{"status":true,"post":{"id":18871,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:18:03","created_at":"2018-08-26T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:18:03.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":18871,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u2018Ekonomik sava\u015f\u2019a psikolojik haz\u0131rl\u0131k","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n Ramazan ve ard\u0131ndan bayramla ge\u00e7ti\u011fini dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, temmuz ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verisinin, bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde rekor k\u0131rmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren ihracat performans\u0131yla yine y\u00fcksek gelebilece\u011fi s\u00f6ylenebilir. Ancak nas\u0131l ki, 15 Temmuz 2016\u2019da, FET\u00d6 hain darbe giri\u015fiminin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi temmuz ay\u0131nda negatif bir sanayi \u00fcretim de\u011fi\u015fim oran\u0131 g\u00f6zlemlediysek, ABD y\u00f6netiminin i\u00e7ine \u00e7\u00f6reklenmi\u015f ve Beyaz Saray\u2019\u0131 da kontrol\u00fcne alm\u0131\u015f k\u00fcreselci derin yap\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018ekonomik darbe giri\u015fimi\u2019 nedeniyle a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretim verisinin negatif gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemeli. Bununla birlikte Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131m\u0131z Berat Albayrak\u2019\u0131n orkestrasyonunda, t\u00fcm ekonomi y\u00f6netimi kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n etkili ve ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fckleri \u2018ekonomik operasyon\u2019u bertaraf etme ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sakinle\u015fmenin ve uluslararas\u0131 finans piyasas\u0131 profesyonellerine y\u00f6nelik olarak y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen ileti\u015fim stratejisinin olumlu etkilerini k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede g\u00f6zlemledik.<\/span><\/p>

ABD\u2019nin tetikledi\u011fi \u2018Y\u0131ld\u0131z Sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019, Beyaz Saray y\u00f6netiminin sald\u0131rgan ve k\u00fcstah tutumunun da bir sonucu olarak, T\u00fcrkiye ile AB\u2019nin lokomotif \u00fclkeleri Almanya, Fransa, \u0130talya, Rusya, \u00c7in ve Katar aras\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin sald\u0131rgan tavr\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomi-politi\u011fine verdi\u011fi a\u011f\u0131r zarar noktas\u0131nda \u2018isti\u015fare\u2019 ve \u2018birlikte hareket etme\u2019 motivasyonunu da h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu noktada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin gerek AB, gerekse de yeni ihracat pazarlar\u0131yla ticaretini, turizm ili\u015fkilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi, tasarruflara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verdi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesine de pozitif y\u00f6nde yans\u0131yacak. B\u00fcy\u00fcmemizi makul bir d\u00fczeyde tutarak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir y\u0131l\u0131 ekonomide \u2018sath\u0131 m\u00fcdafaa\u2019 format\u0131nda y\u00f6netece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>

DT\u00d6\u2019N\u00dcN \u0130\u015eLEVSELL\u0130\u011e\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD, 1941\u2019de devrald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kapitalist sistemin, asimetrik d\u00fczenin liderli\u011fi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, 1944\u2019ten itibaren kendi patronajl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018yeni liberal d\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n 2000\u2019li y\u0131llarla birlikte kendi aleyhine \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmesiyle kendisinin in\u015fa etti\u011fi \u2018Atlantik\u2019 merkezli k\u00fcresel ekonomi-politik mimariyi y\u0131kma karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Bu nedenle, GATT anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve devam\u0131 olan D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fc i\u015flevsiz k\u0131lacak a\u011f\u0131r bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131na, istedi\u011fi kararlara art\u0131k destek bulamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler b\u00fct\u00e7esine yapmas\u0131 gereken \u00f6demeleri dondurarak BM\u2019yi paras\u0131z b\u0131rakmaya, G7 ve NATO i\u00e7erisinde 70 y\u0131ld\u0131r birlikte oldu\u011fu Avrupa\u2019yla pek \u00e7ok konuda gerginli\u011fi t\u0131rmand\u0131rmaya yo\u011funla\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>

ABD; \u00c7in, Rusya ve AB ile farkl\u0131 i\u00e7erikte, farkl\u0131 d\u00fczey ve \u015fiddette bir sava\u015fa tutu\u015fmu\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Latin Amerika\u2019yla ilgili de husumetleri s\u00f6z konusu. Ve 70 y\u0131ld\u0131r kendisini pek \u00e7ok konuda yaln\u0131z b\u0131rakmam\u0131\u015f, bir Amerikan t\u00fcmenini Kuzey Kore\u2019de yok olmaktan kurtarm\u0131\u015f, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6neminde Atlantik\u2019in savunmas\u0131n\u0131n, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde k\u00fcresel ter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadelenin en etkili \u00fclkesi olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yle de ili\u015fkileri bir daha d\u00fczelemeyecek bir seviyeye getirmeyi g\u00f6ze alm\u0131\u015f bir havada, \u2018Y\u0131ld\u0131zlar Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f durumda. <\/span><\/p>

DAHA YO\u011eUN STRATEJ\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Osmanl\u0131 Ordusu\u2019nun d\u00fcnyan\u0131n t\u00fcm sayg\u0131n askeri okullar\u0131nda okutulan destans\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fc, sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi \u2018psikolojik haz\u0131rl\u0131k\u2019, cephane, m\u00fchimmat ve ula\u015f\u0131m boyutunda \u2018lojistik haz\u0131rl\u0131k\u2019 ve gerekti\u011finde \u2018son savunma\u2019 takti\u011fidir; yani \u2018hatt\u0131 m\u00fcdafaa\u2019 de\u011fil, \u2018sath\u0131 m\u00fcdafaa\u2019d\u0131r. <\/span>
Bakan Albayrak\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018yeni ekonomik yap\u0131\u2019, ekonomik sava\u015f\u0131n \u2018psikolojik\u2019 ve \u2018lojistik\u2019 haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pek \u00e7ok ipucu ta\u015f\u0131yor. Ekonomik dengelenme d\u00f6neminde elde edilecek sonu\u00e7lar, tasarruflar\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, daha etkin bir kamu mali disiplin ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen cari a\u00e7\u0131k \u2018psikolojik haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019 sa\u011flayacak. \u0130stikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131, ekonomide daha adaletli payla\u015f\u0131mla, nitelikli insan g\u00fcc\u00fc ve toplum ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 ise \u2018lojistik haz\u0131rl\u0131k\u2019. Strateji \u00fcretme kapasitesinin kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 bir anlay\u0131\u015fla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi, h\u0131zl\u0131 refleks kabiliyeti, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc temeller; de\u011fi\u015fim odakl\u0131 hedefler ise \u2018son savunma\u2019 takti\u011fimiz olacak. \u2018Y\u0131ld\u0131z Sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 birlik ve beraberlikle, daha yo\u011fun strateji \u00fcretme kabiliyetiyle a\u015faca\u011f\u0131z ve bu sava\u015f\u0131 kazanaca\u011f\u0131z. <\/span><\/p>

2. \u00c7EYREK B\u00dcY\u00dcME Y\u00dcZDE 4.5-4.6<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Haziran ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verileri sonras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir detay, y\u00fcksek teknolojiyle \u00fcretim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren sanayi alan\u0131n\u0131n hem takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimde y\u00fczde 17.9, hem de mevsim ve takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimde y\u00fczde 6.6 ile \u00f6nemli bir \u00fcretim ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131na imza att\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemledik. A\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re sanayi \u00fcretiminin y\u00fczde 5.34\u2019l\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f yakalamas\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine dair 10 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 oran\u0131na dair tahminimizi y\u00fczde 4.11 ile 5.27 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u015fekillendirdi. Bununla birlikte tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131n orta noktas\u0131 anlam\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 2. \u00e7eyrek tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131n y\u00fczde 4.55-4.69 oldu\u011funu ifade etmek isterim. <\/span>
Bu da, yine y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla, 2018\u2019in ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fczde 5.5-6 aras\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 oran\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomik-savasa-psikolojik-hazirlik","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u2018Ekonomik sava\u015f\u2019a psikolojik haz\u0131rl\u0131k","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":146,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":18970,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":18871,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u2018Ekonomik sava\u015f\u2019a psikolojik haz\u0131rl\u0131k","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n Ramazan ve ard\u0131ndan bayramla ge\u00e7ti\u011fini dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, temmuz ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verisinin, bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde rekor k\u0131rmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren ihracat performans\u0131yla yine y\u00fcksek gelebilece\u011fi s\u00f6ylenebilir. Ancak nas\u0131l ki, 15 Temmuz 2016\u2019da, FET\u00d6 hain darbe giri\u015fiminin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi temmuz ay\u0131nda negatif bir sanayi \u00fcretim de\u011fi\u015fim oran\u0131 g\u00f6zlemlediysek, ABD y\u00f6netiminin i\u00e7ine \u00e7\u00f6reklenmi\u015f ve Beyaz Saray\u2019\u0131 da kontrol\u00fcne alm\u0131\u015f k\u00fcreselci derin yap\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018ekonomik darbe giri\u015fimi\u2019 nedeniyle a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretim verisinin negatif gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemeli. Bununla birlikte Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131m\u0131z Berat Albayrak\u2019\u0131n orkestrasyonunda, t\u00fcm ekonomi y\u00f6netimi kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n etkili ve ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fckleri \u2018ekonomik operasyon\u2019u bertaraf etme ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sakinle\u015fmenin ve uluslararas\u0131 finans piyasas\u0131 profesyonellerine y\u00f6nelik olarak y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen ileti\u015fim stratejisinin olumlu etkilerini k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede g\u00f6zlemledik.<\/span><\/p>

ABD\u2019nin tetikledi\u011fi \u2018Y\u0131ld\u0131z Sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019, Beyaz Saray y\u00f6netiminin sald\u0131rgan ve k\u00fcstah tutumunun da bir sonucu olarak, T\u00fcrkiye ile AB\u2019nin lokomotif \u00fclkeleri Almanya, Fransa, \u0130talya, Rusya, \u00c7in ve Katar aras\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin sald\u0131rgan tavr\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomi-politi\u011fine verdi\u011fi a\u011f\u0131r zarar noktas\u0131nda \u2018isti\u015fare\u2019 ve \u2018birlikte hareket etme\u2019 motivasyonunu da h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu noktada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin gerek AB, gerekse de yeni ihracat pazarlar\u0131yla ticaretini, turizm ili\u015fkilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi, tasarruflara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verdi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesine de pozitif y\u00f6nde yans\u0131yacak. B\u00fcy\u00fcmemizi makul bir d\u00fczeyde tutarak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir y\u0131l\u0131 ekonomide \u2018sath\u0131 m\u00fcdafaa\u2019 format\u0131nda y\u00f6netece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>

DT\u00d6\u2019N\u00dcN \u0130\u015eLEVSELL\u0130\u011e\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD, 1941\u2019de devrald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kapitalist sistemin, asimetrik d\u00fczenin liderli\u011fi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, 1944\u2019ten itibaren kendi patronajl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018yeni liberal d\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n 2000\u2019li y\u0131llarla birlikte kendi aleyhine \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmesiyle kendisinin in\u015fa etti\u011fi \u2018Atlantik\u2019 merkezli k\u00fcresel ekonomi-politik mimariyi y\u0131kma karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Bu nedenle, GATT anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve devam\u0131 olan D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fc i\u015flevsiz k\u0131lacak a\u011f\u0131r bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131na, istedi\u011fi kararlara art\u0131k destek bulamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler b\u00fct\u00e7esine yapmas\u0131 gereken \u00f6demeleri dondurarak BM\u2019yi paras\u0131z b\u0131rakmaya, G7 ve NATO i\u00e7erisinde 70 y\u0131ld\u0131r birlikte oldu\u011fu Avrupa\u2019yla pek \u00e7ok konuda gerginli\u011fi t\u0131rmand\u0131rmaya yo\u011funla\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>

ABD; \u00c7in, Rusya ve AB ile farkl\u0131 i\u00e7erikte, farkl\u0131 d\u00fczey ve \u015fiddette bir sava\u015fa tutu\u015fmu\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Latin Amerika\u2019yla ilgili de husumetleri s\u00f6z konusu. Ve 70 y\u0131ld\u0131r kendisini pek \u00e7ok konuda yaln\u0131z b\u0131rakmam\u0131\u015f, bir Amerikan t\u00fcmenini Kuzey Kore\u2019de yok olmaktan kurtarm\u0131\u015f, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6neminde Atlantik\u2019in savunmas\u0131n\u0131n, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde k\u00fcresel ter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadelenin en etkili \u00fclkesi olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yle de ili\u015fkileri bir daha d\u00fczelemeyecek bir seviyeye getirmeyi g\u00f6ze alm\u0131\u015f bir havada, \u2018Y\u0131ld\u0131zlar Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f durumda. <\/span><\/p>

DAHA YO\u011eUN STRATEJ\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Osmanl\u0131 Ordusu\u2019nun d\u00fcnyan\u0131n t\u00fcm sayg\u0131n askeri okullar\u0131nda okutulan destans\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fc, sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi \u2018psikolojik haz\u0131rl\u0131k\u2019, cephane, m\u00fchimmat ve ula\u015f\u0131m boyutunda \u2018lojistik haz\u0131rl\u0131k\u2019 ve gerekti\u011finde \u2018son savunma\u2019 takti\u011fidir; yani \u2018hatt\u0131 m\u00fcdafaa\u2019 de\u011fil, \u2018sath\u0131 m\u00fcdafaa\u2019d\u0131r. <\/span>
Bakan Albayrak\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018yeni ekonomik yap\u0131\u2019, ekonomik sava\u015f\u0131n \u2018psikolojik\u2019 ve \u2018lojistik\u2019 haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pek \u00e7ok ipucu ta\u015f\u0131yor. Ekonomik dengelenme d\u00f6neminde elde edilecek sonu\u00e7lar, tasarruflar\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, daha etkin bir kamu mali disiplin ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen cari a\u00e7\u0131k \u2018psikolojik haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019 sa\u011flayacak. \u0130stikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131, ekonomide daha adaletli payla\u015f\u0131mla, nitelikli insan g\u00fcc\u00fc ve toplum ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 ise \u2018lojistik haz\u0131rl\u0131k\u2019. Strateji \u00fcretme kapasitesinin kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 bir anlay\u0131\u015fla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi, h\u0131zl\u0131 refleks kabiliyeti, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc temeller; de\u011fi\u015fim odakl\u0131 hedefler ise \u2018son savunma\u2019 takti\u011fimiz olacak. \u2018Y\u0131ld\u0131z Sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 birlik ve beraberlikle, daha yo\u011fun strateji \u00fcretme kabiliyetiyle a\u015faca\u011f\u0131z ve bu sava\u015f\u0131 kazanaca\u011f\u0131z. <\/span><\/p>

2. \u00c7EYREK B\u00dcY\u00dcME Y\u00dcZDE 4.5-4.6<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Haziran ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verileri sonras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir detay, y\u00fcksek teknolojiyle \u00fcretim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren sanayi alan\u0131n\u0131n hem takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimde y\u00fczde 17.9, hem de mevsim ve takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimde y\u00fczde 6.6 ile \u00f6nemli bir \u00fcretim ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131na imza att\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemledik. A\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re sanayi \u00fcretiminin y\u00fczde 5.34\u2019l\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f yakalamas\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine dair 10 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 oran\u0131na dair tahminimizi y\u00fczde 4.11 ile 5.27 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u015fekillendirdi. Bununla birlikte tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131n orta noktas\u0131 anlam\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 2. \u00e7eyrek tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131n y\u00fczde 4.55-4.69 oldu\u011funu ifade etmek isterim. <\/span>
Bu da, yine y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla, 2018\u2019in ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fczde 5.5-6 aras\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 oran\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomik-savasa-psikolojik-hazirlik","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u2018Ekonomik sava\u015f\u2019a psikolojik haz\u0131rl\u0131k","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":146,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}