{"status":true,"post":{"id":12530,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:17:23","created_at":"2015-08-06T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:17:23.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":12530,"is_featured":0,"title":"Kurlardaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve enflasyon \u00fczerine etkileri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00dcFE\u2019de (2003=100) 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 temmuz ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.09, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4.85, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.81 ve on iki ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 8.07 art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan bu verilere g\u00f6re enflasyon oran\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmektedir. Yukar\u0131da da belirtti\u011fimiz gibi y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamalarda y\u00fczde 8.07 art\u0131\u015f bizim i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Bu durumda mevcut tahvillerin reel faizi de y\u00fckselmi\u015f oluyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2014 y\u0131l\u0131 temmuz ay\u0131nda USD 1.94 TL civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. 2015 temmuz ay\u0131nda ise 2.77 seviyelerinden kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 43 civar\u0131nda. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n enflasyona \u00f6nemli bir katk\u0131s\u0131 olmam\u0131\u015f durumda. Bunun da sebebi global piyasalarda d\u00fc\u015fen emtia fiyatlar\u0131d\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle petrol ve alt\u0131n gibi emtialar\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda meydana gelen bariz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler kurun enflasyonist etkisini de azaltm\u0131\u015f durumdad\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durum s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir mi bilinmez ancak FED faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131yla emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareketinin devam\u0131n\u0131 beklemek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz. B\u00f6ylece dolar\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda de\u011fer kazanma potansiyeli d\u00fc\u015fen emtia fiyatlar\u0131yla dengelenecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda i\u015fsizlik ve \u00fcretim gibi konular daha da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem kazanmaktad\u0131r. Global durgunlu\u011fun avantaj\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde i\u00e7 siyasi belirsizli\u011fin yurt i\u00e7erisinde de reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc durgunlu\u011fa itebilece\u011fi korkusunun a\u011f\u0131r bast\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 unutmamak laz\u0131m. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">En \u00f6nemli sorun kurlar\u0131n dengeli hareket etmemesi nedeniyle gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik fiyatlama yap\u0131lamamas\u0131. Bu durumda uzun vadeli projelere verilen tekliflerde belirlenecek kur seviyesi olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek riskler i\u00e7ermektedir<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"kurlardaki-degisim-ve-enflasyon-uzerine-etkileri","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Kurlardaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve enflasyon \u00fczerine etkileri","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1099,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":12629,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":12530,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Kurlardaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve enflasyon \u00fczerine etkileri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00dcFE\u2019de (2003=100) 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 temmuz ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.09, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4.85, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.81 ve on iki ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 8.07 art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan bu verilere g\u00f6re enflasyon oran\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmektedir. Yukar\u0131da da belirtti\u011fimiz gibi y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamalarda y\u00fczde 8.07 art\u0131\u015f bizim i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Bu durumda mevcut tahvillerin reel faizi de y\u00fckselmi\u015f oluyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2014 y\u0131l\u0131 temmuz ay\u0131nda USD 1.94 TL civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. 2015 temmuz ay\u0131nda ise 2.77 seviyelerinden kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 43 civar\u0131nda. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n enflasyona \u00f6nemli bir katk\u0131s\u0131 olmam\u0131\u015f durumda. Bunun da sebebi global piyasalarda d\u00fc\u015fen emtia fiyatlar\u0131d\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle petrol ve alt\u0131n gibi emtialar\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda meydana gelen bariz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler kurun enflasyonist etkisini de azaltm\u0131\u015f durumdad\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durum s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir mi bilinmez ancak FED faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131yla emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareketinin devam\u0131n\u0131 beklemek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz. B\u00f6ylece dolar\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda de\u011fer kazanma potansiyeli d\u00fc\u015fen emtia fiyatlar\u0131yla dengelenecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda i\u015fsizlik ve \u00fcretim gibi konular daha da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem kazanmaktad\u0131r. Global durgunlu\u011fun avantaj\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde i\u00e7 siyasi belirsizli\u011fin yurt i\u00e7erisinde de reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc durgunlu\u011fa itebilece\u011fi korkusunun a\u011f\u0131r bast\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 unutmamak laz\u0131m. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">En \u00f6nemli sorun kurlar\u0131n dengeli hareket etmemesi nedeniyle gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik fiyatlama yap\u0131lamamas\u0131. Bu durumda uzun vadeli projelere verilen tekliflerde belirlenecek kur seviyesi olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek riskler i\u00e7ermektedir<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"kurlardaki-degisim-ve-enflasyon-uzerine-etkileri","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Kurlardaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve enflasyon \u00fczerine etkileri","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1099,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}