{"status":true,"post":{"id":53248,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-07-01 09:30:00","created_at":"2024-07-01T06:30:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-07-01T06:30:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":53248,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u00fcnyadaki se\u00e7imlerin etkileri g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015fland\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"<p id=\"isPasted\" style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 0.0001pt; line-height: normal; font-size: 15px; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif; text-align: right;\"><strong style=\"background-color: transparent; letter-spacing: 0.01rem;\"><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>gurlesel@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2024, se\u00e7imler y\u0131l\u0131 olarak tarif edilmi\u015fti ve se\u00e7imlerin etkileri, yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra k\u00fcresel siyaset ve ekonomi \u00fczerinde de g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015fland\u0131. D\u00fcnya ticaretini de etkileyen bu se\u00e7imlerin, ihracat pazarlar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gerekiyor. Takvim s\u0131ras\u0131na g\u00f6re yap\u0131lan ve yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ve olas\u0131 etkilerini de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>1. \u00c7in ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda Tayvan gerginli\u011fi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2024\u2019\u00fcn ilk se\u00e7imleri Tayvan\u2019da yap\u0131ld\u0131. Tayvan, \u00c7in ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda en \u00f6nemli jeopolitik risk alan\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Se\u00e7imleri ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k yanl\u0131s\u0131 mevcut iktidar yeni aday\u0131 ile kazand\u0131. Bu sonu\u00e7, do\u011fal olarak \u00c7in ile Tayvan ve Bat\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki gerginli\u011fin devam etmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131. \u00c7in, orta uzun vadede Tayvan\u2019\u0131n da Hong Kong gibi kendisine ba\u011fl\u0131 olmas\u0131 hedefini de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi. Tayvan, ba\u015fta yar\u0131 iletkenler olmak \u00fczere y\u00fcksek teknolojili \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin tedarikinde Bat\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Tayvan\u2019\u0131n i\u015fgal riskine kar\u015f\u0131 Bat\u0131, kritik \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde \u00fcretim kapasitesini art\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ve Tayvan\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019e tedarikini de tamamen durdurmak istiyor. \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2. Rusya se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 Avrupa\u2019daki toparlanmay\u0131 engelliyor\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Rusya\u2019da se\u00e7imleri Putin kazand\u0131 ve Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 olan siyasi konumunu ve liderli\u011fini yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 Putin beklendi\u011fi gibi Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda ve Bat\u0131\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 sertle\u015fiyor. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019da ilerlemesi, Avrupa\u2019da riskleri ve sava\u015f s\u00f6ylemlerini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Rusya tehdidi, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik olarak toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u00f6teliyor. Avrupa hane halklar\u0131, sava\u015f s\u00f6ylemleri i\u00e7inde t\u00fcketimlerini s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu da b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli pazarlar\u0131 do\u011frudan olumsuz etkilenmeye devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>3. Hindistan ve Meksika \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan iki \u00fclke olmaya devam edecek\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Hindistan\u2019da iktidardaki Modi se\u00e7imleri kazanm\u0131\u015f olmakla birlikte tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli sandalyeye bu kez sahip olamad\u0131. Meksika\u2019da ilk kad\u0131n cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ildi. Hindistan ve Meksika, yak\u0131ndan tedarik ve alternatif tedarik kanallar\u0131 e\u011filimleri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde en \u00e7ok \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan iki \u00fclke. \u00c7ok \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yabanc\u0131 sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyorlar. \u0130ki \u00fclkenin ihracat\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131 h\u0131zla art\u0131yor. Se\u00e7imlerin bu e\u011filimlere olumsuz etkisi olmayaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>4. Fransa se\u00e7imleri AB\u2019nin gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in kritik olacak<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Avrupa Parlamentosu se\u00e7imleri, beklendi\u011fi gibi a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f partilerin oylar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131yla sona erdi. Avrupa Birli\u011fi, 2008 k\u00fcresel krizinden bu yana potansiyelinin alt\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ayr\u0131lmas\u0131, pandemi salg\u0131n\u0131, al\u0131nan y\u00fcksek g\u00f6\u00e7, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 ve son olarak da y\u00fcksek enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya devam ediyor. AB i\u00e7in en son risk ise parlamento se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131 olu\u015facak siyasi krizler ve AB\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 olacak. Parlamento se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131 Fransa erken se\u00e7im karar\u0131 ald\u0131 Se\u00e7imleri a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n veya sol blokun kazanmas\u0131 halinde Fransa\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019den ayr\u0131lma riski bulunuyor. Bu olas\u0131l\u0131k, AB ekonomisi i\u00e7in en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryo olacak, k\u00fcresel ekonomi ve ticaret \u00e7ok olumsuz etkilenecek.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>5. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de iktidar de\u011fi\u015fecek, ekonomi olumlu etkilenecek<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u0130ngiltere, 4 Temmuz\u2019da erken se\u00e7imlerini yapacak. AB\u2019den ayr\u0131l\u0131k sonras\u0131 iktidar partisi 5 ba\u015fbakan de\u011fi\u015ftirmek durumunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi de hem ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n hem de salg\u0131n\u0131n olumsuz etkilerini ya\u015famaya devam ediyor. Bu nedenle iktidar partisi geriledi ve muhalefetteki \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi 20 puan \u00f6nde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de uzun y\u0131llar sonra \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi iktidara gelecek. \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi, ekonomide piyasa dostu kalaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 yap\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de iktidar de\u011fi\u015fiminin ekonomiyi olumlu etkilemesi bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>6. ABD\u2019de Trump kazan\u0131rsa korumac\u0131l\u0131k artacak\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>ABD\u2019de kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri yap\u0131lacak. Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00f6nemli ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131ndan Biden, se\u00e7imleri kazanmas\u0131 halinde mevcut politikalar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. \u00c7in ile hegemonya sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncelik olacak. Biden\u2019\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k durumu da tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya devam ediliyor. Di\u011fer aday Trump ise k\u00fcresel ticarette y\u00fcksek korunmay\u0131 savunuyor. \u00c7in\u2019den ithalata y\u00fczde 60 ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan t\u00fcm ithalata y\u00fczde 10 vergi uygulamay\u0131 planl\u0131yor. Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7ilmesi halinde derin bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunuyor. Bu da yaral\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi olumsuz etkileyecek. Ve yine enflasyonla m\u00fccadelenin yar\u0131da kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilecek.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>SON S\u00d6Z:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>D\u00fcnyadaki se\u00e7imlerin k\u00fcresel ekonomi ve ticaret \u00fczerinde artan oranda s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 etkiler yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde ihracat i\u00e7in \u00e7ok daha fazla \u00e7aba g\u00f6stermek gerekecek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"dunyadaki-secimlerin-etkileri-gorulmeye-baslandi","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1719781200n9EQQdB5rvOmH9c.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":7194,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":53374,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":53248,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u00fcnyadaki se\u00e7imlerin etkileri g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015fland\u0131","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"<p id=\"isPasted\" style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 0.0001pt; line-height: normal; font-size: 15px; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif; text-align: right;\"><strong style=\"background-color: transparent; letter-spacing: 0.01rem;\"><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>gurlesel@superonline.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2024, se\u00e7imler y\u0131l\u0131 olarak tarif edilmi\u015fti ve se\u00e7imlerin etkileri, yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra k\u00fcresel siyaset ve ekonomi \u00fczerinde de g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015fland\u0131. D\u00fcnya ticaretini de etkileyen bu se\u00e7imlerin, ihracat pazarlar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gerekiyor. Takvim s\u0131ras\u0131na g\u00f6re yap\u0131lan ve yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ve olas\u0131 etkilerini de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>1. \u00c7in ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda Tayvan gerginli\u011fi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2024\u2019\u00fcn ilk se\u00e7imleri Tayvan\u2019da yap\u0131ld\u0131. Tayvan, \u00c7in ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda en \u00f6nemli jeopolitik risk alan\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Se\u00e7imleri ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k yanl\u0131s\u0131 mevcut iktidar yeni aday\u0131 ile kazand\u0131. Bu sonu\u00e7, do\u011fal olarak \u00c7in ile Tayvan ve Bat\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki gerginli\u011fin devam etmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131. \u00c7in, orta uzun vadede Tayvan\u2019\u0131n da Hong Kong gibi kendisine ba\u011fl\u0131 olmas\u0131 hedefini de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi. Tayvan, ba\u015fta yar\u0131 iletkenler olmak \u00fczere y\u00fcksek teknolojili \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin tedarikinde Bat\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Tayvan\u2019\u0131n i\u015fgal riskine kar\u015f\u0131 Bat\u0131, kritik \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde \u00fcretim kapasitesini art\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ve Tayvan\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019e tedarikini de tamamen durdurmak istiyor. \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2. Rusya se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 Avrupa\u2019daki toparlanmay\u0131 engelliyor\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Rusya\u2019da se\u00e7imleri Putin kazand\u0131 ve Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 olan siyasi konumunu ve liderli\u011fini yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 Putin beklendi\u011fi gibi Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda ve Bat\u0131\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 sertle\u015fiyor. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019da ilerlemesi, Avrupa\u2019da riskleri ve sava\u015f s\u00f6ylemlerini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Rusya tehdidi, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik olarak toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u00f6teliyor. Avrupa hane halklar\u0131, sava\u015f s\u00f6ylemleri i\u00e7inde t\u00fcketimlerini s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu da b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli pazarlar\u0131 do\u011frudan olumsuz etkilenmeye devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>3. Hindistan ve Meksika \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan iki \u00fclke olmaya devam edecek\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Hindistan\u2019da iktidardaki Modi se\u00e7imleri kazanm\u0131\u015f olmakla birlikte tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli sandalyeye bu kez sahip olamad\u0131. Meksika\u2019da ilk kad\u0131n cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ildi. Hindistan ve Meksika, yak\u0131ndan tedarik ve alternatif tedarik kanallar\u0131 e\u011filimleri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde en \u00e7ok \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan iki \u00fclke. \u00c7ok \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yabanc\u0131 sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyorlar. \u0130ki \u00fclkenin ihracat\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131 h\u0131zla art\u0131yor. Se\u00e7imlerin bu e\u011filimlere olumsuz etkisi olmayaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>4. Fransa se\u00e7imleri AB\u2019nin gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in kritik olacak<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Avrupa Parlamentosu se\u00e7imleri, beklendi\u011fi gibi a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f partilerin oylar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131yla sona erdi. Avrupa Birli\u011fi, 2008 k\u00fcresel krizinden bu yana potansiyelinin alt\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ayr\u0131lmas\u0131, pandemi salg\u0131n\u0131, al\u0131nan y\u00fcksek g\u00f6\u00e7, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 ve son olarak da y\u00fcksek enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya devam ediyor. AB i\u00e7in en son risk ise parlamento se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131 olu\u015facak siyasi krizler ve AB\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 olacak. Parlamento se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131 Fransa erken se\u00e7im karar\u0131 ald\u0131 Se\u00e7imleri a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n veya sol blokun kazanmas\u0131 halinde Fransa\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019den ayr\u0131lma riski bulunuyor. Bu olas\u0131l\u0131k, AB ekonomisi i\u00e7in en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryo olacak, k\u00fcresel ekonomi ve ticaret \u00e7ok olumsuz etkilenecek.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>5. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de iktidar de\u011fi\u015fecek, ekonomi olumlu etkilenecek<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u0130ngiltere, 4 Temmuz\u2019da erken se\u00e7imlerini yapacak. AB\u2019den ayr\u0131l\u0131k sonras\u0131 iktidar partisi 5 ba\u015fbakan de\u011fi\u015ftirmek durumunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi de hem ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n hem de salg\u0131n\u0131n olumsuz etkilerini ya\u015famaya devam ediyor. Bu nedenle iktidar partisi geriledi ve muhalefetteki \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi 20 puan \u00f6nde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de uzun y\u0131llar sonra \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi iktidara gelecek. \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi, ekonomide piyasa dostu kalaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 yap\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de iktidar de\u011fi\u015fiminin ekonomiyi olumlu etkilemesi bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>6. ABD\u2019de Trump kazan\u0131rsa korumac\u0131l\u0131k artacak\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>ABD\u2019de kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri yap\u0131lacak. Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00f6nemli ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131ndan Biden, se\u00e7imleri kazanmas\u0131 halinde mevcut politikalar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. \u00c7in ile hegemonya sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncelik olacak. Biden\u2019\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k durumu da tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya devam ediliyor. Di\u011fer aday Trump ise k\u00fcresel ticarette y\u00fcksek korunmay\u0131 savunuyor. \u00c7in\u2019den ithalata y\u00fczde 60 ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan t\u00fcm ithalata y\u00fczde 10 vergi uygulamay\u0131 planl\u0131yor. Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7ilmesi halinde derin bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunuyor. Bu da yaral\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi olumsuz etkileyecek. Ve yine enflasyonla m\u00fccadelenin yar\u0131da kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilecek.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>SON S\u00d6Z:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>D\u00fcnyadaki se\u00e7imlerin k\u00fcresel ekonomi ve ticaret \u00fczerinde artan oranda s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 etkiler yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde ihracat i\u00e7in \u00e7ok daha fazla \u00e7aba g\u00f6stermek gerekecek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"dunyadaki-secimlerin-etkileri-gorulmeye-baslandi","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1719781200n9EQQdB5rvOmH9c.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1719781200n9EQQdB5rvOmH9c.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":7194,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}