{"status":true,"post":{"id":27641,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 15:34:13","created_at":"2021-07-22T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T12:34:13.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":27641,"is_featured":0,"title":"K\u00fcresel g\u0131da end\u00fcstrisi i\u00e7in zorlu s\u0131nav","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD) ile BM Tar\u0131m ve G\u0131da \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (FAO) imzal\u0131 \u2018Tar\u0131m\u0131n 2021-2030 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019 Raporu (OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030), tar\u0131m emtialar\u0131na ve g\u0131daya k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte talebin, 2020-2030 d\u00f6neminde yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Tar\u0131m emtialar\u0131na 2010-2020 d\u00f6neminde talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 2.2 d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f iken, 2020-2030 d\u00f6neminde 1 puanl\u0131k yava\u015flamayla y\u00fczde 1.2 olarak artmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. Yani, talep gerilemeyecek; art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 yava\u015flayacak.<\/span>
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Bu yava\u015flamada, do\u011fal olarak, 2010-2020 d\u00f6neminde tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn talebi y\u00fczde 2.7 artm\u0131\u015f olan \u00c7in\u2019in, 2030 kadarki talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0.8\u2019e kadar yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisinin hayli etkili oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlemleniyor. Bu arada, biyoyak\u0131t \u00fcretmek amac\u0131yla tar\u0131m emtialar\u0131na talep y\u00fczde 0.4 daralacak. \u00dcr\u00fcn baz\u0131nda ise 2010-2020 d\u00f6neminde bitkisel ya\u011flara y\u00f6nelik talep ortalama y\u00fczde 4 artm\u0131\u015f iken, 2020-2030 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1.5\u2019e gerilemesi bekleniyor. Raporda, 2010-2020 aras\u0131 y\u00fczde 2 artm\u0131\u015f olan k\u00fcresel s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri talebinin, 2020-2030 d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 1.8 artmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Tah\u0131llara olan talebin ise bir \u00f6nceki 10 y\u0131la g\u00f6re yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya yava\u015flayarak, y\u00fczde 2 yerine sadece y\u00fczde 1 artmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span>
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HANG\u0130 CO\u011eRAFYALARDA TALEP ARTACAK<\/strong><\/span>
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Sahraalt\u0131 Afrika, G\u00fcney Asya, Yak\u0131n Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak en y\u00fcksek talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen co\u011frafyalar olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; k\u00fcresel \u015feker talebi art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn gerek\u00e7esini n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor olacak. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, k\u00fcresel bitkisel ya\u011f talebindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck gerek\u00e7esini ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na t\u00fcketim kullan\u0131m\u0131ndaki tercih art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olu\u015fturacak. Raporda, tah\u0131l \u00fcretiminin g\u0131da ama\u00e7l\u0131 kullan\u0131m\u0131nda 2030\u2019a kadar y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; az geli\u015fmi\u015f ve orta gelir d\u00fczeyindeki \u00fclkelerdeki talep s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 beklentisine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, et, s\u00fct, yumurta ve bal\u0131k talebinde y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f \u00f6nceliklendirilmi\u015f. 2018-2020 d\u00f6neminde 7.8 milyara ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edilen d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun 2030\u2019da 8.5 milyara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle k\u00fcresel g\u0131da talebinin y\u00fczde 1.3 artmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/span>
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H\u0130ND\u0130STAN, ARTI\u015eIN Y\u00dcZDE 50\u2019S\u0130NDEN SORUMLU<\/strong><\/span>
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Sahraalt\u0131 Afrika, Yak\u0131n Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l\u0131n k\u00fcresel \u015feker talebi art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fczde 35\u2019inin sebebini temsil ederken; \u00c7in de, ortalama sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u00fczde 5.8 artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcyle, tek ba\u015f\u0131na, bal\u0131k \u00fcr\u00fcnlerindeki k\u00fcresel talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 43\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn, et \u00fcr\u00fcnlerindeki k\u00fcresel talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 33\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn sebebini olu\u015fturacak. Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ise 2030\u2019a kadar s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ve bitkisel ya\u011flardaki talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fczde 50\u2019sinden sorumlu olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span>
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2018-2020 d\u00f6nemindeki ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeler ile 2030 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, m\u0131s\u0131r kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 1 milyar 150 milyon tondan 1 milyar 350 milyona y\u00fckselmesi, pirin\u00e7 kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 500 milyon tondan 600 milyon tona y\u00fckselmesi, bu\u011fday kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 780 milyon tondan 820 milyon tona y\u00fckselmesi, et kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ise 350 milyon tondan 400 milyon tona y\u00fckselmesi tahmin ediliyor.<\/span>
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T\u00dcRK\u0130YE, 10 YILI \u00c7OK \u0130Y\u0130 DE\u011eERLEND\u0130RMEL\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
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FAO\u2019nun ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte, tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn ve g\u0131dalar\u0131n daha sofraya ula\u015famadan y\u00fczde 14\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn telef oldu\u011funu; t\u00fcketiciye ula\u015fabilmi\u015f g\u0131dan\u0131n y\u00fczde 17\u2019sinin ise yanl\u0131\u015f kullan\u0131m, yanl\u0131\u015f ve yetersiz saklama metotlar\u0131 nedeniyle israf oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. K\u00fcresel tar\u0131m \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ve g\u0131da talebindeki trendler, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir tar\u0131m \u00fclkesi olarak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00e7ok iyi de\u011ferlendirmesinin \u00fclke ekonomisine 50 milyar dolar ihracat geliri kazand\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tar\u0131msal alan ve su kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 hem korumas\u0131 hem geli\u015ftirmesi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en kritik \u00f6nemde hamlesi olacak.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"kuresel-gida-endustrisi-icin-zorlu-sinav","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"K\u00fcresel g\u0131da end\u00fcstrisi i\u00e7in zorlu s\u0131nav","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1069,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":27740,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":27641,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"K\u00fcresel g\u0131da end\u00fcstrisi i\u00e7in zorlu s\u0131nav","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD) ile BM Tar\u0131m ve G\u0131da \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (FAO) imzal\u0131 \u2018Tar\u0131m\u0131n 2021-2030 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019 Raporu (OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030), tar\u0131m emtialar\u0131na ve g\u0131daya k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte talebin, 2020-2030 d\u00f6neminde yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Tar\u0131m emtialar\u0131na 2010-2020 d\u00f6neminde talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 2.2 d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f iken, 2020-2030 d\u00f6neminde 1 puanl\u0131k yava\u015flamayla y\u00fczde 1.2 olarak artmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. Yani, talep gerilemeyecek; art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 yava\u015flayacak.<\/span>
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Bu yava\u015flamada, do\u011fal olarak, 2010-2020 d\u00f6neminde tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn talebi y\u00fczde 2.7 artm\u0131\u015f olan \u00c7in\u2019in, 2030 kadarki talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0.8\u2019e kadar yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisinin hayli etkili oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlemleniyor. Bu arada, biyoyak\u0131t \u00fcretmek amac\u0131yla tar\u0131m emtialar\u0131na talep y\u00fczde 0.4 daralacak. \u00dcr\u00fcn baz\u0131nda ise 2010-2020 d\u00f6neminde bitkisel ya\u011flara y\u00f6nelik talep ortalama y\u00fczde 4 artm\u0131\u015f iken, 2020-2030 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1.5\u2019e gerilemesi bekleniyor. Raporda, 2010-2020 aras\u0131 y\u00fczde 2 artm\u0131\u015f olan k\u00fcresel s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri talebinin, 2020-2030 d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 1.8 artmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Tah\u0131llara olan talebin ise bir \u00f6nceki 10 y\u0131la g\u00f6re yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya yava\u015flayarak, y\u00fczde 2 yerine sadece y\u00fczde 1 artmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span>
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HANG\u0130 CO\u011eRAFYALARDA TALEP ARTACAK<\/strong><\/span>
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Sahraalt\u0131 Afrika, G\u00fcney Asya, Yak\u0131n Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak en y\u00fcksek talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen co\u011frafyalar olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; k\u00fcresel \u015feker talebi art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn gerek\u00e7esini n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor olacak. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, k\u00fcresel bitkisel ya\u011f talebindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck gerek\u00e7esini ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na t\u00fcketim kullan\u0131m\u0131ndaki tercih art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olu\u015fturacak. Raporda, tah\u0131l \u00fcretiminin g\u0131da ama\u00e7l\u0131 kullan\u0131m\u0131nda 2030\u2019a kadar y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; az geli\u015fmi\u015f ve orta gelir d\u00fczeyindeki \u00fclkelerdeki talep s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 beklentisine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, et, s\u00fct, yumurta ve bal\u0131k talebinde y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f \u00f6nceliklendirilmi\u015f. 2018-2020 d\u00f6neminde 7.8 milyara ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edilen d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun 2030\u2019da 8.5 milyara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle k\u00fcresel g\u0131da talebinin y\u00fczde 1.3 artmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/span>
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H\u0130ND\u0130STAN, ARTI\u015eIN Y\u00dcZDE 50\u2019S\u0130NDEN SORUMLU<\/strong><\/span>
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Sahraalt\u0131 Afrika, Yak\u0131n Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l\u0131n k\u00fcresel \u015feker talebi art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fczde 35\u2019inin sebebini temsil ederken; \u00c7in de, ortalama sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u00fczde 5.8 artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcyle, tek ba\u015f\u0131na, bal\u0131k \u00fcr\u00fcnlerindeki k\u00fcresel talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 43\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn, et \u00fcr\u00fcnlerindeki k\u00fcresel talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 33\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn sebebini olu\u015fturacak. Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ise 2030\u2019a kadar s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ve bitkisel ya\u011flardaki talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fczde 50\u2019sinden sorumlu olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span>
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2018-2020 d\u00f6nemindeki ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeler ile 2030 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, m\u0131s\u0131r kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 1 milyar 150 milyon tondan 1 milyar 350 milyona y\u00fckselmesi, pirin\u00e7 kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 500 milyon tondan 600 milyon tona y\u00fckselmesi, bu\u011fday kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 780 milyon tondan 820 milyon tona y\u00fckselmesi, et kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ise 350 milyon tondan 400 milyon tona y\u00fckselmesi tahmin ediliyor.<\/span>
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T\u00dcRK\u0130YE, 10 YILI \u00c7OK \u0130Y\u0130 DE\u011eERLEND\u0130RMEL\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
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FAO\u2019nun ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte, tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn ve g\u0131dalar\u0131n daha sofraya ula\u015famadan y\u00fczde 14\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn telef oldu\u011funu; t\u00fcketiciye ula\u015fabilmi\u015f g\u0131dan\u0131n y\u00fczde 17\u2019sinin ise yanl\u0131\u015f kullan\u0131m, yanl\u0131\u015f ve yetersiz saklama metotlar\u0131 nedeniyle israf oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. K\u00fcresel tar\u0131m \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ve g\u0131da talebindeki trendler, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir tar\u0131m \u00fclkesi olarak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00e7ok iyi de\u011ferlendirmesinin \u00fclke ekonomisine 50 milyar dolar ihracat geliri kazand\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tar\u0131msal alan ve su kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 hem korumas\u0131 hem geli\u015ftirmesi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en kritik \u00f6nemde hamlesi olacak.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"kuresel-gida-endustrisi-icin-zorlu-sinav","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"K\u00fcresel g\u0131da end\u00fcstrisi i\u00e7in zorlu s\u0131nav","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1069,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}