{"status":true,"post":{"id":16676,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:10:59","created_at":"2017-06-04T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:10:59.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":16676,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomide canlanma sinyalleri geliyor olabilir mi?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ile G\u00fcmr\u00fck ve Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fiyle olu\u015fturulan ge\u00e7ici d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerine g\u00f6re; ihracat 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 Nisan ay\u0131nda, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7.4artarak 12 milyar 839 milyon dolar, ithalat y\u00fczde 9.9 artarak 17 milyar 784 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>

Bu verilere g\u00f6re de nisan ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 16.7 artarak 4 milyar 945 milyon dolara y\u00fckseldi.<\/span>\u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 2016 Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 73.8 iken, 2017 Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 72.2\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu veri k\u0131sa vadede d\u00f6viz kullan\u0131m ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak unutulmamas\u0131 gereken \u00f6nemli bir husus var. O da a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 hem ekonomideki canlanman\u0131n hem de gelecekte yap\u0131lacak ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n habercisi olabilir.<\/span><\/p>

Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise; 2017 Nisan ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 2.7 azald\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 1.6 artt\u0131. Takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise; 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 Nisan ay\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 10.5, ithalat y\u00fczde 13.2 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130THALAT ARTIYORSA STOKLAR AZALIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye turizm ve tar\u0131m hari\u00e7 \u00f6nce hammadde ve yar\u0131 mamul\u00fc ithal edip, daha sonra bunlar\u0131 nihai \u00fcr\u00fcne \u00e7evirip ihracat yapan bir \u00fclke oldu\u011fundan, ithalattaki art\u0131\u015f stoklardaki azalman\u0131n ve ekonomideki canlanman\u0131n habercisi durumuna geliyor.<\/span><\/p>

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz d\u00f6nemlere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da ekonomi \u015fahland\u0131k\u00e7a, ihracat artt\u0131k\u00e7a, buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ithalatta da art\u0131\u015f ivmesinin olu\u015ftu\u011funu g\u00f6rd\u00fck. D\u00f6nem d\u00f6nem gelen sipari\u015flere g\u00f6re sat\u0131nalma \u00f6nce yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, ilk olarak ithalatta k\u0131p\u0131rdan\u0131r. Daha sonra \u00fcretim ve sevkiyat ile proses tamamlan\u0131r. Faturalar kesildik\u00e7e de ihracat verileri al\u0131nmaya ba\u015flan\u0131r. Tabi yak\u0131n \u00fclkelerle olan ticarette olay\u0131n resmi olmayan boyutunu da unutmamak laz\u0131m. O zaman bilinmedik kalemlerle izah edilen d\u00f6viz giri\u015fleriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130HRACATTA ALMANYA \u0130LK SIRADA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130hracat ve ithalat\u0131n da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin (AB-28) ihracattaki pay\u0131 2016 Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 47.3 iken, 2017 Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 45 oldu. AB\u2019ye yap\u0131lan ihracat, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2.2 artarak 5 milyar 779 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla AB b\u00f6lgesine ihracat\u0131m\u0131z artarken di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelere daha fazla artt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan AB\u2019nin nispi olarak pay\u0131 azalm\u0131\u015f. \u00dclke baz\u0131nda bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; Almanya\u2019ya ihracat2017Nisanay\u0131nda 1 milyar 140 milyon dolar olurken, bu \u00fclkeyi s\u0131ras\u0131yla 1 milyar 21 milyon dolar ile Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri, 857 milyon dolar ile Irak ve 737 milyon dolar ile \u0130ngiltere takip etti.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130thalata \u00fclke baz\u0131nda bakarsak;<\/strong>\u00c7in\u2019denyap\u0131lanithalat,2017y\u0131l\u0131Nisanay\u0131nda1 milyar 647milyondolaroldu. Bu \u00fclkeyi s\u0131ras\u0131yla 1 milyar 629 milyon dolar ile Almanya, 1 milyar 495 milyon dolar ile Rusya ve 980 milyon dolar ile ABDizledi.<\/span><\/p>

CAR\u0130 A\u00c7IK G\u00d6Z\u00dcN\u00dcZ\u00dc KORKUTMASIN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130hracatta birinci s\u0131rada olan Almanya ithalatta gerilerde de olsa tutar baz\u0131nda satt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zdan daha fazla al\u0131yoruz. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla nette biz Almanya\u2019n\u0131n m\u00fc\u015fterisi konumunday\u0131z. \u0130thalatta ilk s\u0131ralarda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD\u2019nin gelmesi ilgin\u00e7 bir durum.<\/span><\/p>

Toplam ihracatta sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 94.1, ileri teknoloji \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin imalat sanayi ihracat\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 3.1 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>

G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getirmekle beraber bu daha birinci raund. Devam\u0131nda \u00fcretim ve ihracat var. Fatural\u0131 olsun olmas\u0131n ikinci raundda d\u00f6viz giri\u015finin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz.<\/span><\/p>

O y\u00fczden cari a\u00e7\u0131k, g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcz\u00fc korkutmas\u0131n. Bu \u00fcretimin gere\u011fidir. E\u011fer ithal ikame \u00fcretim artarsa ancak o zaman cari a\u00e7\u0131k daralabilir. Bu da uluslararas\u0131 arenada \u00f6l\u00e7ek tutturma problemini de beraberinde getirir.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-canlanma-sinyalleri-geliyor-olabilir-mi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide canlanma sinyalleri geliyor olabilir mi?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":101,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":16775,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":16676,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomide canlanma sinyalleri geliyor olabilir mi?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ile G\u00fcmr\u00fck ve Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fiyle olu\u015fturulan ge\u00e7ici d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerine g\u00f6re; ihracat 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 Nisan ay\u0131nda, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7.4artarak 12 milyar 839 milyon dolar, ithalat y\u00fczde 9.9 artarak 17 milyar 784 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>

Bu verilere g\u00f6re de nisan ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 16.7 artarak 4 milyar 945 milyon dolara y\u00fckseldi.<\/span>\u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 2016 Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 73.8 iken, 2017 Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 72.2\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu veri k\u0131sa vadede d\u00f6viz kullan\u0131m ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak unutulmamas\u0131 gereken \u00f6nemli bir husus var. O da a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 hem ekonomideki canlanman\u0131n hem de gelecekte yap\u0131lacak ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n habercisi olabilir.<\/span><\/p>

Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise; 2017 Nisan ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 2.7 azald\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 1.6 artt\u0131. Takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise; 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 Nisan ay\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 10.5, ithalat y\u00fczde 13.2 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130THALAT ARTIYORSA STOKLAR AZALIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye turizm ve tar\u0131m hari\u00e7 \u00f6nce hammadde ve yar\u0131 mamul\u00fc ithal edip, daha sonra bunlar\u0131 nihai \u00fcr\u00fcne \u00e7evirip ihracat yapan bir \u00fclke oldu\u011fundan, ithalattaki art\u0131\u015f stoklardaki azalman\u0131n ve ekonomideki canlanman\u0131n habercisi durumuna geliyor.<\/span><\/p>

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz d\u00f6nemlere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da ekonomi \u015fahland\u0131k\u00e7a, ihracat artt\u0131k\u00e7a, buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ithalatta da art\u0131\u015f ivmesinin olu\u015ftu\u011funu g\u00f6rd\u00fck. D\u00f6nem d\u00f6nem gelen sipari\u015flere g\u00f6re sat\u0131nalma \u00f6nce yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, ilk olarak ithalatta k\u0131p\u0131rdan\u0131r. Daha sonra \u00fcretim ve sevkiyat ile proses tamamlan\u0131r. Faturalar kesildik\u00e7e de ihracat verileri al\u0131nmaya ba\u015flan\u0131r. Tabi yak\u0131n \u00fclkelerle olan ticarette olay\u0131n resmi olmayan boyutunu da unutmamak laz\u0131m. O zaman bilinmedik kalemlerle izah edilen d\u00f6viz giri\u015fleriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130HRACATTA ALMANYA \u0130LK SIRADA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130hracat ve ithalat\u0131n da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin (AB-28) ihracattaki pay\u0131 2016 Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 47.3 iken, 2017 Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 45 oldu. AB\u2019ye yap\u0131lan ihracat, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2.2 artarak 5 milyar 779 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla AB b\u00f6lgesine ihracat\u0131m\u0131z artarken di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelere daha fazla artt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan AB\u2019nin nispi olarak pay\u0131 azalm\u0131\u015f. \u00dclke baz\u0131nda bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; Almanya\u2019ya ihracat2017Nisanay\u0131nda 1 milyar 140 milyon dolar olurken, bu \u00fclkeyi s\u0131ras\u0131yla 1 milyar 21 milyon dolar ile Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri, 857 milyon dolar ile Irak ve 737 milyon dolar ile \u0130ngiltere takip etti.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130thalata \u00fclke baz\u0131nda bakarsak;<\/strong>\u00c7in\u2019denyap\u0131lanithalat,2017y\u0131l\u0131Nisanay\u0131nda1 milyar 647milyondolaroldu. Bu \u00fclkeyi s\u0131ras\u0131yla 1 milyar 629 milyon dolar ile Almanya, 1 milyar 495 milyon dolar ile Rusya ve 980 milyon dolar ile ABDizledi.<\/span><\/p>

CAR\u0130 A\u00c7IK G\u00d6Z\u00dcN\u00dcZ\u00dc KORKUTMASIN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130hracatta birinci s\u0131rada olan Almanya ithalatta gerilerde de olsa tutar baz\u0131nda satt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zdan daha fazla al\u0131yoruz. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla nette biz Almanya\u2019n\u0131n m\u00fc\u015fterisi konumunday\u0131z. \u0130thalatta ilk s\u0131ralarda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD\u2019nin gelmesi ilgin\u00e7 bir durum.<\/span><\/p>

Toplam ihracatta sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 94.1, ileri teknoloji \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin imalat sanayi ihracat\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 3.1 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>

G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getirmekle beraber bu daha birinci raund. Devam\u0131nda \u00fcretim ve ihracat var. Fatural\u0131 olsun olmas\u0131n ikinci raundda d\u00f6viz giri\u015finin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz.<\/span><\/p>

O y\u00fczden cari a\u00e7\u0131k, g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcz\u00fc korkutmas\u0131n. Bu \u00fcretimin gere\u011fidir. E\u011fer ithal ikame \u00fcretim artarsa ancak o zaman cari a\u00e7\u0131k daralabilir. Bu da uluslararas\u0131 arenada \u00f6l\u00e7ek tutturma problemini de beraberinde getirir.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-canlanma-sinyalleri-geliyor-olabilir-mi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide canlanma sinyalleri geliyor olabilir mi?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":101,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}