{"status":true,"post":{"id":23434,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:29:13","created_at":"2020-11-05T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:29:13.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":23434,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u0130\u015fler h\u0131zl\u0131 toparland\u0131, ikinci dalga yava\u015flatacak","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde ve \u00f6zellikle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de i\u015fler beklentilerin \u00fczerinde bir h\u0131zla toparland\u0131. Ancak Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131nda yay\u0131lan ikinci dalga nedeniyle i\u015fler yava\u015flayacak. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131n\u0131n zorlu ge\u00e7ece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
1. D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130NDE HIZLI TOPARLANMA<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 sonras\u0131 ikinci \u00e7eyrekteki sert daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir toparlanma ya\u015fan\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya ekonomisi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 5.2 beklentilerin alt\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2.5 darald\u0131. D\u00fcnya mal ticaretinde daralma \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4.5\u2019e geriledi. Ekim ay\u0131 sonu itibariyle d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki toplam aktiviteler Covid-19 \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemin faaliyet seviyesinin y\u00fczde 80\u2019ine ula\u015ft\u0131. Kamu ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n destekleri h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanmay\u0131 destekledi. Ancak toparlanman\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in desteklerin devam etmesi gerekir.<\/span>
<\/span>
2. COV\u0130D-19\u2019DA \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 DALGA<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131nda k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte ikinci dalga ya\u015fan\u0131yor. \u0130lk dalgada g\u00fcnl\u00fck yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fcnya genelinde 200 bine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f iken ikinci dalgada 500 bine yakla\u015ft\u0131. \u0130kinci dalga, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde yeniden yava\u015flamaya neden olacak. Kademeli kapatmalar hayata ge\u00e7meye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131 ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan olduk\u00e7a zorlu ge\u00e7ecek. Ekonomiler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 4-5 ayl\u0131k zorlu d\u00f6neme haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ve nakit ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nem ya\u015fanacak. Sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00fcmitler a\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bulunmas\u0131 ve uygulanmas\u0131nda.<\/span>
<\/span>
3. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019DE \u0130KT\u0130SAD\u0130 FAAL\u0130YETLERDE HIZLI \u0130Y\u0130LE\u015eME YA\u015eANDI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de iktisadi faaliyetlerde beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 bir toparlanma ya\u015fanmaya devam ediyor. Ekim ay\u0131nda da iktisadi faaliyetlerde geni\u015fleme devam etti. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan itibaren al\u0131nmaya ba\u015flanan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemlerine ra\u011fmen geni\u015fleme ivmesi ekim ay\u0131nda da s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc kredi ve parasal destekler iktisadi faaliyetlerdeki geni\u015flemede \u00e7arpan etkisi ile etkili olmaya devam ediyor. Desteklerin katk\u0131s\u0131 y\u0131lsonuna kadar s\u00fcrecek. Ancak Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ikinci dalgan\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 etkileri de g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flanacak.<\/span>
<\/span>
4. REEL KES\u0130M BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130 \u0130Y\u0130MSER<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130ktisadi faaliyetlerde h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma, g\u00fcven ve beklentileri de iyile\u015ftirdi. Ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksi art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Endeks, ekim ay\u0131nda 92.8 puana ula\u015ft\u0131. Ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksindeki art\u0131\u015f, in\u015faat, reel kesim (imalat sanayi), hizmet ve perakende ticaret g\u00fcven endekslerindeki art\u0131\u015flardan kaynakland\u0131. T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi ekim ay\u0131nda dura\u011fanla\u015ft\u0131. Reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi ise ekim ay\u0131nda 4.0 puan daha artarak 109.7 puana ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/span>
<\/span>
5. \u0130\u00c7 VE DI\u015e TALEPTEK\u0130 CANLANMA \u00dcRET\u0130M\u0130 DESTEKLED\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Sanayi faaliyetlerinde yaz aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan toparlanma ekim ay\u0131nda yeniden h\u0131zland\u0131. \u0130stanbul Sanayi Odas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 52.8 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftikten sonra ekim ay\u0131nda 53.9 puana y\u00fckseldi. \u00dcretim ve yeni sipari\u015flerde art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zland\u0131. \u0130stihdam yaratma h\u0131z\u0131 son 32 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00d6zellikle d\u0131\u015f talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretimini h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131nda ihracat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi ve y\u00fczde 5.6 y\u00fckseldi. \u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131ndan sipari\u015f art\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
6. YAVA\u015eLAMA D\u00d6NEM\u0130NE HAZIRLIK YAPALIM<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130ktisadi faaliyetlerdeki toparlanma y\u0131l\u0131n son iki ay\u0131nda yava\u015flayacak, yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde ise dura\u011fanla\u015facak. \u0130lk olarak s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri ve artan faiz oranlar\u0131 i\u015fleri yava\u015flatacak. \u0130kinci olarak ise hem i\u00e7eride hem de d\u0131\u015far\u0131da Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n ikinci dalgas\u0131 nedeniyle i\u015fler aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndan itibaren yava\u015flayacak. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetler zorlu bir 4-5 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neme giriyor. \u0130\u015flerin yava\u015flayacak olmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra firmalar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 konu daha zorlayacak. Bunlardan ilki, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar ile olu\u015fan mali s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar. \u0130kinci olarak cari kamu y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerinin kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131nda zorluklar ya\u015fanacak. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc olarak ise y\u0131lsonuna kadar bankalar yeni kredi vermek yerine, kredilerde yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131rmalara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verecek. Kamu bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lacak olmas\u0131 ise olumlu bir ad\u0131m olacak.<\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
CovId-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 i\u015flerde dalgal\u0131 d\u00f6nemler yarat\u0131yor, ini\u015flere ve \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flara haz\u0131r olmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"isler-hizli-toparlandi-ikinci-dalga-yavaslatacak","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130\u015fler h\u0131zl\u0131 toparland\u0131, ikinci dalga yava\u015flatacak","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1081,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":23533,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":23434,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130\u015fler h\u0131zl\u0131 toparland\u0131, ikinci dalga yava\u015flatacak","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde ve \u00f6zellikle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de i\u015fler beklentilerin \u00fczerinde bir h\u0131zla toparland\u0131. Ancak Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131nda yay\u0131lan ikinci dalga nedeniyle i\u015fler yava\u015flayacak. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131n\u0131n zorlu ge\u00e7ece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
1. D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130NDE HIZLI TOPARLANMA<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 sonras\u0131 ikinci \u00e7eyrekteki sert daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir toparlanma ya\u015fan\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya ekonomisi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 5.2 beklentilerin alt\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2.5 darald\u0131. D\u00fcnya mal ticaretinde daralma \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4.5\u2019e geriledi. Ekim ay\u0131 sonu itibariyle d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki toplam aktiviteler Covid-19 \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemin faaliyet seviyesinin y\u00fczde 80\u2019ine ula\u015ft\u0131. Kamu ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n destekleri h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanmay\u0131 destekledi. Ancak toparlanman\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in desteklerin devam etmesi gerekir.<\/span>
<\/span>
2. COV\u0130D-19\u2019DA \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 DALGA<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131nda k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte ikinci dalga ya\u015fan\u0131yor. \u0130lk dalgada g\u00fcnl\u00fck yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fcnya genelinde 200 bine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f iken ikinci dalgada 500 bine yakla\u015ft\u0131. \u0130kinci dalga, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde yeniden yava\u015flamaya neden olacak. Kademeli kapatmalar hayata ge\u00e7meye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131 ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan olduk\u00e7a zorlu ge\u00e7ecek. Ekonomiler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 4-5 ayl\u0131k zorlu d\u00f6neme haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ve nakit ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nem ya\u015fanacak. Sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00fcmitler a\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bulunmas\u0131 ve uygulanmas\u0131nda.<\/span>
<\/span>
3. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019DE \u0130KT\u0130SAD\u0130 FAAL\u0130YETLERDE HIZLI \u0130Y\u0130LE\u015eME YA\u015eANDI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de iktisadi faaliyetlerde beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 bir toparlanma ya\u015fanmaya devam ediyor. Ekim ay\u0131nda da iktisadi faaliyetlerde geni\u015fleme devam etti. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan itibaren al\u0131nmaya ba\u015flanan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemlerine ra\u011fmen geni\u015fleme ivmesi ekim ay\u0131nda da s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc kredi ve parasal destekler iktisadi faaliyetlerdeki geni\u015flemede \u00e7arpan etkisi ile etkili olmaya devam ediyor. Desteklerin katk\u0131s\u0131 y\u0131lsonuna kadar s\u00fcrecek. Ancak Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ikinci dalgan\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 etkileri de g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flanacak.<\/span>
<\/span>
4. REEL KES\u0130M BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130 \u0130Y\u0130MSER<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130ktisadi faaliyetlerde h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma, g\u00fcven ve beklentileri de iyile\u015ftirdi. Ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksi art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Endeks, ekim ay\u0131nda 92.8 puana ula\u015ft\u0131. Ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksindeki art\u0131\u015f, in\u015faat, reel kesim (imalat sanayi), hizmet ve perakende ticaret g\u00fcven endekslerindeki art\u0131\u015flardan kaynakland\u0131. T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi ekim ay\u0131nda dura\u011fanla\u015ft\u0131. Reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi ise ekim ay\u0131nda 4.0 puan daha artarak 109.7 puana ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/span>
<\/span>
5. \u0130\u00c7 VE DI\u015e TALEPTEK\u0130 CANLANMA \u00dcRET\u0130M\u0130 DESTEKLED\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Sanayi faaliyetlerinde yaz aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan toparlanma ekim ay\u0131nda yeniden h\u0131zland\u0131. \u0130stanbul Sanayi Odas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 52.8 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftikten sonra ekim ay\u0131nda 53.9 puana y\u00fckseldi. \u00dcretim ve yeni sipari\u015flerde art\u0131\u015f h\u0131zland\u0131. \u0130stihdam yaratma h\u0131z\u0131 son 32 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00d6zellikle d\u0131\u015f talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretimini h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131nda ihracat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi ve y\u00fczde 5.6 y\u00fckseldi. \u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131ndan sipari\u015f art\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
6. YAVA\u015eLAMA D\u00d6NEM\u0130NE HAZIRLIK YAPALIM<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130ktisadi faaliyetlerdeki toparlanma y\u0131l\u0131n son iki ay\u0131nda yava\u015flayacak, yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde ise dura\u011fanla\u015facak. \u0130lk olarak s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri ve artan faiz oranlar\u0131 i\u015fleri yava\u015flatacak. \u0130kinci olarak ise hem i\u00e7eride hem de d\u0131\u015far\u0131da Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n ikinci dalgas\u0131 nedeniyle i\u015fler aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndan itibaren yava\u015flayacak. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetler zorlu bir 4-5 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neme giriyor. \u0130\u015flerin yava\u015flayacak olmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra firmalar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 konu daha zorlayacak. Bunlardan ilki, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar ile olu\u015fan mali s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar. \u0130kinci olarak cari kamu y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerinin kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131nda zorluklar ya\u015fanacak. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc olarak ise y\u0131lsonuna kadar bankalar yeni kredi vermek yerine, kredilerde yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131rmalara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verecek. Kamu bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lacak olmas\u0131 ise olumlu bir ad\u0131m olacak.<\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
CovId-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 i\u015flerde dalgal\u0131 d\u00f6nemler yarat\u0131yor, ini\u015flere ve \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flara haz\u0131r olmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"isler-hizli-toparlandi-ikinci-dalga-yavaslatacak","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130\u015fler h\u0131zl\u0131 toparland\u0131, ikinci dalga yava\u015flatacak","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1081,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}