{"status":true,"post":{"id":51698,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-05-13 08:12:00","created_at":"2024-05-13T05:12:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-05-13T05:12:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":51698,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7in ekonomisinde sanc\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":"

fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in planlar\u0131n\u0131 ele ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yaz\u0131da, bu y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefinin y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda oldu\u011funu, ancak bu hedefi tutturman\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan daha zor olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015ftik. Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 3 ay\u0131ndaki GSYH, bu hedefe uygun bir \u015fekilde, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. B\u00fcy\u00fcme yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 3, genel sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 6, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Genel sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, imalat sanayi, madencilik, elektrik-gaz-su sa\u011flama, bunlara ek olarak da in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc kapsar. \u0130statistik b\u00fcrosu a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin imalat sanayinde y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye yak\u0131n, y\u00fcksek teknolojili imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 40\u2019larda, elektrik-gaz-su \u00fcretiminde y\u00fczde 7\u2019lerde, madencilikte y\u00fczde 2\u2019nin alt\u0131nda bir d\u00fczeyde oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Ancak a\u00e7\u0131klama, in\u015faat sanayindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme konusunda bilgi i\u00e7ermiyor. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Daha \u00f6nceleri ele alm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fumuz gibi in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc 2008 krizinden sonra h\u0131zla b\u00fcy\u00fcyen, girdi sa\u011flayan sekt\u00f6rlerle beraber ele al\u0131n\u0131nca \u00c7in ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 20, baz\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmelere g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 25, hatta 30\u2019unu olu\u015fturur hale gelmi\u015f bir sekt\u00f6r. Bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, bu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn faaliyetlerindeki y\u00fczde 20\u2019lik bir azalman\u0131n, \u00fclke GSYH\u2019sinde y\u00fczde 10\u2019a varan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

SANAY\u0130DE KRED\u0130 ARTI\u015eI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u0130statistik b\u00fcrosunun verilerinden, bu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck bir bile\u015feni olan konut ve i\u015fyeri in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re, hem sat\u0131\u015f de\u011ferleri hem yeni ba\u015flanan in\u015faat metrekaresinde y\u00fczde 30 dolay\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, daha \u00f6nceki bir yaz\u0131da ele ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin balon olu\u015fumunu \u00f6nlemek ve kaynaklar\u0131n daha \u00fcretken alanlara y\u00f6nlendirilmesini sa\u011flamak \u00fczere 2020 y\u0131l\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak bu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn finansman olanaklar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sma politikas\u0131n\u0131n bir sonucu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke y\u00f6netimi, ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fck bir daralmaya yol a\u00e7abilecek bu geli\u015fmeyi, bir yandan altyap\u0131 in\u015faat\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak, bir yandan da \u00fcretim, \u00f6zellikle de yeni teknoloji alanlar\u0131ndaki \u00fcretime y\u00f6nlendirilen kaynaklar\u0131 art\u0131rarak destekliyor. 2008 k\u00fcresel krizi sonras\u0131 d\u00f6nemde bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminin sanayiye sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kredi tutar\u0131 neredeyse sabit d\u00fczeyde kal\u0131rken konut ve i\u015fyeri in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne sa\u011flanan her y\u0131l artan oranda art\u0131yordu. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle durum tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc ve sanayiye sa\u011flanan krediler h\u0131zla artarken, konut-i\u015fyeri in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne sa\u011flanan kredilerdeki art\u0131\u015f giderek azal\u0131p sonunda eksiye d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Bunun da sonucu olarak, verilere g\u00f6re ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 3 ayda sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc sabit yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 10 artarken konut-i\u015fyeri in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 10 azald\u0131. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

POTANS\u0130YEL \u0130HRACAT PAZARI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Konut-i\u015fyeri in\u015faat alan\u0131na yap\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n, ilerleyen y\u0131llarda \u00fclke GSYH\u2019sine, e\u011fer kullan\u0131l\u0131rsa -ki \u00c7in\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131larda bo\u015f yeni bina bulunuyor- bina fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 20 y\u0131ll\u0131k kira tutar\u0131na e\u015f oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131yla, y\u0131lda yat\u0131r\u0131m bedelinin y\u00fczde 5\u2019i dolay\u0131nda katk\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Yeni teknoloji alan\u0131ndaki bir yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ise bunun \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde olabilir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00c7in ekonomisinin sanc\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde de olsa bina in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, kaynaklar\u0131n sanayiye y\u00f6nlendirilmesi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Ancak bunun i\u00e7in yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ile \u00fcretilen \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin sat\u0131labilmesi gerekir. Fazla kapasite itirazlar\u0131, s\u00fcbvansiyon soru\u015fturmalar\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn ekonomisi geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeleri, bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 pazar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamak i\u00e7in ellerinden geleni yapacaklar. Ama g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde \u00c7in\u2019in yeni teknoloji \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck m\u00fc\u015fterisi \u00c7in. \u00d6te yandan da \u00c7in\u2019in geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere ihracat\u0131 geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelere olan\u0131 a\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler kendi pazarlar\u0131n\u0131 kapatsalar da bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir potansiyel pazar\u0131 yine de olacak.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in, b\u00fcy\u00fcmede engebeli ve ta\u015fl\u0131 da olsa yeni bir yola giriyor olabilir.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cin-ekonomisinde-sancili-donusum","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1715547600N8gX6lNHVw1NXcS.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":6032,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":51824,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":51698,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in ekonomisinde sanc\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":"

fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in planlar\u0131n\u0131 ele ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yaz\u0131da, bu y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefinin y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda oldu\u011funu, ancak bu hedefi tutturman\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan daha zor olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015ftik. Ulusal \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 3 ay\u0131ndaki GSYH, bu hedefe uygun bir \u015fekilde, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. B\u00fcy\u00fcme yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 3, genel sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 6, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Genel sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, imalat sanayi, madencilik, elektrik-gaz-su sa\u011flama, bunlara ek olarak da in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc kapsar. \u0130statistik b\u00fcrosu a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin imalat sanayinde y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye yak\u0131n, y\u00fcksek teknolojili imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 40\u2019larda, elektrik-gaz-su \u00fcretiminde y\u00fczde 7\u2019lerde, madencilikte y\u00fczde 2\u2019nin alt\u0131nda bir d\u00fczeyde oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Ancak a\u00e7\u0131klama, in\u015faat sanayindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme konusunda bilgi i\u00e7ermiyor. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Daha \u00f6nceleri ele alm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fumuz gibi in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc 2008 krizinden sonra h\u0131zla b\u00fcy\u00fcyen, girdi sa\u011flayan sekt\u00f6rlerle beraber ele al\u0131n\u0131nca \u00c7in ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 20, baz\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmelere g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 25, hatta 30\u2019unu olu\u015fturur hale gelmi\u015f bir sekt\u00f6r. Bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, bu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn faaliyetlerindeki y\u00fczde 20\u2019lik bir azalman\u0131n, \u00fclke GSYH\u2019sinde y\u00fczde 10\u2019a varan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

SANAY\u0130DE KRED\u0130 ARTI\u015eI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u0130statistik b\u00fcrosunun verilerinden, bu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck bir bile\u015feni olan konut ve i\u015fyeri in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re, hem sat\u0131\u015f de\u011ferleri hem yeni ba\u015flanan in\u015faat metrekaresinde y\u00fczde 30 dolay\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, daha \u00f6nceki bir yaz\u0131da ele ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin balon olu\u015fumunu \u00f6nlemek ve kaynaklar\u0131n daha \u00fcretken alanlara y\u00f6nlendirilmesini sa\u011flamak \u00fczere 2020 y\u0131l\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak bu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn finansman olanaklar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sma politikas\u0131n\u0131n bir sonucu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke y\u00f6netimi, ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fck bir daralmaya yol a\u00e7abilecek bu geli\u015fmeyi, bir yandan altyap\u0131 in\u015faat\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak, bir yandan da \u00fcretim, \u00f6zellikle de yeni teknoloji alanlar\u0131ndaki \u00fcretime y\u00f6nlendirilen kaynaklar\u0131 art\u0131rarak destekliyor. 2008 k\u00fcresel krizi sonras\u0131 d\u00f6nemde bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminin sanayiye sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kredi tutar\u0131 neredeyse sabit d\u00fczeyde kal\u0131rken konut ve i\u015fyeri in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne sa\u011flanan her y\u0131l artan oranda art\u0131yordu. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle durum tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc ve sanayiye sa\u011flanan krediler h\u0131zla artarken, konut-i\u015fyeri in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne sa\u011flanan kredilerdeki art\u0131\u015f giderek azal\u0131p sonunda eksiye d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Bunun da sonucu olarak, verilere g\u00f6re ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 3 ayda sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc sabit yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 10 artarken konut-i\u015fyeri in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 10 azald\u0131. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

POTANS\u0130YEL \u0130HRACAT PAZARI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Konut-i\u015fyeri in\u015faat alan\u0131na yap\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n, ilerleyen y\u0131llarda \u00fclke GSYH\u2019sine, e\u011fer kullan\u0131l\u0131rsa -ki \u00c7in\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131larda bo\u015f yeni bina bulunuyor- bina fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 20 y\u0131ll\u0131k kira tutar\u0131na e\u015f oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131yla, y\u0131lda yat\u0131r\u0131m bedelinin y\u00fczde 5\u2019i dolay\u0131nda katk\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Yeni teknoloji alan\u0131ndaki bir yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ise bunun \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde olabilir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00c7in ekonomisinin sanc\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde de olsa bina in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, kaynaklar\u0131n sanayiye y\u00f6nlendirilmesi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Ancak bunun i\u00e7in yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ile \u00fcretilen \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin sat\u0131labilmesi gerekir. Fazla kapasite itirazlar\u0131, s\u00fcbvansiyon soru\u015fturmalar\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn ekonomisi geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeleri, bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 pazar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamak i\u00e7in ellerinden geleni yapacaklar. Ama g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde \u00c7in\u2019in yeni teknoloji \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck m\u00fc\u015fterisi \u00c7in. \u00d6te yandan da \u00c7in\u2019in geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere ihracat\u0131 geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelere olan\u0131 a\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler kendi pazarlar\u0131n\u0131 kapatsalar da bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir potansiyel pazar\u0131 yine de olacak.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in, b\u00fcy\u00fcmede engebeli ve ta\u015fl\u0131 da olsa yeni bir yola giriyor olabilir.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cin-ekonomisinde-sancili-donusum","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1715547600N8gX6lNHVw1NXcS.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1715547600N8gX6lNHVw1NXcS.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":6032,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}