{"status":true,"post":{"id":17617,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:21:21","created_at":"2017-12-10T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:21:21.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":17617,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u0130ktisadi faaliyetler canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

\u0130ktisadi faaliyetler y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131na girildi\u011finde canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 kredi geni\u015flemesi ile ba\u015flayan canlanma, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda giderek piyasalar\u0131n kendi dinamikleri ile s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da canl\u0131l\u0131k s\u00fcrecek.<\/span><\/p>

1. \u00dcRET\u0130M TARAFINDA B\u00dcY\u00dcME S\u00dcR\u00dcYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Sanayi \u00fcretimi taraf\u0131nda y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u0130stanbul Sanayi Odas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kas\u0131m ay\u0131 PMI verisi 52.9 ile sanayideki h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi teyit etti. PMI verisinde \u00f6zellikle istihdam ve \u00fcretimin y\u00fcksek seviyesi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Mevsimsellik ile birlikte al\u0131nan i\u00e7 sipari\u015flerde ise bir miktar zay\u0131flama ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda sanayi kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde 79.9 ile y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

2. G\u00dcVEN ENDEKSLER\u0130NDE SOLUKLANMA YA\u015eANIYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Reel kesimin g\u00fcven ve beklenti endekslerinde ise ekim ay\u0131ndaki dura\u011fanla\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda soluklanma ya\u015fand\u0131. Hizmetler, perakende ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksleri kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni ise daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. T\u00fcketici taraf\u0131nda genel bir g\u00fcven zay\u0131flamas\u0131 olmakla birlikte bu hen\u00fcz t\u00fcketime yans\u0131mad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

3. SEKT\u00d6RLERDE HAREKETL\u0130L\u0130K YA\u015eANIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130n\u015faat ve konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00fcretim taraf\u0131 canl\u0131 seyretmekle birlikte sat\u0131\u015flar taraf\u0131nda vergi indirimlerinin de sona ermesinin ard\u0131ndan kademeli bir gerileme d\u00f6nemine girildi. Ancak konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sat\u0131\u015flar i\u00e7in yeni cazip firma kampanyalar\u0131 sunuluyor. Otomotiv sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da yine y\u0131lsonu kampanyalar\u0131 ile destekleniyor. Perakende pazar\u0131nda talep canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korurken artan d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 nedeniyle perakende ma\u011faza kiralar\u0131 yeniden s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 ise her y\u0131l oldu\u011fu gibi y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesi indirim ve kampanyalar\u0131na sahne olacak. Bu nedenle y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131nda da perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde canl\u0131l\u0131k devam edecek. <\/span><\/p>

4. DI\u015e T\u0130CARETTE \u0130HRACAT VE \u0130THALAT B\u0130RL\u0130KTE ARTIYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130ktisadi faaliyetleri destekleyen bir di\u011fer alan d\u0131\u015f ticarettir. \u0130hracat ve ithalat birlikte art\u0131yor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ihracat y\u00fczde 11, ithalat ise y\u00fczde 21.1 artt\u0131. \u00d6zellikle ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 son iki ayd\u0131r y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmekte olup \u00fcretim ve t\u00fcketim taraf\u0131ndaki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 teyit ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

5. YATIRIMLAR HALEN DURA\u011eAN <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar taraf\u0131 ise halen dura\u011fan kalmaya devam ediyor. \u00d6zellikle sanayide yeni kapasite yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 halen zay\u0131f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Ula\u015ft\u0131rma ve enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ile kamunun b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici olmaya devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

6. G\u0130R\u0130\u015e\u0130MC\u0130L\u0130K HEYECANI Y\u00dcKSEL\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Firma a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f verileri giri\u015fimcilikteki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131lan yeni \u015firket say\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fczde 18.2 artarak 12 bin 222 adet oldu. Kapanan firma say\u0131s\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 36.9 azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

7. DEVREDEN KDV KALDIRILIRSA F\u0130RMALAR RAHATLAYACAK <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda firmalar i\u00e7in beklenen \u00f6nemli bir geli\u015fme ise \u201cdevreden katma de\u011fer vergisini\u201d 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren kald\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik d\u00fczenleme olacak. Di\u011fer yandan 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 kurumlar vergisi y\u00fczde 22\u2019ye y\u00fckseltildi.<\/span><\/p>

8. \u0130\u00c7 TALEBE Y\u00d6NEL\u0130K DESTEKLER B\u0130TM\u0130\u015e OLMASINA RA\u011eMEN HAREKETL\u0130L\u0130K S\u00dcR\u00dcYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130\u00e7 talebe y\u00f6nelik desteklerin sona ermesine ra\u011fmen iktisadi faaliyetler canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetler ve piyasalarda i\u015fler aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da canl\u0131 kalmaya devam edecek. Ancak y\u00fckselen d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131, girdi fiyatlar\u0131, al\u0131nan hizmet fiyatlar\u0131 ve faizlerin olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131 iyi y\u00f6netilmeli.<\/span><\/p>

9. B\u0130R DE T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI DE\u011eER KAYBETMESE <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u00d6ncelikle k\u00fcresel para politikalar\u0131nda normalle\u015fme ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ile birlikte TL i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel finansal ko\u015fullar giderek zorla\u015f\u0131yor. Fed aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda yeniden faiz art\u0131racak. Enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f TL\u2019yi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Y\u00fckselen d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanmadaki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f da TL\u2019yi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Ancak TL \u00fczerinde en \u00f6nemli bask\u0131y\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 siyasi, d\u0131\u015f politik ve jeopolitik riskler olu\u015fturuyor. De\u011fer kaybeden TL nedeniyle iktisadi faaliyetlerdeki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n keyfi yeterince ya\u015fanam\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da i\u015fler canl\u0131 ge\u00e7ecek. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131 iyi de\u011ferlendirelim ve yeni y\u0131la cephane (nakit) biriktirelim.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"iktisadi-faaliyetler-canliligini-koruyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130ktisadi faaliyetler canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":136,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":17716,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":17617,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130ktisadi faaliyetler canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

\u0130ktisadi faaliyetler y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131na girildi\u011finde canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 kredi geni\u015flemesi ile ba\u015flayan canlanma, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda giderek piyasalar\u0131n kendi dinamikleri ile s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da canl\u0131l\u0131k s\u00fcrecek.<\/span><\/p>

1. \u00dcRET\u0130M TARAFINDA B\u00dcY\u00dcME S\u00dcR\u00dcYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Sanayi \u00fcretimi taraf\u0131nda y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u0130stanbul Sanayi Odas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kas\u0131m ay\u0131 PMI verisi 52.9 ile sanayideki h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi teyit etti. PMI verisinde \u00f6zellikle istihdam ve \u00fcretimin y\u00fcksek seviyesi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Mevsimsellik ile birlikte al\u0131nan i\u00e7 sipari\u015flerde ise bir miktar zay\u0131flama ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda sanayi kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde 79.9 ile y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

2. G\u00dcVEN ENDEKSLER\u0130NDE SOLUKLANMA YA\u015eANIYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Reel kesimin g\u00fcven ve beklenti endekslerinde ise ekim ay\u0131ndaki dura\u011fanla\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda soluklanma ya\u015fand\u0131. Hizmetler, perakende ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksleri kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni ise daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. T\u00fcketici taraf\u0131nda genel bir g\u00fcven zay\u0131flamas\u0131 olmakla birlikte bu hen\u00fcz t\u00fcketime yans\u0131mad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

3. SEKT\u00d6RLERDE HAREKETL\u0130L\u0130K YA\u015eANIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130n\u015faat ve konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00fcretim taraf\u0131 canl\u0131 seyretmekle birlikte sat\u0131\u015flar taraf\u0131nda vergi indirimlerinin de sona ermesinin ard\u0131ndan kademeli bir gerileme d\u00f6nemine girildi. Ancak konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sat\u0131\u015flar i\u00e7in yeni cazip firma kampanyalar\u0131 sunuluyor. Otomotiv sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da yine y\u0131lsonu kampanyalar\u0131 ile destekleniyor. Perakende pazar\u0131nda talep canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korurken artan d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 nedeniyle perakende ma\u011faza kiralar\u0131 yeniden s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 ise her y\u0131l oldu\u011fu gibi y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesi indirim ve kampanyalar\u0131na sahne olacak. Bu nedenle y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131nda da perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde canl\u0131l\u0131k devam edecek. <\/span><\/p>

4. DI\u015e T\u0130CARETTE \u0130HRACAT VE \u0130THALAT B\u0130RL\u0130KTE ARTIYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130ktisadi faaliyetleri destekleyen bir di\u011fer alan d\u0131\u015f ticarettir. \u0130hracat ve ithalat birlikte art\u0131yor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ihracat y\u00fczde 11, ithalat ise y\u00fczde 21.1 artt\u0131. \u00d6zellikle ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 son iki ayd\u0131r y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmekte olup \u00fcretim ve t\u00fcketim taraf\u0131ndaki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 teyit ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

5. YATIRIMLAR HALEN DURA\u011eAN <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar taraf\u0131 ise halen dura\u011fan kalmaya devam ediyor. \u00d6zellikle sanayide yeni kapasite yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 halen zay\u0131f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Ula\u015ft\u0131rma ve enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ile kamunun b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fckleyici olmaya devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

6. G\u0130R\u0130\u015e\u0130MC\u0130L\u0130K HEYECANI Y\u00dcKSEL\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Firma a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f verileri giri\u015fimcilikteki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131lan yeni \u015firket say\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fczde 18.2 artarak 12 bin 222 adet oldu. Kapanan firma say\u0131s\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 36.9 azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

7. DEVREDEN KDV KALDIRILIRSA F\u0130RMALAR RAHATLAYACAK <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda firmalar i\u00e7in beklenen \u00f6nemli bir geli\u015fme ise \u201cdevreden katma de\u011fer vergisini\u201d 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren kald\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik d\u00fczenleme olacak. Di\u011fer yandan 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 kurumlar vergisi y\u00fczde 22\u2019ye y\u00fckseltildi.<\/span><\/p>

8. \u0130\u00c7 TALEBE Y\u00d6NEL\u0130K DESTEKLER B\u0130TM\u0130\u015e OLMASINA RA\u011eMEN HAREKETL\u0130L\u0130K S\u00dcR\u00dcYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130\u00e7 talebe y\u00f6nelik desteklerin sona ermesine ra\u011fmen iktisadi faaliyetler canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetler ve piyasalarda i\u015fler aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da canl\u0131 kalmaya devam edecek. Ancak y\u00fckselen d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131, girdi fiyatlar\u0131, al\u0131nan hizmet fiyatlar\u0131 ve faizlerin olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131 iyi y\u00f6netilmeli.<\/span><\/p>

9. B\u0130R DE T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI DE\u011eER KAYBETMESE <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u00d6ncelikle k\u00fcresel para politikalar\u0131nda normalle\u015fme ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ile birlikte TL i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel finansal ko\u015fullar giderek zorla\u015f\u0131yor. Fed aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda yeniden faiz art\u0131racak. Enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f TL\u2019yi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Y\u00fckselen d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanmadaki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f da TL\u2019yi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Ancak TL \u00fczerinde en \u00f6nemli bask\u0131y\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 siyasi, d\u0131\u015f politik ve jeopolitik riskler olu\u015fturuyor. De\u011fer kaybeden TL nedeniyle iktisadi faaliyetlerdeki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n keyfi yeterince ya\u015fanam\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da i\u015fler canl\u0131 ge\u00e7ecek. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131 iyi de\u011ferlendirelim ve yeni y\u0131la cephane (nakit) biriktirelim.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"iktisadi-faaliyetler-canliligini-koruyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130ktisadi faaliyetler canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":136,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}