{"status":true,"post":{"id":22865,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:21:55","created_at":"2020-09-03T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:21:55.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":22865,"is_featured":0,"title":"Genel hatlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131m\u0131z","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130kinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131nda s\u00fcrpriz ya\u015fanmad\u0131. Koronavir\u00fcs\u00fcn ekonomide bir\u00e7ok alan\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na getirdi\u011fi nisan-may\u0131s-haziran d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye y\u00fczde 9.9 oran\u0131nda darald\u0131. OECD \u00fclkeleri ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde ortalamada y\u00fczde 9.8 daralma ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi bu rakam ile neredeyse birebir \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fen bir performans kaydetmi\u015f. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin y\u00fczde 21.7, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ise y\u00fczde 15 darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da not edelim. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi bundan \u00f6nceki en sert daralmas\u0131n\u0131 2009\u2019un ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel finans krizinden dolay\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi o \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 13.8 oran\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. <\/span>
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H\u0130ZMETLERDEK\u0130 BEL\u0130RG\u0130N D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e<\/strong><\/span>
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Sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda detaylara bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda en sert daralma genel itibariyle hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fand\u0131. Sosyal k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar ve insan davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndaki k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fimden dolay\u0131 hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sert bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme bekleniyordu. Tabii b\u00fct\u00fcn hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc ayn\u0131 kefeye koymamak gerekiyor. Bahar aylar\u0131nda lokanta, e\u011flence, konaklama ve s\u00fcrekli e\u011fitim gibi hizmetlere olan talep neredeyse durma noktas\u0131na geldi. Baz\u0131 hizmetlere y\u00f6nelik taleplerde ise art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Sosyal izolasyon d\u00f6neminde daha fazla \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flayan bilgi ve i\u015flem sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 11\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme var. Finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 27.8\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f. Ancak, bu sekt\u00f6rlerin ekonomiden ald\u0131klar\u0131 pay d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in haliyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye pozitif katk\u0131lar\u0131 olduk\u00e7a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Vardiyalar\u0131n ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma saatlerinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 16.5 oran\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var. <\/span>
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TARIMSAL \u00dcRET\u0130M V\u0130R\u00dcSE D\u0130REN\u00c7 G\u00d6STERD\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 4 oran\u0131nda pozitif bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetti. Vir\u00fcs ko\u015fullar\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u00e7ift\u00e7ilerimizin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00f6zveri ile \u00fcretime devam etmesi, g\u0131da talebinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6ylesi bir d\u00f6nemde hayati bir \u00f6neme sahipti. Ama tar\u0131m\u0131n ekonomideki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 5-6 civar\u0131nda olunca, do\u011fal olarak bu performans genel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi \u00e7ok da fazla yukar\u0131ya ta\u015f\u0131yam\u0131yor.<\/span>
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B\u00dcY\u00dcMEDE \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 YARI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
\u00d6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeler temmuzda ekonomik aktivitenin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Kurdaki dalgalanma ve kredi ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 a\u011fustosun ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren ivmenin biraz kaybolmas\u0131na neden oldu gibi. D\u00f6viz gelirleri taraf\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ihracat rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Turizm gelirlerinde az da olsa bir k\u0131p\u0131rdanma var. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte di\u011fer G20 \u00fclkelerine k\u0131yasla daha pozitif bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 yakalamas\u0131 kuvvetle muhtemel. D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek, b\u00fct\u00fcn y\u0131l\u0131n genel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a belirleyici olacak. Salg\u0131n\u0131n ikinci dalgas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015felerin tetikledi\u011fi belirsizlikler, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in bir risk olabilir. Hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketimi ve \u00f6zel yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda son \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in kayda de\u011fer bir s\u0131\u00e7rama beklememek laz\u0131m. Net ihracat\u0131n da katk\u0131s\u0131 k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n ko\u015fullar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir. Son \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k periyodda b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in en kritik bile\u015fen, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz kamu harcamalar\u0131 olacak. Kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik aktiviteye verece\u011fi destek, b\u00f6ylesi zor bir y\u0131l\u0131 makul say\u0131labilecek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131yla kapatma \u015fans\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"genel-hatlariyla-buyume-performansimiz","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Genel hatlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131m\u0131z","meta_description":"Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1072,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":9,"name":"NURULLAH","surname":"G\u00dcR","email":"nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr","slug":"prof-dr-nurullah-gur","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600zm0eg4EVw1c01iN.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":22964,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":22865,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Genel hatlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131m\u0131z","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130kinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131nda s\u00fcrpriz ya\u015fanmad\u0131. Koronavir\u00fcs\u00fcn ekonomide bir\u00e7ok alan\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na getirdi\u011fi nisan-may\u0131s-haziran d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye y\u00fczde 9.9 oran\u0131nda darald\u0131. OECD \u00fclkeleri ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde ortalamada y\u00fczde 9.8 daralma ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi bu rakam ile neredeyse birebir \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fen bir performans kaydetmi\u015f. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin y\u00fczde 21.7, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ise y\u00fczde 15 darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da not edelim. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi bundan \u00f6nceki en sert daralmas\u0131n\u0131 2009\u2019un ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel finans krizinden dolay\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi o \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 13.8 oran\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. <\/span>
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H\u0130ZMETLERDEK\u0130 BEL\u0130RG\u0130N D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e<\/strong><\/span>
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Sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda detaylara bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda en sert daralma genel itibariyle hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fand\u0131. Sosyal k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar ve insan davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndaki k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fimden dolay\u0131 hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sert bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme bekleniyordu. Tabii b\u00fct\u00fcn hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc ayn\u0131 kefeye koymamak gerekiyor. Bahar aylar\u0131nda lokanta, e\u011flence, konaklama ve s\u00fcrekli e\u011fitim gibi hizmetlere olan talep neredeyse durma noktas\u0131na geldi. Baz\u0131 hizmetlere y\u00f6nelik taleplerde ise art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Sosyal izolasyon d\u00f6neminde daha fazla \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flayan bilgi ve i\u015flem sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 11\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme var. Finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 27.8\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f. Ancak, bu sekt\u00f6rlerin ekonomiden ald\u0131klar\u0131 pay d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in haliyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye pozitif katk\u0131lar\u0131 olduk\u00e7a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Vardiyalar\u0131n ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma saatlerinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 16.5 oran\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var. <\/span>
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TARIMSAL \u00dcRET\u0130M V\u0130R\u00dcSE D\u0130REN\u00c7 G\u00d6STERD\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
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Tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 4 oran\u0131nda pozitif bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetti. Vir\u00fcs ko\u015fullar\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u00e7ift\u00e7ilerimizin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00f6zveri ile \u00fcretime devam etmesi, g\u0131da talebinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6ylesi bir d\u00f6nemde hayati bir \u00f6neme sahipti. Ama tar\u0131m\u0131n ekonomideki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 5-6 civar\u0131nda olunca, do\u011fal olarak bu performans genel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi \u00e7ok da fazla yukar\u0131ya ta\u015f\u0131yam\u0131yor.<\/span>
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B\u00dcY\u00dcMEDE \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 YARI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
\u00d6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeler temmuzda ekonomik aktivitenin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Kurdaki dalgalanma ve kredi ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 a\u011fustosun ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren ivmenin biraz kaybolmas\u0131na neden oldu gibi. D\u00f6viz gelirleri taraf\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ihracat rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Turizm gelirlerinde az da olsa bir k\u0131p\u0131rdanma var. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte di\u011fer G20 \u00fclkelerine k\u0131yasla daha pozitif bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 yakalamas\u0131 kuvvetle muhtemel. D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek, b\u00fct\u00fcn y\u0131l\u0131n genel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a belirleyici olacak. Salg\u0131n\u0131n ikinci dalgas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015felerin tetikledi\u011fi belirsizlikler, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in bir risk olabilir. Hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketimi ve \u00f6zel yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda son \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in kayda de\u011fer bir s\u0131\u00e7rama beklememek laz\u0131m. Net ihracat\u0131n da katk\u0131s\u0131 k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n ko\u015fullar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir. Son \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k periyodda b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in en kritik bile\u015fen, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz kamu harcamalar\u0131 olacak. Kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik aktiviteye verece\u011fi destek, b\u00f6ylesi zor bir y\u0131l\u0131 makul say\u0131labilecek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131yla kapatma \u015fans\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"genel-hatlariyla-buyume-performansimiz","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Genel hatlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131m\u0131z","meta_description":"Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1072,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}