{"status":true,"post":{"id":21605,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:10:02","created_at":"2020-03-05T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:10:02.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21605,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette korona fakt\u00f6r\u00fc","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span>
<\/p>

Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere korona salg\u0131n\u0131 Uzak Do\u011fu\u2019da ba\u015flad\u0131 ve bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeye s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00d6yle ki, uluslararas\u0131 baz\u0131 firmalar baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerdeki fabrikalar\u0131n\u0131 bile ge\u00e7ici olarak kapatt\u0131. Bu durum ticareti de yak\u0131ndan etkileyece\u011fi i\u00e7in \u00fclkemize etkileri konusunu rakamlarla beraber de\u011ferlendirme gere\u011fi duyduk.<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan 28 \u015eubat 2020\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan d\u0131\u015f ticaret istatistiklerine g\u00f6re; 2020\u2019nin ocak ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 6.4 artan ihracat 14.759 milyon dolar, y\u00fczde 18.8 artan ithalat ise 19.207 milyon dolar de\u011ferine ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu d\u00f6nemde d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi 34 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u0130thalattaki y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 nedeniyle d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 da 2019\u2019un ocak ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 94.3 artarak ayl\u0131k bazda 4.448 milyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde 76.8\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. <\/span><\/p>

G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere iki y\u0131l\u0131n ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ticareti k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 etkisinin hen\u00fcz olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131zda da belirtti\u011fimiz gibi i\u00e7 piyasadaki canlanmaya paralel olarak ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla olmas\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 son derece do\u011fal.<\/span><\/p>

Olay\u0131 biraz daha derinle\u015ftirip \u00c7in ile yap\u0131lan ticarete bir bakal\u0131m. 2019\u2019un ocak ay\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019e 220 milyon dolara, 2019\u2019un tamam\u0131nda 2.6 milyar dolara yak\u0131n ihracat yaparken, ithalat ayl\u0131k bazda 1.8 milyar dolar, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda da 18.5 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. 2020\u2019nin ocak ay\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019e yap\u0131lan ihracat y\u00fczde 1.9 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stererek 216 milyon dolar, \u00c7in\u2019den yap\u0131lan ithalat y\u00fczde 25.5 art\u0131\u015fla 1.886 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu durumda 2019\u2019un ocak ay\u0131 ve 2020\u2019nin ocak ay\u0131 ihracat\/ithalat verileri korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcnden <\/span>dolay\u0131 bir etkilenme ya\u015fanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Ancak \u015fubat ay\u0131 ortalar\u0131ndan sonra \u00c7in\u2019de karantinalar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011falmas\u0131, bir\u00e7ok fabrikan\u0131n vir\u00fcs\u00fcn bula\u015fma riski nedeniyle tatil edilmesi \u00f6zellikle ithalat aya\u011f\u0131nda ciddi sorunlar yaratabilir. Toplam ithalatta Rusya\u2019dan sonra y\u00fczde 9.8 ile ikinci s\u0131rada olan \u00c7in, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ara mal\u0131 ve hammadde ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n olmas\u0131 nedeniyle \u00fcretimimizi etkileyebilecek bir yap\u0131ya sahip. \u0130\u015fte as\u0131l risk burada. \u00c7in fabrikalar\u0131 \u00fcretemedi\u011fi takdirde \u00c7in men\u015feli hammadde\/yar\u0131 mamul kullanan fabrikalar malzeme temin edememe riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilirler. Ya da daha pahal\u0131 olan alternatiflere y\u00f6nelebilirler. E\u011fer daha pahal\u0131 alternatifler aras\u0131nda yerli mal\u0131 varsa, o zaman i\u00e7 piyasa \u00fcretimi artabilir. Bunun yan\u0131nda istihdamda art\u0131\u015f da olabilir. Ancak artan maliyetler nedeniyle enflasyon da artabilir.<\/span><\/p>

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131n yan\u0131nda \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00fcretimi yapamayan \u00c7in, alternatif \u00fclke mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelebilir. \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck t\u00fcketim ekonomilerinden biri oldu\u011fu da unutulmamal\u0131. Bu durumda \u00c7in\u2019e ihracatta s\u0131\u00e7rama ya\u015fanabilir. Mevcut ekonomik ko\u015fullar \u00c7in ile olu\u015fan d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kapat\u0131c\u0131 etki yapabilir.<\/span><\/p>

B\u00fct\u00fcn bu verileri de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fimizde, \u00c7in\u2019de \u00fcretimin aksamas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den \u00c7in\u2019e ihracat\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Ancak daha y\u00fcksek maliyetler nedeniyle de maliyet enflasyonu ya\u015fayabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>

Son s\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz; \u00c7in sadece ucuz mal satan yer de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda l\u00fcks t\u00fcketim yapan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir pazar.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticarette-korona-faktoru","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette korona fakt\u00f6r\u00fc","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":961,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21704,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21605,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette korona fakt\u00f6r\u00fc","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span>
<\/p>

Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere korona salg\u0131n\u0131 Uzak Do\u011fu\u2019da ba\u015flad\u0131 ve bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeye s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00d6yle ki, uluslararas\u0131 baz\u0131 firmalar baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerdeki fabrikalar\u0131n\u0131 bile ge\u00e7ici olarak kapatt\u0131. Bu durum ticareti de yak\u0131ndan etkileyece\u011fi i\u00e7in \u00fclkemize etkileri konusunu rakamlarla beraber de\u011ferlendirme gere\u011fi duyduk.<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan 28 \u015eubat 2020\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan d\u0131\u015f ticaret istatistiklerine g\u00f6re; 2020\u2019nin ocak ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 6.4 artan ihracat 14.759 milyon dolar, y\u00fczde 18.8 artan ithalat ise 19.207 milyon dolar de\u011ferine ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu d\u00f6nemde d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi 34 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u0130thalattaki y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 nedeniyle d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 da 2019\u2019un ocak ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 94.3 artarak ayl\u0131k bazda 4.448 milyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde 76.8\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. <\/span><\/p>

G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere iki y\u0131l\u0131n ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ticareti k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 etkisinin hen\u00fcz olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131zda da belirtti\u011fimiz gibi i\u00e7 piyasadaki canlanmaya paralel olarak ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla olmas\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 son derece do\u011fal.<\/span><\/p>

Olay\u0131 biraz daha derinle\u015ftirip \u00c7in ile yap\u0131lan ticarete bir bakal\u0131m. 2019\u2019un ocak ay\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019e 220 milyon dolara, 2019\u2019un tamam\u0131nda 2.6 milyar dolara yak\u0131n ihracat yaparken, ithalat ayl\u0131k bazda 1.8 milyar dolar, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda da 18.5 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. 2020\u2019nin ocak ay\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019e yap\u0131lan ihracat y\u00fczde 1.9 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stererek 216 milyon dolar, \u00c7in\u2019den yap\u0131lan ithalat y\u00fczde 25.5 art\u0131\u015fla 1.886 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu durumda 2019\u2019un ocak ay\u0131 ve 2020\u2019nin ocak ay\u0131 ihracat\/ithalat verileri korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcnden <\/span>dolay\u0131 bir etkilenme ya\u015fanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Ancak \u015fubat ay\u0131 ortalar\u0131ndan sonra \u00c7in\u2019de karantinalar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011falmas\u0131, bir\u00e7ok fabrikan\u0131n vir\u00fcs\u00fcn bula\u015fma riski nedeniyle tatil edilmesi \u00f6zellikle ithalat aya\u011f\u0131nda ciddi sorunlar yaratabilir. Toplam ithalatta Rusya\u2019dan sonra y\u00fczde 9.8 ile ikinci s\u0131rada olan \u00c7in, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ara mal\u0131 ve hammadde ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n olmas\u0131 nedeniyle \u00fcretimimizi etkileyebilecek bir yap\u0131ya sahip. \u0130\u015fte as\u0131l risk burada. \u00c7in fabrikalar\u0131 \u00fcretemedi\u011fi takdirde \u00c7in men\u015feli hammadde\/yar\u0131 mamul kullanan fabrikalar malzeme temin edememe riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilirler. Ya da daha pahal\u0131 olan alternatiflere y\u00f6nelebilirler. E\u011fer daha pahal\u0131 alternatifler aras\u0131nda yerli mal\u0131 varsa, o zaman i\u00e7 piyasa \u00fcretimi artabilir. Bunun yan\u0131nda istihdamda art\u0131\u015f da olabilir. Ancak artan maliyetler nedeniyle enflasyon da artabilir.<\/span><\/p>

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131n yan\u0131nda \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00fcretimi yapamayan \u00c7in, alternatif \u00fclke mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelebilir. \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck t\u00fcketim ekonomilerinden biri oldu\u011fu da unutulmamal\u0131. Bu durumda \u00c7in\u2019e ihracatta s\u0131\u00e7rama ya\u015fanabilir. Mevcut ekonomik ko\u015fullar \u00c7in ile olu\u015fan d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kapat\u0131c\u0131 etki yapabilir.<\/span><\/p>

B\u00fct\u00fcn bu verileri de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fimizde, \u00c7in\u2019de \u00fcretimin aksamas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den \u00c7in\u2019e ihracat\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Ancak daha y\u00fcksek maliyetler nedeniyle de maliyet enflasyonu ya\u015fayabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>

Son s\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz; \u00c7in sadece ucuz mal satan yer de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda l\u00fcks t\u00fcketim yapan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir pazar.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticarette-korona-faktoru","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette korona fakt\u00f6r\u00fc","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":961,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}