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fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7in ekonomisinin 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde, bir ilk olarak ba\u015fbakan taraf\u0131ndan ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu\u2019nun veriyi a\u00e7\u0131klama tarihinden bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce Davos\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi, 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefini y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda olarak belirlemi\u015fti, a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 da y\u00fczde 5.2 idi. Ba\u015fbakan\u0131n bu al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 da ABD-\u00c7in gerginli\u011fi nedeniyle \u00fclkeye giren yabanc\u0131 sermayedeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc durdurmak i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya i\u015f \u00e7evrelerine \u00c7in ekonomisinin gelece\u011fi ile ilgili olumlu bir resim \u00e7izme \u00e7abas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131yd\u0131.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> B\u00f6ylelikle \u00fclkenin GSYH\u2019si 18 trilyon, ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri de 13 bin ABD dolar\u0131 d\u00fczeyine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> GEL\u0130R\u0130N \u00dc\u00c7TE B\u0130R\u0130 TASARRUFA<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan ana etken, di\u011fer geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerden farkl\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye gibi geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin \u00e7o\u011funun b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m finansman\u0131 etkeni s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Bu \u00fclkelerin ulusal tasarruflar\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in gerekli yat\u0131r\u0131m d\u00fczeylerini finanse etmeye yetmiyor. Bu durumda d\u0131\u015f kayna\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6neliniyor. Bu \u015fekilde d\u0131\u015f ticarette cari a\u00e7\u0131klarla b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcreci de d\u00f6viz darbo\u011fazlar\u0131 ile s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla da d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 yok.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7inli bireyler ortalamada gelirlerinin \u00fc\u00e7te birini tasarrufa y\u00f6nlendiriyor; kamu ve firma tasarruflar\u0131 da kat\u0131l\u0131nca ulusal tasarruflar \u00fclke gelirinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 45\u2019ini olu\u015fturuyor. Bunun da sonucu olarak \u00c7in\u2019in resmi rezervleri, kamu bankalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 da katarsan\u0131z 4 trilyon dolar d\u00fczeyinde.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> T\u00dcKET\u0130M HARCAMALARI Y\u00dcZDE 7.2 ARTTI<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7in i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme darbo\u011faz\u0131n\u0131 talep olu\u015fturuyor. \u00dclke, \u00fcretimini y\u00fczde 5\u2019lerin \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde art\u0131racak d\u00fczeyde yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma kapasitesine sahip ama \u00fcretilen \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc kim sat\u0131n alacak? 2008 k\u00fcresel krizi \u00f6ncesinde her y\u0131l y\u00fczde 10\u2019lar\u0131n \u00fczerinde artan \u00fcretimi \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 artan yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 talep ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak h\u0131zla artan yat\u0131r\u0131m faaliyetleri emiyordu; t\u00fcketim de h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131yordu ama \u00fcretimin art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 kadar de\u011fil. Kriz ile beraber d\u00fcnya d\u0131\u015f ticareti h\u0131z kesince bu d\u00fczen de i\u015flemez oldu; \u00fcretimi y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 10 art\u0131racak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar yap\u0131lsa, bunun sat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 d\u0131\u015f pazarlar yok, bu pazarlara y\u00f6nelik yat\u0131r\u0131mlar da yok. Bu nedenle \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi kriz sonras\u0131 d\u00f6nemde, hatta bundan da \u00f6nce 2000\u2019lerin ba\u015flar\u0131ndan bu yana t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artmas\u0131, t\u00fcketimin b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin motoru olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7abal\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2023\u2019te \u00c7in\u2019in \u00fcretimindeki y\u00fczde 5.2\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n adresi yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 pazarlar de\u011fildi; ihracat yerli para de\u011feri olarak ancak y\u00fczde 0.6 artt\u0131, dolar olarak y\u00fczde 4.6 azald\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131m taraf\u0131n\u0131n da artan \u00fcretimi emmek konusunda \u00e7ok katk\u0131s\u0131 olamad\u0131; sabit k\u0131ymet yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 3\u2019t\u00fc, o da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131yla. Y\u00fczde 5.2\u2019lik \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 olanakl\u0131 k\u0131lan y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 7.2 artan t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 oldu; artan \u00fcretimin ana adresi t\u00fcketicilerdi.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Hi\u00e7 de\u011filse bu y\u0131l t\u00fcketim, \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin hedefledi\u011fi gibi ekonominin lokomotifi olmu\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor, ancak bu lokomotif hen\u00fcz \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin g\u00f6nl\u00fcnde yatan h\u0131zlarda gitmiyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cin-ekonomisinin-2023-yili-lokomotifi","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1706475600Ca2xldArG5dD55c.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":3116,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":48230,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":48104,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in ekonomisinin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 lokomotifi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":" fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7in ekonomisinin 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde, bir ilk olarak ba\u015fbakan taraf\u0131ndan ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu\u2019nun veriyi a\u00e7\u0131klama tarihinden bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce Davos\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi, 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefini y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda olarak belirlemi\u015fti, a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 da y\u00fczde 5.2 idi. Ba\u015fbakan\u0131n bu al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 da ABD-\u00c7in gerginli\u011fi nedeniyle \u00fclkeye giren yabanc\u0131 sermayedeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc durdurmak i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya i\u015f \u00e7evrelerine \u00c7in ekonomisinin gelece\u011fi ile ilgili olumlu bir resim \u00e7izme \u00e7abas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131yd\u0131.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> B\u00f6ylelikle \u00fclkenin GSYH\u2019si 18 trilyon, ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri de 13 bin ABD dolar\u0131 d\u00fczeyine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> GEL\u0130R\u0130N \u00dc\u00c7TE B\u0130R\u0130 TASARRUFA<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan ana etken, di\u011fer geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerden farkl\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye gibi geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin \u00e7o\u011funun b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m finansman\u0131 etkeni s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Bu \u00fclkelerin ulusal tasarruflar\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in gerekli yat\u0131r\u0131m d\u00fczeylerini finanse etmeye yetmiyor. Bu durumda d\u0131\u015f kayna\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6neliniyor. Bu \u015fekilde d\u0131\u015f ticarette cari a\u00e7\u0131klarla b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcreci de d\u00f6viz darbo\u011fazlar\u0131 ile s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla da d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 yok.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7inli bireyler ortalamada gelirlerinin \u00fc\u00e7te birini tasarrufa y\u00f6nlendiriyor; kamu ve firma tasarruflar\u0131 da kat\u0131l\u0131nca ulusal tasarruflar \u00fclke gelirinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 45\u2019ini olu\u015fturuyor. Bunun da sonucu olarak \u00c7in\u2019in resmi rezervleri, kamu bankalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 da katarsan\u0131z 4 trilyon dolar d\u00fczeyinde.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> T\u00dcKET\u0130M HARCAMALARI Y\u00dcZDE 7.2 ARTTI<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00c7in i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme darbo\u011faz\u0131n\u0131 talep olu\u015fturuyor. \u00dclke, \u00fcretimini y\u00fczde 5\u2019lerin \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde art\u0131racak d\u00fczeyde yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma kapasitesine sahip ama \u00fcretilen \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc kim sat\u0131n alacak? 2008 k\u00fcresel krizi \u00f6ncesinde her y\u0131l y\u00fczde 10\u2019lar\u0131n \u00fczerinde artan \u00fcretimi \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 artan yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 talep ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak h\u0131zla artan yat\u0131r\u0131m faaliyetleri emiyordu; t\u00fcketim de h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131yordu ama \u00fcretimin art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 kadar de\u011fil. Kriz ile beraber d\u00fcnya d\u0131\u015f ticareti h\u0131z kesince bu d\u00fczen de i\u015flemez oldu; \u00fcretimi y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 10 art\u0131racak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar yap\u0131lsa, bunun sat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 d\u0131\u015f pazarlar yok, bu pazarlara y\u00f6nelik yat\u0131r\u0131mlar da yok. Bu nedenle \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi kriz sonras\u0131 d\u00f6nemde, hatta bundan da \u00f6nce 2000\u2019lerin ba\u015flar\u0131ndan bu yana t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artmas\u0131, t\u00fcketimin b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin motoru olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7abal\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2023\u2019te \u00c7in\u2019in \u00fcretimindeki y\u00fczde 5.2\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n adresi yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 pazarlar de\u011fildi; ihracat yerli para de\u011feri olarak ancak y\u00fczde 0.6 artt\u0131, dolar olarak y\u00fczde 4.6 azald\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131m taraf\u0131n\u0131n da artan \u00fcretimi emmek konusunda \u00e7ok katk\u0131s\u0131 olamad\u0131; sabit k\u0131ymet yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 3\u2019t\u00fc, o da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131yla. Y\u00fczde 5.2\u2019lik \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 olanakl\u0131 k\u0131lan y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 7.2 artan t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 oldu; artan \u00fcretimin ana adresi t\u00fcketicilerdi.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Hi\u00e7 de\u011filse bu y\u0131l t\u00fcketim, \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin hedefledi\u011fi gibi ekonominin lokomotifi olmu\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor, ancak bu lokomotif hen\u00fcz \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin g\u00f6nl\u00fcnde yatan h\u0131zlarda gitmiyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cin-ekonomisinin-2023-yili-lokomotifi","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1706475600Ca2xldArG5dD55c.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1706475600Ca2xldArG5dD55c.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":3116,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}
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