{"status":true,"post":{"id":17310,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:18:31","created_at":"2017-10-16T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:18:31.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":17310,"is_featured":0,"title":"Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n ihracat hedefleri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

2017 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinde s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici, \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ihracat oluyor. Y\u0131l genelinde net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 1.3 puan olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. B\u00f6ylece 2017 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00fcretime ve ihracat dayal\u0131 sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olacak. T\u00fcrkiye, ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmadan ihracat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131k\u00e7a daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sergiliyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede Yeni Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n ihracat hedeflerini de\u011ferlendirelim:<\/span><\/p>

1 - ORTA VADEL\u0130 PROGRAM\u2019IN \u0130HRACAT HEDEFLER\u0130 OLDUK\u00c7A TEMK\u0130NL\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Yeni a\u00e7\u0131klanan Orta Vadeli Program, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7in ihracatta temkinli hedefler olu\u015fturuyor. Yeni programda ihracat\u0131n 2017\u2019de y\u00fczde 9.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek 156.5 milyar dolar olaca\u011f\u0131, 2018\u2019de y\u00fczde 8 artarak 169 milyar dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Daha sonraki iki y\u0131l ise ihracat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 y\u00fczde 7.7 ve y\u00fczde 7.1 olarak bekleniyor. T\u00fcrkiye daha y\u00fcksek ihracat hedefleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilecek ko\u015fullara sahip bulunuyor. <\/span><\/p>

2 - D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130 VE T\u0130CARET\u0130NDE B\u00dcY\u00dcME HIZLANIRKEN T\u00dcRK\u0130YE \u0130HRACATINI DAHA HIZLI ARTIRAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

D\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve ticaretindeki toparlanma da ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 destekleyecek. Nitekim d\u00fcnya mal ticareti de de iki y\u0131l \u00fcst \u00fcste ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2017\u2019de y\u00fczde 7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130lave olarak D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc, eyl\u00fclde a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnya mal ticareti b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerinde 2018\u2019e ili\u015fkin beklentilerini y\u00fckseltti. Muhtemelen 2018 d\u00fcnya mal ticareti, y\u00fczde 9-10 aras\u0131nda geni\u015fleyecek. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de bundan en az 1-2 puan daha y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterebilecek. <\/span><\/p>

3 - \u0130HRACATTA TEMK\u0130NL\u0130 YAKLA\u015eIMIN NEDEN\u0130 DI\u015e POL\u0130T\u0130K VE JEOPOL\u0130T\u0130K R\u0130SKLER OLAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130hracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n nedeni, muhtemel d\u0131\u015f politik ve jeopolitik riskler olabilecek. T\u00fcrkiye en b\u00fcy\u00fck pazar\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile ili\u015fkileri yeniden tarif etme s\u00fcrecine giriyor. \u00d6te yandan yak\u0131n ve kom\u015fu \u00fclkeler ile ticarette s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda temkinli iyimser hedefler belirlendi.<\/span><\/p>

4 - NET \u0130HRACATIN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI YEN\u0130DEN AZALACAK <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Net ihracat uzun s\u00fcreden sonra ilk kez b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 1.3 puan ile 2017\u2019de \u00f6nemli bir katk\u0131 veriyor. Ancak ihracat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 nedeniyle net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 2018\u2019de 0.8 puana, izleyen iki y\u0131l ise 0.7 puana d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye finansal istikrar\u0131 koruyarak y\u00fczde 5.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflerine ula\u015fmak istiyorsa net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 mutlaka daha y\u00fcksek olmal\u0131. Aksi takdirde h\u0131zlanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi finansal istikrar\u0131 tehdit edecek. <\/span><\/p>

5 - ORTA VADEL\u0130 PROGRAM\u2019IN D\u00d6V\u0130Z KURU BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130 \u0130HRACATI SINIRLAR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n haz\u0131rlan\u0131lmas\u0131 a\u015famas\u0131nda kullan\u0131lan y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama dolar kurlar\u0131 ise 2018 i\u00e7in 3.81, 2019 i\u00e7in 3.96 ve 2020 i\u00e7in 4.02 T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131. Kullan\u0131lan d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131, bir hedef veya taahh\u00fct olmamakla birlikte ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin beklentilerini yans\u0131tmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen birikimli y\u00fczde 19 enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 kurlardaki art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 11.7\u2019de kal\u0131yor ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda y\u00fczde 6.5 de\u011ferlenmi\u015f olacak. \u0130hracat da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki bu de\u011ferlenmeden olumsuz etkilenecek. \u0130hracattaki temkinli art\u0131\u015f hedeflerinin bir nedeni de T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011ferlenme beklentisi olabilecek. <\/span><\/p>

6 - \u0130HRACATA YEN\u0130 DESTEKLER GEL\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130hracat\u0131n desteklenmesine y\u00f6nelik de programda yeni unsurlara yer veriliyor. Bunlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kuru riski sigortas\u0131 geliyor. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n kur riskini azaltmak amac\u0131yla \u0130hracatta D\u00f6viz Kuru Riski Sigorta Sistemi kurulacak ve kullan\u0131m\u0131 yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lacak. Ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 ile ticaretin toplam ticaret i\u00e7erisindeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseltilmesi te\u015fvik edilecek. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n kur riskinin en aza indirilmesi, ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 en \u00e7ok destekleyecek te\u015fvik olacak.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> D\u0131\u015f politik ve jeopolitik riskler azalt\u0131l\u0131r ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferlenmesine izin verilmezse ihracat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilecek.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"orta-vadeli-programin-ihracat-hedefleri","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n ihracat hedefleri","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":187,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":17409,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":17310,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n ihracat hedefleri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

2017 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinde s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici, \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ihracat oluyor. Y\u0131l genelinde net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 1.3 puan olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. B\u00f6ylece 2017 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00fcretime ve ihracat dayal\u0131 sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olacak. T\u00fcrkiye, ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmadan ihracat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131k\u00e7a daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sergiliyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede Yeni Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n ihracat hedeflerini de\u011ferlendirelim:<\/span><\/p>

1 - ORTA VADEL\u0130 PROGRAM\u2019IN \u0130HRACAT HEDEFLER\u0130 OLDUK\u00c7A TEMK\u0130NL\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Yeni a\u00e7\u0131klanan Orta Vadeli Program, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7in ihracatta temkinli hedefler olu\u015fturuyor. Yeni programda ihracat\u0131n 2017\u2019de y\u00fczde 9.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek 156.5 milyar dolar olaca\u011f\u0131, 2018\u2019de y\u00fczde 8 artarak 169 milyar dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Daha sonraki iki y\u0131l ise ihracat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 y\u00fczde 7.7 ve y\u00fczde 7.1 olarak bekleniyor. T\u00fcrkiye daha y\u00fcksek ihracat hedefleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilecek ko\u015fullara sahip bulunuyor. <\/span><\/p>

2 - D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130 VE T\u0130CARET\u0130NDE B\u00dcY\u00dcME HIZLANIRKEN T\u00dcRK\u0130YE \u0130HRACATINI DAHA HIZLI ARTIRAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

D\u00fcnya ekonomisi ve ticaretindeki toparlanma da ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 destekleyecek. Nitekim d\u00fcnya mal ticareti de de iki y\u0131l \u00fcst \u00fcste ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2017\u2019de y\u00fczde 7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130lave olarak D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc, eyl\u00fclde a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnya mal ticareti b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerinde 2018\u2019e ili\u015fkin beklentilerini y\u00fckseltti. Muhtemelen 2018 d\u00fcnya mal ticareti, y\u00fczde 9-10 aras\u0131nda geni\u015fleyecek. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de bundan en az 1-2 puan daha y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterebilecek. <\/span><\/p>

3 - \u0130HRACATTA TEMK\u0130NL\u0130 YAKLA\u015eIMIN NEDEN\u0130 DI\u015e POL\u0130T\u0130K VE JEOPOL\u0130T\u0130K R\u0130SKLER OLAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130hracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n nedeni, muhtemel d\u0131\u015f politik ve jeopolitik riskler olabilecek. T\u00fcrkiye en b\u00fcy\u00fck pazar\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile ili\u015fkileri yeniden tarif etme s\u00fcrecine giriyor. \u00d6te yandan yak\u0131n ve kom\u015fu \u00fclkeler ile ticarette s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda temkinli iyimser hedefler belirlendi.<\/span><\/p>

4 - NET \u0130HRACATIN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI YEN\u0130DEN AZALACAK <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Net ihracat uzun s\u00fcreden sonra ilk kez b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 1.3 puan ile 2017\u2019de \u00f6nemli bir katk\u0131 veriyor. Ancak ihracat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 nedeniyle net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 2018\u2019de 0.8 puana, izleyen iki y\u0131l ise 0.7 puana d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye finansal istikrar\u0131 koruyarak y\u00fczde 5.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflerine ula\u015fmak istiyorsa net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 mutlaka daha y\u00fcksek olmal\u0131. Aksi takdirde h\u0131zlanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi finansal istikrar\u0131 tehdit edecek. <\/span><\/p>

5 - ORTA VADEL\u0130 PROGRAM\u2019IN D\u00d6V\u0130Z KURU BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130 \u0130HRACATI SINIRLAR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n haz\u0131rlan\u0131lmas\u0131 a\u015famas\u0131nda kullan\u0131lan y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama dolar kurlar\u0131 ise 2018 i\u00e7in 3.81, 2019 i\u00e7in 3.96 ve 2020 i\u00e7in 4.02 T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131. Kullan\u0131lan d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131, bir hedef veya taahh\u00fct olmamakla birlikte ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin beklentilerini yans\u0131tmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen birikimli y\u00fczde 19 enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 kurlardaki art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 11.7\u2019de kal\u0131yor ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda y\u00fczde 6.5 de\u011ferlenmi\u015f olacak. \u0130hracat da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki bu de\u011ferlenmeden olumsuz etkilenecek. \u0130hracattaki temkinli art\u0131\u015f hedeflerinin bir nedeni de T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011ferlenme beklentisi olabilecek. <\/span><\/p>

6 - \u0130HRACATA YEN\u0130 DESTEKLER GEL\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130hracat\u0131n desteklenmesine y\u00f6nelik de programda yeni unsurlara yer veriliyor. Bunlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kuru riski sigortas\u0131 geliyor. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n kur riskini azaltmak amac\u0131yla \u0130hracatta D\u00f6viz Kuru Riski Sigorta Sistemi kurulacak ve kullan\u0131m\u0131 yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lacak. Ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 ile ticaretin toplam ticaret i\u00e7erisindeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseltilmesi te\u015fvik edilecek. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n kur riskinin en aza indirilmesi, ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 en \u00e7ok destekleyecek te\u015fvik olacak.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> D\u0131\u015f politik ve jeopolitik riskler azalt\u0131l\u0131r ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferlenmesine izin verilmezse ihracat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilecek.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"orta-vadeli-programin-ihracat-hedefleri","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n ihracat hedefleri","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":187,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}