{"status":true,"post":{"id":22870,"user_id":1,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:21:56","created_at":"2020-09-03T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:21:56.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":22870,"is_featured":0,"title":"G\u00f6\u00e7menleri, Afrikal\u0131lar\u0131 istemeyenler dikkat!","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>HAKAN G\u00dcLDA\u011e<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7en Eko-Mercek\u2019te d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n gelece\u011fini etkileyecek \u015fekilde nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fti\u011finden bahsettik. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalardan \u00f6rnekler verdik. Veriler payla\u015ft\u0131k. Sonra da sorduk, d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusundaki e\u011filimler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda ne gibi de\u011fi\u015fikliklere yol a\u00e7acak? <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00d6yle ya, 195 \u00fclkeden 183\u2019\u00fcnde do\u011fum oranlar\u0131n\u0131n mevcut n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak d\u00fczeye inmesinin mutlaka baz\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Eldeki verilerle hemen cevaplamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fal\u0131m:<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00d6nemli de\u011fi\u015fikliklerden biri n\u00fcfusun yap\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim olacak. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n ya\u015f ortalamas\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. Yani d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu ya\u015flan\u0131yor.<\/span><br> <br><span class=\"large\"> Medyan ya\u015f\u0131, yani n\u00fcfusu tam ortadan b\u00f6len \u2018ortanca\u2019 ya\u015f\u0131 43\u2019\u00fc a\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde bu sorun \u00e7oktan hissedilmeye ba\u015fland\u0131 bile. \u00d6yle ki, yak\u0131n zamanda, baz\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde o y\u0131l do\u011fan \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 kadar insan 80 ya\u015f\u0131na basacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Ama hani \u2018turpun b\u00fcy\u00fc\u011f\u00fc heybede\u2019 denir ya, geli\u015fmeler \u2018ya\u015flanma\u2019 e\u011filiminin daha da \u015fiddetlenece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Yap\u0131lan tahminler son derece \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131. Be\u015f ya\u015f\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu \u015fu s\u0131ralarda 685 milyon civar\u0131nda. Yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalara g\u00f6re bu 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda 401 milyona d\u00fc\u015fecek. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u015fu s\u0131rada 145 milyon civar\u0131nda olan 80 ya\u015f\u0131n \u00fczerindeki d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu ise 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 866 milyona \u00e7\u0131kacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bir ba\u015fka ifadeyle, kabaca 80 y\u0131l sonra d\u00fcnya \u00fczerinde 400 milyon be\u015f ya\u015f alt\u0131 \u00e7ocu\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 900 milyona yak\u0131n 80 ya\u015f \u00fczerinde insan ya\u015f\u0131yor olacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> ***<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz, n\u00fcfusta ya\u015fl\u0131lar\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 ise bir dizi olumsuz etki yap\u0131yor. Verilerini kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ara\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 yapan Profes\u00f6r Christopher Murray, \u201cBu durum devasa bir sosyal de\u011fi\u015fime yol a\u00e7acak\u201d diyor. Do\u011frusu hakl\u0131 da... O kadar \u00e7ok soru geliyor ki akla. Eminim sizin de geliyordur. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u201cHayatta kesin olan iki \u015fey vard\u0131r: \u00d6l\u00fcm ve vergi\u201d denir ya... T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u2018vergi\u2019 denilince ilk akla gelenlerden Veysi Sevi\u011f Hocam\u0131z\u0131n izniyle oradan ba\u015flayal\u0131m sorulara: Bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ya\u015fl\u0131 n\u00fcfusun oldu\u011fu bir d\u00fcnyada kim vergi \u00f6deyecek? <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Tabii, hemen arkas\u0131ndan di\u011fer sorular akla geliyor:<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Mesela, emeklilik sistemi nas\u0131l i\u015fleyecek? \u0130nsanlar bu y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n sonunda ka\u00e7 ya\u015f\u0131nda emekli olabilecek? Dahas\u0131 bir g\u00fcn emekli olabilecekler mi? <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ya\u015fl\u0131lara kim bakacak? Bak\u0131m ve sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetleri nas\u0131l finanse edilecek? <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> ***<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kimi \u00fclkeler, \u00f6zellikle de n\u00fcfusun k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesiyle \u015fimdiden y\u00fcz y\u00fcze olan \u00fclkeler bu konuda baz\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00e7oktan atmaya ba\u015flad\u0131 bile. Mesela \u0130sve\u00e7... Annelik ve babal\u0131k izinlerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Bedava \u00e7ocuk bak\u0131m hizmeti sa\u011flad\u0131. \u00c7ocuk sahibi olmay\u0131 mali olarak te\u015fvik etti. Bir kampanya halinde y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sonucunu k\u0131smen de olsa ald\u0131. Y\u00fczde 1.7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olan \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in do\u011fum oran\u0131 1.9\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak t\u00fcm \u00e7abalara ra\u011fmen n\u00fcfusun ayn\u0131 kalabilmesini sa\u011flayacak 2.1 oran\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> N\u00fcfus k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesiyle y\u00fcz y\u00fcze olan ba\u015fka baz\u0131 \u00fclkeler ise \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 dahi yakalayamad\u0131. \u00d6rne\u011fin bug\u00fcn Singapur\u2019da do\u011fum oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.3... Bir ba\u015fka ifadeyle n\u00fcfus fiilen her g\u00fcn eksiliyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bir ba\u015fka \u00f6rnek \u0130ngiltere... \u0130ngilizler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck do\u011fum oranlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7 ile telafi etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu \u00fclkenin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7lerin de etkisiyle 2063 y\u0131l\u0131nda 75 milyon ile n\u00fcfusun zirvesine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Belki \u00e7ok da uzun olmayan bir zaman sonra \u015fu s\u0131ralarda g\u00f6\u00e7menlere kar\u015f\u0131 direnen, onlar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131ndan i\u00e7eri sokmamak i\u00e7in insanl\u0131k d\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6ntemlere ba\u015fvuran kimi h\u00fck\u00fcmetler, g\u00f6\u00e7menleri \u00fclkelerine davet edecek. Profes\u00f6r Murray, \u201cS\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131p a\u00e7maman\u0131n h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin tercihi oldu\u011fu bir noktadan, \u00fclkelerin yetersiz say\u0131daki g\u00f6\u00e7menleri kapmak i\u00e7in birbiriyle rekabet etti\u011fi bir yere do\u011fru gidiyoruz\u201d diyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> ***<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Tabii, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkelerinin n\u00fcfusu azalmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u2018g\u00f6\u00e7\u2019, \u00fclkelerin n\u00fcfuslar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesine ne kadar \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yolu olabilecek, tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131...<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Burada g\u00f6zler Afrika\u2019ya \u00e7evriliyor. Afrika\u2019da n\u00fcfus, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n aksine h\u0131zla b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7en yaz\u0131da, 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda 791 milyon n\u00fcfusuyla Nijerya\u2019n\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019i de ge\u00e7erek, Hindistan\u2019dan sonra d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck n\u00fcfuslu ikinci \u00fclkesi olaca\u011f\u0131ndan bahsetmi\u015ftik. Bug\u00fcn d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu yakla\u015f\u0131k 8 milyar. 2064 y\u0131l\u0131nda 9.7 milyara ula\u015farak zirve yapmas\u0131 beklenen d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusundaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc Afrika\u2019dan kaynaklanacak. Profes\u00f6r Murray\u2019a g\u00f6re bu durum \u015f\u00f6yle: \u201cD\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkesinde Afrika k\u00f6kenli n\u00fcfusun artmas\u0131 sonucunu yaratacak. Irk\u00e7\u0131l\u0131k konusundaki sorunlarla k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde y\u00fczle\u015fmek daha da hayati bir \u00f6nem kazanacak.\u201d <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u015e\u00f6yle devam ediyor Murray: \u201c\u0130nsanlar\u0131n bu durumu inan\u0131lmaz bularak g\u00fcl\u00fcp ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Bundan kayg\u0131 duyuyorum; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc 8 ya\u015f\u0131nda bir k\u0131z\u0131m var ve onun ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n nas\u0131l bir yer olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 merak ediyorum. Kad\u0131nlar biraz daha fazla do\u011fum yapmaya karar verir ve sorun olmaz diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar. Fakat ger\u00e7ek bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunamazsa birka\u00e7 y\u00fczy\u0131l sonra insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n yok olu\u015funa kadar gidebilecek bir e\u011filim bu!\u201d<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> G\u00fcnl\u00fck hay-huydan \u015f\u00f6yle bir s\u0131yr\u0131l\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fczde ger\u00e7ekten de \u2018akla hayale s\u0131\u011fmayacak\u2019 bir de\u011fi\u015fim ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Ve her \u015feyi etkileyebilecek b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fim \u015fimdiden ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f durumda...<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00dclkelerin bu de\u011fi\u015fime uygun bi\u00e7imde yeniden \u00f6rg\u00fctlenmesi gerekecek. Bundan en az etkileneceklerden, hatta avantaj\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fayacaklardan biri de olsa, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de... <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>AVRUPA\u2019NIN EN GENC\u0130 T\u00dcRK\u0130YE<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n istatistik kurumu EUROSTAT verilerine g\u00f6re Avrupa \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda ya\u015f ortalamas\u0131 en gen\u00e7 \u00fclke 31.7 ile T\u00fcrkiye. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l yay\u0131mlanan verilere g\u00f6re Avrupa\u2019da ya\u015f\u0131 en y\u00fcksek olan \u00fclke ise 46.3 ile \u0130talya.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>(Se\u00e7ilmi\u015f \u00fclkelere g\u00f6re Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde ortanca ya\u015f, 2018)<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>T\u00fcrkiye 31.7<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Azerbaycan 31.8<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Ermenistan 35.0<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Arnavutluk 36.1<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>\u0130rlanda 37.3<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>G\u00fcrcistan 37.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>\u0130ngiltere 40.1<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Polonya 40.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Fransa 41.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Finlandiya 42.7<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>AB-28 43.1<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>\u0130spanya 43.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Bulgaristan 44.1<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Yunanistan 44.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Almanya 46.0<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>\u0130talya 46.3<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><em>Kaynak: EUROSTAT<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"gocmenleri-afrikalilari-istemeyenler-dikkat","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"G\u00f6\u00e7menleri, Afrikal\u0131lar\u0131 istemeyenler dikkat!","meta_description":"HAKAN G\u00dcLDA\u011e","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1090,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":1,"name":"HAKAN","surname":"G\u00dcLDA\u011e","email":"uakisik@eronat.com.tr","slug":"hakan-guldag","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600kKPzKvWx8Xpxx9n.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:32.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":22969,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":22870,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"G\u00f6\u00e7menleri, Afrikal\u0131lar\u0131 istemeyenler dikkat!","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>HAKAN G\u00dcLDA\u011e<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7en Eko-Mercek\u2019te d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n gelece\u011fini etkileyecek \u015fekilde nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fti\u011finden bahsettik. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalardan \u00f6rnekler verdik. Veriler payla\u015ft\u0131k. Sonra da sorduk, d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusundaki e\u011filimler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda ne gibi de\u011fi\u015fikliklere yol a\u00e7acak? <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00d6yle ya, 195 \u00fclkeden 183\u2019\u00fcnde do\u011fum oranlar\u0131n\u0131n mevcut n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak d\u00fczeye inmesinin mutlaka baz\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Eldeki verilerle hemen cevaplamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fal\u0131m:<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00d6nemli de\u011fi\u015fikliklerden biri n\u00fcfusun yap\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim olacak. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n ya\u015f ortalamas\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. Yani d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu ya\u015flan\u0131yor.<\/span><br> <br><span class=\"large\"> Medyan ya\u015f\u0131, yani n\u00fcfusu tam ortadan b\u00f6len \u2018ortanca\u2019 ya\u015f\u0131 43\u2019\u00fc a\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde bu sorun \u00e7oktan hissedilmeye ba\u015fland\u0131 bile. \u00d6yle ki, yak\u0131n zamanda, baz\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde o y\u0131l do\u011fan \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 kadar insan 80 ya\u015f\u0131na basacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Ama hani \u2018turpun b\u00fcy\u00fc\u011f\u00fc heybede\u2019 denir ya, geli\u015fmeler \u2018ya\u015flanma\u2019 e\u011filiminin daha da \u015fiddetlenece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Yap\u0131lan tahminler son derece \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131. Be\u015f ya\u015f\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu \u015fu s\u0131ralarda 685 milyon civar\u0131nda. Yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalara g\u00f6re bu 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda 401 milyona d\u00fc\u015fecek. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u015fu s\u0131rada 145 milyon civar\u0131nda olan 80 ya\u015f\u0131n \u00fczerindeki d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu ise 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 866 milyona \u00e7\u0131kacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bir ba\u015fka ifadeyle, kabaca 80 y\u0131l sonra d\u00fcnya \u00fczerinde 400 milyon be\u015f ya\u015f alt\u0131 \u00e7ocu\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 900 milyona yak\u0131n 80 ya\u015f \u00fczerinde insan ya\u015f\u0131yor olacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> ***<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz, n\u00fcfusta ya\u015fl\u0131lar\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 ise bir dizi olumsuz etki yap\u0131yor. Verilerini kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ara\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 yapan Profes\u00f6r Christopher Murray, \u201cBu durum devasa bir sosyal de\u011fi\u015fime yol a\u00e7acak\u201d diyor. Do\u011frusu hakl\u0131 da... O kadar \u00e7ok soru geliyor ki akla. Eminim sizin de geliyordur. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u201cHayatta kesin olan iki \u015fey vard\u0131r: \u00d6l\u00fcm ve vergi\u201d denir ya... T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u2018vergi\u2019 denilince ilk akla gelenlerden Veysi Sevi\u011f Hocam\u0131z\u0131n izniyle oradan ba\u015flayal\u0131m sorulara: Bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ya\u015fl\u0131 n\u00fcfusun oldu\u011fu bir d\u00fcnyada kim vergi \u00f6deyecek? <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Tabii, hemen arkas\u0131ndan di\u011fer sorular akla geliyor:<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Mesela, emeklilik sistemi nas\u0131l i\u015fleyecek? \u0130nsanlar bu y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n sonunda ka\u00e7 ya\u015f\u0131nda emekli olabilecek? Dahas\u0131 bir g\u00fcn emekli olabilecekler mi? <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ya\u015fl\u0131lara kim bakacak? Bak\u0131m ve sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetleri nas\u0131l finanse edilecek? <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> ***<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Kimi \u00fclkeler, \u00f6zellikle de n\u00fcfusun k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesiyle \u015fimdiden y\u00fcz y\u00fcze olan \u00fclkeler bu konuda baz\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00e7oktan atmaya ba\u015flad\u0131 bile. Mesela \u0130sve\u00e7... Annelik ve babal\u0131k izinlerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Bedava \u00e7ocuk bak\u0131m hizmeti sa\u011flad\u0131. \u00c7ocuk sahibi olmay\u0131 mali olarak te\u015fvik etti. Bir kampanya halinde y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sonucunu k\u0131smen de olsa ald\u0131. Y\u00fczde 1.7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olan \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in do\u011fum oran\u0131 1.9\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak t\u00fcm \u00e7abalara ra\u011fmen n\u00fcfusun ayn\u0131 kalabilmesini sa\u011flayacak 2.1 oran\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> N\u00fcfus k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesiyle y\u00fcz y\u00fcze olan ba\u015fka baz\u0131 \u00fclkeler ise \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 dahi yakalayamad\u0131. \u00d6rne\u011fin bug\u00fcn Singapur\u2019da do\u011fum oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.3... Bir ba\u015fka ifadeyle n\u00fcfus fiilen her g\u00fcn eksiliyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bir ba\u015fka \u00f6rnek \u0130ngiltere... \u0130ngilizler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck do\u011fum oranlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7 ile telafi etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu \u00fclkenin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7lerin de etkisiyle 2063 y\u0131l\u0131nda 75 milyon ile n\u00fcfusun zirvesine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Belki \u00e7ok da uzun olmayan bir zaman sonra \u015fu s\u0131ralarda g\u00f6\u00e7menlere kar\u015f\u0131 direnen, onlar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131ndan i\u00e7eri sokmamak i\u00e7in insanl\u0131k d\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6ntemlere ba\u015fvuran kimi h\u00fck\u00fcmetler, g\u00f6\u00e7menleri \u00fclkelerine davet edecek. Profes\u00f6r Murray, \u201cS\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131p a\u00e7maman\u0131n h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin tercihi oldu\u011fu bir noktadan, \u00fclkelerin yetersiz say\u0131daki g\u00f6\u00e7menleri kapmak i\u00e7in birbiriyle rekabet etti\u011fi bir yere do\u011fru gidiyoruz\u201d diyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> ***<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Tabii, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkelerinin n\u00fcfusu azalmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u2018g\u00f6\u00e7\u2019, \u00fclkelerin n\u00fcfuslar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesine ne kadar \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yolu olabilecek, tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131...<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Burada g\u00f6zler Afrika\u2019ya \u00e7evriliyor. Afrika\u2019da n\u00fcfus, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n aksine h\u0131zla b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7en yaz\u0131da, 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda 791 milyon n\u00fcfusuyla Nijerya\u2019n\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019i de ge\u00e7erek, Hindistan\u2019dan sonra d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck n\u00fcfuslu ikinci \u00fclkesi olaca\u011f\u0131ndan bahsetmi\u015ftik. Bug\u00fcn d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu yakla\u015f\u0131k 8 milyar. 2064 y\u0131l\u0131nda 9.7 milyara ula\u015farak zirve yapmas\u0131 beklenen d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusundaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc Afrika\u2019dan kaynaklanacak. Profes\u00f6r Murray\u2019a g\u00f6re bu durum \u015f\u00f6yle: \u201cD\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkesinde Afrika k\u00f6kenli n\u00fcfusun artmas\u0131 sonucunu yaratacak. Irk\u00e7\u0131l\u0131k konusundaki sorunlarla k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde y\u00fczle\u015fmek daha da hayati bir \u00f6nem kazanacak.\u201d <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u015e\u00f6yle devam ediyor Murray: \u201c\u0130nsanlar\u0131n bu durumu inan\u0131lmaz bularak g\u00fcl\u00fcp ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Bundan kayg\u0131 duyuyorum; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc 8 ya\u015f\u0131nda bir k\u0131z\u0131m var ve onun ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n nas\u0131l bir yer olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 merak ediyorum. Kad\u0131nlar biraz daha fazla do\u011fum yapmaya karar verir ve sorun olmaz diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar. Fakat ger\u00e7ek bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunamazsa birka\u00e7 y\u00fczy\u0131l sonra insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n yok olu\u015funa kadar gidebilecek bir e\u011filim bu!\u201d<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> G\u00fcnl\u00fck hay-huydan \u015f\u00f6yle bir s\u0131yr\u0131l\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fczde ger\u00e7ekten de \u2018akla hayale s\u0131\u011fmayacak\u2019 bir de\u011fi\u015fim ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Ve her \u015feyi etkileyebilecek b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fim \u015fimdiden ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f durumda...<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u00dclkelerin bu de\u011fi\u015fime uygun bi\u00e7imde yeniden \u00f6rg\u00fctlenmesi gerekecek. Bundan en az etkileneceklerden, hatta avantaj\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fayacaklardan biri de olsa, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de... <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>AVRUPA\u2019NIN EN GENC\u0130 T\u00dcRK\u0130YE<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n istatistik kurumu EUROSTAT verilerine g\u00f6re Avrupa \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda ya\u015f ortalamas\u0131 en gen\u00e7 \u00fclke 31.7 ile T\u00fcrkiye. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l yay\u0131mlanan verilere g\u00f6re Avrupa\u2019da ya\u015f\u0131 en y\u00fcksek olan \u00fclke ise 46.3 ile \u0130talya.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>(Se\u00e7ilmi\u015f \u00fclkelere g\u00f6re Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde ortanca ya\u015f, 2018)<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>T\u00fcrkiye 31.7<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Azerbaycan 31.8<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Ermenistan 35.0<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Arnavutluk 36.1<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>\u0130rlanda 37.3<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>G\u00fcrcistan 37.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>\u0130ngiltere 40.1<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Polonya 40.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Fransa 41.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Finlandiya 42.7<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>AB-28 43.1<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>\u0130spanya 43.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Bulgaristan 44.1<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Yunanistan 44.6<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>Almanya 46.0<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>\u0130talya 46.3<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><em>Kaynak: EUROSTAT<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"gocmenleri-afrikalilari-istemeyenler-dikkat","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"G\u00f6\u00e7menleri, Afrikal\u0131lar\u0131 istemeyenler dikkat!","meta_description":"HAKAN G\u00dcLDA\u011e","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1090,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}