{"status":true,"post":{"id":17762,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:23:07","created_at":"2018-01-07T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:23:07.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":17762,"is_featured":0,"title":"Kurlar ve b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmelerin enflasyona etkisi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2017\u2019yi geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, 3 Ocak 2018 g\u00fcn\u00fc 2017 T\u00dcFE rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re T\u00dcFE\u2019de (2003=100) 2017 Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.69, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 11.92 ve 12 ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 11.14 art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ana harcama gruplar\u0131 itibariyle 2017 Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 1.69 ile ula\u015ft\u0131rma grubunda, daha sonra g\u0131da ve alkols\u00fcz i\u00e7eceklerde y\u00fczde 1.52 ve ev e\u015fyalar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1.18 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise yine ba\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 18.24 ile ula\u015ft\u0131rma grubu \u00e7ekiyor. Onu y\u00fczde 13.79 ile g\u0131da ve alkols\u00fcz i\u00e7ecekler takip etmi\u015f, 3. s\u0131ray\u0131 da y\u00fczde 12.77 ile \u00e7e\u015fitli mal ve hizmetler alm\u0131\u015f. Ev e\u015fyas\u0131 y\u00fczde 12.74 ve sa\u011fl\u0131k y\u00fczde 11.90 ile di\u011ferlerini takip etmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">S\u00f6z konusu art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131n\u0131 sepet d\u00f6viz kuru ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda oranlar neredeyse ayn\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u00fczde 50 dolar ve y\u00fczde 50 Euro\u2019dan olu\u015fan d\u00f6viz sepeti 2017\u2019ye 3.6296 TL seviyesinden girmi\u015f, 4.3484 TL seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra da y\u0131l\u0131 4.1712 seviyelerinden kapam\u0131\u015f. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f ve kapan\u0131\u015f de\u011ferlerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 15 civar\u0131nda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kurlardaki bu yukar\u0131 hareketi do\u011frudan maliyetine yans\u0131tabilen sekt\u00f6rler ula\u015ft\u0131rma olurken (ayn\u0131 zamanda malzeme fiyat\u0131nda d\u00f6viz bazl\u0131 meydana gelen art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle de kuru da ge\u00e7mi\u015f), di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rler ayn\u0131 oranda art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yans\u0131tamam\u0131\u015f. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Asl\u0131nda kurun etkisinin, ithal malzemenin \u00fcr\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde y\u00fczde ka\u00e7 yer tutuyorsa o kadar yans\u0131mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olsa da gelecekte daha da y\u00fckselir korkusu fiyatlamada daha da agresif davran\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abiliyor. Bu durum enflasyonu do\u011fal olarak besliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u0131sacas\u0131 kurlar\u0131 fiyatlara yans\u0131tabilen yans\u0131tt\u0131. Enflasyon da kurlardan beslenmi\u015f oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada bir konuya daha dikkatinizi \u00e7ekmek istiyorum. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130l baz\u0131nda enflasyonun yap\u0131s\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; \u0130statistiki B\u00f6lge Birimleri S\u0131n\u0131flamas\u0131 (\u0130BBS) 2. D\u00fczey\u2019de bulunan 26 b\u00f6lge i\u00e7inde, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 13.59 ile TRB2 (Van, Mu\u015f, Bitlis, Hakkari) b\u00f6lgesinde ve 12 ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 12.79 ile TRC1 (Gaziantep, Ad\u0131yaman, Kilis) b\u00f6lgesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130llere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu\u2019nun y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonda ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Gerek Suriye ve Irak\u2019tan al\u0131nan g\u00f6\u00e7, gerekse b\u00f6lgenin g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olu\u015fturdu\u011fu riskler nedeniyle fiyatlamalarda bu riskler dikkate al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. K\u0131sacas\u0131 ter\u00f6rizm ve g\u00f6\u00e7, b\u00f6lge halk\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu daha fazla hissetmesine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu \u00f6nemli bir saptamad\u0131r. B\u00f6lgede olu\u015facak bar\u0131\u015f ve g\u00fcven havas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lge halk\u0131na ucuzluk ve refah olarak yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"kurlar-ve-bolgesel-gelismelerin-enflasyona-etkisi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Kurlar ve b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmelerin enflasyona etkisi","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":86,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":17861,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":17762,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Kurlar ve b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmelerin enflasyona etkisi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">2017\u2019yi geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, 3 Ocak 2018 g\u00fcn\u00fc 2017 T\u00dcFE rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re T\u00dcFE\u2019de (2003=100) 2017 Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.69, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 11.92 ve 12 ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 11.14 art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ana harcama gruplar\u0131 itibariyle 2017 Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 1.69 ile ula\u015ft\u0131rma grubunda, daha sonra g\u0131da ve alkols\u00fcz i\u00e7eceklerde y\u00fczde 1.52 ve ev e\u015fyalar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1.18 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise yine ba\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 18.24 ile ula\u015ft\u0131rma grubu \u00e7ekiyor. Onu y\u00fczde 13.79 ile g\u0131da ve alkols\u00fcz i\u00e7ecekler takip etmi\u015f, 3. s\u0131ray\u0131 da y\u00fczde 12.77 ile \u00e7e\u015fitli mal ve hizmetler alm\u0131\u015f. Ev e\u015fyas\u0131 y\u00fczde 12.74 ve sa\u011fl\u0131k y\u00fczde 11.90 ile di\u011ferlerini takip etmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">S\u00f6z konusu art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131n\u0131 sepet d\u00f6viz kuru ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda oranlar neredeyse ayn\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u00fczde 50 dolar ve y\u00fczde 50 Euro\u2019dan olu\u015fan d\u00f6viz sepeti 2017\u2019ye 3.6296 TL seviyesinden girmi\u015f, 4.3484 TL seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra da y\u0131l\u0131 4.1712 seviyelerinden kapam\u0131\u015f. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f ve kapan\u0131\u015f de\u011ferlerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 15 civar\u0131nda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kurlardaki bu yukar\u0131 hareketi do\u011frudan maliyetine yans\u0131tabilen sekt\u00f6rler ula\u015ft\u0131rma olurken (ayn\u0131 zamanda malzeme fiyat\u0131nda d\u00f6viz bazl\u0131 meydana gelen art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle de kuru da ge\u00e7mi\u015f), di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rler ayn\u0131 oranda art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yans\u0131tamam\u0131\u015f. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Asl\u0131nda kurun etkisinin, ithal malzemenin \u00fcr\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde y\u00fczde ka\u00e7 yer tutuyorsa o kadar yans\u0131mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olsa da gelecekte daha da y\u00fckselir korkusu fiyatlamada daha da agresif davran\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abiliyor. Bu durum enflasyonu do\u011fal olarak besliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u0131sacas\u0131 kurlar\u0131 fiyatlara yans\u0131tabilen yans\u0131tt\u0131. Enflasyon da kurlardan beslenmi\u015f oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada bir konuya daha dikkatinizi \u00e7ekmek istiyorum. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130l baz\u0131nda enflasyonun yap\u0131s\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; \u0130statistiki B\u00f6lge Birimleri S\u0131n\u0131flamas\u0131 (\u0130BBS) 2. D\u00fczey\u2019de bulunan 26 b\u00f6lge i\u00e7inde, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 13.59 ile TRB2 (Van, Mu\u015f, Bitlis, Hakkari) b\u00f6lgesinde ve 12 ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 12.79 ile TRC1 (Gaziantep, Ad\u0131yaman, Kilis) b\u00f6lgesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130llere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu\u2019nun y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonda ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Gerek Suriye ve Irak\u2019tan al\u0131nan g\u00f6\u00e7, gerekse b\u00f6lgenin g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olu\u015fturdu\u011fu riskler nedeniyle fiyatlamalarda bu riskler dikkate al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. K\u0131sacas\u0131 ter\u00f6rizm ve g\u00f6\u00e7, b\u00f6lge halk\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu daha fazla hissetmesine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu \u00f6nemli bir saptamad\u0131r. B\u00f6lgede olu\u015facak bar\u0131\u015f ve g\u00fcven havas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lge halk\u0131na ucuzluk ve refah olarak yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"kurlar-ve-bolgesel-gelismelerin-enflasyona-etkisi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Kurlar ve b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmelerin enflasyona etkisi","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":86,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}