{"status":true,"post":{"id":22062,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:14:41","created_at":"2020-05-07T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:14:41.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":22062,"is_featured":0,"title":"Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n seyir defteri-2","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile nisan ay\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 azal\u0131rken may\u0131s ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde iktisadi faaliyetlerin yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler de artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede son geli\u015fmeleri de\u011ferlendirelim. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1.<\/strong> <strong>Vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya genelinde etkisi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Nisan ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131nda dalgalanma devam etti. Nisan ay\u0131n\u0131n son g\u00fcn\u00fc itibariyle 83 bin 566 yeni vaka ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu veriler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fcnya genelinde zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131. Ancak hen\u00fcz a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir e\u011filim g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor. \u00d6zellikle ABD ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019de yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 halen y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde ise ba\u015fta Almanya olmak \u00fczere yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Almanya, izolasyonlar\u0131 kademeli olarak kald\u0131rmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130talya, 4 May\u0131s\u2019tan itibaren kademeli olarak kald\u0131racak. D\u00fcnya genelinde iyimser tahmin ile haziran ay\u0131 ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda yeni vaka say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n en aza inece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu tarihe kadar \u00fclkelerde kademeli olarak izolasyonlar azalt\u0131lacak. \u0130la\u00e7 ve a\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda ise halen nihai bir sonuca ula\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2.<\/strong> <strong>Salg\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisini vurdu <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisi \u00fczerindeki etkileri \u00f6zellikle nisan ay\u0131nda daha belirgin \u015fekilde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetler ve talep nisan ay\u0131nda dip yapt\u0131. Hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden sonra sanayideki sert daralmalar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Sanayi \u00fcretimi ve ihracatta y\u00fczde 40\u2019a varan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Merkez Bankalar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalara destekleri artarak devam ediyor. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bilan\u00e7osu iki ayda 2.5 trilyon dolar geni\u015fledi. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 yeni bir likidite program\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klanan ilk \u00e7eyrek verilerine g\u00f6re ABD y\u00fczde 4.8, AB y\u00fczde 2.7 darald\u0131. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde ise finansal ko\u015fullar zorla\u015f\u0131yor. Petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de geli\u015fen \u00fclkeleri olumsuz etkiliyor. \u00c7in\u2019den sonra Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde de izolasyonlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ile may\u0131s ay\u0131nda iktisadi faaliyetler yeniden ba\u015flayacak. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3.<\/strong> <strong>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 h\u0131zla azalmaya ba\u015flad\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lma h\u0131z\u0131 nisan ay\u0131n\u0131n son haftas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flad\u0131. Son hafta i\u00e7inde g\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6nce 3 bin, son iki g\u00fcn ise 2 bin seviyesinin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Son hafta g\u00fcnl\u00fck yap\u0131lan test say\u0131s\u0131 40 bin seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131 ve pozitif sonu\u00e7 al\u0131nma oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 6.0\u2019ya kadar indi. G\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Muhtemelen may\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda 1000 seviyesinin alt\u0131na inilebilecek. \u0130zolasyon \u00f6nlemleri ise s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 31 \u015fehirde yine hafta sonu ile birle\u015ferek 3 g\u00fcn boyunca soka\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kma k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 devam etti. \u00c7ok say\u0131da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck beldede de tam izolasyon \u00f6nlemleri uygulan\u0131yor. May\u0131s ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde s\u0131k\u0131 izolasyon \u00f6nlemleri s\u00fcrecek. Bununla birlikte T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de de izolasyonlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olarak plan\u0131n may\u0131s ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. Finansal istikrar\u0131 korumak \u00f6nem kazan\u0131yor<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Koronavir\u00fcs\u00fcn ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkileri nisan ay\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a sert ya\u015fand\u0131. Etkiler iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu. \u0130lk olarak iktisadi faaliyetler \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde darald\u0131. Di\u011fer yandan mali piyasalarda da bask\u0131 artt\u0131. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetlerin \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc nisan ay\u0131nda zorunlu veya ihtiyari olarak kapal\u0131 kald\u0131. Nisan ay\u0131nda imalat sanayinde kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 66 oldu. \u0130hracat y\u00fczde 38 geriledi. Turizm ve di\u011fer hizmet sekt\u00f6rlerinde ise daha y\u00fcksek k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler s\u00fcrd\u00fc. A\u00e7\u0131klanan paketlerden sa\u011flanan destekler i\u00e7in yo\u011fun ba\u015fvurular yap\u0131ld\u0131. Kullan\u0131mlar ise kademeli olarak art\u0131yor. Mali tarafta da T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gerileme ya\u015fan\u0131yor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin CDS risk primi nisan ay\u0131 boyunca 600 puan seviyelerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 son hafta i\u00e7inde yine h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetti ve dolar 7 TL\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131. T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 ise a\u00e7\u0131klanan desteklerin kaynak ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in h\u0131zl\u0131 bir parasal geni\u015flemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. T\u00fcm bu geli\u015fmelere paralel olarak may\u0131s ay\u0131nda da finansal istikrar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 artarak devam edecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile m\u00fccadelede olduk\u00e7a ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olurken, ekonomi cephesini kaybetmemek i\u00e7in finansal istikrar\u0131 azami \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde korumal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"covid-19-salgininin-seyir-defteri-2","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n seyir defteri-2","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1075,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":22161,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":22062,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n seyir defteri-2","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile nisan ay\u0131n\u0131 da geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 azal\u0131rken may\u0131s ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde iktisadi faaliyetlerin yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler de artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede son geli\u015fmeleri de\u011ferlendirelim. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1.<\/strong> <strong>Vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya genelinde etkisi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Nisan ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131nda dalgalanma devam etti. Nisan ay\u0131n\u0131n son g\u00fcn\u00fc itibariyle 83 bin 566 yeni vaka ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu veriler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fcnya genelinde zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131. Ancak hen\u00fcz a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir e\u011filim g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor. \u00d6zellikle ABD ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019de yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 halen y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde ise ba\u015fta Almanya olmak \u00fczere yeni vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Almanya, izolasyonlar\u0131 kademeli olarak kald\u0131rmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130talya, 4 May\u0131s\u2019tan itibaren kademeli olarak kald\u0131racak. D\u00fcnya genelinde iyimser tahmin ile haziran ay\u0131 ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda yeni vaka say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n en aza inece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu tarihe kadar \u00fclkelerde kademeli olarak izolasyonlar azalt\u0131lacak. \u0130la\u00e7 ve a\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda ise halen nihai bir sonuca ula\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2.<\/strong> <strong>Salg\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisini vurdu <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisi \u00fczerindeki etkileri \u00f6zellikle nisan ay\u0131nda daha belirgin \u015fekilde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetler ve talep nisan ay\u0131nda dip yapt\u0131. Hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden sonra sanayideki sert daralmalar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Sanayi \u00fcretimi ve ihracatta y\u00fczde 40\u2019a varan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Merkez Bankalar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalara destekleri artarak devam ediyor. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bilan\u00e7osu iki ayda 2.5 trilyon dolar geni\u015fledi. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 yeni bir likidite program\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klanan ilk \u00e7eyrek verilerine g\u00f6re ABD y\u00fczde 4.8, AB y\u00fczde 2.7 darald\u0131. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde ise finansal ko\u015fullar zorla\u015f\u0131yor. Petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de geli\u015fen \u00fclkeleri olumsuz etkiliyor. \u00c7in\u2019den sonra Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde de izolasyonlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ile may\u0131s ay\u0131nda iktisadi faaliyetler yeniden ba\u015flayacak. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3.<\/strong> <strong>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 h\u0131zla azalmaya ba\u015flad\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lma h\u0131z\u0131 nisan ay\u0131n\u0131n son haftas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flad\u0131. Son hafta i\u00e7inde g\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6nce 3 bin, son iki g\u00fcn ise 2 bin seviyesinin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Son hafta g\u00fcnl\u00fck yap\u0131lan test say\u0131s\u0131 40 bin seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131 ve pozitif sonu\u00e7 al\u0131nma oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 6.0\u2019ya kadar indi. G\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Muhtemelen may\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda 1000 seviyesinin alt\u0131na inilebilecek. \u0130zolasyon \u00f6nlemleri ise s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 31 \u015fehirde yine hafta sonu ile birle\u015ferek 3 g\u00fcn boyunca soka\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kma k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 devam etti. \u00c7ok say\u0131da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck beldede de tam izolasyon \u00f6nlemleri uygulan\u0131yor. May\u0131s ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde s\u0131k\u0131 izolasyon \u00f6nlemleri s\u00fcrecek. Bununla birlikte T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de de izolasyonlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olarak plan\u0131n may\u0131s ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. Finansal istikrar\u0131 korumak \u00f6nem kazan\u0131yor<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Koronavir\u00fcs\u00fcn ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkileri nisan ay\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a sert ya\u015fand\u0131. Etkiler iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu. \u0130lk olarak iktisadi faaliyetler \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde darald\u0131. Di\u011fer yandan mali piyasalarda da bask\u0131 artt\u0131. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetlerin \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc nisan ay\u0131nda zorunlu veya ihtiyari olarak kapal\u0131 kald\u0131. Nisan ay\u0131nda imalat sanayinde kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 66 oldu. \u0130hracat y\u00fczde 38 geriledi. Turizm ve di\u011fer hizmet sekt\u00f6rlerinde ise daha y\u00fcksek k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler s\u00fcrd\u00fc. A\u00e7\u0131klanan paketlerden sa\u011flanan destekler i\u00e7in yo\u011fun ba\u015fvurular yap\u0131ld\u0131. Kullan\u0131mlar ise kademeli olarak art\u0131yor. Mali tarafta da T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gerileme ya\u015fan\u0131yor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin CDS risk primi nisan ay\u0131 boyunca 600 puan seviyelerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 son hafta i\u00e7inde yine h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetti ve dolar 7 TL\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131. T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 ise a\u00e7\u0131klanan desteklerin kaynak ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in h\u0131zl\u0131 bir parasal geni\u015flemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. T\u00fcm bu geli\u015fmelere paralel olarak may\u0131s ay\u0131nda da finansal istikrar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 artarak devam edecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ile m\u00fccadelede olduk\u00e7a ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olurken, ekonomi cephesini kaybetmemek i\u00e7in finansal istikrar\u0131 azami \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde korumal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"covid-19-salgininin-seyir-defteri-2","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n seyir defteri-2","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1075,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}