{"status":true,"post":{"id":44450,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-10-16 07:25:00","created_at":"2023-10-16T04:25:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-10-16T04:25:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":44450,"is_featured":0,"title":"K\u00fcresel ekonomide BM-IMF fark\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) kadar Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Ticaret ve Kalk\u0131nma Konferans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (UNCTAD) k\u00fcresel ekonomiye dair de\u011ferlendirme raporlar\u0131 da uluslararas\u0131 ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinde me\u015fhurdur. UNCTAD raporlar\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonominin \u00f6nde gelen akt\u00f6rlerinin, \u00f6rne\u011fin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fal olarak kalk\u0131nma ve ya\u015fam kalitesini etkileyen boyutlar\u0131yla da ele al\u0131r. IMF\u2019nin k\u00fcresel ekonomi raporlar\u0131 ise \u00f6nerilen para ve maliye politikas\u0131 tercihlerini, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele, mali disiplin veya cari denge boyutu ile ele al\u0131r ve s\u00f6z konusu kararlar\u0131n d\u00fcnya vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen boyutu yeterince \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmaz. Bir \u00f6rnekle izah etmek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, UNCTAD\u2019\u0131n son raporunda yer alan \u2018geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde uygulanan para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ve y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde sebep oldu\u011fu yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fim, y\u00fcksek faiz iklimine uyum ve \u00fclkeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bor\u00e7lar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi zararlar dikkate al\u0131nmal\u0131\u2019 ifadesi, yeterince ipucu veriyordur san\u0131r\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

IMF\u2019nin son k\u00fcresel ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporu, bir \u00f6nceki rapordaki tahmini korumak suretiyle 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin y\u00fczde 3 oldu\u011funu teyit ediyor. K\u00fcresel ekonomiye ve jeopolitik belirsizliklere ba\u011fl\u0131 dalgalanmalar nedeniyle IMF, 2024 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini y\u00fczde 3\u2019ten y\u00fczde 2.9\u2019a \u00e7ekmi\u015f durumda. K\u00fcresel toparlanman\u0131n yava\u015f ve d\u00fczensiz olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret eden IMF, bilhassa Almanya\u2019n\u0131n bu y\u0131l G7 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi beklenen tek \u00fclke oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 6 \u015eubat\u2019taki deprem felaketi sonras\u0131, 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri y\u00fczde 2.5\u2019e kadar \u00e7ekilmi\u015f olan T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in pek \u00e7ok uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015f nas\u0131l ki y\u00fczde 4 ile 4.5 aras\u0131nda bir tahmin d\u00fczeltmesi yapt\u0131 ise IMF de 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini y\u00fczde 4 olarak revize etmi\u015f durumda. 2024 beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 3.25.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu y\u0131l Alman ekonomisi i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0.5 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme tahminini payla\u015fan IMF, Almanya ile ilgili tahminini ikinci kez a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru revize etmi\u015f durumda. 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 1.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen Alman ekonomisi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine pozitif katk\u0131da bulunmu\u015f iken, bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0.7\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi beklenen Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin hem ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden ciddi sapm\u0131\u015f, \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fc performans sergilemi\u015f; hem de Euro B\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcme ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015f olacak. IMF\u2019nin Almanya i\u00e7in 2024 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc ise y\u00fczde 0.9. Bununla birlikte, 2024 beklentisi de IMF\u2019nin bir \u00f6nceki temmuz ay\u0131 raporuna g\u00f6re 0.4 puan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. IMF\u2019nin Alman ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik revize etti\u011fi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 tablonun gerek\u00e7esi olarak ifade etti\u011fi \u00f6nemli ba\u015fl\u0131klardan biri, faize duyarl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde g\u00f6zlenen zay\u0131fl\u0131k.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

UNCTAD\u2019DAN 3 KR\u0130T\u0130K \u00d6NER\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

UNCTAD, bu s\u00fcrece y\u00f6nelik 3 \u00f6neriyi ortaya koyuyor. \u0130lki, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n uzun vadeli finansal konulara daha fazla odaklanarak, uluslararas\u0131 koordinasyonu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeleri; bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra sadece fiyat istikrar\u0131na de\u011fil, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ekonomik ortama da odaklanmalar\u0131. UNCTAD\u2019\u0131n ikinci \u00f6nerisi, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n reel \u00fccretlerin uyumlu \u015fekilde art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n savunuculu\u011funu yapmalar\u0131 ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kesimlere somut taahh\u00fctlerde bulunmalar\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu ama\u00e7la, kapsaml\u0131 bir sosyal koruma modeline y\u00f6nelik \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00f6nceliklendirmek gerekiyor. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00f6neri ise geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde temiz enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecine yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n daha aktif olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi. Bu ama\u00e7la da daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 bir i\u015fbirli\u011finin in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (WTO), IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapsaml\u0131 \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 anla\u015fmalar ve uzun vadeli finansman imkanlar\u0131 i\u00e7in ellerini daha fazla ta\u015f\u0131n alt\u0131na koymalar\u0131.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"kuresel-ekonomide-bm-imf-farki","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1697403600XRLjBE5dbH7pZAg.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1550,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":44576,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":44450,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"K\u00fcresel ekonomide BM-IMF fark\u0131","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) kadar Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Ticaret ve Kalk\u0131nma Konferans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (UNCTAD) k\u00fcresel ekonomiye dair de\u011ferlendirme raporlar\u0131 da uluslararas\u0131 ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinde me\u015fhurdur. UNCTAD raporlar\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonominin \u00f6nde gelen akt\u00f6rlerinin, \u00f6rne\u011fin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fal olarak kalk\u0131nma ve ya\u015fam kalitesini etkileyen boyutlar\u0131yla da ele al\u0131r. IMF\u2019nin k\u00fcresel ekonomi raporlar\u0131 ise \u00f6nerilen para ve maliye politikas\u0131 tercihlerini, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele, mali disiplin veya cari denge boyutu ile ele al\u0131r ve s\u00f6z konusu kararlar\u0131n d\u00fcnya vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen boyutu yeterince \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmaz. Bir \u00f6rnekle izah etmek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, UNCTAD\u2019\u0131n son raporunda yer alan \u2018geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde uygulanan para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ve y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde sebep oldu\u011fu yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fim, y\u00fcksek faiz iklimine uyum ve \u00fclkeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bor\u00e7lar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi zararlar dikkate al\u0131nmal\u0131\u2019 ifadesi, yeterince ipucu veriyordur san\u0131r\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

IMF\u2019nin son k\u00fcresel ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporu, bir \u00f6nceki rapordaki tahmini korumak suretiyle 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin y\u00fczde 3 oldu\u011funu teyit ediyor. K\u00fcresel ekonomiye ve jeopolitik belirsizliklere ba\u011fl\u0131 dalgalanmalar nedeniyle IMF, 2024 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini y\u00fczde 3\u2019ten y\u00fczde 2.9\u2019a \u00e7ekmi\u015f durumda. K\u00fcresel toparlanman\u0131n yava\u015f ve d\u00fczensiz olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret eden IMF, bilhassa Almanya\u2019n\u0131n bu y\u0131l G7 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi beklenen tek \u00fclke oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 6 \u015eubat\u2019taki deprem felaketi sonras\u0131, 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri y\u00fczde 2.5\u2019e kadar \u00e7ekilmi\u015f olan T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in pek \u00e7ok uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015f nas\u0131l ki y\u00fczde 4 ile 4.5 aras\u0131nda bir tahmin d\u00fczeltmesi yapt\u0131 ise IMF de 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini y\u00fczde 4 olarak revize etmi\u015f durumda. 2024 beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 3.25.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu y\u0131l Alman ekonomisi i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0.5 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme tahminini payla\u015fan IMF, Almanya ile ilgili tahminini ikinci kez a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru revize etmi\u015f durumda. 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 1.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen Alman ekonomisi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine pozitif katk\u0131da bulunmu\u015f iken, bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0.7\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi beklenen Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin hem ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden ciddi sapm\u0131\u015f, \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fc performans sergilemi\u015f; hem de Euro B\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcme ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015f olacak. IMF\u2019nin Almanya i\u00e7in 2024 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc ise y\u00fczde 0.9. Bununla birlikte, 2024 beklentisi de IMF\u2019nin bir \u00f6nceki temmuz ay\u0131 raporuna g\u00f6re 0.4 puan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. IMF\u2019nin Alman ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik revize etti\u011fi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 tablonun gerek\u00e7esi olarak ifade etti\u011fi \u00f6nemli ba\u015fl\u0131klardan biri, faize duyarl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde g\u00f6zlenen zay\u0131fl\u0131k.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

UNCTAD\u2019DAN 3 KR\u0130T\u0130K \u00d6NER\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

UNCTAD, bu s\u00fcrece y\u00f6nelik 3 \u00f6neriyi ortaya koyuyor. \u0130lki, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n uzun vadeli finansal konulara daha fazla odaklanarak, uluslararas\u0131 koordinasyonu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeleri; bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra sadece fiyat istikrar\u0131na de\u011fil, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ekonomik ortama da odaklanmalar\u0131. UNCTAD\u2019\u0131n ikinci \u00f6nerisi, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n reel \u00fccretlerin uyumlu \u015fekilde art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n savunuculu\u011funu yapmalar\u0131 ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kesimlere somut taahh\u00fctlerde bulunmalar\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu ama\u00e7la, kapsaml\u0131 bir sosyal koruma modeline y\u00f6nelik \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00f6nceliklendirmek gerekiyor. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00f6neri ise geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde temiz enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecine yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n daha aktif olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi. Bu ama\u00e7la da daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 bir i\u015fbirli\u011finin in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (WTO), IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapsaml\u0131 \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 anla\u015fmalar ve uzun vadeli finansman imkanlar\u0131 i\u00e7in ellerini daha fazla ta\u015f\u0131n alt\u0131na koymalar\u0131.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"kuresel-ekonomide-bm-imf-farki","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1697403600XRLjBE5dbH7pZAg.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1697403600XRLjBE5dbH7pZAg.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1550,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}