{"status":true,"post":{"id":57603,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-11-18 07:41:00","created_at":"2024-11-18T04:41:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-11-18T04:41:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":57603,"is_featured":0,"title":"Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ve \u00c7in","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":"

<\/span>ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri, Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n galibiyetiyle sonu\u00e7land\u0131. Trump\u2019\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir rol oynam\u0131\u015f olan \u00c7in, bu geri geli\u015ften de en \u00e7ok etkilenmesi olas\u0131 \u00fclke konumunda bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>

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Trump\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 tekrar kazanmas\u0131 beklenen bir geli\u015fmeydi; Covid s\u00fcrecini son derece k\u00f6t\u00fc y\u00f6neterek \u00e7ok say\u0131da vatanda\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n 2020 se\u00e7iminde kat\u0131lan se\u00e7menlerin y\u00fczde 47\u2019sinin oyunu alabilmi\u015fti. ABD\u2019de Trump\u2019\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi ve di\u011fer bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerindeki pop\u00fclist liderlerin y\u00fckseli\u015fi, ayn\u0131 dinamiklere dayan\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131nda geli\u015fmi\u015f bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerinde orta s\u0131n\u0131f ve alt\u0131ndaki insanlar\u0131n 1970\u2019lerin sonlar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak bozulan ekonomik durumlar\u0131 var. Bunun da ard\u0131nda bir yandan d\u00fcnyan\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkelerinin sanayi becerilerini art\u0131rarak bat\u0131 \u00fclkeleri ile giderek geni\u015fleyen bir alanda rekabet eder hale gelmesi, \u00f6te yandan da k\u00fcreselle\u015fme ile bat\u0131 pazarlar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke \u00fcreticilerine, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke pazarlar\u0131n\u0131n da bat\u0131l\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara daha fazla a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 var. Bu geli\u015fmelerin sonucu olarak eskiden t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyan\u0131n s\u0131nai \u00fcr\u00fcn ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 \u00fcretirken, \u015fimdi yeni geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin i\u015f\u00e7ileri bir\u00e7ok \u00fcr\u00fcnde kendi \u00fclke ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131laman\u0131n yan\u0131nda \u00fclkelerindeki yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 tesislerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak o \u00fclkelerin ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak \u00fcr\u00fcnleri de \u00fcretiyorlar. Bu, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 i\u00e7in on y\u0131llard\u0131r azalan i\u015f olanaklar\u0131 ve artmayan reel \u00fccretler; o da umutsuzluk, mutsuzluk ve bu insanlar\u0131n dertlerine \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm vaat eden pop\u00fclist liderlere ilgi anlam\u0131na geliyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

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D\u00fcnya genelinde ilerleyen bu s\u00fcreci h\u0131zland\u0131ran ve etkisini b\u00fcy\u00fcten \u00c7in oldu. \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00fcnyaya tam anlam\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llarda zengin OECD \u00fclkelerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131 400 milyondu. \u00c7in\u2019in oyuna kat\u0131lmas\u0131, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke \u00fcreticileri i\u00e7in 600 milyonluk bir ek i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc ve bu i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcnden yararlanmak \u00fczere yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00e7ekici ortam ve ko\u015fullar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu, Bat\u0131\u2019daki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar i\u00e7in rekabet ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n iyice g\u00fc\u00e7le\u015fmesi anlam\u0131na geliyordu. \u00c7in, \u00fcretim kapasitesi ve becerilerini \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu etki h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Yani \u00c7in i\u00e7in bu zorlay\u0131c\u0131 lideri ortaya \u00e7\u0131karan\u0131n esas olarak \u00c7in\u2019in kendisi oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/span><\/p>

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Trump, ilk d\u00f6neminde \u00c7in\u2019den ithal edilen mallar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne ek vergiler getirmi\u015f; \u00c7inli \u015firketlerin teknolojik geli\u015fimini engellemeye y\u00f6nelik \u00fcr\u00fcn ve bilgi ihrac\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 getirmi\u015f; yabanc\u0131 \u015firketlerin \u00fcretim zincirlerini \u00c7in\u2019den \u00e7\u0131kartmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak uygulamalar pe\u015finde olmu\u015f; ABD\u2019deki \u00c7inli akademisyenler ve \u00c7inli \u00f6\u011frenciler i\u00e7in ya\u015fam\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131ran politikalar uygulamaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Biden, Trump d\u00f6nemi ek vergilerini oldu\u011fu gibi korudu ve teknoloji k\u0131s\u0131tlama politikalar\u0131n\u0131, daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Biden y\u00f6netiminin belirgin fark\u0131, m\u00fcttefiklerle ili\u015fkilerdeydi: Trump, \u00c7in yan\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin m\u00fcttefiklerine de vergiler getiriyor, tehditler savuruyor, NATO\u2019nun i\u015fe yararl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sorguluyordu, Biden ise m\u00fcttefiklerle ili\u015fkileri g\u00fc\u00e7lendirip \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi sa\u011flamaya \u00f6nem verdi. Trump\u2019\u0131n ikinci d\u00f6neminde de benzer politikalar izlemesini bekleyebiliriz. Nitekim Trump, bu se\u00e7im d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6reve geldi\u011finde \u00c7in mallar\u0131na y\u00fczde 60 vergi getirece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

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\u00c7in\u2019i ne bekliyor? Yeni Trump y\u00f6netimi y\u00fczde 60 vergi vaadini t\u00fcm \u00c7in mallar\u0131na uygulayacak olsa ABD sanayisi b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe al\u0131r, enflasyon da b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131\u00e7rama yapar. Bu nedenle bu vaat, ancak ba\u015fka kaynaklardan kolayca temin edilebilecek belli bir grup mal i\u00e7in uygulanabilir. Ancak yine de ABD\u2019ye ihracat konusunda \u00c7in zorlu bir d\u00f6neme giriyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Teknoloji k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 konusunda Biden y\u00f6netimi Trump\u2019tan devrald\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar\u0131 \u00f6ylesine s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131 ki, yeni Trump d\u00f6neminde daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma i\u00e7in fazla alan kalmam\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00d6te yandan, art\u0131k \u00c7in de ABD\u2019ye k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 ihracat ve teknoloji k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yeni d\u00f6nemde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 hamlelerle bir s\u0131cak teknoloji sava\u015f\u0131na \u015fahit olabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>

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Trump, \u00c7in\u2019i en \u00e7ok da d\u0131\u015f politika alan\u0131nda zorlayabilir. Trump\u2019\u0131n Tayvan, Kuzey Kore, G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi ile ilgili konularda izleyebilece\u011fi y\u00fcksek riskli politikalar, \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi\u2019ni zor durumlarda b\u0131rakabilir ve b\u00f6lgede s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya varabilecek geli\u015fmelere yol a\u00e7abilir. \u00d6te yandan Trump, ABD\u2019nin kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019e odaklamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flaman\u0131n yan\u0131nda Rusya\u2019y\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 bat\u0131 kamp\u0131na \u00e7ekme ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00fcderek Ukrayna\u2019da sava\u015f\u0131n durmas\u0131na ve Rusya ile ili\u015fkilerin iyile\u015fmesine y\u00f6nelik politikalar izleyebilir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde b\u00f6yle bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine gitmesi olas\u0131 de\u011filse de Trump\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 yol, orta d\u00f6nemde b\u00f6yle bir sonu\u00e7 verebilir; bu da \u00c7in i\u00e7in \u00e7ok olumsuz bir geli\u015fme olur.<\/span><\/p>

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T\u00fcm bunlara ra\u011fmen Trump, \u00c7in i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fc olmayabilir. Ge\u00e7en d\u00f6nemdeki politikalar\u0131 s\u00fcrerse, m\u00fcttefiklerin \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 ortak politikalar izlemesi zorla\u015f\u0131r ve bu \u00c7in\u2019e yarar sa\u011flar. \u00d6te yandan, Trump\u2019\u0131n prensiplerden \u00e7ok somut yararlar\u0131 g\u00f6zeten i\u015f adam\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, iki taraf\u0131 birden rahatlatan anla\u015fmalarla da sonu\u00e7lanabilir.Yeni Trump d\u00f6nemini, \u00c7in i\u00e7in \u2018y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyde belirsizlik\u2019 olarak tan\u0131mlayabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>

fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>","slug":"donald-trumpin-donusu-ve-cin-2024-kasim-18","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1731877200U89phRogqy6P0Qw.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":0,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":57729,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":57603,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ve \u00c7in","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":"

<\/span>ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri, Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n galibiyetiyle sonu\u00e7land\u0131. Trump\u2019\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir rol oynam\u0131\u015f olan \u00c7in, bu geri geli\u015ften de en \u00e7ok etkilenmesi olas\u0131 \u00fclke konumunda bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>

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Trump\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 tekrar kazanmas\u0131 beklenen bir geli\u015fmeydi; Covid s\u00fcrecini son derece k\u00f6t\u00fc y\u00f6neterek \u00e7ok say\u0131da vatanda\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n 2020 se\u00e7iminde kat\u0131lan se\u00e7menlerin y\u00fczde 47\u2019sinin oyunu alabilmi\u015fti. ABD\u2019de Trump\u2019\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi ve di\u011fer bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerindeki pop\u00fclist liderlerin y\u00fckseli\u015fi, ayn\u0131 dinamiklere dayan\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131nda geli\u015fmi\u015f bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerinde orta s\u0131n\u0131f ve alt\u0131ndaki insanlar\u0131n 1970\u2019lerin sonlar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak bozulan ekonomik durumlar\u0131 var. Bunun da ard\u0131nda bir yandan d\u00fcnyan\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkelerinin sanayi becerilerini art\u0131rarak bat\u0131 \u00fclkeleri ile giderek geni\u015fleyen bir alanda rekabet eder hale gelmesi, \u00f6te yandan da k\u00fcreselle\u015fme ile bat\u0131 pazarlar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke \u00fcreticilerine, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke pazarlar\u0131n\u0131n da bat\u0131l\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara daha fazla a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 var. Bu geli\u015fmelerin sonucu olarak eskiden t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyan\u0131n s\u0131nai \u00fcr\u00fcn ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 \u00fcretirken, \u015fimdi yeni geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin i\u015f\u00e7ileri bir\u00e7ok \u00fcr\u00fcnde kendi \u00fclke ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131laman\u0131n yan\u0131nda \u00fclkelerindeki yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 tesislerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak o \u00fclkelerin ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak \u00fcr\u00fcnleri de \u00fcretiyorlar. Bu, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 i\u00e7in on y\u0131llard\u0131r azalan i\u015f olanaklar\u0131 ve artmayan reel \u00fccretler; o da umutsuzluk, mutsuzluk ve bu insanlar\u0131n dertlerine \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm vaat eden pop\u00fclist liderlere ilgi anlam\u0131na geliyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

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D\u00fcnya genelinde ilerleyen bu s\u00fcreci h\u0131zland\u0131ran ve etkisini b\u00fcy\u00fcten \u00c7in oldu. \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00fcnyaya tam anlam\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llarda zengin OECD \u00fclkelerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131 400 milyondu. \u00c7in\u2019in oyuna kat\u0131lmas\u0131, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke \u00fcreticileri i\u00e7in 600 milyonluk bir ek i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc ve bu i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcnden yararlanmak \u00fczere yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00e7ekici ortam ve ko\u015fullar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu, Bat\u0131\u2019daki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar i\u00e7in rekabet ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n iyice g\u00fc\u00e7le\u015fmesi anlam\u0131na geliyordu. \u00c7in, \u00fcretim kapasitesi ve becerilerini \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu etki h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Yani \u00c7in i\u00e7in bu zorlay\u0131c\u0131 lideri ortaya \u00e7\u0131karan\u0131n esas olarak \u00c7in\u2019in kendisi oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/span><\/p>

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Trump, ilk d\u00f6neminde \u00c7in\u2019den ithal edilen mallar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne ek vergiler getirmi\u015f; \u00c7inli \u015firketlerin teknolojik geli\u015fimini engellemeye y\u00f6nelik \u00fcr\u00fcn ve bilgi ihrac\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 getirmi\u015f; yabanc\u0131 \u015firketlerin \u00fcretim zincirlerini \u00c7in\u2019den \u00e7\u0131kartmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak uygulamalar pe\u015finde olmu\u015f; ABD\u2019deki \u00c7inli akademisyenler ve \u00c7inli \u00f6\u011frenciler i\u00e7in ya\u015fam\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131ran politikalar uygulamaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Biden, Trump d\u00f6nemi ek vergilerini oldu\u011fu gibi korudu ve teknoloji k\u0131s\u0131tlama politikalar\u0131n\u0131, daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Biden y\u00f6netiminin belirgin fark\u0131, m\u00fcttefiklerle ili\u015fkilerdeydi: Trump, \u00c7in yan\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin m\u00fcttefiklerine de vergiler getiriyor, tehditler savuruyor, NATO\u2019nun i\u015fe yararl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sorguluyordu, Biden ise m\u00fcttefiklerle ili\u015fkileri g\u00fc\u00e7lendirip \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi sa\u011flamaya \u00f6nem verdi. Trump\u2019\u0131n ikinci d\u00f6neminde de benzer politikalar izlemesini bekleyebiliriz. Nitekim Trump, bu se\u00e7im d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6reve geldi\u011finde \u00c7in mallar\u0131na y\u00fczde 60 vergi getirece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

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\u00c7in\u2019i ne bekliyor? Yeni Trump y\u00f6netimi y\u00fczde 60 vergi vaadini t\u00fcm \u00c7in mallar\u0131na uygulayacak olsa ABD sanayisi b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe al\u0131r, enflasyon da b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131\u00e7rama yapar. Bu nedenle bu vaat, ancak ba\u015fka kaynaklardan kolayca temin edilebilecek belli bir grup mal i\u00e7in uygulanabilir. Ancak yine de ABD\u2019ye ihracat konusunda \u00c7in zorlu bir d\u00f6neme giriyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Teknoloji k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 konusunda Biden y\u00f6netimi Trump\u2019tan devrald\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar\u0131 \u00f6ylesine s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131 ki, yeni Trump d\u00f6neminde daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma i\u00e7in fazla alan kalmam\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00d6te yandan, art\u0131k \u00c7in de ABD\u2019ye k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 ihracat ve teknoloji k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yeni d\u00f6nemde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 hamlelerle bir s\u0131cak teknoloji sava\u015f\u0131na \u015fahit olabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>

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Trump, \u00c7in\u2019i en \u00e7ok da d\u0131\u015f politika alan\u0131nda zorlayabilir. Trump\u2019\u0131n Tayvan, Kuzey Kore, G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi ile ilgili konularda izleyebilece\u011fi y\u00fcksek riskli politikalar, \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi\u2019ni zor durumlarda b\u0131rakabilir ve b\u00f6lgede s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya varabilecek geli\u015fmelere yol a\u00e7abilir. \u00d6te yandan Trump, ABD\u2019nin kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019e odaklamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flaman\u0131n yan\u0131nda Rusya\u2019y\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 bat\u0131 kamp\u0131na \u00e7ekme ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00fcderek Ukrayna\u2019da sava\u015f\u0131n durmas\u0131na ve Rusya ile ili\u015fkilerin iyile\u015fmesine y\u00f6nelik politikalar izleyebilir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde b\u00f6yle bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine gitmesi olas\u0131 de\u011filse de Trump\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 yol, orta d\u00f6nemde b\u00f6yle bir sonu\u00e7 verebilir; bu da \u00c7in i\u00e7in \u00e7ok olumsuz bir geli\u015fme olur.<\/span><\/p>

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T\u00fcm bunlara ra\u011fmen Trump, \u00c7in i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fc olmayabilir. Ge\u00e7en d\u00f6nemdeki politikalar\u0131 s\u00fcrerse, m\u00fcttefiklerin \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 ortak politikalar izlemesi zorla\u015f\u0131r ve bu \u00c7in\u2019e yarar sa\u011flar. \u00d6te yandan, Trump\u2019\u0131n prensiplerden \u00e7ok somut yararlar\u0131 g\u00f6zeten i\u015f adam\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, iki taraf\u0131 birden rahatlatan anla\u015fmalarla da sonu\u00e7lanabilir.Yeni Trump d\u00f6nemini, \u00c7in i\u00e7in \u2018y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyde belirsizlik\u2019 olarak tan\u0131mlayabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>

fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>","slug":"donald-trumpin-donusu-ve-cin-2024-kasim-18","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1731877200U89phRogqy6P0Qw.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1731877200U89phRogqy6P0Qw.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","meta_keywords":null,"view_count":0,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2024-12-18 07:19:57","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}