{"status":true,"post":{"id":19507,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:37:00","created_at":"2018-12-02T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:37:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":19507,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u2018Dengeleme-disiplin\u2019le h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Berat Albayrak\u2019\u0131n Yeni Ekonomik Program (YEP) kapsam\u0131nda detaylar\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018dengeleme-disiplin\u2019 d\u00f6nemine y\u00f6nelik tedbirler ad\u0131m ad\u0131m devreye girdik\u00e7e, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin temel makro g\u00f6stergelerinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen \u2018dengeleme\u2019nin beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 hayat buldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi. \u2018Dengeleme\u2019 s\u00fcrecinin en \u00f6nemli iki g\u00f6stergesinin ilki fiyat istikrar\u0131, yani enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda, maliyet enflasyonunu temsilen \u00dcFE\u2019de ve t\u00fcketici enflasyonunu temsilen T\u00dcFE\u2019de g\u00f6zlenecek gerileme; ikinci g\u00f6sterge ise finansal istikrar, yani cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki gerileme olacak. Bakan Albayrak\u2019\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi iki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeden ilki, TCMB\u2019nin son \u2018Enflasyon Raporu\u2019nda y\u00fczde 23.5 olarak tahmin etti\u011fi, YEP\u2019de ise y\u00fczde 20.8 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f olan 2018 y\u0131l sonu man\u015fet enflasyonun s\u00f6z konusu oranlar\u0131n dahi alt\u0131nda kalabilece\u011fi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YATIRIMCILAR YEN\u0130DEN \u2018ALIM\u2019 POZ\u0130SYONUNDA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Nitekim, T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f\u2019in kas\u0131m ay\u0131 enflasyon tahminleri de, tar\u0131m ve g\u0131da enflasyonunda gerilemeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f man\u015fet enflasyonun gerileyebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bakan Albayrak\u2019\u0131n bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli tespiti; aral\u0131k ba\u015f\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan ekim ay\u0131 cari i\u015flemler dengesinin verece\u011fi fazlal\u0131\u011f\u0131n, yine ekonomi \u00e7evrelerini \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bu tablo, makro ekonomik g\u00f6stergelerde bozulma olsa da, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin dinamikleri sayesinde al\u0131nan tedbirlere temel makro dengelerin \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 cevap verdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Zaten, bu temel ger\u00e7e\u011fi h\u0131zla hat\u0131rlayan k\u00fcresel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, uluslararas\u0131 derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik \u2018\u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc ka\u00e7m\u0131\u015f\u2019 olumsuz yorumlar\u0131n\u0131 fazlas\u0131yla ciddiye al\u0131p, T\u00fcrk varl\u0131klar\u0131nda pozisyon kapatm\u0131\u015f olmaktan pi\u015fmanlar. Bu nedenle, yeniden \u2018al\u0131m\u2019 pozisyonuna ge\u00e7mi\u015f durumdalar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>JCR, T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019Y\u0130 \u2018NEGAT\u0130F\u2019 \u0130ZLEMEDEN \u00c7IKARDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Japon kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu JCR da, TCMB\u2019nin para politikas\u0131 tedbirleri ve T\u00fcrkiye-ABD ili\u015fkilerinde g\u00f6zlenen iyile\u015fmeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131, ayl\u0131k bazda cari a\u00e7\u0131kta g\u00f6r\u00fclen h\u0131zl\u0131 gerilemenin d\u0131\u015f dengeye olumlu etkisi ve mali disipline ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak kamu borcunun milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131n halen hayli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131n\u0131 dikkate alarak T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini \u2018negatif\u2019 izlemeden \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Y\u0131l sonuna kendimizi beklenen h\u0131zl\u0131 iyile\u015fen enflasyon ve d\u0131\u015f dengeye haz\u0131rlamam\u0131zda yarar var.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>BO\u011eAZ\u0130\u00c7\u0130\u2019NDE \u2018HERKES \u0130\u00c7\u0130N KALKINMA\u2019<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011fi ve vizyonunda, \u2018Medeniyet Diplomasisi\u2019 s\u00fcrecini, Avrasya\u2019n\u0131n oyun kurucu \u00fclkesi olarak, Suriye ve Irak\u2019\u0131n toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn korunmas\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm 1. ve 2. ku\u015fak kom\u015fular\u0131 ad\u0131na, \u2018bar\u0131\u015f ve huzur\u2019 temas\u0131 \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor. 1880\u2019den beri, \u2018asimetrik d\u00fczen\u2019in Atlantik \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kurumsal yap\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde yer alan \u2018g\u00fc\u00e7\u2019 odaklar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin etraf\u0131ndaki co\u011frafyay\u0131 sava\u015f kurgular\u0131 \u00fczerinden \u2018kolayca\u2019 y\u00f6netmek ad\u0131na t\u00fcm kirli senaryolar\u0131 denemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrseler de; T\u00fcrkiye aksine, tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u2018bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi\u2019 ad\u0131na ciddi bir m\u00fccadele ortaya koyuyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Filistin i\u00e7in, Kud\u00fcs i\u00e7in, bu co\u011frafyada zaman zaman \u2018huzuru\u2019 bozacak politikalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen yeri geldi\u011finde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n haks\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa u\u011framamas\u0131 i\u00e7in Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da, Afrika\u2019da \u2018kal\u0131c\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f\u2019 i\u00e7in, \u2018sert\u2019 ve \u2018yumu\u015fak\u2019 g\u00fc\u00e7 unsurlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fcyle sahada T\u00fcrkiye.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z himayesinde, bu y\u0131l 9\u2019uncusu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen \u2018Bo\u011fazi\u00e7i Zirvesi de, \u2018bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi\u2019 ad\u0131na \u2018Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Platformu\u2019nun \u00e7abalar\u0131yla aralar\u0131nda KKTC ve Makedonya cumhurba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n da yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 80\u2019in \u00fczerinde \u00fclke \u00fcst d\u00fczey temsilcisini bir araya getirerek, \u2018herkes i\u00e7in kalk\u0131nma\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bar\u0131\u015f\u2019, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011finde, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ortaya koydu\u011fu \u2018Medeniyet Diplomasisi\u2019 \u00fczerinden, Afrika\u2019y\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019yu, Balkanlar\u2019\u0131, Kafkasya\u2019y\u0131, Orta Asya\u2019y\u0131 \u2018kapsayan\u2019 bir \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 da i\u00e7eriyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Zirvede, ihracattan mega projelere, enerjiden savunmaya, gayrimenkulden finansa, KOB\u0130\u2019lerin dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnden gen\u00e7 liderlere, Avrupa\u2019dan Afrika\u2019n\u0131n gelece\u011fine, yabanc\u0131 ve yerli uzmanlar, onlarca yuvarlak masa ve panelde, doyurucu bir i\u00e7erikle, k\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel meseleleri masaya yat\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dengeleme-disiplinle-hizli-toparlanma","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u2018Dengeleme-disiplin\u2019le h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":98,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":19606,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":19507,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u2018Dengeleme-disiplin\u2019le h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Berat Albayrak\u2019\u0131n Yeni Ekonomik Program (YEP) kapsam\u0131nda detaylar\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018dengeleme-disiplin\u2019 d\u00f6nemine y\u00f6nelik tedbirler ad\u0131m ad\u0131m devreye girdik\u00e7e, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin temel makro g\u00f6stergelerinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen \u2018dengeleme\u2019nin beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 hayat buldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi. \u2018Dengeleme\u2019 s\u00fcrecinin en \u00f6nemli iki g\u00f6stergesinin ilki fiyat istikrar\u0131, yani enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda, maliyet enflasyonunu temsilen \u00dcFE\u2019de ve t\u00fcketici enflasyonunu temsilen T\u00dcFE\u2019de g\u00f6zlenecek gerileme; ikinci g\u00f6sterge ise finansal istikrar, yani cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki gerileme olacak. Bakan Albayrak\u2019\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi iki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeden ilki, TCMB\u2019nin son \u2018Enflasyon Raporu\u2019nda y\u00fczde 23.5 olarak tahmin etti\u011fi, YEP\u2019de ise y\u00fczde 20.8 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f olan 2018 y\u0131l sonu man\u015fet enflasyonun s\u00f6z konusu oranlar\u0131n dahi alt\u0131nda kalabilece\u011fi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YATIRIMCILAR YEN\u0130DEN \u2018ALIM\u2019 POZ\u0130SYONUNDA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Nitekim, T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f\u2019in kas\u0131m ay\u0131 enflasyon tahminleri de, tar\u0131m ve g\u0131da enflasyonunda gerilemeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f man\u015fet enflasyonun gerileyebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bakan Albayrak\u2019\u0131n bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli tespiti; aral\u0131k ba\u015f\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan ekim ay\u0131 cari i\u015flemler dengesinin verece\u011fi fazlal\u0131\u011f\u0131n, yine ekonomi \u00e7evrelerini \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bu tablo, makro ekonomik g\u00f6stergelerde bozulma olsa da, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin dinamikleri sayesinde al\u0131nan tedbirlere temel makro dengelerin \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 cevap verdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Zaten, bu temel ger\u00e7e\u011fi h\u0131zla hat\u0131rlayan k\u00fcresel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, uluslararas\u0131 derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik \u2018\u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc ka\u00e7m\u0131\u015f\u2019 olumsuz yorumlar\u0131n\u0131 fazlas\u0131yla ciddiye al\u0131p, T\u00fcrk varl\u0131klar\u0131nda pozisyon kapatm\u0131\u015f olmaktan pi\u015fmanlar. Bu nedenle, yeniden \u2018al\u0131m\u2019 pozisyonuna ge\u00e7mi\u015f durumdalar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>JCR, T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019Y\u0130 \u2018NEGAT\u0130F\u2019 \u0130ZLEMEDEN \u00c7IKARDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Japon kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu JCR da, TCMB\u2019nin para politikas\u0131 tedbirleri ve T\u00fcrkiye-ABD ili\u015fkilerinde g\u00f6zlenen iyile\u015fmeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131, ayl\u0131k bazda cari a\u00e7\u0131kta g\u00f6r\u00fclen h\u0131zl\u0131 gerilemenin d\u0131\u015f dengeye olumlu etkisi ve mali disipline ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak kamu borcunun milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131n halen hayli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131n\u0131 dikkate alarak T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini \u2018negatif\u2019 izlemeden \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Y\u0131l sonuna kendimizi beklenen h\u0131zl\u0131 iyile\u015fen enflasyon ve d\u0131\u015f dengeye haz\u0131rlamam\u0131zda yarar var.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>BO\u011eAZ\u0130\u00c7\u0130\u2019NDE \u2018HERKES \u0130\u00c7\u0130N KALKINMA\u2019<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011fi ve vizyonunda, \u2018Medeniyet Diplomasisi\u2019 s\u00fcrecini, Avrasya\u2019n\u0131n oyun kurucu \u00fclkesi olarak, Suriye ve Irak\u2019\u0131n toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn korunmas\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm 1. ve 2. ku\u015fak kom\u015fular\u0131 ad\u0131na, \u2018bar\u0131\u015f ve huzur\u2019 temas\u0131 \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor. 1880\u2019den beri, \u2018asimetrik d\u00fczen\u2019in Atlantik \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kurumsal yap\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde yer alan \u2018g\u00fc\u00e7\u2019 odaklar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin etraf\u0131ndaki co\u011frafyay\u0131 sava\u015f kurgular\u0131 \u00fczerinden \u2018kolayca\u2019 y\u00f6netmek ad\u0131na t\u00fcm kirli senaryolar\u0131 denemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrseler de; T\u00fcrkiye aksine, tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u2018bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi\u2019 ad\u0131na ciddi bir m\u00fccadele ortaya koyuyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Filistin i\u00e7in, Kud\u00fcs i\u00e7in, bu co\u011frafyada zaman zaman \u2018huzuru\u2019 bozacak politikalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen yeri geldi\u011finde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n haks\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa u\u011framamas\u0131 i\u00e7in Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da, Afrika\u2019da \u2018kal\u0131c\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f\u2019 i\u00e7in, \u2018sert\u2019 ve \u2018yumu\u015fak\u2019 g\u00fc\u00e7 unsurlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fcyle sahada T\u00fcrkiye.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z himayesinde, bu y\u0131l 9\u2019uncusu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen \u2018Bo\u011fazi\u00e7i Zirvesi de, \u2018bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi\u2019 ad\u0131na \u2018Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Platformu\u2019nun \u00e7abalar\u0131yla aralar\u0131nda KKTC ve Makedonya cumhurba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n da yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 80\u2019in \u00fczerinde \u00fclke \u00fcst d\u00fczey temsilcisini bir araya getirerek, \u2018herkes i\u00e7in kalk\u0131nma\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bar\u0131\u015f\u2019, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011finde, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ortaya koydu\u011fu \u2018Medeniyet Diplomasisi\u2019 \u00fczerinden, Afrika\u2019y\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019yu, Balkanlar\u2019\u0131, Kafkasya\u2019y\u0131, Orta Asya\u2019y\u0131 \u2018kapsayan\u2019 bir \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 da i\u00e7eriyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Zirvede, ihracattan mega projelere, enerjiden savunmaya, gayrimenkulden finansa, KOB\u0130\u2019lerin dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnden gen\u00e7 liderlere, Avrupa\u2019dan Afrika\u2019n\u0131n gelece\u011fine, yabanc\u0131 ve yerli uzmanlar, onlarca yuvarlak masa ve panelde, doyurucu bir i\u00e7erikle, k\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel meseleleri masaya yat\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dengeleme-disiplinle-hizli-toparlanma","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u2018Dengeleme-disiplin\u2019le h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":98,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}