{"status":true,"post":{"id":19595,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:37:58","created_at":"2018-12-16T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:37:58.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":19595,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomide yumu\u015fak ini\u015f \u00f6nemli","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomide kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 a\u015fmak i\u00e7in uygulanan politikalar ekonomide dengelenmeyi hedefliyor. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme kontroll\u00fc olarak yava\u015flat\u0131larak bozulan makro dengelerin tamir edilmesi hedefleniyor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ekonomide yumu\u015fak ini\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130ni\u015fin yumu\u015fak olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisini de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. \u00dc\u00c7\u00dcNC\u00dc \u00c7EYREKTE B\u00dcY\u00dcME HIZLI YAVA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomi 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.6 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi bu performansla 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda kalk\u0131\u015fma giri\u015fiminin oldu\u011fu \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekteki gerilemenin ard\u0131ndan 8 \u00e7eyrek \u00fcst \u00fcste b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flamay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131. Ancak \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ya\u015fanan kur ataklar\u0131, bozulan makro dengeler ve al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemler ile birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerin de \u00f6tesinde yava\u015flad\u0131 ve yine son 8 \u00e7eyre\u011fin en yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak da yumu\u015fak ini\u015fin yerine sert bir ini\u015f mi oluyor endi\u015feleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. TUR\u0130ZM VE H\u0130ZMETLER B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 SA\u011eLADI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde h\u0131zl\u0131 yava\u015flayan ekonomide sekt\u00f6rlerin geli\u015fimine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sert bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 5.3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 0.6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Sanayi \u00fcretiminde keskin bir fren g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Tar\u0131m kesiminde de b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 1.0 oldu. Bu \u00fc\u00e7 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn toplam\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme negatif olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu itibarla \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi sa\u011flayan y\u00fczde 4.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steren hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc oldu. Turizm ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere yaz aylar\u0131nda ula\u015ft\u0131rma, ticaret ve di\u011fer hizmetlerde g\u00f6receli canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi ile ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flanabildi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. ENFLASYONDA KUVVETL\u0130 ARTI\u015e HANE HALKININ HARCAMA G\u00dcC\u00dcN\u00dc AZALTTI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7mi\u015f y\u0131llarda ya\u015fanan ekonomideki yava\u015flama veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmelerde hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131 bir\u00e7ok nedene dayal\u0131 olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyordu. Ancak 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomideki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin alt\u0131nda bir hane halk\u0131 harcama b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yerle\u015fik hane halklar\u0131 harcamalar\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re sadece y\u00fczde 1.1 artt\u0131. Bunun ana nedeni, enflasyondaki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n hane halk\u0131 sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azaltm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n kamunun nihai t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 y\u00fczde 7.5 artt\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. \u0130HRACATTAN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE Y\u00dcKSEK KATKI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde gayrisafi sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.8 azald\u0131. Mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131 y\u00fczde 13.6 artarken, mal ve hizmet ithalat\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 16.7 azald\u0131. B\u00f6ylece yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi 1.1 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekerken, ihracat b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 2.8 puan destek verdi. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>5. \u00d6N\u00dcM\u00dcZDEK\u0130 \u00c7EYREKLERDE BEKLENT\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2018 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomide h\u0131zl\u0131 bir yava\u015flama ya\u015fand\u0131. Yeni ekonomi program\u0131n\u0131n da uygulanmas\u0131 ile ekonomide kontroll\u00fc bir yava\u015flama hedefi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ancak muhtemelen 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ve 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n en az\u0131ndan ilk iki \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomide k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok artt\u0131. Ekonomide ini\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 mutlaka iyile\u015ftirilmeli.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>6. REEL SEKT\u00d6R NE YAPACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomide reel sekt\u00f6r \u015fu anda iki \u00f6nemli s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Bunlardan ilki mali yap\u0131lar hasar g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve y\u00fckselen enflasyon, faizler ve kurlar ile i\u015fleri sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctme olana\u011f\u0131 azald\u0131. Di\u011fer yandan hem finansal s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k ya\u015fan\u0131yor hem de yeni kredi kullan\u0131lam\u0131yor. \u015eimdi bunlara i\u00e7 talepte keskin gerileme ekleniyor. Reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn bu ko\u015fullarda ekonomide dengelenmeyi bekleyecek g\u00fcc\u00fc kalmayacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> ekonomide dengelenme ile reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki dengeyi yeniden kurmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-yumusak-inis-onemli","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide yumu\u015fak ini\u015f \u00f6nemli","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":102,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":19694,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":19595,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomide yumu\u015fak ini\u015f \u00f6nemli","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomide kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 a\u015fmak i\u00e7in uygulanan politikalar ekonomide dengelenmeyi hedefliyor. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme kontroll\u00fc olarak yava\u015flat\u0131larak bozulan makro dengelerin tamir edilmesi hedefleniyor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ekonomide yumu\u015fak ini\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130ni\u015fin yumu\u015fak olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisini de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. \u00dc\u00c7\u00dcNC\u00dc \u00c7EYREKTE B\u00dcY\u00dcME HIZLI YAVA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomi 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.6 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi bu performansla 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda kalk\u0131\u015fma giri\u015fiminin oldu\u011fu \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekteki gerilemenin ard\u0131ndan 8 \u00e7eyrek \u00fcst \u00fcste b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flamay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131. Ancak \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ya\u015fanan kur ataklar\u0131, bozulan makro dengeler ve al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemler ile birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerin de \u00f6tesinde yava\u015flad\u0131 ve yine son 8 \u00e7eyre\u011fin en yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak da yumu\u015fak ini\u015fin yerine sert bir ini\u015f mi oluyor endi\u015feleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. TUR\u0130ZM VE H\u0130ZMETLER B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 SA\u011eLADI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde h\u0131zl\u0131 yava\u015flayan ekonomide sekt\u00f6rlerin geli\u015fimine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sert bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 5.3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 0.6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Sanayi \u00fcretiminde keskin bir fren g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Tar\u0131m kesiminde de b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 1.0 oldu. Bu \u00fc\u00e7 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn toplam\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme negatif olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu itibarla \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi sa\u011flayan y\u00fczde 4.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steren hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc oldu. Turizm ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere yaz aylar\u0131nda ula\u015ft\u0131rma, ticaret ve di\u011fer hizmetlerde g\u00f6receli canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi ile ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flanabildi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. ENFLASYONDA KUVVETL\u0130 ARTI\u015e HANE HALKININ HARCAMA G\u00dcC\u00dcN\u00dc AZALTTI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7mi\u015f y\u0131llarda ya\u015fanan ekonomideki yava\u015flama veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmelerde hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131 bir\u00e7ok nedene dayal\u0131 olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyordu. Ancak 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomideki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin alt\u0131nda bir hane halk\u0131 harcama b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yerle\u015fik hane halklar\u0131 harcamalar\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re sadece y\u00fczde 1.1 artt\u0131. Bunun ana nedeni, enflasyondaki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n hane halk\u0131 sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azaltm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n kamunun nihai t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 y\u00fczde 7.5 artt\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. \u0130HRACATTAN B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYE Y\u00dcKSEK KATKI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde gayrisafi sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.8 azald\u0131. Mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131 y\u00fczde 13.6 artarken, mal ve hizmet ithalat\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 16.7 azald\u0131. B\u00f6ylece yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi 1.1 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekerken, ihracat b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 2.8 puan destek verdi. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>5. \u00d6N\u00dcM\u00dcZDEK\u0130 \u00c7EYREKLERDE BEKLENT\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2018 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomide h\u0131zl\u0131 bir yava\u015flama ya\u015fand\u0131. Yeni ekonomi program\u0131n\u0131n da uygulanmas\u0131 ile ekonomide kontroll\u00fc bir yava\u015flama hedefi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ancak muhtemelen 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ve 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n en az\u0131ndan ilk iki \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomide k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok artt\u0131. Ekonomide ini\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 mutlaka iyile\u015ftirilmeli.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>6. REEL SEKT\u00d6R NE YAPACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekonomide reel sekt\u00f6r \u015fu anda iki \u00f6nemli s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Bunlardan ilki mali yap\u0131lar hasar g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve y\u00fckselen enflasyon, faizler ve kurlar ile i\u015fleri sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctme olana\u011f\u0131 azald\u0131. Di\u011fer yandan hem finansal s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k ya\u015fan\u0131yor hem de yeni kredi kullan\u0131lam\u0131yor. \u015eimdi bunlara i\u00e7 talepte keskin gerileme ekleniyor. Reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn bu ko\u015fullarda ekonomide dengelenmeyi bekleyecek g\u00fcc\u00fc kalmayacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> ekonomide dengelenme ile reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki dengeyi yeniden kurmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-yumusak-inis-onemli","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide yumu\u015fak ini\u015f \u00f6nemli","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":102,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}