{"status":true,"post":{"id":12562,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:17:43","created_at":"2015-08-20T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:17:43.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":12562,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 (T\u00fcrkiye) nereye?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmede g\u00f6sterdi\u011fimiz patinaj\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda da siyasette patinaj yapmaya ba\u015flad\u0131k. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 art\u0131\u015f beklentimizi hem siyasi hem de ekonomik gerek\u00e7elere dayand\u0131rarak yaz aylar\u0131nda birka\u00e7 yaz\u0131m\u0131zda ele alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Yeni bir se\u00e7ime gidilecek olmas\u0131 ile birlikte d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f beklentimiz kuvvetli \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bundan sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131n nereye gidebilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimizi payla\u015fal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. D\u00d6V\u0130Z VARLI\u011eIMIZ AZALIYOR; YETERL\u0130 D\u00d6V\u0130Z\u0130M\u0130Z YOK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki azalmaya ra\u011fmen muhtemelen y\u0131lsonunda 40 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde a\u00e7\u0131k verece\u011fiz. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k azalmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n g\u00f6receli y\u00fcksek kalacak. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den \u00f6nemli sermaye (d\u00f6viz) \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Yani hem d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 veriyoruz hem de d\u00f6viz \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Bu nedenle de mevcut d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z (rezervlerimiz) azal\u0131yor ve yeterli d\u00f6viz birikimimiz art\u0131k yok. Bu e\u011filim y\u0131lsonuna kadar s\u00fcrecek ve d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 artmaya devam edecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. K\u00dcRESEL KO\u015eULLAR T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NI ZAYIFLATIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u00fcresel mali ko\u015fullar\u0131 ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 FED\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m s\u00fcrecine yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 belirliyor. Yeni mali k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde \u00f6zellikle cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f kayna\u011fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin para birimleri de\u011fer kaybediyor. T\u00fcrkiye ve Brezilya paralar\u0131 en \u00e7ok de\u011fer kaybeden iki \u00fclke.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. MERKEZ BANKASI KURLARDAK\u0130 ARTI\u015eA SESS\u0130Z KALIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015fa sessiz kalmaya devam ediyor. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle kendi bast\u0131\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 sahipsiz b\u0131rak\u0131yor ve h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131na m\u00fcdahale etmiyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bu tavr\u0131 da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131yor. Muhtemelen Merkez Bankas\u0131 \u00fczerindeki siyasi bask\u0131 nedeniyle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in sahip oldu\u011fu faiz art\u0131rma silah\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7ime kadar kullanamayacak. Bu da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine yol a\u00e7acak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. REEL SEKT\u00d6R SERMAYE KAYBED\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve kontrols\u00fcz de\u011fer kayb\u0131 en \u00e7ok vatanda\u015flar\u0131 ve reel sekt\u00f6r \u015firketlerini etkiliyor. Dolar cinsinden ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 gelirler bir y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k bin dolara yak\u0131n gerilerken, kur art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 enflasyon sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc azaltacak. D\u00f6viz borcu ve a\u00e7\u0131k d\u00f6viz pozisyonlar\u0131 nedeniyle \u015firketler de kur art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile \u00f6nemli sermaye kay\u0131plar\u0131na u\u011fruyorlar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SON S\u00d6Z:<\/strong> T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam eder.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"doviz-kurlari-turkiye-nereye","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 (T\u00fcrkiye) nereye?","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1082,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":12661,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":12562,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 (T\u00fcrkiye) nereye?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmede g\u00f6sterdi\u011fimiz patinaj\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda da siyasette patinaj yapmaya ba\u015flad\u0131k. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 art\u0131\u015f beklentimizi hem siyasi hem de ekonomik gerek\u00e7elere dayand\u0131rarak yaz aylar\u0131nda birka\u00e7 yaz\u0131m\u0131zda ele alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Yeni bir se\u00e7ime gidilecek olmas\u0131 ile birlikte d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f beklentimiz kuvvetli \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bundan sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131n nereye gidebilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimizi payla\u015fal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. D\u00d6V\u0130Z VARLI\u011eIMIZ AZALIYOR; YETERL\u0130 D\u00d6V\u0130Z\u0130M\u0130Z YOK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki azalmaya ra\u011fmen muhtemelen y\u0131lsonunda 40 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde a\u00e7\u0131k verece\u011fiz. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k azalmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n g\u00f6receli y\u00fcksek kalacak. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den \u00f6nemli sermaye (d\u00f6viz) \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Yani hem d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 veriyoruz hem de d\u00f6viz \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Bu nedenle de mevcut d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z (rezervlerimiz) azal\u0131yor ve yeterli d\u00f6viz birikimimiz art\u0131k yok. Bu e\u011filim y\u0131lsonuna kadar s\u00fcrecek ve d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 artmaya devam edecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. K\u00dcRESEL KO\u015eULLAR T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NI ZAYIFLATIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u00fcresel mali ko\u015fullar\u0131 ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 FED\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m s\u00fcrecine yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 belirliyor. Yeni mali k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde \u00f6zellikle cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f kayna\u011fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin para birimleri de\u011fer kaybediyor. T\u00fcrkiye ve Brezilya paralar\u0131 en \u00e7ok de\u011fer kaybeden iki \u00fclke.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. MERKEZ BANKASI KURLARDAK\u0130 ARTI\u015eA SESS\u0130Z KALIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015fa sessiz kalmaya devam ediyor. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle kendi bast\u0131\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 sahipsiz b\u0131rak\u0131yor ve h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131na m\u00fcdahale etmiyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bu tavr\u0131 da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131yor. Muhtemelen Merkez Bankas\u0131 \u00fczerindeki siyasi bask\u0131 nedeniyle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in sahip oldu\u011fu faiz art\u0131rma silah\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7ime kadar kullanamayacak. Bu da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine yol a\u00e7acak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. REEL SEKT\u00d6R SERMAYE KAYBED\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve kontrols\u00fcz de\u011fer kayb\u0131 en \u00e7ok vatanda\u015flar\u0131 ve reel sekt\u00f6r \u015firketlerini etkiliyor. Dolar cinsinden ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 gelirler bir y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k bin dolara yak\u0131n gerilerken, kur art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 enflasyon sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc azaltacak. D\u00f6viz borcu ve a\u00e7\u0131k d\u00f6viz pozisyonlar\u0131 nedeniyle \u015firketler de kur art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile \u00f6nemli sermaye kay\u0131plar\u0131na u\u011fruyorlar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>SON S\u00d6Z:<\/strong> T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam eder.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"doviz-kurlari-turkiye-nereye","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 (T\u00fcrkiye) nereye?","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1082,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}