0130\u2019ye, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli \u00fcreticilere kadar herkesin elindeki nakdi kendisinde tutmay\u0131 tercih edip, \u00f6demelerini geciktirmesi. Bu nedenle piyasada en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan konu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 nakit s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131. Piyasada TL\u2019nin rahat\u00e7a d\u00f6nememesinin bir nedeni de, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz TCMB\u2019nin enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda TL likiditesini olabildi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde s\u0131k\u0131 tutmas\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 4 ay\u0131nda imalat sanayi kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 78.2 ile ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131la, nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 77.3\u2019e gerileyerek devam ediyor. Ara mal\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m mal\u0131, t\u00fcketim ve dayan\u0131ks\u0131z t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 \u00fcreten imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6rlerindeki kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 4 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re iyi bir performans g\u00f6sterirken, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir performans kayb\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. <\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcm bu veriler, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 3 ay\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 8.4-8.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. En k\u00f6t\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 6.7, en iyi y\u00fczde 10.1 g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. \u2018A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u0131s\u0131nma\u2019 iddialar\u0131na inat, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6z doldurmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"pekin-londra-hatti-istanbuldan-geciyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Pekin-Londra hatt\u0131 \u0130stanbul\u2019dan ge\u00e7iyor","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":135,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":18584,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":18485,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Pekin-Londra hatt\u0131 \u0130stanbul\u2019dan ge\u00e7iyor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda, d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun y\u00fczde 44\u2019\u00fc Asya\u2019da, y\u00fczde 39\u2019u ise Afrika\u2019da ya\u015f\u0131yor olacak. <\/span>
11.3 milyar insan\u0131n y\u00fczde 83\u2019\u00fc bu iki k\u0131tada ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusundaki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 6\u2019ya kadar gerilemi\u015f olacak. 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda 150 trilyon dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 beklenen d\u00fcnya milli gelirinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 63 trilyon dolarl\u0131k b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fclkeler ve k\u0131talar aras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ticarete konu olacak. Bu ticaretin 40 trilyon dolar\u0131 \u2018Afro-Asya\u2019 hinterland\u0131nda, 9.3 milyar insan\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 iki k\u0131ta aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor olacak. Bu nedenle 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda ortalama sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc sadece 600 dolar olup, 2030\u2019da 2 bin dolara, 2060\u2019da 6 bin dolara y\u00fckselecek olan Afrika k\u0131tas\u0131, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde iddias\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmek istemeyen t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin var olmak istedikleri \u2018y\u00fckselen k\u0131ta\u2019 olarak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Londra\u2019da, Chatham House\u2019da belirtti\u011fi \u00fczere kapsay\u0131c\u0131 refah ve bar\u0131\u015f ad\u0131na T\u00fcrkiye, Balkanlar\u2019dan Orta Asya\u2019ya, Kafkasya\u2019dan Afrika\u2019ya giri\u015fimci ve vicdani bir d\u0131\u015f politika izliyor.<\/span><\/p>

D\u0130PLOMAT\u0130K M\u0130SYONDA 5. SIRADA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

B\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte, diplomatik misyon say\u0131s\u0131yla d\u00fcnyada 5. s\u0131rada yer alan T\u00fcrkiye, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n tan\u0131m\u0131yla herkes i\u00e7in bar\u0131\u015f, herkes i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenlik, herkes i\u00e7in refah ilkelerine dayal\u0131, \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fine \u00f6nem atfeden bir b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel vizyonla hareket ediyor. Hem b\u00f6lgesinde hem de d\u00fcnyada dostluklar\u0131n\u0131 kazan-kazan anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 etraf\u0131nda kurmaya veya y\u00fckseltmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kapsaml\u0131 ve ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir vizyonu ortaya koyan ve hakk\u0131n\u0131 veren T\u00fcrkiye ile Japonya\u2019dan \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye, hem Avrupa hem de Asya i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fin co\u011frafyalar\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde olmalar\u0131ndan daha do\u011fal bir geli\u015fme beklememek gerekir. Orta Asya\u2019dan Afrika\u2019ya, y\u00fckselen co\u011frafyalarda, T\u00fcrk i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n hem do\u011fu hem de bat\u0131daki muhataplar\u0131yla olu\u015fturacaklar\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi f\u0131rsatlar\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2030\u2019da 1.7 ile 2 trilyon dolar aras\u0131nda bir milli gelire ula\u015fmas\u0131na da en etkili imkan\u0131 sunacak.<\/span><\/p>

VAZGE\u00c7\u0130LMEZ STRATEJ\u0130K ORTAK <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u015eangay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn Enerji Kul\u00fcb\u00fc d\u00f6nem ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcstlenmi\u015f olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Londra ziyaretinde, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin de \u2018vazge\u00e7ilmez stratejik ortak\u2019 duru\u015funu g\u00f6stermi\u015f olmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonomi-politi\u011fin yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00fcnyada, \u2018Pekin-Londra Hatt\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u0130stanbul\u2019dan ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130stanbul, Avrasya\u2019n\u0131n en kritik \u00f6nemdeki finans, ticaret ve hizmet merkezi olma \u00f6zelli\u011fini daha da per\u00e7inleyecek ad\u0131mlarla fintech, e-ticaret, e-ihracat a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131 ve dijital platformlar\u0131yla k\u00fcresel ula\u015f\u0131m, lojistik kav\u015fak noktas\u0131 \u00f6zelli\u011fini, k\u00fcresel ticaret kav\u015fak noktas\u0131 avantajlar\u0131yla da tahkim etmeli.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130LK \u00c7EYREKTE Y\u00dcZDE 8.5 B\u00dcY\u00dcME<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mart ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verisi, 2018\u2019in ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda T\u00fcrk sanayisinin, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 9.93\u2019l\u00fck bir \u00fcretim performans\u0131 yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Sanayinin enerji, imalat ve madencilik alt sekt\u00f6rlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n mart ay\u0131na g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek bir \u00fcretim endeksine sahip. <\/span>
Bu da, i\u00e7 piyasa ve ihracat ba\u011flant\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc rahats\u0131z edecek bir talep dalgalanmas\u0131, talep s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Reel sekt\u00f6rde temel sorun, s\u00fcrekli dalgalanan, manip\u00fcle edilen d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 nedeniyle mikro i\u015fletmeden KOB\u0130\u2019ye, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli \u00fcreticilere kadar herkesin elindeki nakdi kendisinde tutmay\u0131 tercih edip, \u00f6demelerini geciktirmesi. Bu nedenle piyasada en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan konu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 nakit s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131. Piyasada TL\u2019nin rahat\u00e7a d\u00f6nememesinin bir nedeni de, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz TCMB\u2019nin enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda TL likiditesini olabildi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde s\u0131k\u0131 tutmas\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 4 ay\u0131nda imalat sanayi kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 78.2 ile ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131la, nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 77.3\u2019e gerileyerek devam ediyor. Ara mal\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m mal\u0131, t\u00fcketim ve dayan\u0131ks\u0131z t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 \u00fcreten imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6rlerindeki kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 4 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re iyi bir performans g\u00f6sterirken, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir performans kayb\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. <\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcm bu veriler, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 3 ay\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 8.4-8.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. En k\u00f6t\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 6.7, en iyi y\u00fczde 10.1 g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. \u2018A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u0131s\u0131nma\u2019 iddialar\u0131na inat, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6z doldurmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"pekin-londra-hatti-istanbuldan-geciyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Pekin-Londra hatt\u0131 \u0130stanbul\u2019dan ge\u00e7iyor","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":135,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}