{"status":true,"post":{"id":14587,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:48:52","created_at":"2016-09-04T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:48:52.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":14587,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomide normalle\u015fme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. DARBE G\u0130R\u0130\u015e\u0130M\u0130 SONRASI EKONOM\u0130K GEL\u0130\u015eMELER VE NORMALLE\u015eME ARAYI\u015eLARI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Darbe giri\u015fimi sonras\u0131 OHAL s\u00fcrecinde ekonomide normalle\u015fme ve i\u015flerde toparlanma aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrmektedir. Ekonominin \u00fcretim taraf\u0131nda ve sipari\u015flerde yava\u015flaman\u0131n bir s\u00fcre daha devam edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Uzun s\u00fcredir dura\u011fan kalan \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda ise \u00f6teleme ve yeni bir bekle-g\u00f6r d\u00f6nemi olu\u015ftu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda hareketlenme ve kamu harcamalar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. G\u00f6revden almalar nedeniyle kamu hizmetlerinde ise yava\u015flama ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 ise \u00f6nce yava\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra 15 Temmuz \u00f6ncesine geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Mali piyasalarda g\u00f6receli bir iyile\u015fme sa\u011fland\u0131. Sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yerini k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar\u0131n elvermesi ile birlikte se\u00e7ici sermaye giri\u015flerine b\u0131rakt\u0131. D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 ile gerilemi\u015f olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n halen 15 Temmuz seviyesinin \u00fczerinde. Faiz oranlar\u0131nda gerileme e\u011filimi ve TCMB\u2019de faiz indirimleri g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6demeler sistemi de iyi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ve d\u00f6viz likiditesi iyi y\u00f6netiliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE YATIRIM YAPILAB\u0130L\u0130R KRED\u0130 NOTUNU \u015e\u0130MD\u0130L\u0130K KORUYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Darbe giri\u015fimi ile ve OHAL s\u00fcrecinde olu\u015fan ko\u015fullar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir ekonomik ve finansal risk yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notunun kaybedilmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yd\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notu vermeyen Standart and Poor\u2019s darbe giri\u015fimi hemen sonras\u0131 ara bir de\u011ferlendirme yaparak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc negatife \u00e7evirdi. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notu veren iki kurumdan biri olan Fitch daha \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131klanan takvime ba\u011fl\u0131 kalarak 19 A\u011fustos\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notunu korurken, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc negatife \u00e7evirdi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notu veren di\u011fer kurum olan Moodys ise T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi notunu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etmek \u00fczere de\u011ferlendirmeye ald\u0131. Moodys 1-2 ay i\u00e7inde de\u011ferlendirmesini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Kredi notunun k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde h\u0131zl\u0131 sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanmada s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fanabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3.<\/strong><strong>DI\u015e POL\u0130T\u0130K \u0130L\u0130\u015eK\u0130LER EKONOM\u0130DE BEL\u0130RLEY\u0130C\u0130 OLUYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ve AB ile darbe sonras\u0131 gerilen ili\u015fkiler, Rusya ile yeniden normalle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131, Suriye\u2019de politika de\u011fi\u015fimi i\u015faretleri, Suriye i\u00e7ine y\u00f6nelik askeri harekat ve kom\u015fu \u00fclkeler ile normalle\u015fme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f politik ili\u015fkilerde \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddeleri.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Suriye politikas\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve Cerablus operasyonu ile ba\u015flayan Suriye\u2019deki askeri harekat\u0131n gelece\u011fi de belirleyici olacakt\u0131r. Suriye politikas\u0131 ve aksiyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7eride de K\u00fcrt sorunu, PKK ile m\u00fccadele ve \u0130\u015e\u0130D ile m\u00fccadele alanlar\u0131 ile \u00e7ok yak\u0131ndan ili\u015fkili olup \u00f6nemli sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furur. D\u0131\u015f politika alan\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm bu geli\u015fmeler kredi notu dahil ekonominin seyrinde belirleyici olacakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. MERKEZ BANKASI \u00d6NCEL\u0130KLE F\u0130NANSAL \u0130ST\u0130KRARI KORUMAYI HEDEFL\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">TC Merkez Bankas\u0131 genel olarak fiyat istikrar\u0131 hedefine y\u00f6nelik para politikas\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, darbe giri\u015fimi ve sonras\u0131nda olu\u015fan riskler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6ncelikle finansal istikrar\u0131 korumaya a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veriyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler ile birlikte mali piyasalarda istikrar \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sa\u011fland\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u00fcresel alanda ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ortam\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck Merkez Bankalar\u0131n yeni parasal geni\u015fleme \u00f6nlemleri ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artm\u0131\u015f, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelere sermaye giri\u015fi ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f ve geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin paralar\u0131 de\u011fer kazanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar, darbe giri\u015fimi sonras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye de destek oldu. Sermaye giri\u015flerinden yararlan\u0131ld\u0131 ve d\u00f6viz rezervleri artarken TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 da s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131 faizleri bir miktar daha indirmeyi hedefliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z;<\/strong> ekonomide normalle\u015fme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, i\u015flerdeki toparlanma i\u00e7in daha \u00e7ok bayram sonras\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-normallesme-arayislari-suruyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide normalle\u015fme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":146,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":14686,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":14587,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomide normalle\u015fme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. DARBE G\u0130R\u0130\u015e\u0130M\u0130 SONRASI EKONOM\u0130K GEL\u0130\u015eMELER VE NORMALLE\u015eME ARAYI\u015eLARI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Darbe giri\u015fimi sonras\u0131 OHAL s\u00fcrecinde ekonomide normalle\u015fme ve i\u015flerde toparlanma aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrmektedir. Ekonominin \u00fcretim taraf\u0131nda ve sipari\u015flerde yava\u015flaman\u0131n bir s\u00fcre daha devam edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Uzun s\u00fcredir dura\u011fan kalan \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda ise \u00f6teleme ve yeni bir bekle-g\u00f6r d\u00f6nemi olu\u015ftu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda hareketlenme ve kamu harcamalar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. G\u00f6revden almalar nedeniyle kamu hizmetlerinde ise yava\u015flama ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 ise \u00f6nce yava\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra 15 Temmuz \u00f6ncesine geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Mali piyasalarda g\u00f6receli bir iyile\u015fme sa\u011fland\u0131. Sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yerini k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar\u0131n elvermesi ile birlikte se\u00e7ici sermaye giri\u015flerine b\u0131rakt\u0131. D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 ile gerilemi\u015f olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n halen 15 Temmuz seviyesinin \u00fczerinde. Faiz oranlar\u0131nda gerileme e\u011filimi ve TCMB\u2019de faiz indirimleri g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6demeler sistemi de iyi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ve d\u00f6viz likiditesi iyi y\u00f6netiliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE YATIRIM YAPILAB\u0130L\u0130R KRED\u0130 NOTUNU \u015e\u0130MD\u0130L\u0130K KORUYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Darbe giri\u015fimi ile ve OHAL s\u00fcrecinde olu\u015fan ko\u015fullar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir ekonomik ve finansal risk yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notunun kaybedilmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yd\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notu vermeyen Standart and Poor\u2019s darbe giri\u015fimi hemen sonras\u0131 ara bir de\u011ferlendirme yaparak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc negatife \u00e7evirdi. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notu veren iki kurumdan biri olan Fitch daha \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131klanan takvime ba\u011fl\u0131 kalarak 19 A\u011fustos\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notunu korurken, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc negatife \u00e7evirdi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notu veren di\u011fer kurum olan Moodys ise T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi notunu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etmek \u00fczere de\u011ferlendirmeye ald\u0131. Moodys 1-2 ay i\u00e7inde de\u011ferlendirmesini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Kredi notunun k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde h\u0131zl\u0131 sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanmada s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fanabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3.<\/strong><strong>DI\u015e POL\u0130T\u0130K \u0130L\u0130\u015eK\u0130LER EKONOM\u0130DE BEL\u0130RLEY\u0130C\u0130 OLUYOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ve AB ile darbe sonras\u0131 gerilen ili\u015fkiler, Rusya ile yeniden normalle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131, Suriye\u2019de politika de\u011fi\u015fimi i\u015faretleri, Suriye i\u00e7ine y\u00f6nelik askeri harekat ve kom\u015fu \u00fclkeler ile normalle\u015fme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f politik ili\u015fkilerde \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddeleri.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Suriye politikas\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve Cerablus operasyonu ile ba\u015flayan Suriye\u2019deki askeri harekat\u0131n gelece\u011fi de belirleyici olacakt\u0131r. Suriye politikas\u0131 ve aksiyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7eride de K\u00fcrt sorunu, PKK ile m\u00fccadele ve \u0130\u015e\u0130D ile m\u00fccadele alanlar\u0131 ile \u00e7ok yak\u0131ndan ili\u015fkili olup \u00f6nemli sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furur. D\u0131\u015f politika alan\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm bu geli\u015fmeler kredi notu dahil ekonominin seyrinde belirleyici olacakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. MERKEZ BANKASI \u00d6NCEL\u0130KLE F\u0130NANSAL \u0130ST\u0130KRARI KORUMAYI HEDEFL\u0130YOR <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">TC Merkez Bankas\u0131 genel olarak fiyat istikrar\u0131 hedefine y\u00f6nelik para politikas\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, darbe giri\u015fimi ve sonras\u0131nda olu\u015fan riskler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6ncelikle finansal istikrar\u0131 korumaya a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veriyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler ile birlikte mali piyasalarda istikrar \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sa\u011fland\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u00fcresel alanda ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ortam\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck Merkez Bankalar\u0131n yeni parasal geni\u015fleme \u00f6nlemleri ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artm\u0131\u015f, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelere sermaye giri\u015fi ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f ve geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin paralar\u0131 de\u011fer kazanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar, darbe giri\u015fimi sonras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye de destek oldu. Sermaye giri\u015flerinden yararlan\u0131ld\u0131 ve d\u00f6viz rezervleri artarken TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 da s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131 faizleri bir miktar daha indirmeyi hedefliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z;<\/strong> ekonomide normalle\u015fme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, i\u015flerdeki toparlanma i\u00e7in daha \u00e7ok bayram sonras\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-normallesme-arayislari-suruyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide normalle\u015fme aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":146,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}