{"status":true,"post":{"id":42220,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-08-07 07:51:00","created_at":"2023-08-07T04:51:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-08-07T04:51:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":42220,"is_featured":0,"title":"IMF\u2019den 5 kritik uyar\u0131 ve \u00f6neri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>
<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

IMF\u2019nin ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik ara d\u00f6nem raporunda tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel risklere kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nerdi\u011fi 5 kritik uyar\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerisini detayl\u0131 ele almak isterim. Bunlardan ilki, hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz, enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n \u015fart olmas\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

IMF\u2019nin \u00f6nerisi, bilhassa y\u00fcksek ve \u2018yap\u0131\u015fkan\u2019 \u00e7ekirdek enflasyona sahip ekonomilerdeki merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme konusundaki kararl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeleri. Bunun da \u00f6tesinde, jeopolitik gerginlikler ve k\u00fcresel ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik \u00e7ok katmanl\u0131 belirsizlikler merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fini de zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu nedenle IMF, kamu mali disiplininin \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir\u2019 olmas\u0131n\u0131n da para politikas\u0131na destek olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor ki, T\u00fcrkiye OECD, IMF ve DB verilerinde kamu mali disiplin duru\u015fu en sa\u011flam \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda. 100 y\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem afetleriyle m\u00fccadeleye ra\u011fmen.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

F\u0130NANSAL \u0130ST\u0130KRAR<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

IMF\u2019nin ikinci uyar\u0131s\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerisi, \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkelerin Basel II ve \u00f6zellikle Basel III kurallar\u0131na g\u00f6re, bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemini sermaye yeterlili\u011fi ve finansal istikrar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ayr\u0131ca olas\u0131 yeni ekonomik, finansal streslere kar\u015f\u0131 iyi tahkim etmeleri, denetim ve g\u00f6zetiminin iyi yap\u0131lmas\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, IMF, BIS ve OECD verilerine g\u00f6re de bu konuda \u2018pozitif\u2019 anlamda m\u00fcstesna bir \u00fclke. BDDK ve TCMB, sekt\u00f6r\u00fc etkili olarak yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor. Para ve maliye politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bu \u00f6nerilerle birlikte ayn\u0131 IMF\u2019nin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen 40 \u00fclkesine dikkat etmelerini \u00f6nerdi\u011fi bir kritik konu ise reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc destekleyici ve iflaslar\u0131 \u00f6nleyici tedbirlerin ihmal edilmemesi; gerekirse iflaslar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ilmesi, iflaslar\u0131n iyi y\u00f6netilmesi, \u00fcretim ve istihdam\u0131n da korunmas\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u00fcresel, jeopolitik ve jeoekonomik belirsizlik bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu bu d\u00f6nemde, \u00f6nde gelen 40 ekonomide devletin sosyal g\u00f6revlerinin g\u00f6zetilmesi ve sosyal yard\u0131ma muhta\u00e7 kesimler i\u00e7in mali desteklerin tahkim edilmesine devam edilmesi \u00e7ok ama \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Bunu IMF diyor, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc politika \u00f6nerisi olarak. IMF\u2019nin d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc uyar\u0131s\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerisi ise bilhassa orta d\u00fczey geli\u015fmekte olan ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in fon s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorununun giderilmesi. Ne yaz\u0131k ki, bu \u00fclkeler grubu, k\u00fcresel finans sisteminin jeopolitik ve jeoekonomik belirsizliklere tepkisi nedeniyle k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f finansmana bo\u011fulmu\u015f durumda ve bu durum k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f finansman ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 daha da katl\u0131yor. Bu tablo, \u00e7ok say\u0131da orta d\u00fczey geli\u015fmekte olan piyasa ekonomisinin ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkenin bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deme kabiliyetini zorluyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

YE\u015e\u0130L VE D\u0130J\u0130TAL D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e\u00dcM<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

IMF, k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 girdab\u0131n\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu ve olaca\u011f\u0131 risk ve tehditlerin etkin y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in bor\u00e7lar\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve bilhassa kalk\u0131nma ve altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik finansman i\u00e7in daha uzun vadeli ve ucuz kredi i\u00e7in daha h\u0131zl\u0131 sonu\u00e7 alacak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u00f6neriyor. IMF\u2019nin son ve be\u015finci uyar\u0131s\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerisi ise k\u00fcresel sistemde \u00fcretim, arz ve tedarik zincirinin \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi; bilhassa, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine kar\u015f\u0131 ekonomik dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6nde gelen ekonomilerde istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131n daha esnek olacak \u015fekilde yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, tar\u0131m, g\u0131da ve enerji arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in \u00fcretim modellemesi ve sanayi stratejisinin g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmesi; \u2018ye\u015fil d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u2019\u00fcn ve \u2018dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u2019\u00fcn h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 bir o kadar \u00f6nemli. IMF\u2019nin bu 5 alandaki uyar\u0131s\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerileri, hem 2023\u2019\u00fcn ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 hem de t\u00fcm 2024 g\u00fcndemimizin ilk s\u0131ralar\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"imfden-5-kritik-uyari-ve-oneri","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1691355600kbPdWgSYPy4fJP8.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1445,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":42346,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":42220,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"IMF\u2019den 5 kritik uyar\u0131 ve \u00f6neri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>
<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

keremalkin@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

IMF\u2019nin ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik ara d\u00f6nem raporunda tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel risklere kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nerdi\u011fi 5 kritik uyar\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerisini detayl\u0131 ele almak isterim. Bunlardan ilki, hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz, enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n \u015fart olmas\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

IMF\u2019nin \u00f6nerisi, bilhassa y\u00fcksek ve \u2018yap\u0131\u015fkan\u2019 \u00e7ekirdek enflasyona sahip ekonomilerdeki merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme konusundaki kararl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeleri. Bunun da \u00f6tesinde, jeopolitik gerginlikler ve k\u00fcresel ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik \u00e7ok katmanl\u0131 belirsizlikler merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fini de zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu nedenle IMF, kamu mali disiplininin \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir\u2019 olmas\u0131n\u0131n da para politikas\u0131na destek olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor ki, T\u00fcrkiye OECD, IMF ve DB verilerinde kamu mali disiplin duru\u015fu en sa\u011flam \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda. 100 y\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem afetleriyle m\u00fccadeleye ra\u011fmen.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

F\u0130NANSAL \u0130ST\u0130KRAR<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

IMF\u2019nin ikinci uyar\u0131s\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerisi, \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkelerin Basel II ve \u00f6zellikle Basel III kurallar\u0131na g\u00f6re, bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemini sermaye yeterlili\u011fi ve finansal istikrar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ayr\u0131ca olas\u0131 yeni ekonomik, finansal streslere kar\u015f\u0131 iyi tahkim etmeleri, denetim ve g\u00f6zetiminin iyi yap\u0131lmas\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, IMF, BIS ve OECD verilerine g\u00f6re de bu konuda \u2018pozitif\u2019 anlamda m\u00fcstesna bir \u00fclke. BDDK ve TCMB, sekt\u00f6r\u00fc etkili olarak yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor. Para ve maliye politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bu \u00f6nerilerle birlikte ayn\u0131 IMF\u2019nin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen 40 \u00fclkesine dikkat etmelerini \u00f6nerdi\u011fi bir kritik konu ise reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc destekleyici ve iflaslar\u0131 \u00f6nleyici tedbirlerin ihmal edilmemesi; gerekirse iflaslar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ilmesi, iflaslar\u0131n iyi y\u00f6netilmesi, \u00fcretim ve istihdam\u0131n da korunmas\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u00fcresel, jeopolitik ve jeoekonomik belirsizlik bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu bu d\u00f6nemde, \u00f6nde gelen 40 ekonomide devletin sosyal g\u00f6revlerinin g\u00f6zetilmesi ve sosyal yard\u0131ma muhta\u00e7 kesimler i\u00e7in mali desteklerin tahkim edilmesine devam edilmesi \u00e7ok ama \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Bunu IMF diyor, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc politika \u00f6nerisi olarak. IMF\u2019nin d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc uyar\u0131s\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerisi ise bilhassa orta d\u00fczey geli\u015fmekte olan ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in fon s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorununun giderilmesi. Ne yaz\u0131k ki, bu \u00fclkeler grubu, k\u00fcresel finans sisteminin jeopolitik ve jeoekonomik belirsizliklere tepkisi nedeniyle k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f finansmana bo\u011fulmu\u015f durumda ve bu durum k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f finansman ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 daha da katl\u0131yor. Bu tablo, \u00e7ok say\u0131da orta d\u00fczey geli\u015fmekte olan piyasa ekonomisinin ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkenin bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deme kabiliyetini zorluyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

YE\u015e\u0130L VE D\u0130J\u0130TAL D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e\u00dcM<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

IMF, k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 girdab\u0131n\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu ve olaca\u011f\u0131 risk ve tehditlerin etkin y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in bor\u00e7lar\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve bilhassa kalk\u0131nma ve altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik finansman i\u00e7in daha uzun vadeli ve ucuz kredi i\u00e7in daha h\u0131zl\u0131 sonu\u00e7 alacak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u00f6neriyor. IMF\u2019nin son ve be\u015finci uyar\u0131s\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerisi ise k\u00fcresel sistemde \u00fcretim, arz ve tedarik zincirinin \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi; bilhassa, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine kar\u015f\u0131 ekonomik dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6nde gelen ekonomilerde istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131n daha esnek olacak \u015fekilde yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, tar\u0131m, g\u0131da ve enerji arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in \u00fcretim modellemesi ve sanayi stratejisinin g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmesi; \u2018ye\u015fil d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u2019\u00fcn ve \u2018dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u2019\u00fcn h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 bir o kadar \u00f6nemli. IMF\u2019nin bu 5 alandaki uyar\u0131s\u0131 ve politika \u00f6nerileri, hem 2023\u2019\u00fcn ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 hem de t\u00fcm 2024 g\u00fcndemimizin ilk s\u0131ralar\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"imfden-5-kritik-uyari-ve-oneri","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1691355600kbPdWgSYPy4fJP8.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1691355600kbPdWgSYPy4fJP8.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1445,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}