<\/p>
gurlesel@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in istikrar\u0131n temel kayna\u011f\u0131, cari i\u015flemler dengesinde fazla vermesi, yani mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131n\u0131n mal ve hizmet ithalat\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi ve bunun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir k\u0131l\u0131nmas\u0131d\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye, hen\u00fcz kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak cari i\u015flemler fazlas\u0131 veren bir \u00fclke haline gelemedi. Bunun bir\u00e7ok yap\u0131sal ve konjonkt\u00fcrel nedenleri bulunuyor. \u0130\u00e7erideki ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131daki geli\u015fmeler ve ekonomi politikalar\u0131, cari i\u015flemler dengesini \u015fekillendiriyor. 2020 salg\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00fc\u00e7 d\u00f6nem, buna \u00e7ok iyi \u00f6rnek olu\u015fturuyor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 1. SALGIN SONRASI OLU\u015eAN KO\u015eULLAR \u0130\u00c7\u0130NDE \u0130HRACAT B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE Y\u00dcKSEK KATKI VERD\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2020 salg\u0131n\u0131 sonras\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomide yeni normal ko\u015fullar\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Pazarlar\u0131n Asya\u2019ya olan y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 riskler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak tedarik g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve yak\u0131ndan tedarik e\u011filimleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, bu e\u011filimlerden en \u00e7ok yararlanan \u00fclke oldu. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sanayi yap\u0131s\u0131 ve ihracat \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fi ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye beklenmedik \u015fekilde ilave tedarik talebi gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ihracat, 50 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde artt\u0131. Sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ile ekonomide sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme kompozisyonu olu\u015ftu. Ekonomi y\u00fczde 11.4 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken, bunun 5.4 puan\u0131 net ihracat katk\u0131s\u0131ndan geldi. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6rece sa\u011flanan finansal istikrar da destekledi. Ancak 2021 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan itibaren merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz indirimleri, TL\u2019de a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ve oynakl\u0131klar sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in riskler olu\u015fturdu.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2. 2022\u2019DE YEN\u0130 MODEL, SAVA\u015e VE K\u00dcRESEL PAZARLAR \u0130HRACATI SINIRLADI\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2022\u2019de yeni bir ekonomi modeli uygulanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yeni model, TL faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve kredi geni\u015flemesi ile \u00fcretimin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefledi. Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in de TL\u2019nin de\u011ferinin korunmas\u0131 hedeflendi ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeler yap\u0131ld\u0131. Bu tercihler sonunda \u00fcretim de\u011fil, t\u00fcketim artt\u0131, TL de\u011fer kazand\u0131, ihracat\u0131n rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fc zay\u0131flamaya ba\u015flad\u0131 ve ithalat h\u0131zla artt\u0131. 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 5.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011fland\u0131. Net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 ise sadece 0.6 puan oldu. T\u00fcrkiye ihracatla b\u00fcy\u00fcmek yerine 2022\u2019de yeniden t\u00fcketim ve ithalat ile b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 3. 2023\u2019TE TL\u2019DE DE\u011eERLENME DENGELER\u0130 BOZDU\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda depremin etkileri, uzun bir se\u00e7im s\u00fcreci ve yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirsizlik ortam\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonomide s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ve yava\u015flama gibi unsurlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ekonomide yeni model ve lirala\u015fma d\u00fczenlemeleri uygulanmaya devam etti. TL\u2019nin de\u011ferini korumak i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan sat\u0131\u015flar ile merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n net rezervleri negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc. TL a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlendi. Se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesi \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve kredi paketleri ile negatif ve \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizler ile ekonomi desteklendi. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi bir d\u00f6viz krizi riski ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131 ve enflasyon da kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 4. 2023\u2019\u00dcN \u0130LK YARISINDA \u0130HRACATIN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI NEGAT\u0130F OLDU<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki bu politikalar ile ihracat azald\u0131, ithalat ise \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artt\u0131. Ekonomi y\u00fczde 3.85 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131, ilk \u00e7eyrekte negatif 5.2 puan, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte ise negatif 6.2 puan oldu. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda net ihracat b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi 5.7 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Cari i\u015flemler dengesini kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak \u00e7\u00f6zece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen yeni ekonomi modeli ve lirala\u015fma politikalar\u0131 tam tersine hem ekonomiyi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltt\u00fc hem de cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Yeni ekonomi modeli ve lirala\u015fma politikalar\u0131 ihracat dostu olmad\u0131. Yeni model t\u00fcketim ve ithalat dostu oldu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 5. \u0130HRACATIN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISINI POZ\u0130T\u0130FE \u00c7EV\u0130RMEL\u0130Y\u0130Z\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ekonomi politikalar\u0131nda yeniden de\u011fi\u015fim ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Rasyonel ekonomik zemine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fte politikalar\u0131n ihracat dostu olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Burada en \u00f6ncelikli konu, TL\u2019nin de\u011feridir. TL\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik her t\u00fcrl\u00fc m\u00fcdahale k\u0131sa s\u00fcre sonra ba\u015fka arazlar \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. TL sert d\u00fczeltmeler ya\u015f\u0131yor. TL, mevcut piyasa ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde de\u011ferini bulmal\u0131. Di\u011fer bir \u00f6ncelik, lirala\u015fma politikalar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde getirilen d\u00fczenlemelerin kademeli olarak y\u0131lsonuna kadar kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130hracat\u0131n finansman\u0131nda kredi olanaklar\u0131 geni\u015fletilmeli. Eximbank ve T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 reeskont kredileri geni\u015fletilmeli. Orta Vadeli Program da ihracat\u0131n yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131 i\u00e7in kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler getirmeli. Ba\u015fta birikmi\u015f KDV alacaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6denmesi gibi ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 rahatlatacak ve yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131racak ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lmal\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> SON S\u00d6Z\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u0130hracat\u0131n vazge\u00e7ilmezli\u011fini kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131lacak ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmal\u0131y\u0131z. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ihracatin-buyumeye-katkisini-pozitif-hale-getirmeliyiz-","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1694379600eegIXQnSmpC3RJR.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1615,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":43428,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":43302,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130hracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 pozitif hale getirmeliyiz","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":" gurlesel@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in istikrar\u0131n temel kayna\u011f\u0131, cari i\u015flemler dengesinde fazla vermesi, yani mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131n\u0131n mal ve hizmet ithalat\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi ve bunun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir k\u0131l\u0131nmas\u0131d\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye, hen\u00fcz kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak cari i\u015flemler fazlas\u0131 veren bir \u00fclke haline gelemedi. Bunun bir\u00e7ok yap\u0131sal ve konjonkt\u00fcrel nedenleri bulunuyor. \u0130\u00e7erideki ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131daki geli\u015fmeler ve ekonomi politikalar\u0131, cari i\u015flemler dengesini \u015fekillendiriyor. 2020 salg\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00fc\u00e7 d\u00f6nem, buna \u00e7ok iyi \u00f6rnek olu\u015fturuyor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 1. SALGIN SONRASI OLU\u015eAN KO\u015eULLAR \u0130\u00c7\u0130NDE \u0130HRACAT B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE Y\u00dcKSEK KATKI VERD\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2020 salg\u0131n\u0131 sonras\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomide yeni normal ko\u015fullar\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Pazarlar\u0131n Asya\u2019ya olan y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 riskler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak tedarik g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve yak\u0131ndan tedarik e\u011filimleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, bu e\u011filimlerden en \u00e7ok yararlanan \u00fclke oldu. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sanayi yap\u0131s\u0131 ve ihracat \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fi ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye beklenmedik \u015fekilde ilave tedarik talebi gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ihracat, 50 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde artt\u0131. Sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ile ekonomide sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme kompozisyonu olu\u015ftu. Ekonomi y\u00fczde 11.4 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken, bunun 5.4 puan\u0131 net ihracat katk\u0131s\u0131ndan geldi. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6rece sa\u011flanan finansal istikrar da destekledi. Ancak 2021 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan itibaren merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz indirimleri, TL\u2019de a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ve oynakl\u0131klar sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in riskler olu\u015fturdu.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2. 2022\u2019DE YEN\u0130 MODEL, SAVA\u015e VE K\u00dcRESEL PAZARLAR \u0130HRACATI SINIRLADI\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2022\u2019de yeni bir ekonomi modeli uygulanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yeni model, TL faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve kredi geni\u015flemesi ile \u00fcretimin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefledi. Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in de TL\u2019nin de\u011ferinin korunmas\u0131 hedeflendi ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeler yap\u0131ld\u0131. Bu tercihler sonunda \u00fcretim de\u011fil, t\u00fcketim artt\u0131, TL de\u011fer kazand\u0131, ihracat\u0131n rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fc zay\u0131flamaya ba\u015flad\u0131 ve ithalat h\u0131zla artt\u0131. 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 5.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011fland\u0131. Net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 ise sadece 0.6 puan oldu. T\u00fcrkiye ihracatla b\u00fcy\u00fcmek yerine 2022\u2019de yeniden t\u00fcketim ve ithalat ile b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 3. 2023\u2019TE TL\u2019DE DE\u011eERLENME DENGELER\u0130 BOZDU\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda depremin etkileri, uzun bir se\u00e7im s\u00fcreci ve yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirsizlik ortam\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonomide s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ve yava\u015flama gibi unsurlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ekonomide yeni model ve lirala\u015fma d\u00fczenlemeleri uygulanmaya devam etti. TL\u2019nin de\u011ferini korumak i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan sat\u0131\u015flar ile merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n net rezervleri negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc. TL a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlendi. Se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesi \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve kredi paketleri ile negatif ve \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizler ile ekonomi desteklendi. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi bir d\u00f6viz krizi riski ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131 ve enflasyon da kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 4. 2023\u2019\u00dcN \u0130LK YARISINDA \u0130HRACATIN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISI NEGAT\u0130F OLDU<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki bu politikalar ile ihracat azald\u0131, ithalat ise \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artt\u0131. Ekonomi y\u00fczde 3.85 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131, ilk \u00e7eyrekte negatif 5.2 puan, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte ise negatif 6.2 puan oldu. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda net ihracat b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi 5.7 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Cari i\u015flemler dengesini kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak \u00e7\u00f6zece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen yeni ekonomi modeli ve lirala\u015fma politikalar\u0131 tam tersine hem ekonomiyi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltt\u00fc hem de cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Yeni ekonomi modeli ve lirala\u015fma politikalar\u0131 ihracat dostu olmad\u0131. Yeni model t\u00fcketim ve ithalat dostu oldu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 5. \u0130HRACATIN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE KATKISINI POZ\u0130T\u0130FE \u00c7EV\u0130RMEL\u0130Y\u0130Z\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ekonomi politikalar\u0131nda yeniden de\u011fi\u015fim ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Rasyonel ekonomik zemine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fte politikalar\u0131n ihracat dostu olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Burada en \u00f6ncelikli konu, TL\u2019nin de\u011feridir. TL\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik her t\u00fcrl\u00fc m\u00fcdahale k\u0131sa s\u00fcre sonra ba\u015fka arazlar \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. TL sert d\u00fczeltmeler ya\u015f\u0131yor. TL, mevcut piyasa ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde de\u011ferini bulmal\u0131. Di\u011fer bir \u00f6ncelik, lirala\u015fma politikalar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde getirilen d\u00fczenlemelerin kademeli olarak y\u0131lsonuna kadar kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130hracat\u0131n finansman\u0131nda kredi olanaklar\u0131 geni\u015fletilmeli. Eximbank ve T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 reeskont kredileri geni\u015fletilmeli. Orta Vadeli Program da ihracat\u0131n yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131 i\u00e7in kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler getirmeli. Ba\u015fta birikmi\u015f KDV alacaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6denmesi gibi ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 rahatlatacak ve yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131racak ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lmal\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> SON S\u00d6Z\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u0130hracat\u0131n vazge\u00e7ilmezli\u011fini kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131lacak ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmal\u0131y\u0131z. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ihracatin-buyumeye-katkisini-pozitif-hale-getirmeliyiz-","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1694379600eegIXQnSmpC3RJR.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1694379600eegIXQnSmpC3RJR.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1615,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}
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