{"status":true,"post":{"id":37285,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-02-27 13:04:00","created_at":"2023-02-27T10:04:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-02-27T10:04:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":37285,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7in\u2019de n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131 gelecekte ne getirebilir?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":"

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019de gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131n\u0131n; dev pazardaki \u00e7ekicili\u011fin, buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131na, \u00fclkenin giri\u015fim, inovasyon ve teknolojik de\u011fi\u015fime uyum sa\u011flama kapasitesinin d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019in n\u00fcfusunun 2030\u2019dan sonra azalmas\u0131 bekleniyordu. Son y\u0131llarda bunun daha erken bir tarihte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011finin belirtileri g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sonunda ge\u00e7en ay \u00c7in Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re, \u00c7in\u2019in n\u00fcfusu 1961 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana ilk defa olarak azald\u0131 ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re 850 bin d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 1961 y\u0131l\u0131nda, o zamanki liderli\u011fin k\u00f6yl\u00fclerden bir yandan daha \u00e7ok tar\u0131msal \u00fcretim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirirken, bir yandan da k\u0131rsal sanayi tesisleri kurmalar\u0131n\u0131n istendi\u011fi B\u00fcy\u00fck \u0130leri At\u0131l\u0131m hareketi s\u0131ras\u0131nda tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimde b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sonucu olu\u015fan a\u00e7l\u0131k nedeniyle \u00f6l\u00fcmler artarken do\u011fumlar d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, n\u00fcfus da azalma g\u00f6stermi\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

FARKLI G\u00d6STERGELER<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019in n\u00fcfus dinamikleri farkl\u0131 g\u00f6stergelerle ele al\u0131nabilir. Bunlardan biri, \u00fclkede bir y\u0131lda 1000 ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen do\u011fum say\u0131s\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu oran \u00c7in\u2019de 80\u2019lerin ba\u015flar\u0131nda 20\u2019nin \u00fczerindeyken h\u0131zla azalarak 2000\u2019lerin ortalar\u0131nda 12 dolay\u0131na inip 10 y\u0131l bu d\u00fczeyde kald\u0131 ve tekrar inmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda oran 7\u2019nin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in oran, ABD ve Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde 10\u2019un \u00fczerinde, Hindistan\u2019da 20 civar\u0131nda, baz\u0131 az geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde 50\u2019ye kadar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Daha \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge ise ortalamada bir kad\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fam\u0131nda sahip oldu\u011fu \u00e7ocuk say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u2018toplam do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131\u2019. Bu oran 50\u2019lerde 6 dolay\u0131nda iken g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde 1\u2019in biraz \u00fcst\u00fcnde bir d\u00fczeye inmi\u015f bulunuyor. N\u00fcfusun sabit kalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ya\u015flan\u0131p \u00f6len ortalama bir \u00e7iftin geride 2 \u00e7ocuk b\u0131rakmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Do\u011fanlar\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n yeti\u015fkinli\u011fe ula\u015fmadan \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse bu, 2\u2019nin biraz \u00fczerinde bir toplam do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u00c7in\u2019de n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131, bu oran\u0131n gerekenin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesinin do\u011fal sonucu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

D\u00dcNYADA DURUM<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Daha \u00f6nce bu k\u00f6\u015fede ele alm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fumuz gibi toplam do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, \u00c7in\u2019e \u00f6zg\u00fc bir olgu de\u011fil. Bu oran, d\u00fcnya genelinde 1960\u2019larda 5 dolay\u0131nda iken g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde bunun yar\u0131s\u0131na inmi\u015f bulunuyor. Oran Japonya\u2019da 2.4\u2019ten 1.4\u2019e, Kore\u2019de 5 dolaylar\u0131ndan 1 dolaylar\u0131na, ABD\u2019de 3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fcst\u00fcnden 1.8 dolaylar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f bulunuyor. Zaman i\u00e7inde, ekonomik ve toplumsak ko\u015fullar ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak \u00e7ocuk sahibi olman\u0131n fayda-maliyetinde de\u011fi\u015fime ko\u015fut olarak bu oran d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ancak \u00c7in\u2019de bu oran, \u00fclkede uygulanan n\u00fcfus kontrol politikalar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak normal olarak beklenenden \u00f6nce ve h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131 70\u2019lerde uygulanan ikna etmeye dayal\u0131 politikalarla 3\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f bulunuyordu. 1980 y\u0131l\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak \u00fclkede \u2018tek \u00e7ocuk politikas\u0131\u2019 uygulanmaya ba\u015fland\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu politikaya g\u00f6re, \u00f6zellikle k\u0131rsal b\u00f6lgelerde uygulanan istisnalar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda her \u00e7ift ancak bir \u00e7ocuk sahibi olabiliyordu. Bu politika ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta zorunlu k\u00fcrtaja varan zorlamalarla uygulan\u0131rken, daha sonra zorlama arac\u0131 olarak \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek para cezalar\u0131, i\u015ften atmalar, \u00e7ocu\u011fun okula al\u0131nmamas\u0131 gibi y\u00f6ntemlere d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu politika, toplam \u00fcretkenlik oran\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla 1.6-1.8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na indirdi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke y\u00f6netimi 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u0131s\u0131tlamay\u0131 gev\u015fetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131 ve 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00e7iftlerin iki \u00e7ocuk sahibi olmas\u0131n\u0131 serbest b\u0131rakt\u0131. Bunun ard\u0131ndan do\u011fumlarda \u00f6nce k\u0131sa bir d\u00f6nem art\u0131\u015f oldu, sonra h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi 3 \u00e7ocuk sahibi olmay\u0131 da serbest b\u0131rakt\u0131 ve do\u011fumlar\u0131 te\u015fvik edici politikalar uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131ysa da bu gidi\u015fi durduramad\u0131 ve bug\u00fcnlere gelindi. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

MUHTEMEL R\u0130SKLER<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Do\u011fumlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131, ya\u015fl\u0131 n\u00fcfus artarken gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu da bir yandan ulusal tasarruf oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, bir yandan da sosyal g\u00fcvenlik sisteminin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girmesi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi bunun, \u00c7in\u2019in dev pazar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ekicili\u011finin, buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak \u00fclkede yap\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131, \u00fclkenin giri\u015fim ve inovasyon kapasitesinin, teknolojik de\u011fi\u015fime uyum sa\u011flama kapasitesinin d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu. Bunlar k\u0131sa ve orta d\u00f6nem de\u011fil, uzun d\u00f6nemde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak sorunlar. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi bu arada b\u00fcy\u00fck kaynak kullan\u0131m\u0131 ile do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rsa bunun etkileri 20 y\u0131l sonra g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flan\u0131r ve k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidi\u015f durdurulabilir. Bakal\u0131m \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi bu dev boyutlu politika hatas\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczeltebilecek mi?<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

DEV BOYUTLU POL\u0130T\u0130KA HATASI D\u00dcZELT\u0130LEB\u0130LECEK M\u0130?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu bir felaket anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. \u00dclkenin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 750 milyon dolay\u0131nda; \u00fclkede reform d\u00f6neminin tar\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme politikalar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda tar\u0131m \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7eklerde b\u00fcy\u00fck i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc kullan\u0131larak yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli tar\u0131ma ge\u00e7i\u015fle tar\u0131mda verimsiz kullan\u0131lan i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc sanayiye aktar\u0131labilir. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi \u00fclkede ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na \u00fcretim geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda, yani i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc verimlili\u011finde art\u0131\u015f yoluyla b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in geni\u015f bir alan var. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc \u00fczerinden b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi \u00f6nlenebilir.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cinde-nufusun-azalmasi-gelecekte-ne-getirebilir","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1132,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":37411,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":37285,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in\u2019de n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131 gelecekte ne getirebilir?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":"

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019de gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131n\u0131n; dev pazardaki \u00e7ekicili\u011fin, buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131na, \u00fclkenin giri\u015fim, inovasyon ve teknolojik de\u011fi\u015fime uyum sa\u011flama kapasitesinin d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019in n\u00fcfusunun 2030\u2019dan sonra azalmas\u0131 bekleniyordu. Son y\u0131llarda bunun daha erken bir tarihte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011finin belirtileri g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sonunda ge\u00e7en ay \u00c7in Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re, \u00c7in\u2019in n\u00fcfusu 1961 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana ilk defa olarak azald\u0131 ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re 850 bin d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 1961 y\u0131l\u0131nda, o zamanki liderli\u011fin k\u00f6yl\u00fclerden bir yandan daha \u00e7ok tar\u0131msal \u00fcretim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirirken, bir yandan da k\u0131rsal sanayi tesisleri kurmalar\u0131n\u0131n istendi\u011fi B\u00fcy\u00fck \u0130leri At\u0131l\u0131m hareketi s\u0131ras\u0131nda tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimde b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sonucu olu\u015fan a\u00e7l\u0131k nedeniyle \u00f6l\u00fcmler artarken do\u011fumlar d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, n\u00fcfus da azalma g\u00f6stermi\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

FARKLI G\u00d6STERGELER<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in\u2019in n\u00fcfus dinamikleri farkl\u0131 g\u00f6stergelerle ele al\u0131nabilir. Bunlardan biri, \u00fclkede bir y\u0131lda 1000 ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen do\u011fum say\u0131s\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu oran \u00c7in\u2019de 80\u2019lerin ba\u015flar\u0131nda 20\u2019nin \u00fczerindeyken h\u0131zla azalarak 2000\u2019lerin ortalar\u0131nda 12 dolay\u0131na inip 10 y\u0131l bu d\u00fczeyde kald\u0131 ve tekrar inmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda oran 7\u2019nin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in oran, ABD ve Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde 10\u2019un \u00fczerinde, Hindistan\u2019da 20 civar\u0131nda, baz\u0131 az geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde 50\u2019ye kadar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Daha \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge ise ortalamada bir kad\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fam\u0131nda sahip oldu\u011fu \u00e7ocuk say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u2018toplam do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131\u2019. Bu oran 50\u2019lerde 6 dolay\u0131nda iken g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde 1\u2019in biraz \u00fcst\u00fcnde bir d\u00fczeye inmi\u015f bulunuyor. N\u00fcfusun sabit kalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ya\u015flan\u0131p \u00f6len ortalama bir \u00e7iftin geride 2 \u00e7ocuk b\u0131rakmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Do\u011fanlar\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n yeti\u015fkinli\u011fe ula\u015fmadan \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse bu, 2\u2019nin biraz \u00fczerinde bir toplam do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u00c7in\u2019de n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131, bu oran\u0131n gerekenin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesinin do\u011fal sonucu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

D\u00dcNYADA DURUM<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Daha \u00f6nce bu k\u00f6\u015fede ele alm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fumuz gibi toplam do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, \u00c7in\u2019e \u00f6zg\u00fc bir olgu de\u011fil. Bu oran, d\u00fcnya genelinde 1960\u2019larda 5 dolay\u0131nda iken g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde bunun yar\u0131s\u0131na inmi\u015f bulunuyor. Oran Japonya\u2019da 2.4\u2019ten 1.4\u2019e, Kore\u2019de 5 dolaylar\u0131ndan 1 dolaylar\u0131na, ABD\u2019de 3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fcst\u00fcnden 1.8 dolaylar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f bulunuyor. Zaman i\u00e7inde, ekonomik ve toplumsak ko\u015fullar ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak \u00e7ocuk sahibi olman\u0131n fayda-maliyetinde de\u011fi\u015fime ko\u015fut olarak bu oran d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ancak \u00c7in\u2019de bu oran, \u00fclkede uygulanan n\u00fcfus kontrol politikalar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak normal olarak beklenenden \u00f6nce ve h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131 70\u2019lerde uygulanan ikna etmeye dayal\u0131 politikalarla 3\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f bulunuyordu. 1980 y\u0131l\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak \u00fclkede \u2018tek \u00e7ocuk politikas\u0131\u2019 uygulanmaya ba\u015fland\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu politikaya g\u00f6re, \u00f6zellikle k\u0131rsal b\u00f6lgelerde uygulanan istisnalar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda her \u00e7ift ancak bir \u00e7ocuk sahibi olabiliyordu. Bu politika ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta zorunlu k\u00fcrtaja varan zorlamalarla uygulan\u0131rken, daha sonra zorlama arac\u0131 olarak \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek para cezalar\u0131, i\u015ften atmalar, \u00e7ocu\u011fun okula al\u0131nmamas\u0131 gibi y\u00f6ntemlere d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu politika, toplam \u00fcretkenlik oran\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla 1.6-1.8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na indirdi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke y\u00f6netimi 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u0131s\u0131tlamay\u0131 gev\u015fetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131 ve 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00e7iftlerin iki \u00e7ocuk sahibi olmas\u0131n\u0131 serbest b\u0131rakt\u0131. Bunun ard\u0131ndan do\u011fumlarda \u00f6nce k\u0131sa bir d\u00f6nem art\u0131\u015f oldu, sonra h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi 3 \u00e7ocuk sahibi olmay\u0131 da serbest b\u0131rakt\u0131 ve do\u011fumlar\u0131 te\u015fvik edici politikalar uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131ysa da bu gidi\u015fi durduramad\u0131 ve bug\u00fcnlere gelindi. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

MUHTEMEL R\u0130SKLER<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Do\u011fumlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131, ya\u015fl\u0131 n\u00fcfus artarken gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu da bir yandan ulusal tasarruf oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, bir yandan da sosyal g\u00fcvenlik sisteminin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girmesi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi bunun, \u00c7in\u2019in dev pazar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ekicili\u011finin, buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak \u00fclkede yap\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131, \u00fclkenin giri\u015fim ve inovasyon kapasitesinin, teknolojik de\u011fi\u015fime uyum sa\u011flama kapasitesinin d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu. Bunlar k\u0131sa ve orta d\u00f6nem de\u011fil, uzun d\u00f6nemde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak sorunlar. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi bu arada b\u00fcy\u00fck kaynak kullan\u0131m\u0131 ile do\u011furganl\u0131k oran\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rsa bunun etkileri 20 y\u0131l sonra g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flan\u0131r ve k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidi\u015f durdurulabilir. Bakal\u0131m \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi bu dev boyutlu politika hatas\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczeltebilecek mi?<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

DEV BOYUTLU POL\u0130T\u0130KA HATASI D\u00dcZELT\u0130LEB\u0130LECEK M\u0130?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Bu bir felaket anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. \u00dclkenin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 750 milyon dolay\u0131nda; \u00fclkede reform d\u00f6neminin tar\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme politikalar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda tar\u0131m \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7eklerde b\u00fcy\u00fck i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc kullan\u0131larak yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli tar\u0131ma ge\u00e7i\u015fle tar\u0131mda verimsiz kullan\u0131lan i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc sanayiye aktar\u0131labilir. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi \u00fclkede ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na \u00fcretim geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda, yani i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc verimlili\u011finde art\u0131\u015f yoluyla b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in geni\u015f bir alan var. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc \u00fczerinden b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi \u00f6nlenebilir.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cinde-nufusun-azalmasi-gelecekte-ne-getirebilir","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1132,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}