{"status":true,"post":{"id":17349,"user_id":25,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:18:46","created_at":"2017-10-22T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:18:46.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":17349,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen robot say\u0131n\u0131z ka\u00e7?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Robotlarla ya\u015famay\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenmeye ba\u015flasak iyi olur. Film gibi alg\u0131lasak veya neler getirece\u011fini kavrayamasak da robotlar yava\u015f yava\u015f kapal\u0131 mek\u00e2ndan soka\u011fa do\u011fru \u00e7\u0131kmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">End\u00fcstri devrimlerinin ilk \u00fc\u00e7\u00fc, 100\u2019er y\u0131ll\u0131k arayla ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, 4\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, 30 y\u0131l\u0131 bile beklemeden g\u00fcndemimize girdi. Daha da vahimi, 4\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc \u00fczerinden 10 y\u0131l bile ge\u00e7meden, 5\u2019incisinden bahsedilmesi, i\u015fte bu, insanlar\u0131 \u00e7ileden \u00e7\u0131kartmaya yetecek gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Her \u015feyin haz\u0131m s\u00fcresi var; bu kadar k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede bir, nas\u0131l sindirece\u011fiz; iki, kendimizi nas\u0131l adapte edece\u011fiz?<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bizler daha End\u00fcstri 4.0\u2019\u0131 konu\u015furken, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir yerlerinde 5.0\u2019a ge\u00e7i\u015f haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131na ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ROBOTLA\u015eMAYI ANLAMAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">International Federation of Robotics\u2019in 2016 tarihli d\u00fcnya raporunun, UNCTAD\u2019\u0131nGeli\u015fmekte Olan \u00dclkelerde Robotla\u015fma ve Sanayile\u015fme(2016) ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, sanayide robotla\u015fmayla ilgili. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bizdeki oranlar\u0131 hen\u00fcz bilmiyoruz ama 2015\u2019te d\u00fcnyada 1.6 milyon sanayi robotu kullan\u0131lmaktaym\u0131\u015f. Y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama y\u00fczde 16\u2019l\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fla bu say\u0131n\u0131n 2019\u2019da 2.6 milyona \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Raporda robotla\u015fma oran\u0131, imalat sanayinde 10 bin i\u015f\u00e7iye d\u00fc\u015fen robot say\u0131s\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya ortalamas\u0131 70 civar\u0131nda. Liste ba\u015f\u0131nda 530 ile G\u00fcney Kore yer al\u0131yor. Japonya, Almanya ve ABD bu \u00fclkeyi izliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Robotlar, yapay zek\u00e2 alan\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmelerle birle\u015fti\u011finde giderek daha \u2018ak\u0131ll\u0131\u2019 hale gelmekte ve 10 y\u0131lda robot \u00fcretim maliyetinin y\u00fczde 20 d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi; ortalama verimlerinin de h\u0131zlanarak artaca\u011f\u0131; Japonya, G. Kore, Almanya, ABD ve \u00c7in\u2019de \u2018daha ak\u0131ll\u0131\u2019 robot kullan\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 8\u2019den 26\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 raporda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>D\u00dcNYADA EMEK VER\u0130ML\u0130L\u0130\u011e\u0130NDE B\u0130R D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e OLDU\u011eU B\u0130L\u0130N\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar da yap\u0131lsa, emek verimlili\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u015fekilde art\u0131rmak \u00e7ok m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131, olmuyor. Bunun bir\u00e7ok sebebi var. Temel sebebi, insanlar\u0131n gittik\u00e7e mekanikle\u015fmesi ve sonu\u00e7 olarak buna duyusal reaksiyon g\u00f6stermesi diyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u2018Emek verimlili\u011finin d\u00fc\u015fmesi, sanayiye robotlar\u0131n giri\u015fini h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131yor mu\u2019 diye de merak ediyor insan.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kald\u0131 ki \u2018robotla\u015fmadan kaynaklanan verim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve i\u015fsizlik\u2019 hen\u00fcz istatistiklere yans\u0131mad\u0131. Bu nedenle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda robotla\u015fma temposunun h\u0131zlan\u0131p h\u0131zlanmayaca\u011f\u0131 insanlar\u0131n gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EMEKTEK\u0130 TASARRUF ROBOT YATIRIMINI KA\u00c7 YILDA KAR\u015eILAR?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">International Federation of Robotics\u2019in 2016 tarihli d\u00fcnya raporunun hesaplamas\u0131na yak\u0131ndan bakarsak: Emek maliyetlerindeki tasarruf (d\u00fc\u015fme), robot yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ka\u00e7 y\u0131lda kar\u015f\u0131lar? Bu hesaptaki amortisman s\u00fcresi, robotla\u015fman\u0131n ortalama verim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er. Bir \u00f6rnek olarak \u00c7in\u2019de elektrik kayna\u011f\u0131nda robotla\u015fman\u0131n amortisman s\u00fcresi veriliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2010, 2015 ve 2017 ortalamalar\u0131 h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: 5.3 y\u0131l 1.7-1.3 y\u0131l. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Rapor bu tempoya yakla\u015fan verim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fcretim s\u00fcre\u00e7lerine ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n dramatik sonu\u00e7lar yarataca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00c7\u0130N, BA\u015eI \u00c7EK\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Rapora g\u00f6re, geli\u015fmelerin ipu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019den g\u00f6zleyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in, 2015\u2019te \u2018Made in China 2025\u2019 ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir sanayi stratejisi olu\u015fturdu; \u2018robot devrimi\u2019 bu stratejinin \u00f6nde gelen bir \u00f6\u011fesi olarak ilan edildi. Bu devrimin ilk i\u015faretleri daha \u00f6nceden ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 2013\u2019ten bu yana robot kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 en \u00e7ok art\u0131ran \u00fclke \u00c7in. Rapora g\u00f6re, 2019\u2019da d\u00fcnya robot stokundaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n y\u00fczde 40\u2019\u0131 bu \u00fclkeden kaynaklanacak. B\u00f6ylece sanayide robot \/ i\u015f\u00e7i oranlar\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00c7in, be\u015f y\u0131lda Bat\u0131 ekonomilerine yakla\u015fmay\u0131 planl\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in bu hedefleri sadece robot kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil, devlet\u00e7e desteklenen \u2018yerli robot \u00fcretimini\u2019 de kaps\u0131yor. 2016-2020 aras\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k robot art\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda yerli \u00fcretimin pay\u0131 y\u00fckselecek: Y\u00fczde 31-50.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>NEREYE G\u0130D\u0130YORUZ?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <ul>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">K\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde i\u015fsizlik h\u0131zla t\u0131rmanacak.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">\u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131 ortaya bir\u00e7ok farkl\u0131 problemi do\u011furacak.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">Robotla\u015fma, ikinci ve ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck bir tehdit olacak gibi...<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">Robotla\u015fman\u0131n artmas\u0131, \u00fcst nitelikli insanlar\u0131n yeti\u015fmesini gerektirecek. Bu durumda mevcut e\u011fitim sistemleri g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilecek.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">Robotla\u015fmaya destek verilerek eme\u011fin metala\u015fmas\u0131 engellenmi\u015f olacak ve metala\u015fan eme\u011fin yok olmas\u0131 da uzun vadede kapitalizmi vuran bir sonu\u00e7 \u00fcretecek.<\/span><\/li>  <\/ul>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"kisi-basina-dusen-robot-sayiniz-kac","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen robot say\u0131n\u0131z ka\u00e7?","meta_description":"Salih Keskin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1079,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":25,"name":"SAL\u0130H","surname":"KESK\u0130N","email":"salih-keskin@gmail.com","slug":"salih-keskin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600od1Wwxipsn5YGuj.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-20T05:32:50.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:48:39.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":17448,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":17349,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen robot say\u0131n\u0131z ka\u00e7?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Robotlarla ya\u015famay\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenmeye ba\u015flasak iyi olur. Film gibi alg\u0131lasak veya neler getirece\u011fini kavrayamasak da robotlar yava\u015f yava\u015f kapal\u0131 mek\u00e2ndan soka\u011fa do\u011fru \u00e7\u0131kmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">End\u00fcstri devrimlerinin ilk \u00fc\u00e7\u00fc, 100\u2019er y\u0131ll\u0131k arayla ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, 4\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, 30 y\u0131l\u0131 bile beklemeden g\u00fcndemimize girdi. Daha da vahimi, 4\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc \u00fczerinden 10 y\u0131l bile ge\u00e7meden, 5\u2019incisinden bahsedilmesi, i\u015fte bu, insanlar\u0131 \u00e7ileden \u00e7\u0131kartmaya yetecek gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Her \u015feyin haz\u0131m s\u00fcresi var; bu kadar k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede bir, nas\u0131l sindirece\u011fiz; iki, kendimizi nas\u0131l adapte edece\u011fiz?<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bizler daha End\u00fcstri 4.0\u2019\u0131 konu\u015furken, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir yerlerinde 5.0\u2019a ge\u00e7i\u015f haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131na ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ROBOTLA\u015eMAYI ANLAMAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">International Federation of Robotics\u2019in 2016 tarihli d\u00fcnya raporunun, UNCTAD\u2019\u0131nGeli\u015fmekte Olan \u00dclkelerde Robotla\u015fma ve Sanayile\u015fme(2016) ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, sanayide robotla\u015fmayla ilgili. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bizdeki oranlar\u0131 hen\u00fcz bilmiyoruz ama 2015\u2019te d\u00fcnyada 1.6 milyon sanayi robotu kullan\u0131lmaktaym\u0131\u015f. Y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama y\u00fczde 16\u2019l\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fla bu say\u0131n\u0131n 2019\u2019da 2.6 milyona \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Raporda robotla\u015fma oran\u0131, imalat sanayinde 10 bin i\u015f\u00e7iye d\u00fc\u015fen robot say\u0131s\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya ortalamas\u0131 70 civar\u0131nda. Liste ba\u015f\u0131nda 530 ile G\u00fcney Kore yer al\u0131yor. Japonya, Almanya ve ABD bu \u00fclkeyi izliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Robotlar, yapay zek\u00e2 alan\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmelerle birle\u015fti\u011finde giderek daha \u2018ak\u0131ll\u0131\u2019 hale gelmekte ve 10 y\u0131lda robot \u00fcretim maliyetinin y\u00fczde 20 d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi; ortalama verimlerinin de h\u0131zlanarak artaca\u011f\u0131; Japonya, G. Kore, Almanya, ABD ve \u00c7in\u2019de \u2018daha ak\u0131ll\u0131\u2019 robot kullan\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 8\u2019den 26\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 raporda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>D\u00dcNYADA EMEK VER\u0130ML\u0130L\u0130\u011e\u0130NDE B\u0130R D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e OLDU\u011eU B\u0130L\u0130N\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar da yap\u0131lsa, emek verimlili\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u015fekilde art\u0131rmak \u00e7ok m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131, olmuyor. Bunun bir\u00e7ok sebebi var. Temel sebebi, insanlar\u0131n gittik\u00e7e mekanikle\u015fmesi ve sonu\u00e7 olarak buna duyusal reaksiyon g\u00f6stermesi diyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u2018Emek verimlili\u011finin d\u00fc\u015fmesi, sanayiye robotlar\u0131n giri\u015fini h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131yor mu\u2019 diye de merak ediyor insan.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kald\u0131 ki \u2018robotla\u015fmadan kaynaklanan verim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve i\u015fsizlik\u2019 hen\u00fcz istatistiklere yans\u0131mad\u0131. Bu nedenle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda robotla\u015fma temposunun h\u0131zlan\u0131p h\u0131zlanmayaca\u011f\u0131 insanlar\u0131n gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EMEKTEK\u0130 TASARRUF ROBOT YATIRIMINI KA\u00c7 YILDA KAR\u015eILAR?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">International Federation of Robotics\u2019in 2016 tarihli d\u00fcnya raporunun hesaplamas\u0131na yak\u0131ndan bakarsak: Emek maliyetlerindeki tasarruf (d\u00fc\u015fme), robot yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ka\u00e7 y\u0131lda kar\u015f\u0131lar? Bu hesaptaki amortisman s\u00fcresi, robotla\u015fman\u0131n ortalama verim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er. Bir \u00f6rnek olarak \u00c7in\u2019de elektrik kayna\u011f\u0131nda robotla\u015fman\u0131n amortisman s\u00fcresi veriliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2010, 2015 ve 2017 ortalamalar\u0131 h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: 5.3 y\u0131l 1.7-1.3 y\u0131l. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Rapor bu tempoya yakla\u015fan verim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fcretim s\u00fcre\u00e7lerine ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n dramatik sonu\u00e7lar yarataca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00c7\u0130N, BA\u015eI \u00c7EK\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Rapora g\u00f6re, geli\u015fmelerin ipu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019den g\u00f6zleyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in, 2015\u2019te \u2018Made in China 2025\u2019 ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir sanayi stratejisi olu\u015fturdu; \u2018robot devrimi\u2019 bu stratejinin \u00f6nde gelen bir \u00f6\u011fesi olarak ilan edildi. Bu devrimin ilk i\u015faretleri daha \u00f6nceden ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 2013\u2019ten bu yana robot kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 en \u00e7ok art\u0131ran \u00fclke \u00c7in. Rapora g\u00f6re, 2019\u2019da d\u00fcnya robot stokundaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n y\u00fczde 40\u2019\u0131 bu \u00fclkeden kaynaklanacak. B\u00f6ylece sanayide robot \/ i\u015f\u00e7i oranlar\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00c7in, be\u015f y\u0131lda Bat\u0131 ekonomilerine yakla\u015fmay\u0131 planl\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in bu hedefleri sadece robot kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil, devlet\u00e7e desteklenen \u2018yerli robot \u00fcretimini\u2019 de kaps\u0131yor. 2016-2020 aras\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k robot art\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda yerli \u00fcretimin pay\u0131 y\u00fckselecek: Y\u00fczde 31-50.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>NEREYE G\u0130D\u0130YORUZ?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <ul>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">K\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde i\u015fsizlik h\u0131zla t\u0131rmanacak.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">\u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131 ortaya bir\u00e7ok farkl\u0131 problemi do\u011furacak.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">Robotla\u015fma, ikinci ve ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck bir tehdit olacak gibi...<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">Robotla\u015fman\u0131n artmas\u0131, \u00fcst nitelikli insanlar\u0131n yeti\u015fmesini gerektirecek. Bu durumda mevcut e\u011fitim sistemleri g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilecek.<\/span><\/li>   <li><span class=\"large\" style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">Robotla\u015fmaya destek verilerek eme\u011fin metala\u015fmas\u0131 engellenmi\u015f olacak ve metala\u015fan eme\u011fin yok olmas\u0131 da uzun vadede kapitalizmi vuran bir sonu\u00e7 \u00fcretecek.<\/span><\/li>  <\/ul>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"kisi-basina-dusen-robot-sayiniz-kac","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen robot say\u0131n\u0131z ka\u00e7?","meta_description":"Salih Keskin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1079,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}