{"status":true,"post":{"id":21607,"user_id":30,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:10:03","created_at":"2020-03-05T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:10:03.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21607,"is_featured":0,"title":"Koronavir\u00fcs Afrika ekonomisini te\u011fet ge\u00e7emez","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Afrika; M\u0131s\u0131r ve Cezayir\u2019deki vakalar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda koronavir\u00fcsten hen\u00fcz etkilenmedi. \u00c7in, 2019\u2019da k\u0131ta ile 208 milyar 700 milyon dolarl\u0131k kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ticaret ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu noktada Afrikal\u0131lar \u00c7in olmadan, \u00c7in de Afrika\u2019s\u0131z yapamaz.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Ticari a\u00e7\u0131k 2019\u2019da 17.7 milyar dolarla Afrikal\u0131lar\u0131n aleyhine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fse de t\u00fcm yat\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00c7in\u2019den gelen kaynaklarla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00c7in\u2019deki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131, Afrika\u2019daki yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 da olumsuz etkileyecek. Vir\u00fcs, Afrika turizmine de engelleyici olacak.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong><span><strong>Prof. Dr. Ahmet Kavas<\/strong><\/span><br><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong><img style=\"\" src=\"\/Archive\/Content\/1220202212462063a1ae9c99ee721706.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"\" height=\"\" class=\"contentImg\"><span style=\"color: #808080;\"><em>Afrika\u2019da vatanda\u015flar koronavir\u00fcse kar\u015f\u0131 kendilerini korumak i\u00e7in \u00f6nlem al\u0131yor.<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">Koronavir\u00fcs, do\u011frudan insan sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tehdit ediyor. Bu durum, tedavisi zor ve bula\u015f\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6zelli\u011fi y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fundan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ciddi tehditler olu\u015fturdu. Her g\u00fcn yeni bir \u00fclkede izine rastlanmas\u0131, \u0130ran ve \u0130talya\u2019da da onlarca ki\u015finin \u00f6lmesiyle birlikte tedbir almayan devlet kalmad\u0131. Hastal\u0131klar\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclke veya b\u00f6lgedeki konum, al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemlerle asl\u0131nda kontrol edilebiliyor. Yine de son 20 y\u0131lda \u00f6nce Asya\u2019da SARS vir\u00fcs\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan Afrika\u2019da EBOLA ile ciddi kayg\u0131lar ya\u015fand\u0131. Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta koronavir\u00fcs, onlarla mukayese edilerek b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi. Ancak aradan ge\u00e7en \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre, bunu ilk ikisinden daha fazla tehdide d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc. Hatta sadece \u00fclkeleri ve b\u00f6lgeleri a\u015f\u0131p k\u0131talararas\u0131 t\u00fcm insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in tehlikeli bulunmas\u0131 ile art\u0131k hayat\u0131n her y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc ilgilendirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle k\u00fcresel ekonominin birbirine adeta ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale geldi\u011fi bir zamanda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve yay\u0131lmas\u0131, her alan\u0131 endi\u015feye sevk eder hale getirdi. Bilhassa Afrika; M\u0131s\u0131r ve Cezayir\u2019deki birka\u00e7 vaka d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bu bula\u015f\u0131c\u0131 ve \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc vir\u00fcsten hen\u00fcz etkilenmedi. Ama ba\u015fka beklenmedik bir sonuca sebep oldu. O da k\u0131tan\u0131n ekonomik konumunu b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda sarsmas\u0131 meselesi...<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong><img style=\"\" src=\"\/Archive\/Content\/1220202212462063a1ae9ca689d21706.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"\" height=\"\" class=\"contentImg\">\u00c7\u0130N \u0130LE BA\u011eIMLILIK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k d\u00f6nemleri ile Afrika \u00fclkeleri, d\u00fcnyadaki ekonomik dengelerde kendilerine yeni ortakl\u0131klar kurmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Kar\u015f\u0131lar\u0131na \u00f6nce Hindistan, ard\u0131ndan \u00c7in \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Fakat ikincisi daha atak davranarak son 20 y\u0131lda Afrika\u2019n\u0131n her noktas\u0131nda varl\u0131k g\u00f6sterir hale geldi. 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 500 milyon dolar olan ticaret hacmini, 30 y\u0131lda 400 kat art\u0131rd\u0131. 2019\u2019da k\u0131tada 208 milyar 700 milyon dolarl\u0131k kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ticaret ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdiler. Gelinen seviye art\u0131k Afrikal\u0131lar \u00c7in olmadan, \u00c7in de Afrika\u2019s\u0131z yapamaz hale geldi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2002-2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan SARS vir\u00fcs\u00fc ile \u00e7o\u011fu Asya\u2019da toplam 800 ki\u015fi \u00f6lm\u00fc\u015f, bunun dolayl\u0131 etkisi \u00c7in ekonomisini o s\u00fcre\u00e7te y\u00fczde 9.1 oran\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ne var ki, bu ekonomik kriz, di\u011fer co\u011frafyalar\u0131 da fazla tehdit etmedi. Hatta 2003\u2019\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde yeniden toparlan\u0131p b\u00fcy\u00fcmede y\u00fczde 10\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131. O vir\u00fcs tehdidinin ard\u0131ndan 17 y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti ve Asya devinin d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki pay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc ve art\u0131k be\u015fte bir gibi bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc \u00f6n\u00fc al\u0131namaz bir g\u00fcce kavu\u015ftu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Koranavir\u00fcs \u00e7\u0131kmadan \u00f6nce de ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 etkisini g\u00f6stermeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel boyutta oldu\u011fu kadar bu daima b\u00fcy\u00fcyen g\u00fcc\u00fcn Afrika \u00fclkeleri ile ekonomik ili\u015fkilerinde de bir zay\u0131flama belirtisi kendisini hissettiriyordu. Ama \u00c7in\u2019in k\u0131ta genelinde birinci ekonomik ortak konumuna gelmesi, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te her iki tarafa da verece\u011fi zarar \u015fimdilik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemiyor. Fakat ekonomik hayat\u0131n her safhas\u0131n\u0131 sarsaca\u011f\u0131 kesin.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2.8 M\u0130LYAR \u0130NSAN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2020 itibar\u0131yla \u00c7in\u2019in n\u00fcfusu 1.4 milyar ve Afrika\u2019n\u0131n n\u00fcfusu da buna yak\u0131n olup toplamda 2.8 milyar insan\u0131n birbirine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bahsediyoruz. Bir\u00e7ok sekt\u00f6rde k\u0131ta \u00fclkelerinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck m\u00fc\u015fterisi \u00c7inliler. Keresteden petrol ve zirai \u00fcr\u00fcnlere kadar ve \u00f6zellikle hammadde kaynaklar\u0131 ile ihracat bak\u0131m\u0131ndan en b\u00fcy\u00fck al\u0131c\u0131 konumunda. Her ne kadar ticari a\u00e7\u0131k 2019\u2019da 17.7 milyar dolarla Afrikal\u0131lar\u0131n aleyhine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fse de mevcut yat\u0131r\u0131mlar bunlardan gelen kaynaklarla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu geli\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 her sekt\u00f6rdeki ekonomik i\u015flemleri zora sokacak. \u015eimdiden d\u00fcnyada g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol t\u00fcketiminde 260 bin varillik bir azalma bekleniyor ki bunun, varil ba\u015f\u0131na fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 dolar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya \u00e7ekmesi bekleniyor. Bu rakam k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de en \u00f6nemli al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 olan \u00c7in\u2019e petrol ihra\u00e7 eden Sudan ve Angola\u2019y\u0131 etkileyecek. ABD\u2019den sonra d\u00fcnyada ikinci petrol t\u00fcketicisi olmas\u0131, di\u011fer taraftan birinci s\u0131rada ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 y\u00fcz\u00fcnden yine en fazla Afrika \u00fclkelerini vuracak. 2014\u2019te petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ani ve y\u00fcksek orandaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015fta Angola, Cezayir, \u00c7ad, Gabon ve Kongo gibi \u00fclke ekonomilerini vurmu\u015f ve neredeyse t\u00fcm yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n durmas\u0131na sebep olmu\u015ftu. Afrika\u2019da tar\u0131m ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok \u00fcr\u00fcn i\u00e7in \u00c7in pazar\u0131 hedef al\u0131n\u0131yordu. Onlarca b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015fehirde ya\u015fayan onlarca milyon insan\u0131n evlerinden d\u0131\u015far\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kamamalar\u0131 sebebiyle bu \u00fclkeye ithalatta ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanacak. Hayvan ve onlardan elde edilen \u00fcr\u00fcnler, \u00e7ay ve kahveden \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ne varana kadar her birinin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n durmas\u0131 bunlara ba\u011fl\u0131 k\u0131ta \u00fclkelerinin ekonomilerini derinden sarsacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>AKEM ARA\u015eTIRMACILARINA G\u00d6RE AFR\u0130KA G\u00dcNDEM\u0130NDE \u00d6NE \u00c7IKANLAR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <ul>   <li><span class=\"large\">G\u00fcney Sudan\u2019\u0131n Ankara B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi Majok Guandong, Anadolu Ajans\u0131\u2019na verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, T\u00fcrk i\u015f insanlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fclkesine yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmaya davet etti. 2011\u2019deki referandum sonucunda Sudan\u2019dan ayr\u0131larak ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan eden G\u00fcney Sudan\u2019da 2013\u2019te ba\u015flayan i\u00e7 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00fcr\u00fcyordu. Bu ba\u011flamda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta Salva Kiir ve Riek Machar, G\u00fcney Sudan\u2019da birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak ve i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131 sonland\u0131rmak yolunda \u00f6nemli bir ad\u0131m att\u0131.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\">Sudan\u2019da, Do\u011fu Afrika\u2019daki 8 \u00fclkeden olu\u015fan H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 Kalk\u0131nma Otoritesi (IGAD) serbest dola\u015f\u0131m konusu \u00f6zelinde toplant\u0131lara ba\u015flad\u0131. Toplant\u0131lar kapsam\u0131nda protokollerin imzalanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Sudan \u0130\u00e7i\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Et-Turayfi \u0130dris, toplant\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel entegrasyon yolunda \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\">Nijerya ekonomisi, petrol \u00fcretimine ve Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kredi art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na istinaden 2019\u2019da son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l i\u00e7indeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la y\u00fczde 2.27 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\">Fransa\u2019dan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 1967\u2019den beri Gnassingble ailesinin y\u00f6netti\u011fi Togo\u2019daki se\u00e7im sonucuna g\u00f6re Faure Gnassingble, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc kez Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ildi. Togo\u2019da y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ra\u011fmen n\u00fcfusun yar\u0131s\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1.90 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda ya\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\">Mali\u2019nin Fransa B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi Toumani Djime Diallo, Frans\u0131z askerlerinin Bamako\u2019nun etraf\u0131nda k\u00fcmelendi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinden dolay\u0131 Mali D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan \u00fclkeye geri \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131ld\u0131. Fransa\u2019n\u0131n Sahel b\u00f6lgesinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 5.100 askeri bulunuyor. Mali\u2019de Barkan (Barkhane) operasyonu \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde gelen askerlerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fu zaman ele\u015ftiriliyor.<\/span><\/li>  <\/ul>  <p><\/p>  <p><\/p>  <p><\/p>  <p><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>TUR\u0130ZMDEK\u0130 KAYIP<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Turizm sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde, yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u0131ll\u0131k 150 milyon turist g\u00f6nderen \u00fclke olarak bu sekt\u00f6rde seyahat eden her be\u015f ki\u015fiden biri \u00c7inli idi. Afrika bu sekt\u00f6rden bir milyon turist alarak gelir elde ediyordu. Bunlar\u0131n da 130 bin kadar\u0131 Fas Krall\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019na gidiyordu. K\u0131ta, bundan y\u00fczde 7 civar\u0131nda kalk\u0131nmaya katk\u0131 beklemekteydi. Yine bu alanda istihdam edilen 23 milyon civar\u0131ndaki ki\u015finin \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131 i\u015fsiz kalabilir. \u00c7in-Afrika aras\u0131nda son y\u0131llarda say\u0131lar\u0131 y\u00fczde 400 artan havayolu \u015firketlerinin do\u011frudan u\u00e7u\u015flar\u0131 ve seyahat eden yolcu say\u0131s\u0131 da d\u00fc\u015fecek. Etiyopya Havayollar\u0131 ve RwandAir isimli Ruanda \u015firketi, \u00c7in\u2019in China Southern Havayollar\u0131 seferlerini durdurmasalar bile b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ya\u015f\u0131yor. Sefer say\u0131lar\u0131 da sadece hatt\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutacak kadar g\u00fcnde bir ile ayakta tutulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SORUN FIRSAT MI?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Afrika\u2019da 30 bin civar\u0131ndaki \u00c7in giri\u015fimcilerinin firmalar\u0131, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten olumsuz etkilenecek. Geli\u015fmeler asl\u0131nda k\u0131ta \u00fclkeleri \u00fczerinde ciddi bask\u0131 olu\u015fturan \u00c7inli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ba\u015fka \u00fclkelere f\u0131rsat vermeme gayretleri bir yana, farkl\u0131 finansman imkanlar\u0131 sunmalar\u0131, hatta ucuz i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc istihdam\u0131 gibi sebeplerle alanda haks\u0131z rekabete sebep oluyordu. \u00d6n\u00fc bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc al\u0131namayan bu gidi\u015f, farkl\u0131 imkanlar i\u00e7in kap\u0131lar\u0131 aralayabilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"koronavirus-afrika-ekonomisini-teget-gecemez","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Koronavir\u00fcs Afrika ekonomisini te\u011fet ge\u00e7emez","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Ahmet Kavas","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1088,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":30,"name":"AHMET","surname":"KAVAS","email":"prof-dr-ahmet-kavas@gmail.com","slug":"prof-dr-ahmet-kavas","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916002RXDhDXyMw3kEXW.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-24T11:09:13.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:44:44.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21706,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21607,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Koronavir\u00fcs Afrika ekonomisini te\u011fet ge\u00e7emez","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Afrika; M\u0131s\u0131r ve Cezayir\u2019deki vakalar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda koronavir\u00fcsten hen\u00fcz etkilenmedi. \u00c7in, 2019\u2019da k\u0131ta ile 208 milyar 700 milyon dolarl\u0131k kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ticaret ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu noktada Afrikal\u0131lar \u00c7in olmadan, \u00c7in de Afrika\u2019s\u0131z yapamaz.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Ticari a\u00e7\u0131k 2019\u2019da 17.7 milyar dolarla Afrikal\u0131lar\u0131n aleyhine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fse de t\u00fcm yat\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00c7in\u2019den gelen kaynaklarla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00c7in\u2019deki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131, Afrika\u2019daki yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 da olumsuz etkileyecek. Vir\u00fcs, Afrika turizmine de engelleyici olacak.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong><span><strong>Prof. Dr. Ahmet Kavas<\/strong><\/span><br><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong><img style=\"\" src=\"\/Archive\/Content\/1220202212462063a1ae9c99ee721706.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"\" height=\"\" class=\"contentImg\"><span style=\"color: #808080;\"><em>Afrika\u2019da vatanda\u015flar koronavir\u00fcse kar\u015f\u0131 kendilerini korumak i\u00e7in \u00f6nlem al\u0131yor.<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">Koronavir\u00fcs, do\u011frudan insan sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tehdit ediyor. Bu durum, tedavisi zor ve bula\u015f\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6zelli\u011fi y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fundan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ciddi tehditler olu\u015fturdu. Her g\u00fcn yeni bir \u00fclkede izine rastlanmas\u0131, \u0130ran ve \u0130talya\u2019da da onlarca ki\u015finin \u00f6lmesiyle birlikte tedbir almayan devlet kalmad\u0131. Hastal\u0131klar\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclke veya b\u00f6lgedeki konum, al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemlerle asl\u0131nda kontrol edilebiliyor. Yine de son 20 y\u0131lda \u00f6nce Asya\u2019da SARS vir\u00fcs\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan Afrika\u2019da EBOLA ile ciddi kayg\u0131lar ya\u015fand\u0131. Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta koronavir\u00fcs, onlarla mukayese edilerek b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi. Ancak aradan ge\u00e7en \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre, bunu ilk ikisinden daha fazla tehdide d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc. Hatta sadece \u00fclkeleri ve b\u00f6lgeleri a\u015f\u0131p k\u0131talararas\u0131 t\u00fcm insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in tehlikeli bulunmas\u0131 ile art\u0131k hayat\u0131n her y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc ilgilendirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle k\u00fcresel ekonominin birbirine adeta ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale geldi\u011fi bir zamanda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve yay\u0131lmas\u0131, her alan\u0131 endi\u015feye sevk eder hale getirdi. Bilhassa Afrika; M\u0131s\u0131r ve Cezayir\u2019deki birka\u00e7 vaka d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bu bula\u015f\u0131c\u0131 ve \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc vir\u00fcsten hen\u00fcz etkilenmedi. Ama ba\u015fka beklenmedik bir sonuca sebep oldu. O da k\u0131tan\u0131n ekonomik konumunu b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda sarsmas\u0131 meselesi...<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong><img style=\"\" src=\"\/Archive\/Content\/1220202212462063a1ae9ca689d21706.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"\" height=\"\" class=\"contentImg\">\u00c7\u0130N \u0130LE BA\u011eIMLILIK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k d\u00f6nemleri ile Afrika \u00fclkeleri, d\u00fcnyadaki ekonomik dengelerde kendilerine yeni ortakl\u0131klar kurmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Kar\u015f\u0131lar\u0131na \u00f6nce Hindistan, ard\u0131ndan \u00c7in \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Fakat ikincisi daha atak davranarak son 20 y\u0131lda Afrika\u2019n\u0131n her noktas\u0131nda varl\u0131k g\u00f6sterir hale geldi. 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 500 milyon dolar olan ticaret hacmini, 30 y\u0131lda 400 kat art\u0131rd\u0131. 2019\u2019da k\u0131tada 208 milyar 700 milyon dolarl\u0131k kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ticaret ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdiler. Gelinen seviye art\u0131k Afrikal\u0131lar \u00c7in olmadan, \u00c7in de Afrika\u2019s\u0131z yapamaz hale geldi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2002-2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan SARS vir\u00fcs\u00fc ile \u00e7o\u011fu Asya\u2019da toplam 800 ki\u015fi \u00f6lm\u00fc\u015f, bunun dolayl\u0131 etkisi \u00c7in ekonomisini o s\u00fcre\u00e7te y\u00fczde 9.1 oran\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ne var ki, bu ekonomik kriz, di\u011fer co\u011frafyalar\u0131 da fazla tehdit etmedi. Hatta 2003\u2019\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde yeniden toparlan\u0131p b\u00fcy\u00fcmede y\u00fczde 10\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131. O vir\u00fcs tehdidinin ard\u0131ndan 17 y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti ve Asya devinin d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki pay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc ve art\u0131k be\u015fte bir gibi bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc \u00f6n\u00fc al\u0131namaz bir g\u00fcce kavu\u015ftu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Koranavir\u00fcs \u00e7\u0131kmadan \u00f6nce de ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 etkisini g\u00f6stermeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel boyutta oldu\u011fu kadar bu daima b\u00fcy\u00fcyen g\u00fcc\u00fcn Afrika \u00fclkeleri ile ekonomik ili\u015fkilerinde de bir zay\u0131flama belirtisi kendisini hissettiriyordu. Ama \u00c7in\u2019in k\u0131ta genelinde birinci ekonomik ortak konumuna gelmesi, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te her iki tarafa da verece\u011fi zarar \u015fimdilik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemiyor. Fakat ekonomik hayat\u0131n her safhas\u0131n\u0131 sarsaca\u011f\u0131 kesin.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2.8 M\u0130LYAR \u0130NSAN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2020 itibar\u0131yla \u00c7in\u2019in n\u00fcfusu 1.4 milyar ve Afrika\u2019n\u0131n n\u00fcfusu da buna yak\u0131n olup toplamda 2.8 milyar insan\u0131n birbirine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bahsediyoruz. Bir\u00e7ok sekt\u00f6rde k\u0131ta \u00fclkelerinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck m\u00fc\u015fterisi \u00c7inliler. Keresteden petrol ve zirai \u00fcr\u00fcnlere kadar ve \u00f6zellikle hammadde kaynaklar\u0131 ile ihracat bak\u0131m\u0131ndan en b\u00fcy\u00fck al\u0131c\u0131 konumunda. Her ne kadar ticari a\u00e7\u0131k 2019\u2019da 17.7 milyar dolarla Afrikal\u0131lar\u0131n aleyhine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fse de mevcut yat\u0131r\u0131mlar bunlardan gelen kaynaklarla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu geli\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 her sekt\u00f6rdeki ekonomik i\u015flemleri zora sokacak. \u015eimdiden d\u00fcnyada g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol t\u00fcketiminde 260 bin varillik bir azalma bekleniyor ki bunun, varil ba\u015f\u0131na fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 dolar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya \u00e7ekmesi bekleniyor. Bu rakam k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de en \u00f6nemli al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 olan \u00c7in\u2019e petrol ihra\u00e7 eden Sudan ve Angola\u2019y\u0131 etkileyecek. ABD\u2019den sonra d\u00fcnyada ikinci petrol t\u00fcketicisi olmas\u0131, di\u011fer taraftan birinci s\u0131rada ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 y\u00fcz\u00fcnden yine en fazla Afrika \u00fclkelerini vuracak. 2014\u2019te petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ani ve y\u00fcksek orandaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015fta Angola, Cezayir, \u00c7ad, Gabon ve Kongo gibi \u00fclke ekonomilerini vurmu\u015f ve neredeyse t\u00fcm yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n durmas\u0131na sebep olmu\u015ftu. Afrika\u2019da tar\u0131m ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok \u00fcr\u00fcn i\u00e7in \u00c7in pazar\u0131 hedef al\u0131n\u0131yordu. Onlarca b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015fehirde ya\u015fayan onlarca milyon insan\u0131n evlerinden d\u0131\u015far\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kamamalar\u0131 sebebiyle bu \u00fclkeye ithalatta ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanacak. Hayvan ve onlardan elde edilen \u00fcr\u00fcnler, \u00e7ay ve kahveden \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ne varana kadar her birinin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n durmas\u0131 bunlara ba\u011fl\u0131 k\u0131ta \u00fclkelerinin ekonomilerini derinden sarsacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>AKEM ARA\u015eTIRMACILARINA G\u00d6RE AFR\u0130KA G\u00dcNDEM\u0130NDE \u00d6NE \u00c7IKANLAR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <ul>   <li><span class=\"large\">G\u00fcney Sudan\u2019\u0131n Ankara B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi Majok Guandong, Anadolu Ajans\u0131\u2019na verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, T\u00fcrk i\u015f insanlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fclkesine yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmaya davet etti. 2011\u2019deki referandum sonucunda Sudan\u2019dan ayr\u0131larak ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan eden G\u00fcney Sudan\u2019da 2013\u2019te ba\u015flayan i\u00e7 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00fcr\u00fcyordu. Bu ba\u011flamda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta Salva Kiir ve Riek Machar, G\u00fcney Sudan\u2019da birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak ve i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131 sonland\u0131rmak yolunda \u00f6nemli bir ad\u0131m att\u0131.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\">Sudan\u2019da, Do\u011fu Afrika\u2019daki 8 \u00fclkeden olu\u015fan H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 Kalk\u0131nma Otoritesi (IGAD) serbest dola\u015f\u0131m konusu \u00f6zelinde toplant\u0131lara ba\u015flad\u0131. Toplant\u0131lar kapsam\u0131nda protokollerin imzalanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Sudan \u0130\u00e7i\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Et-Turayfi \u0130dris, toplant\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel entegrasyon yolunda \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\">Nijerya ekonomisi, petrol \u00fcretimine ve Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kredi art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na istinaden 2019\u2019da son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l i\u00e7indeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la y\u00fczde 2.27 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\">Fransa\u2019dan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 1967\u2019den beri Gnassingble ailesinin y\u00f6netti\u011fi Togo\u2019daki se\u00e7im sonucuna g\u00f6re Faure Gnassingble, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc kez Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ildi. Togo\u2019da y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ra\u011fmen n\u00fcfusun yar\u0131s\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1.90 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda ya\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\">Mali\u2019nin Fransa B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi Toumani Djime Diallo, Frans\u0131z askerlerinin Bamako\u2019nun etraf\u0131nda k\u00fcmelendi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinden dolay\u0131 Mali D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan \u00fclkeye geri \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131ld\u0131. Fransa\u2019n\u0131n Sahel b\u00f6lgesinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 5.100 askeri bulunuyor. Mali\u2019de Barkan (Barkhane) operasyonu \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde gelen askerlerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fu zaman ele\u015ftiriliyor.<\/span><\/li>  <\/ul>  <p><\/p>  <p><\/p>  <p><\/p>  <p><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>TUR\u0130ZMDEK\u0130 KAYIP<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Turizm sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde, yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u0131ll\u0131k 150 milyon turist g\u00f6nderen \u00fclke olarak bu sekt\u00f6rde seyahat eden her be\u015f ki\u015fiden biri \u00c7inli idi. Afrika bu sekt\u00f6rden bir milyon turist alarak gelir elde ediyordu. Bunlar\u0131n da 130 bin kadar\u0131 Fas Krall\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019na gidiyordu. K\u0131ta, bundan y\u00fczde 7 civar\u0131nda kalk\u0131nmaya katk\u0131 beklemekteydi. Yine bu alanda istihdam edilen 23 milyon civar\u0131ndaki ki\u015finin \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131 i\u015fsiz kalabilir. \u00c7in-Afrika aras\u0131nda son y\u0131llarda say\u0131lar\u0131 y\u00fczde 400 artan havayolu \u015firketlerinin do\u011frudan u\u00e7u\u015flar\u0131 ve seyahat eden yolcu say\u0131s\u0131 da d\u00fc\u015fecek. Etiyopya Havayollar\u0131 ve RwandAir isimli Ruanda \u015firketi, \u00c7in\u2019in China Southern Havayollar\u0131 seferlerini durdurmasalar bile b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ya\u015f\u0131yor. Sefer say\u0131lar\u0131 da sadece hatt\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutacak kadar g\u00fcnde bir ile ayakta tutulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SORUN FIRSAT MI?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Afrika\u2019da 30 bin civar\u0131ndaki \u00c7in giri\u015fimcilerinin firmalar\u0131, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten olumsuz etkilenecek. Geli\u015fmeler asl\u0131nda k\u0131ta \u00fclkeleri \u00fczerinde ciddi bask\u0131 olu\u015fturan \u00c7inli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ba\u015fka \u00fclkelere f\u0131rsat vermeme gayretleri bir yana, farkl\u0131 finansman imkanlar\u0131 sunmalar\u0131, hatta ucuz i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc istihdam\u0131 gibi sebeplerle alanda haks\u0131z rekabete sebep oluyordu. \u00d6n\u00fc bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc al\u0131namayan bu gidi\u015f, farkl\u0131 imkanlar i\u00e7in kap\u0131lar\u0131 aralayabilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"koronavirus-afrika-ekonomisini-teget-gecemez","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Koronavir\u00fcs Afrika ekonomisini te\u011fet ge\u00e7emez","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Ahmet Kavas","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1088,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}