{"status":true,"post":{"id":52175,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-05-27 07:46:00","created_at":"2024-05-27T04:46:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-05-27T04:46:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":52175,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131nda ikinci yar\u0131 beklentileri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><br><\/p><p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 0.0001pt; line-height: normal; font-size: 15px; font-family: \"Calibri\", sans-serif; text-align: right;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>gurlesel@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihracat pazarlar\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri ve beklentileri giderek \u015fekilleniyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda genel olarak iktisadi faaliyetlerin ve ticaretin ilk yar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde performans g\u00f6sterece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>1. \u0130LK YARIDA T\u0130CARET PERFORMANSI BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130N ALTINDA KALDI<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ihracat pazarlar\u0131m\u0131zda ekonomi ve ticaret performans\u0131 beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. 2024\u2019\u00fcn ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi beklendi\u011fi gibi zay\u0131f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ancak ikinci \u00e7eyrekte iktisadi faaliyetlerde beklenen toparlanma olmad\u0131. \u00d6ncelikle para politikalar\u0131ndaki gev\u015feme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri k\u0131smen \u00f6telendi. Y\u00fcksek faizler t\u00fcketim, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve in\u015faat faaliyetlerini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri artarak s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Jeopolitik gerginlikler de ticaret \u00f6n\u00fcnde engel olu\u015fturdu. \u00d6zellikle Orta Do\u011fu riskleri ve K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz ge\u00e7i\u015findeki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar belirleyici oldu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2. AB\u2019DE FA\u0130Z \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130MLER\u0130 TALEB\u0130 VE \u0130THALATI DESTEKLEYECEK<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Avrupa Birli\u011fi pazar\u0131nda y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4 daral\u0131yor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ise ithalatta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Euro b\u00f6lgesinde enflasyon giderek kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak Euro b\u00f6lgesinde faizler y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda 1-1.25 puan aras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015febilecek. Faiz indirimleriyle ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin toparlanmas\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131n da b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyor. Euro b\u00f6lgesinde Almanya ve Fransa ekonomileri y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da belirleyici olacak. Her iki \u00fclkede de y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmelerin y\u00fczde 1.0\u2019i a\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130kinci yar\u0131da en y\u00fcksek performans G\u00fcney Avrupa ve G\u00fcney Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00fclkelerinden bekleniyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>3. ABD PAZARI DURA\u011eAN KALACAK, \u0130NG\u0130LTERE\u2019DE TOPARLANMA BEKLEN\u0130YOR<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>ABD\u2019de y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat yava\u015flad\u0131. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte ithalat sadece y\u00fczde 1 artarken, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir daralma oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flat\u0131c\u0131 etkileri yeni ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetler giderek yava\u015fl\u0131yor. Ancak enflasyonda istenen kal\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hen\u00fcz sa\u011flanamad\u0131 ve bu nedenle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 da faiz indirimlerini \u00f6telemek zorunda kald\u0131. ABD\u2019de muhtemelen y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 2 seviyesinde kalacakken, ithalatta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisi bulunuyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ticaret fazlas\u0131 verdi\u011fi \u0130ngiltere\u2019de y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re gerileme g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de enflasyon d\u00fc\u015ferken merkez bankas\u0131 faiz politikas\u0131 halen belirsizli\u011fini koruyor. Faiz indirimlerinin a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ba\u015flamas\u0131 ve y\u0131l\u0131n son d\u00f6nemlerinde iktisadi faaliyetlerin ve ithalat\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>4. YAKIN VE KOM\u015eU \u00dcLKELERDE ORTALAMANIN \u00dcZER\u0130NDE \u0130THALAT ARTI\u015eI OLACAK\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Yak\u0131n ve kom\u015fu \u00fclke pazarlar\u0131m\u0131z bir yandan jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerden etkileniyor, di\u011fer yandan k\u00fcresel ticaretteki genel durgunlu\u011fun etkisi alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Bat\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 nedeniyle Rusya ticaretini Asya b\u00f6lgesine kayd\u0131rmaya devam ediyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve b\u00f6lgedeki ticareti de azalt\u0131yor. Orta Asya ve Kafkas \u00fclkelerinde y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 5-6 aras\u0131nda artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da benzer bir art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor. Orta Do\u011fu, K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri ve \u0130ran ise \u0130srail-Gazze sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkileri alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Sava\u015f\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da b\u00f6lge ekonomilerini ve ticaretini s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>5. ASYA\u2019DA \u0130THALAT DALGALANMA G\u00d6STERMEYE DEVAM EDECEK<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Asya\u2019da ana belirleyici \u00c7in olmaya devam ediyor. Ancak \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 artan korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri \u00c7in\u2019in de kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler almas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in ithalat\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4.5 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steriyor. Japonya, G\u00fcney Kore ve Tayvan\u2019\u0131n ithalat\u0131 azal\u0131rken, ASEAN \u00fclkelerinin ithalat\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda Asya\u2019da \u00c7in\u2019in ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni ekonomiye destek kararlar\u0131 ile ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bir miktar h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>6. AFR\u0130KA VE LAT\u0130N AMER\u0130KA PAZARLARINDA \u0130THALAT ARTI\u015eI S\u00dcRECEK \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Afrika ve Latin Amerika pazarlar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131ran b\u00f6lgeler oldu. Bu iki b\u00f6lge, kendi i\u00e7 dinamiklerine ve ticarete daha ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale geliyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da ithalatta b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler s\u00fcrecek. K\u00fcresel ticarette y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda jeopolitik riskler, korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri, emtia fiyatlar\u0131 ve para birimleri aras\u0131ndaki pariteler de belirleyici olmaya devam edecek. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00fcresel faiz indirimleri ve talepteki toparlanma ile emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar bekleniyor. Son olarak ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesi ve sonras\u0131 ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131n\u0131n ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k vaatleri k\u00fcresel ticareti olumsuz etkileyecek. \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>SON S\u00d6Z\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da farkl\u0131 performanslar g\u00f6stermeye devam edecek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ihracat-pazarlarinda-ikinci-yari-beklentileri-","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/17167572005JIhuAJHybdmf9L.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":6489,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":52301,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":52175,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131nda ikinci yar\u0131 beklentileri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><br><\/p><p style='margin: 0cm 0cm 0.0001pt; line-height: normal; font-size: 15px; font-family: \"Calibri\", sans-serif; text-align: right;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>gurlesel@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihracat pazarlar\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri ve beklentileri giderek \u015fekilleniyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda genel olarak iktisadi faaliyetlerin ve ticaretin ilk yar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde performans g\u00f6sterece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>1. \u0130LK YARIDA T\u0130CARET PERFORMANSI BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130N ALTINDA KALDI<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ihracat pazarlar\u0131m\u0131zda ekonomi ve ticaret performans\u0131 beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. 2024\u2019\u00fcn ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi beklendi\u011fi gibi zay\u0131f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ancak ikinci \u00e7eyrekte iktisadi faaliyetlerde beklenen toparlanma olmad\u0131. \u00d6ncelikle para politikalar\u0131ndaki gev\u015feme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri k\u0131smen \u00f6telendi. Y\u00fcksek faizler t\u00fcketim, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve in\u015faat faaliyetlerini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri artarak s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Jeopolitik gerginlikler de ticaret \u00f6n\u00fcnde engel olu\u015fturdu. \u00d6zellikle Orta Do\u011fu riskleri ve K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz ge\u00e7i\u015findeki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar belirleyici oldu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2. AB\u2019DE FA\u0130Z \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130MLER\u0130 TALEB\u0130 VE \u0130THALATI DESTEKLEYECEK<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Avrupa Birli\u011fi pazar\u0131nda y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4 daral\u0131yor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ise ithalatta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Euro b\u00f6lgesinde enflasyon giderek kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak Euro b\u00f6lgesinde faizler y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda 1-1.25 puan aras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015febilecek. Faiz indirimleriyle ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin toparlanmas\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131n da b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyor. Euro b\u00f6lgesinde Almanya ve Fransa ekonomileri y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da belirleyici olacak. Her iki \u00fclkede de y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmelerin y\u00fczde 1.0\u2019i a\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130kinci yar\u0131da en y\u00fcksek performans G\u00fcney Avrupa ve G\u00fcney Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00fclkelerinden bekleniyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>3. ABD PAZARI DURA\u011eAN KALACAK, \u0130NG\u0130LTERE\u2019DE TOPARLANMA BEKLEN\u0130YOR<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>ABD\u2019de y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat yava\u015flad\u0131. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte ithalat sadece y\u00fczde 1 artarken, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir daralma oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flat\u0131c\u0131 etkileri yeni ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetler giderek yava\u015fl\u0131yor. Ancak enflasyonda istenen kal\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hen\u00fcz sa\u011flanamad\u0131 ve bu nedenle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 da faiz indirimlerini \u00f6telemek zorunda kald\u0131. ABD\u2019de muhtemelen y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 2 seviyesinde kalacakken, ithalatta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisi bulunuyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ticaret fazlas\u0131 verdi\u011fi \u0130ngiltere\u2019de y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re gerileme g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de enflasyon d\u00fc\u015ferken merkez bankas\u0131 faiz politikas\u0131 halen belirsizli\u011fini koruyor. Faiz indirimlerinin a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ba\u015flamas\u0131 ve y\u0131l\u0131n son d\u00f6nemlerinde iktisadi faaliyetlerin ve ithalat\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>4. YAKIN VE KOM\u015eU \u00dcLKELERDE ORTALAMANIN \u00dcZER\u0130NDE \u0130THALAT ARTI\u015eI OLACAK\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Yak\u0131n ve kom\u015fu \u00fclke pazarlar\u0131m\u0131z bir yandan jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerden etkileniyor, di\u011fer yandan k\u00fcresel ticaretteki genel durgunlu\u011fun etkisi alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Bat\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 nedeniyle Rusya ticaretini Asya b\u00f6lgesine kayd\u0131rmaya devam ediyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve b\u00f6lgedeki ticareti de azalt\u0131yor. Orta Asya ve Kafkas \u00fclkelerinde y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 5-6 aras\u0131nda artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da benzer bir art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor. Orta Do\u011fu, K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri ve \u0130ran ise \u0130srail-Gazze sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkileri alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Sava\u015f\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da b\u00f6lge ekonomilerini ve ticaretini s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>5. ASYA\u2019DA \u0130THALAT DALGALANMA G\u00d6STERMEYE DEVAM EDECEK<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Asya\u2019da ana belirleyici \u00c7in olmaya devam ediyor. Ancak \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 artan korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri \u00c7in\u2019in de kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler almas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in ithalat\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4.5 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steriyor. Japonya, G\u00fcney Kore ve Tayvan\u2019\u0131n ithalat\u0131 azal\u0131rken, ASEAN \u00fclkelerinin ithalat\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda Asya\u2019da \u00c7in\u2019in ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni ekonomiye destek kararlar\u0131 ile ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bir miktar h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>6. AFR\u0130KA VE LAT\u0130N AMER\u0130KA PAZARLARINDA \u0130THALAT ARTI\u015eI S\u00dcRECEK \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Afrika ve Latin Amerika pazarlar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithalat\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131ran b\u00f6lgeler oldu. Bu iki b\u00f6lge, kendi i\u00e7 dinamiklerine ve ticarete daha ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale geliyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da ithalatta b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler s\u00fcrecek. K\u00fcresel ticarette y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda jeopolitik riskler, korumac\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6nlemleri, emtia fiyatlar\u0131 ve para birimleri aras\u0131ndaki pariteler de belirleyici olmaya devam edecek. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00fcresel faiz indirimleri ve talepteki toparlanma ile emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar bekleniyor. Son olarak ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesi ve sonras\u0131 ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131n\u0131n ticarette korumac\u0131l\u0131k vaatleri k\u00fcresel ticareti olumsuz etkileyecek. \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>SON S\u00d6Z\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda da farkl\u0131 performanslar g\u00f6stermeye devam edecek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ihracat-pazarlarinda-ikinci-yari-beklentileri-","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/17167572005JIhuAJHybdmf9L.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/17167572005JIhuAJHybdmf9L.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":6489,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}