{"status":true,"post":{"id":36267,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-01-09 12:55:00","created_at":"2023-01-09T09:55:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-01-09T09:55:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":36267,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u2018Mali disiplin\u2019e dayal\u0131 Keynesyen model","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

T\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 ekonomik te\u015fkilatlarda, ekonomi bazl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131nda ekonomik model ve iktisat teorisine dayal\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n kalitesine ve \u00fcslubuna bak\u0131yorum; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u2018neoliberal ortodoks\u2019 modeli savunanlar\u0131n \u2018Keynesyen Model\u2019i savunanlara kar\u015f\u0131 tavr\u0131, \u00fcslubu ne ac\u0131d\u0131r ki bu kadar pespaye olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Oysa, 1929 B\u00fcy\u00fck Buhran\u0131\u2019ndan bu yana, say\u0131s\u0131z kere, en taze olarak 2008 k\u00fcresel finans krizi ve ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel pandemi ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde, \u2018neoklasik liberal\u2019 modelin, anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n defalarca acziyetine, \u00e7aresizli\u011fine, yetersizli\u011fine \u015fahit olundu. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yerel, b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel ekonomi-politik krizlerde, kamunun ekonomiye ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz m\u00fcdahale gere\u011fini asla kabul etmeyen \u2018neoliberal ortodoks\u2019 model, arkas\u0131nda her defas\u0131nda a\u011f\u0131r bir durgunluk, iflas etmi\u015f on binlerce firma ve y\u00fcz binlerce i\u015fsiz b\u0131rak\u0131yor. \u2018Neoliberal ortodoks\u2019 anlay\u0131\u015f, kapitalizmin \u2018vah\u015fi\u2019 y\u00fcz\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

John Maynard Keynes bug\u00fcn ya\u015fasayd\u0131, kendi yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131, anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz, bug\u00fcn T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin izledi\u011fi, ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin b\u00fcy\u00fck titizlikle uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018mali disiplin\u2019e dayal\u0131 Keynesyen Model y\u00f6n\u00fcnde geli\u015ftirirdi. Ama Sir Keynes ne yaps\u0131n? 1883\u2019te do\u011fup, 1946\u2019da vefat etmi\u015f ve iktisat literat\u00fcr\u00fcne tart\u0131\u015fmam\u0131z damga vurmu\u015f bir iktisat\u00e7\u0131 olarak, onun ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde, merkez bankalar\u0131 ancak alt\u0131n rezervine dayal\u0131 parasal geni\u015fleme yapabiliyorlard\u0131. Keynes, ABD\u2019nin t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 davet etti\u011fi Bretton Woods Modeli\u2019nin ancak bir iki senesini g\u00f6rebildi. Bu nedenle, ABD, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ve bug\u00fcn Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin \u2018rezerv para\u2019 imkan\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak, alt\u0131n rezervine dayal\u0131 para arz\u0131 modelini y\u0131karak, ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdikleri limitsiz kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 finanse etmek i\u00e7in \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131klar\u0131 devlet tahvillerinin b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle finansman\u0131na dayal\u0131 bir \u2018kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ks\u0131z para bas\u0131m\u0131\u2019 modeline dayal\u0131 bir anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 dikte ettiklerini g\u00f6rseydi, ekonomiye \u2018kamu m\u00fcdahalesinin ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019na dayal\u0131 anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 mutlaka \u2018mali disiplin\u2019 ile ta\u00e7land\u0131r\u0131rd\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye bug\u00fcn, AB\u2019nin Maastricht Kriterleri i\u00e7erisinde vazge\u00e7ilmez bir yeri olan ve \u2018mali disiplin\u2019i temsil eden b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n GSYH\u2019ye oran\u0131 ve kamu bor\u00e7 stokunun GSYH\u2019ye oran\u0131nda sadece AB\u2019ye \u00fcye ve aday \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda de\u011fil, OECD ve G20 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda da \u2018alk\u0131\u015flanacak\u2019 bir istisnai ba\u015far\u0131ya imza at\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011finde, son 21 y\u0131ld\u0131r, AK Parti iktidarlar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in en vazge\u00e7ilmez g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri makro ihtiyati tedbirin \u2018mali disiplin\u2019 oldu\u011funu ve bu konudaki kararl\u0131l\u0131k ve ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini gerek k\u00fcresel pandemi, gerekse de Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda nas\u0131l korudu\u011funu; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu sayede s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ciddi bir mali disiplin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 ile y\u00fcr\u00fctebildi\u011fini birlikte g\u00f6zlemledik. Bu nedenle, ekonomi y\u00f6netimlerinin para ve maliye politikas\u0131 setini olu\u015fturur ve y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, en kritik \u00f6nceli\u011fi \u2018mali disiplin\u2019e vermeleri ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin performans\u0131 pozitif olarak uluslararas\u0131 raporlara da yans\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011finde, 2020-2022 d\u00f6nemini, T\u00fcrkiye \u2018mali disiplin\u2019e dayal\u0131 bir \u2018Keynesyen Model\u2019le y\u00f6netmeseydi; son 3 y\u0131l\u0131 on binlerce i\u015fletmenin, \u015firketin iflas etti\u011fi, i\u015fsizli\u011fin en az 1.5 milyon daha artt\u0131\u011f\u0131; pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme trendini kaybetmi\u015f bir T\u00fcrkiye ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacakt\u0131k. K\u00fcresel ticaret ve tedarik zincirindeki rol\u00fcm\u00fcz aral\u0131ks\u0131z artarken, \u2018Keynesyen Modeli\u2019 uygulamasayd\u0131k, tersine \u00f6nemli kay\u0131plar ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z; ekonominin \u00e7arklar\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na geldi\u011finden, kaybedilen vergi gelirinin b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctmesi nedeniyle \u2018mali disiplin\u2019 ba\u015far\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yerle yeksan oldu\u011fu bir tablo \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde olacakt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu nedenle, \u2018vah\u015fi kapitalizm\u2019in savunucusu demode \u2018neoliberal ortodoks\u2019 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn aksine, \u2018mali disiplin\u2019e dayal\u0131 Keynesyen Model ile T\u00fcrkiye \u2018insan\u0131\u2019, \u2018giri\u015fimcili\u011fi\u2019, \u2018\u00fcretimi\u2019, \u2018katma de\u011feri\u2019, \u2018yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\u2019 ve \u2018ihracat\u0131\u2019 \u00f6nceliklendiren bir model ile yola devam ediyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin milli teknoloji hamlesi derinle\u015ftik\u00e7e de k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ticaretteki pay\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6nce y\u00fczde 1.5\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan da y\u00fczde 3\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"mali-disipline-dayali-keynesyen-model","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1189,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":36393,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":36267,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u2018Mali disiplin\u2019e dayal\u0131 Keynesyen model","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

T\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 ekonomik te\u015fkilatlarda, ekonomi bazl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131nda ekonomik model ve iktisat teorisine dayal\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n kalitesine ve \u00fcslubuna bak\u0131yorum; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u2018neoliberal ortodoks\u2019 modeli savunanlar\u0131n \u2018Keynesyen Model\u2019i savunanlara kar\u015f\u0131 tavr\u0131, \u00fcslubu ne ac\u0131d\u0131r ki bu kadar pespaye olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Oysa, 1929 B\u00fcy\u00fck Buhran\u0131\u2019ndan bu yana, say\u0131s\u0131z kere, en taze olarak 2008 k\u00fcresel finans krizi ve ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel pandemi ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde, \u2018neoklasik liberal\u2019 modelin, anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n defalarca acziyetine, \u00e7aresizli\u011fine, yetersizli\u011fine \u015fahit olundu. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yerel, b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel ekonomi-politik krizlerde, kamunun ekonomiye ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz m\u00fcdahale gere\u011fini asla kabul etmeyen \u2018neoliberal ortodoks\u2019 model, arkas\u0131nda her defas\u0131nda a\u011f\u0131r bir durgunluk, iflas etmi\u015f on binlerce firma ve y\u00fcz binlerce i\u015fsiz b\u0131rak\u0131yor. \u2018Neoliberal ortodoks\u2019 anlay\u0131\u015f, kapitalizmin \u2018vah\u015fi\u2019 y\u00fcz\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

John Maynard Keynes bug\u00fcn ya\u015fasayd\u0131, kendi yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131, anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz, bug\u00fcn T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin izledi\u011fi, ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin b\u00fcy\u00fck titizlikle uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018mali disiplin\u2019e dayal\u0131 Keynesyen Model y\u00f6n\u00fcnde geli\u015ftirirdi. Ama Sir Keynes ne yaps\u0131n? 1883\u2019te do\u011fup, 1946\u2019da vefat etmi\u015f ve iktisat literat\u00fcr\u00fcne tart\u0131\u015fmam\u0131z damga vurmu\u015f bir iktisat\u00e7\u0131 olarak, onun ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde, merkez bankalar\u0131 ancak alt\u0131n rezervine dayal\u0131 parasal geni\u015fleme yapabiliyorlard\u0131. Keynes, ABD\u2019nin t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 davet etti\u011fi Bretton Woods Modeli\u2019nin ancak bir iki senesini g\u00f6rebildi. Bu nedenle, ABD, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ve bug\u00fcn Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin \u2018rezerv para\u2019 imkan\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak, alt\u0131n rezervine dayal\u0131 para arz\u0131 modelini y\u0131karak, ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdikleri limitsiz kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 finanse etmek i\u00e7in \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131klar\u0131 devlet tahvillerinin b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle finansman\u0131na dayal\u0131 bir \u2018kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ks\u0131z para bas\u0131m\u0131\u2019 modeline dayal\u0131 bir anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 dikte ettiklerini g\u00f6rseydi, ekonomiye \u2018kamu m\u00fcdahalesinin ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019na dayal\u0131 anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 mutlaka \u2018mali disiplin\u2019 ile ta\u00e7land\u0131r\u0131rd\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye bug\u00fcn, AB\u2019nin Maastricht Kriterleri i\u00e7erisinde vazge\u00e7ilmez bir yeri olan ve \u2018mali disiplin\u2019i temsil eden b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n GSYH\u2019ye oran\u0131 ve kamu bor\u00e7 stokunun GSYH\u2019ye oran\u0131nda sadece AB\u2019ye \u00fcye ve aday \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda de\u011fil, OECD ve G20 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda da \u2018alk\u0131\u015flanacak\u2019 bir istisnai ba\u015far\u0131ya imza at\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011finde, son 21 y\u0131ld\u0131r, AK Parti iktidarlar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in en vazge\u00e7ilmez g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri makro ihtiyati tedbirin \u2018mali disiplin\u2019 oldu\u011funu ve bu konudaki kararl\u0131l\u0131k ve ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini gerek k\u00fcresel pandemi, gerekse de Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda nas\u0131l korudu\u011funu; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu sayede s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ciddi bir mali disiplin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 ile y\u00fcr\u00fctebildi\u011fini birlikte g\u00f6zlemledik. Bu nedenle, ekonomi y\u00f6netimlerinin para ve maliye politikas\u0131 setini olu\u015fturur ve y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, en kritik \u00f6nceli\u011fi \u2018mali disiplin\u2019e vermeleri ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin performans\u0131 pozitif olarak uluslararas\u0131 raporlara da yans\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011finde, 2020-2022 d\u00f6nemini, T\u00fcrkiye \u2018mali disiplin\u2019e dayal\u0131 bir \u2018Keynesyen Model\u2019le y\u00f6netmeseydi; son 3 y\u0131l\u0131 on binlerce i\u015fletmenin, \u015firketin iflas etti\u011fi, i\u015fsizli\u011fin en az 1.5 milyon daha artt\u0131\u011f\u0131; pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme trendini kaybetmi\u015f bir T\u00fcrkiye ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacakt\u0131k. K\u00fcresel ticaret ve tedarik zincirindeki rol\u00fcm\u00fcz aral\u0131ks\u0131z artarken, \u2018Keynesyen Modeli\u2019 uygulamasayd\u0131k, tersine \u00f6nemli kay\u0131plar ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z; ekonominin \u00e7arklar\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na geldi\u011finden, kaybedilen vergi gelirinin b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctmesi nedeniyle \u2018mali disiplin\u2019 ba\u015far\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yerle yeksan oldu\u011fu bir tablo \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde olacakt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu nedenle, \u2018vah\u015fi kapitalizm\u2019in savunucusu demode \u2018neoliberal ortodoks\u2019 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn aksine, \u2018mali disiplin\u2019e dayal\u0131 Keynesyen Model ile T\u00fcrkiye \u2018insan\u0131\u2019, \u2018giri\u015fimcili\u011fi\u2019, \u2018\u00fcretimi\u2019, \u2018katma de\u011feri\u2019, \u2018yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\u2019 ve \u2018ihracat\u0131\u2019 \u00f6nceliklendiren bir model ile yola devam ediyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin milli teknoloji hamlesi derinle\u015ftik\u00e7e de k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ticaretteki pay\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6nce y\u00fczde 1.5\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan da y\u00fczde 3\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"mali-disipline-dayali-keynesyen-model","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1189,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}