{"status":true,"post":{"id":82149,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":0,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2026-01-16 08:54:00","created_at":"2026-01-16T05:54:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2026-01-16T05:54:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2026-01-16 08:54:00","source_id":null,"post_id":82149,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u0130ran\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ve global ekonomiye yans\u0131malar\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":"\u0130ran\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ve global ekonomiye yans\u0131malar\u0131","sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"<p id=\"isPasted\"><strong>\u0130ran\u2019da ba\u015flayan olaylarla birlikte ABD, Rusya, \u00c7in ve \u0130srail\u2019den gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar global anlamda gerginli\u011fin artmas\u0131na neden oldu.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Konu sadece bir halk\u0131n tepkisi olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine te\u015febb\u00fcs ve bu te\u015febb\u00fcse d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan destek verilmesine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu arada \u00c7in ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tutumu da \u0130ran\u2019da ciddi bir g\u00fc\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Rusya D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 S\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Mariya Zaharova, \u201c\u0130ran'\u0131n i\u00e7 siyasi s\u00fcre\u00e7lerine y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 m\u00fcdahaleyi \u015fiddetle k\u0131n\u0131yoruz\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda bulundu. Bu k\u0131naman\u0131n arkas\u0131nda askeri anlamda ne gibi destek verilece\u011fine dair hi\u00e7bir a\u00e7\u0131klama da bulunmamas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekici.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>\u2018ARZ KES\u0130NT\u0130S\u0130\u2019 SENARYOLARI<br><\/strong><\/p><p>Uzun zamand\u0131r yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla m\u00fccadele eden \u0130ran, ya\u015fanan ekonomik krizin de etkisinde bulunuyor. \u00a0\u0130ran\u2019da protestolar\u0131n \u015fiddetlenmesi ve Tahran y\u00f6netiminin ABD ile \u0130srail\u2019e y\u00f6nelik sert uyar\u0131lar\u0131, piyasada \u2018arz kesintisi\u2019 senaryolar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden canland\u0131rd\u0131. G\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 3.2 milyon varil ham petrol \u00fcreten ve bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 milyon varilini ihra\u00e7 eden \u0130ran, OPEC\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticisi konumunda. Olas\u0131 bir askeri veya siyasi t\u0131rmanman\u0131n, yaln\u0131zca \u0130ran \u00fcretimini de\u011fil, k\u00fcresel petrol ticaretinin en kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131 olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 da etkileyebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi fiyatlara yans\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda brent petrol varil fiyat\u0131 60 dolar seviyesinden 65.90 dolar seviyelerine kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 son derece \u00f6nemli. ABD\u2019nin yumu\u015fak karn\u0131d\u0131r diyebiliriz. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselirse, ABD\u2019de enflasyon y\u00fckselecektir. O zaman da faiz indirimleri m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olamayacak. Venezuela petrollerinin kontrol\u00fc de petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n kontrol\u00fc amac\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor. Buradaki arz ile fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131lamak hedefleniyor.\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>T\u0130CARETE Y\u00dcZDE 25 VERG\u0130<br><\/strong><\/p><p>\u0130ran\u2019a yap\u0131labilecek bir m\u00fcdahaleye kar\u015f\u0131 Rusya veya \u00c7in\u2019in do\u011frudan taraf olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyoruz. Ancak son zamanlarda \u0130ran\u2019a gelen Rus kargo u\u00e7aklar\u0131 ciddi bir haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bize g\u00f6steriyor.\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la ticaret yapan \u00fclkelere y\u00fczde 25 vergi uygulanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ise bizi yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiriyor. Bir yandan yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki kom\u015fu \u00fclkeyle ticaretimizi zora sokuyor, di\u011fer yandan da ABD\u2019ye yap\u0131lacak ihracat\u0131n zora girmesine neden olacak riskler.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Bu durumda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat\u0131nda \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde \u00f6nemli riskler kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131kacak. Bu nedenle bir B plan\u0131na ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olabilir. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle akaryak\u0131t pompa fiyatlar\u0131na gelen zam, gelecekte \u00fclkemizde de enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede aksama ya\u015fanma riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Bir s\u0131cak temas olmas\u0131 durumunda, e\u011fer k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sonu\u00e7lanmazsa, global piyasalarda da \u00f6nemli etkileri olacakt\u0131r. Kald\u0131 ki, \u00c7in\u2019in ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n dahil olmas\u0131 riski ise tehlikenin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Global riskleri ve gelebilecek yeni yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek tedbirli olmakta fayda var.<\/p><p><br><\/p>","slug":"irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari","tags":null,"meta_title":"\u0130ran\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ve global ekonomiye yans\u0131malar\u0131","meta_description":"\u0130ran\u2019da ba\u015flayan olaylarla birlikte ABD, Rusya, \u00c7in ve \u0130srail\u2019den gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar global anlamda gerginli\u011fin artmas\u0131na neden oldu.","meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1768510800gVcngSBTyZ74N6B.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":0,"cropped_1200x675":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/1200x675\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_1200x675_NbrGcgAEgg.webp","user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":82281,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":82149,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130ran\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ve global ekonomiye yans\u0131malar\u0131","home_title":"\u0130ran\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ve global ekonomiye yans\u0131malar\u0131","sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"<p id=\"isPasted\"><strong>\u0130ran\u2019da ba\u015flayan olaylarla birlikte ABD, Rusya, \u00c7in ve \u0130srail\u2019den gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar global anlamda gerginli\u011fin artmas\u0131na neden oldu.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Konu sadece bir halk\u0131n tepkisi olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine te\u015febb\u00fcs ve bu te\u015febb\u00fcse d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan destek verilmesine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu arada \u00c7in ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tutumu da \u0130ran\u2019da ciddi bir g\u00fc\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Rusya D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 S\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Mariya Zaharova, \u201c\u0130ran'\u0131n i\u00e7 siyasi s\u00fcre\u00e7lerine y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 m\u00fcdahaleyi \u015fiddetle k\u0131n\u0131yoruz\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda bulundu. Bu k\u0131naman\u0131n arkas\u0131nda askeri anlamda ne gibi destek verilece\u011fine dair hi\u00e7bir a\u00e7\u0131klama da bulunmamas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekici.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>\u2018ARZ KES\u0130NT\u0130S\u0130\u2019 SENARYOLARI<br><\/strong><\/p><p>Uzun zamand\u0131r yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla m\u00fccadele eden \u0130ran, ya\u015fanan ekonomik krizin de etkisinde bulunuyor. \u00a0\u0130ran\u2019da protestolar\u0131n \u015fiddetlenmesi ve Tahran y\u00f6netiminin ABD ile \u0130srail\u2019e y\u00f6nelik sert uyar\u0131lar\u0131, piyasada \u2018arz kesintisi\u2019 senaryolar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden canland\u0131rd\u0131. G\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 3.2 milyon varil ham petrol \u00fcreten ve bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 milyon varilini ihra\u00e7 eden \u0130ran, OPEC\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticisi konumunda. Olas\u0131 bir askeri veya siyasi t\u0131rmanman\u0131n, yaln\u0131zca \u0130ran \u00fcretimini de\u011fil, k\u00fcresel petrol ticaretinin en kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131 olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 da etkileyebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi fiyatlara yans\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda brent petrol varil fiyat\u0131 60 dolar seviyesinden 65.90 dolar seviyelerine kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 son derece \u00f6nemli. ABD\u2019nin yumu\u015fak karn\u0131d\u0131r diyebiliriz. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselirse, ABD\u2019de enflasyon y\u00fckselecektir. O zaman da faiz indirimleri m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olamayacak. Venezuela petrollerinin kontrol\u00fc de petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n kontrol\u00fc amac\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor. Buradaki arz ile fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131lamak hedefleniyor.\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong>T\u0130CARETE Y\u00dcZDE 25 VERG\u0130<br><\/strong><\/p><p>\u0130ran\u2019a yap\u0131labilecek bir m\u00fcdahaleye kar\u015f\u0131 Rusya veya \u00c7in\u2019in do\u011frudan taraf olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyoruz. Ancak son zamanlarda \u0130ran\u2019a gelen Rus kargo u\u00e7aklar\u0131 ciddi bir haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bize g\u00f6steriyor.\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la ticaret yapan \u00fclkelere y\u00fczde 25 vergi uygulanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ise bizi yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiriyor. Bir yandan yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki kom\u015fu \u00fclkeyle ticaretimizi zora sokuyor, di\u011fer yandan da ABD\u2019ye yap\u0131lacak ihracat\u0131n zora girmesine neden olacak riskler.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Bu durumda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat\u0131nda \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde \u00f6nemli riskler kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131kacak. Bu nedenle bir B plan\u0131na ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olabilir. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle akaryak\u0131t pompa fiyatlar\u0131na gelen zam, gelecekte \u00fclkemizde de enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede aksama ya\u015fanma riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Bir s\u0131cak temas olmas\u0131 durumunda, e\u011fer k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sonu\u00e7lanmazsa, global piyasalarda da \u00f6nemli etkileri olacakt\u0131r. Kald\u0131 ki, \u00c7in\u2019in ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n dahil olmas\u0131 riski ise tehlikenin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.\u00a0<\/p><p><br><\/p><p>Global riskleri ve gelebilecek yeni yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek tedbirli olmakta fayda var.<\/p><p><br><\/p>","slug":"irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1768510800gVcngSBTyZ74N6B.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1768510800gVcngSBTyZ74N6B.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/638x552\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_638x552_yup8Dq31T8.webp","cropped_310x208":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/310x208\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_310x208_DkTq3lgNQs.webp","cropped_416x247":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/416x247\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_416x247_1W3fJsnd3G.webp","cropped_197x247":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/197x247\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_197x247_fF4q2HsR4h.webp","cropped_416x600":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/416x600\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_416x600_r6hywTWSyQ.webp","cropped_1200x675":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/1200x675\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_1200x675_NbrGcgAEgg.webp","tags":null,"meta_title":"\u0130ran\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ve global ekonomiye yans\u0131malar\u0131","meta_description":"\u0130ran\u2019da ba\u015flayan olaylarla birlikte ABD, Rusya, \u00c7in ve \u0130srail\u2019den gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar global anlamda gerginli\u011fin artmas\u0131na neden oldu.","meta_keywords":null,"view_count":0,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/358x214\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_358x214_HKgEHfLv3n.webp","cropped_842x474":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/842x474\/irandaki-gelismeler-ve-global-ekonomiye-yansimalari_842x474_PMnDg8efZx.webp"}]}}