{"status":true,"post":{"id":12546,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:17:32","created_at":"2015-08-18T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:17:32.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":12546,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7in\u2019in deval\u00fcasyon operasyonu ortal\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Son 2 y\u0131lda Brezilya Reali, Arjantin Pesosu, G\u00fcney Afrika Rand\u0131, Hindistan Rupisi, Endonezyan Rupisi, Rusya Rublesi ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131kl\u0131kla g\u00f6zlemledik. Bu \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc merkez bankas\u0131 rezervi olan Rusya dahi rubledeki ciddi de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 engelleyemedi. \u0130\u015fin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 olan y\u00f6n\u00fc ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya karar verdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 ba\u015flayan bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, FED yetkilileri a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131k\u00e7a alevlendi. Sonbaharda olas\u0131 bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 karar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklenti g\u00fc\u00e7lendik\u00e7e daha da h\u0131z kazand\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 bizi 2 y\u0131lda T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda 1.68-1.76 TL band\u0131ndan 2.74-2.82 TL band\u0131na getirmi\u015f durumda. Peki paras\u0131n\u0131 bilerek \u2018deval\u00fce\u2019 eden \u00c7in ve T\u00fcrkiye ile yukar\u0131daki \u00fclkeleri ay\u0131ran durum nedir?<\/span><\/p>

Elbette ki 4 trilyon dolar d\u00fczeyindeki \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131 d\u00f6viz rezervi. \u00c7in, devasal boyuttaki d\u00f6viz rezervi g\u00fcc\u00fcyle para birimi yuan \u00fczerinde \u00f6yle bir kamu otoritesi g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip ki ekonomisine rekabet avantaj\u0131 kazand\u0131racak \u015fekilde istedi\u011fi zaman istedi\u011fi miktarda \u2018ayarl\u0131 deval\u00fcasyon\u2019 yapabiliyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00c7in, para biriminin normal \u015fartlarda de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 gerekirken, m\u00fcdahale bulunarak, kendisi yuana de\u011fer kaybettiriyor. Nitekim \u00c7in, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta, bir g\u00fcnde iki kez, takip eden g\u00fcn de bir kez ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi deval\u00fcasyonlarla, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 da tetikledi.<\/span><\/p>

KUR SAVA\u015eI YEN\u0130DEN ALEVLEN\u0130R<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7 deval\u00fcasyon karar\u0131, esasen bir s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131. \u00c7in d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve k\u00fcresel ticaretteki vasat tabloya ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, ihracata dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme stratejisine destek olmak amac\u0131yla, kritik \u00f6nemde bir hamle yapt\u0131. Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u00c7in, FED\u2019in sonbaharda ataca\u011f\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 da zora sokacak bir ad\u0131m att\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc FED\u2019in faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerden sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131racak ve d\u00fcnyada zaten yetersiz olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme trendini iyice bask\u0131 alt\u0131na alacakt\u0131. \u00c7in\u2019in stratejik deval\u00fcasyon ad\u0131mlar\u0131, \u015fimdi FED \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>

Ancak \u00c7in\u2019in bu ad\u0131m\u0131, gerek ABD gerekse de AB ile yak\u0131n gelecekte kur sava\u015flar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 daha da alevlendirecek. ABD\u2019nin mutlaka \u00c7in\u2019in ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ciddi ele\u015ftirileri olacak. \u00c7in bu ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ile kur sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n fitilini yakt\u0131 ve ar\u0131 kovan\u0131na \u00e7omak soktu.<\/span><\/p>

AB\u2019N\u0130N G\u00d6\u00c7MENLERE YAKLA\u015eIMI ADETA SOYKIRIM<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Bu ifadeyi telaffuz eden ben de\u011filim, bir \u0130talyan belediye ba\u015fkan\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 \u015fehitlerinin arkas\u0131ndan a\u011f\u0131t yakarken Akdeniz\u2019in ortas\u0131nda, AB\u2019nin hemen s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda ve topraklar\u0131nda bir insanl\u0131k dram\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkedeki siyasi belirsizlik, \u00e7\u00f6km\u00fc\u015f devlet ve ya\u015fam hakk\u0131na y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fck tehditler nedeniyle \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6ze alarak, iptidai ko\u015fullarda Akdeniz\u2019i ge\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan y\u00fcz binlerce insan, a\u011f\u0131r bir dram ya\u015f\u0131yor. BM M\u00fclteciler Y\u00fcksek Komiserli\u011fi\u2019nin verdi\u011fi bilgilere g\u00f6re, 224 bin s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131n\u0131n 124 bini ocak ile haziran aylar\u0131 aras\u0131nda Yunanistan\u2019a gitti. \u0130talya\u2019ya giden s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131lar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 ise 98 bine ula\u015ft\u0131. BM\u2019nin s\u00f6z konusu kurulu\u015fu, Akdeniz\u2019deki bu tehlikeli yolculuklarda hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybedenlerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ise 2 bin 100 olarak tespit etmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>

Ancak bu say\u0131ya her g\u00fcn yenileri ekleniyor. AB S\u0131n\u0131r Koruma Ajans\u0131 Frontex, Yunanistan\u2019a sadece a\u011fustosta 50 bin s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131 gitti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ajans, T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden Yunanistan\u2019a ge\u00e7i\u015flerin de artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Frontex\u2019e g\u00f6re, temmuzda Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131nda 130 bin 500 s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131 tespit edildi. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemindeki say\u0131n\u0131n tam be\u015f kat\u0131. S\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 ve karma\u015f\u0131k ortam nedeniyle, kay\u0131t i\u015flemlerinin zorlukla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclebildi\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u2018AB BU TABLOYU G\u00d6RSE, KEND\u0130NDEN UTANIR\u2019<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Palermo Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Leoluca Orlando, sadece bir g\u00fcnde 25 tabut haz\u0131rlamak zorunda kald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131, ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 yitirenlerinin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fcn hen\u00fcz bir ya\u015f\u0131nda olmayan bebekler oldu\u011funu, bunun trajedinin de \u00f6tesi, soyk\u0131r\u0131m oldu\u011funu hayk\u0131r\u0131yor. Orlando, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Palermo\u2019daki olanlar\u0131 g\u00f6rse, kendinden utanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor. Palermo\u2019ya s\u0131\u011f\u0131nan m\u00fclteciler, \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 \u00fclkelerden geliyor. M\u00fclteciler \u00f6nce Libya\u2019ya, oradan deniz \u00fczerinden Avrupa\u2019ya ula\u015fabilmek i\u00e7in uzun bir yolculu\u011fu g\u00f6ze al\u0131yor. Ba\u015fkan Orlando, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n bu insanlara uygulanan soyk\u0131r\u0131ma kar\u015f\u0131 bir sorumluluk \u00fcstlenmesi gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor ve AB\u2019nin kurulu\u015f felsefesini \u00e7i\u011fnedi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"cinin-devaluasyon-operasyonu-ortaligi-karistirdi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in\u2019in deval\u00fcasyon operasyonu ortal\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1140,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":12645,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":12546,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in\u2019in deval\u00fcasyon operasyonu ortal\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Son 2 y\u0131lda Brezilya Reali, Arjantin Pesosu, G\u00fcney Afrika Rand\u0131, Hindistan Rupisi, Endonezyan Rupisi, Rusya Rublesi ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131kl\u0131kla g\u00f6zlemledik. Bu \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc merkez bankas\u0131 rezervi olan Rusya dahi rubledeki ciddi de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 engelleyemedi. \u0130\u015fin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 olan y\u00f6n\u00fc ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya karar verdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 ba\u015flayan bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, FED yetkilileri a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131k\u00e7a alevlendi. Sonbaharda olas\u0131 bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 karar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklenti g\u00fc\u00e7lendik\u00e7e daha da h\u0131z kazand\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 bizi 2 y\u0131lda T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda 1.68-1.76 TL band\u0131ndan 2.74-2.82 TL band\u0131na getirmi\u015f durumda. Peki paras\u0131n\u0131 bilerek \u2018deval\u00fce\u2019 eden \u00c7in ve T\u00fcrkiye ile yukar\u0131daki \u00fclkeleri ay\u0131ran durum nedir?<\/span><\/p>

Elbette ki 4 trilyon dolar d\u00fczeyindeki \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131 d\u00f6viz rezervi. \u00c7in, devasal boyuttaki d\u00f6viz rezervi g\u00fcc\u00fcyle para birimi yuan \u00fczerinde \u00f6yle bir kamu otoritesi g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip ki ekonomisine rekabet avantaj\u0131 kazand\u0131racak \u015fekilde istedi\u011fi zaman istedi\u011fi miktarda \u2018ayarl\u0131 deval\u00fcasyon\u2019 yapabiliyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00c7in, para biriminin normal \u015fartlarda de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 gerekirken, m\u00fcdahale bulunarak, kendisi yuana de\u011fer kaybettiriyor. Nitekim \u00c7in, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta, bir g\u00fcnde iki kez, takip eden g\u00fcn de bir kez ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi deval\u00fcasyonlarla, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 da tetikledi.<\/span><\/p>

KUR SAVA\u015eI YEN\u0130DEN ALEVLEN\u0130R<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7 deval\u00fcasyon karar\u0131, esasen bir s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131. \u00c7in d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve k\u00fcresel ticaretteki vasat tabloya ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, ihracata dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme stratejisine destek olmak amac\u0131yla, kritik \u00f6nemde bir hamle yapt\u0131. Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u00c7in, FED\u2019in sonbaharda ataca\u011f\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 da zora sokacak bir ad\u0131m att\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc FED\u2019in faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerden sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131racak ve d\u00fcnyada zaten yetersiz olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme trendini iyice bask\u0131 alt\u0131na alacakt\u0131. \u00c7in\u2019in stratejik deval\u00fcasyon ad\u0131mlar\u0131, \u015fimdi FED \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>

Ancak \u00c7in\u2019in bu ad\u0131m\u0131, gerek ABD gerekse de AB ile yak\u0131n gelecekte kur sava\u015flar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 daha da alevlendirecek. ABD\u2019nin mutlaka \u00c7in\u2019in ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ciddi ele\u015ftirileri olacak. \u00c7in bu ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ile kur sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n fitilini yakt\u0131 ve ar\u0131 kovan\u0131na \u00e7omak soktu.<\/span><\/p>

AB\u2019N\u0130N G\u00d6\u00c7MENLERE YAKLA\u015eIMI ADETA SOYKIRIM<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Bu ifadeyi telaffuz eden ben de\u011filim, bir \u0130talyan belediye ba\u015fkan\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 \u015fehitlerinin arkas\u0131ndan a\u011f\u0131t yakarken Akdeniz\u2019in ortas\u0131nda, AB\u2019nin hemen s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda ve topraklar\u0131nda bir insanl\u0131k dram\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkedeki siyasi belirsizlik, \u00e7\u00f6km\u00fc\u015f devlet ve ya\u015fam hakk\u0131na y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fck tehditler nedeniyle \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6ze alarak, iptidai ko\u015fullarda Akdeniz\u2019i ge\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan y\u00fcz binlerce insan, a\u011f\u0131r bir dram ya\u015f\u0131yor. BM M\u00fclteciler Y\u00fcksek Komiserli\u011fi\u2019nin verdi\u011fi bilgilere g\u00f6re, 224 bin s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131n\u0131n 124 bini ocak ile haziran aylar\u0131 aras\u0131nda Yunanistan\u2019a gitti. \u0130talya\u2019ya giden s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131lar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 ise 98 bine ula\u015ft\u0131. BM\u2019nin s\u00f6z konusu kurulu\u015fu, Akdeniz\u2019deki bu tehlikeli yolculuklarda hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybedenlerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ise 2 bin 100 olarak tespit etmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>

Ancak bu say\u0131ya her g\u00fcn yenileri ekleniyor. AB S\u0131n\u0131r Koruma Ajans\u0131 Frontex, Yunanistan\u2019a sadece a\u011fustosta 50 bin s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131 gitti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ajans, T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden Yunanistan\u2019a ge\u00e7i\u015flerin de artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Frontex\u2019e g\u00f6re, temmuzda Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131nda 130 bin 500 s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131 tespit edildi. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemindeki say\u0131n\u0131n tam be\u015f kat\u0131. S\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 ve karma\u015f\u0131k ortam nedeniyle, kay\u0131t i\u015flemlerinin zorlukla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclebildi\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u2018AB BU TABLOYU G\u00d6RSE, KEND\u0130NDEN UTANIR\u2019<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Palermo Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Leoluca Orlando, sadece bir g\u00fcnde 25 tabut haz\u0131rlamak zorunda kald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131, ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 yitirenlerinin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fcn hen\u00fcz bir ya\u015f\u0131nda olmayan bebekler oldu\u011funu, bunun trajedinin de \u00f6tesi, soyk\u0131r\u0131m oldu\u011funu hayk\u0131r\u0131yor. Orlando, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Palermo\u2019daki olanlar\u0131 g\u00f6rse, kendinden utanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor. Palermo\u2019ya s\u0131\u011f\u0131nan m\u00fclteciler, \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 \u00fclkelerden geliyor. M\u00fclteciler \u00f6nce Libya\u2019ya, oradan deniz \u00fczerinden Avrupa\u2019ya ula\u015fabilmek i\u00e7in uzun bir yolculu\u011fu g\u00f6ze al\u0131yor. Ba\u015fkan Orlando, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n bu insanlara uygulanan soyk\u0131r\u0131ma kar\u015f\u0131 bir sorumluluk \u00fcstlenmesi gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor ve AB\u2019nin kurulu\u015f felsefesini \u00e7i\u011fnedi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"cinin-devaluasyon-operasyonu-ortaligi-karistirdi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in\u2019in deval\u00fcasyon operasyonu ortal\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1140,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}