{"status":true,"post":{"id":43530,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-09-18 09:21:00","created_at":"2023-09-18T06:21:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-09-18T06:21:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":43530,"is_featured":0,"title":"Global ekonominin yeni kabusu deflasyon","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","content":"


<\/p>

hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu yaz\u0131y\u0131 sizler i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlarken acaba fazla m\u0131 erken diye kendi kendime sordum. Ancak \u00c7in\u2019den gelen veriler, \u015fimdiden yazman\u0131n faydal\u0131 olabilece\u011fi kanaatini uyand\u0131rd\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Nedir bu deflasyon ve neden kabus oluyor?<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Deflasyon asl\u0131nda enflasyonun tersi olup, fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ifade eder. Halk aras\u0131nda enflasyon d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc s\u00f6z\u00fc yanl\u0131\u015f alg\u0131lanmakta olup, sanki fiyatlar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyormu\u015f gibi yorumlan\u0131r. Oysa fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften bahsedilir. Oysa deflasyon, i\u015fte tam anlad\u0131klar\u0131 konuyu anlat\u0131r. Deflasyonist ortamda fiyatlar geri gelir. Yani fiyatlar ucuzlar.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu k\u00f6t\u00fc bir \u015fey mi?<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

MADALYONUN D\u0130\u011eER Y\u00dcZ\u00dc<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta her \u015fey ucuzlayaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fczelmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnebilir ama madalyonun di\u011fer y\u00fcz\u00fc farkl\u0131. Fiyatlar d\u00fc\u015ferken firmalar zarar etmeye ba\u015flar. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc stok maliyetleri y\u00fcksek ve maliyetin alt\u0131na bile satmak zorunda kalabilirler. Ayr\u0131ca t\u00fcketici al\u0131m\u0131 erteler. Bu durumda piyasada durgunluk ba\u015flar. O zaman cirolar d\u00fc\u015fer ve firmalar eleman \u00e7\u0131karmak zorunda kal\u0131r. Yani i\u015fsizlik ve \u015firket kapanmalar\u0131 artar.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Global ekonomide entegrasyon nedeniyle \u00fclkeler d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan enflasyon veya deflasyon alabilir. Son zamanlarda ihracata dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen ekonomilerde global yava\u015flama nedeniyle s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu \u00fclkeler \u00c7in ve Almanya gibi \u00fclkelerdir. Almanya i\u00e7in negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden bahsedilirken, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 g\u00fcven endeksi de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. \u00c7in\u2019de ise global \u00f6l\u00e7ekte firmalar\u0131n bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deyemedi\u011fi i\u00e7in bor\u00e7 \u00f6telemesi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00c7in\u2019de temmuz ay\u0131nda \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE) y\u00fczde 0.3, T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi de (T\u00dcFE) y\u00fczde 4.4 azald\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler, hem \u00dcFE hem de T\u00dcFE\u2019nin 2020\u2019den bu yana ilk kez ayn\u0131 anda geriledi\u011fini ortaya koydu. Analistler, \u00c7in\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerle birlikte hem k\u00fcresel talepteki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn hem de \u00fclkede devam eden deflasyonist s\u00fcrecin \u00fclkenin ekonomik aktivitesine y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

HEDEF PAZAR \u00c7E\u015e\u0130TLEND\u0130RMES\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in, hem ihracat hem de ithalat anlam\u0131nda global ticaretin en \u00f6nemli oyuncusu. \u00c7in\u2019de \u00fcretimin yap\u0131lamamas\u0131, global mal tedarikinde yeniden bir sorunu tetikleyebilir. \u00c7in\u2019in \u00fcr\u00fcn satt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkelerde \u00fcr\u00fcne rahatl\u0131kla ula\u015f\u0131lamazsa tekrar fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ba\u015flar. Yani hem enflasyon hem de durgunluk ayn\u0131 anda olu\u015fur ki, buna stagflasyon diyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Resesyon, stagflasyon ve deflasyonist ortamlardan etkilenmemenin yollar\u0131 var. \u00d6rne\u011fin, talebin artmaya devam etti\u011fi Afrika k\u0131tas\u0131, Hindistan gibi \u00fclkelerle ticareti art\u0131rman\u0131n yollar\u0131n\u0131 bulmak, hedef pazar \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmesi yaparak riski da\u011f\u0131tmak anlam\u0131na geliyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

O zaman bir yerdeki krizden etkilensek bile di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelerle ticarette etkiyi s\u0131n\u0131rlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

K\u0131sacas\u0131, \u015firket y\u00f6netirken \u2018varl\u0131k ve y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerimizi\u2019 y\u00f6netti\u011fimizi unutmamal\u0131y\u0131z. Riski da\u011f\u0131tmak, global ve yurt i\u00e7i sorunlardan kurtulman\u0131n en \u00f6nemli yoludur.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"global-ekonominin-yeni-kabusu-deflasyon","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1694984400wmWvsaxVFr7XtKj.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1555,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":43656,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":43530,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Global ekonominin yeni kabusu deflasyon","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","content":"


<\/p>

hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu yaz\u0131y\u0131 sizler i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlarken acaba fazla m\u0131 erken diye kendi kendime sordum. Ancak \u00c7in\u2019den gelen veriler, \u015fimdiden yazman\u0131n faydal\u0131 olabilece\u011fi kanaatini uyand\u0131rd\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Nedir bu deflasyon ve neden kabus oluyor?<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Deflasyon asl\u0131nda enflasyonun tersi olup, fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ifade eder. Halk aras\u0131nda enflasyon d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc s\u00f6z\u00fc yanl\u0131\u015f alg\u0131lanmakta olup, sanki fiyatlar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyormu\u015f gibi yorumlan\u0131r. Oysa fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften bahsedilir. Oysa deflasyon, i\u015fte tam anlad\u0131klar\u0131 konuyu anlat\u0131r. Deflasyonist ortamda fiyatlar geri gelir. Yani fiyatlar ucuzlar.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu k\u00f6t\u00fc bir \u015fey mi?<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

MADALYONUN D\u0130\u011eER Y\u00dcZ\u00dc<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta her \u015fey ucuzlayaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fczelmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnebilir ama madalyonun di\u011fer y\u00fcz\u00fc farkl\u0131. Fiyatlar d\u00fc\u015ferken firmalar zarar etmeye ba\u015flar. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc stok maliyetleri y\u00fcksek ve maliyetin alt\u0131na bile satmak zorunda kalabilirler. Ayr\u0131ca t\u00fcketici al\u0131m\u0131 erteler. Bu durumda piyasada durgunluk ba\u015flar. O zaman cirolar d\u00fc\u015fer ve firmalar eleman \u00e7\u0131karmak zorunda kal\u0131r. Yani i\u015fsizlik ve \u015firket kapanmalar\u0131 artar.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Global ekonomide entegrasyon nedeniyle \u00fclkeler d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan enflasyon veya deflasyon alabilir. Son zamanlarda ihracata dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen ekonomilerde global yava\u015flama nedeniyle s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu \u00fclkeler \u00c7in ve Almanya gibi \u00fclkelerdir. Almanya i\u00e7in negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden bahsedilirken, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 g\u00fcven endeksi de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. \u00c7in\u2019de ise global \u00f6l\u00e7ekte firmalar\u0131n bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deyemedi\u011fi i\u00e7in bor\u00e7 \u00f6telemesi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00c7in\u2019de temmuz ay\u0131nda \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE) y\u00fczde 0.3, T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi de (T\u00dcFE) y\u00fczde 4.4 azald\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler, hem \u00dcFE hem de T\u00dcFE\u2019nin 2020\u2019den bu yana ilk kez ayn\u0131 anda geriledi\u011fini ortaya koydu. Analistler, \u00c7in\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerle birlikte hem k\u00fcresel talepteki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn hem de \u00fclkede devam eden deflasyonist s\u00fcrecin \u00fclkenin ekonomik aktivitesine y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

HEDEF PAZAR \u00c7E\u015e\u0130TLEND\u0130RMES\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in, hem ihracat hem de ithalat anlam\u0131nda global ticaretin en \u00f6nemli oyuncusu. \u00c7in\u2019de \u00fcretimin yap\u0131lamamas\u0131, global mal tedarikinde yeniden bir sorunu tetikleyebilir. \u00c7in\u2019in \u00fcr\u00fcn satt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkelerde \u00fcr\u00fcne rahatl\u0131kla ula\u015f\u0131lamazsa tekrar fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ba\u015flar. Yani hem enflasyon hem de durgunluk ayn\u0131 anda olu\u015fur ki, buna stagflasyon diyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Resesyon, stagflasyon ve deflasyonist ortamlardan etkilenmemenin yollar\u0131 var. \u00d6rne\u011fin, talebin artmaya devam etti\u011fi Afrika k\u0131tas\u0131, Hindistan gibi \u00fclkelerle ticareti art\u0131rman\u0131n yollar\u0131n\u0131 bulmak, hedef pazar \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmesi yaparak riski da\u011f\u0131tmak anlam\u0131na geliyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

O zaman bir yerdeki krizden etkilensek bile di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelerle ticarette etkiyi s\u0131n\u0131rlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

K\u0131sacas\u0131, \u015firket y\u00f6netirken \u2018varl\u0131k ve y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerimizi\u2019 y\u00f6netti\u011fimizi unutmamal\u0131y\u0131z. Riski da\u011f\u0131tmak, global ve yurt i\u00e7i sorunlardan kurtulman\u0131n en \u00f6nemli yoludur.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"global-ekonominin-yeni-kabusu-deflasyon","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1694984400wmWvsaxVFr7XtKj.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1694984400wmWvsaxVFr7XtKj.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1555,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}