{"status":true,"post":{"id":36769,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-01-30 12:46:00","created_at":"2023-01-30T09:46:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-01-30T09:46:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":36769,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7in ekonomisinde 2022 y\u0131l\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2022 pek iyi bir y\u0131l olmad\u0131. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re, \u00fclke GSYH\u2019si 18 trilyon ABD dolar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011fe ula\u015ft\u0131ysa da b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 3 d\u00fczeyinde kald\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefini y\u00fczde 5.5 dolay\u0131nda olarak a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ancak y\u0131l ortas\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z de\u011ferlendirmede belirtmi\u015f oldu\u011fumuz gibi bu y\u0131l\u0131n bahar aylar\u0131nda artan Covid vakalar\u0131 ve e\u015flik eden kapanmalar nedeniyle bu hedefin tutmas\u0131 pratik olarak olanakl\u0131 de\u011fildi, \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi de bu hedeften vazge\u00e7ti\u011fini belirtmi\u015fti.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Hedefin tutturulmas\u0131n\u0131, y\u00f6netimin balon olu\u015fumlar\u0131 ve \u00fclke kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n verimsiz kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek amac\u0131yla gayrimenkul ve konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc kontrol alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar da ekonominin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 keserek zora sokuyordu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131las\u0131, yani \u00fclkede \u00fcretilen mal ve hizmetlerin de\u011feri, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Kalan \u00e7eyreklerde de ayn\u0131 tempo devam etseydi y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda olacak, hedef tutturulacakt\u0131. Ancak Covid vakalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve kapanmalarla\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2. \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 2.4 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme oldu. Yeni salg\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131n\u0131nca\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

3. \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 3.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2. \u00e7eyre\u011fin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi telafi edilip biraz \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131. Vakalar\u0131n artmas\u0131 ve yeni kapanmalarla son \u00e7eyrekte GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermeyip\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

3. \u00e7eyrek d\u00fczeyinde kald\u0131. Bunlar\u0131n sonucunda \u00fclke GSYH\u2019si 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re ancak y\u00fczde 3 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

H\u0130ZMETLER SEKT\u00d6R\u00dcN\u00dcN PERFORMANSI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ana sekt\u00f6rler baz\u0131nda bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2022\u2019de toplam katma de\u011ferdeki art\u0131\u015f, tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden y\u00fczde 4.1; sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 3.8; hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 1.4 oldu. Yani performans\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren sekt\u00f6r, beklenece\u011fi gibi kapanmalardan en \u00e7ok etkilenen hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcyd\u00fc. Y\u0131ll\u0131k 3 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 0.3 puan\u0131 tar\u0131m ve madencilik, 1.4 puan\u0131 sanayi, 1.3 puanl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden geldi. Eskiden sanayi en b\u00fcy\u00fck ana sekt\u00f6rken, art\u0131k \u00c7in\u2019de de hizmetler \u00f6ne ge\u00e7mi\u015f bulunuyor ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 verileriyle GSYH\u2019nin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 53\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc bu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn katma de\u011feri olu\u015fturuyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu sekt\u00f6rdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme genel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck etkiye sahip duruma gelmi\u015f bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Alt sekt\u00f6rler baz\u0131nda baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, 2022 katma de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131, ileri teknoloji imalat kategorisinde y\u00fczde 7.4, bilgi teknolojisi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde y\u00fczde 9.1, y\u00f6netimin ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in y\u00fcklendi\u011fi altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan yararlanan in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 5.5, finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 5.6 d\u00fczeyinde. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k katma de\u011ferin, kapanmalardan en \u00e7ok etkilenen otelcilik ve g\u0131da hizmetleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 2.3; y\u00f6netimin politikalar\u0131n\u0131n vurdu\u011fu gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 5.1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

ALTYAPI YATIRIM HARCAMALARI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke GSYH\u2019sindeki de\u011fi\u015fime, harcama-talep kaynaklar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bakarsak, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin en \u00f6nemli kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, 3 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 1.5 puanl\u0131k b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc sa\u011flayan yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131 oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Burada da a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k, devletin ekonomiyi desteklemek i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131nda bulunuyor. T\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n ise b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 1 puan oldu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin bu y\u00f6ndeki politikalar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 2010 sonras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131da \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 salg\u0131n d\u00f6neminde h\u0131z kesmi\u015f bulunuyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Net ihracat\u0131n 2022 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine katk\u0131s\u0131 da 0.5 puan oldu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda hemen di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerden farkl\u0131 olarak enflasyon, \u00c7in\u2019de \u00f6nemli bir sorun de\u011fildi. \u00dclke t\u00fcketici fiyat indeksindeki art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 2, \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ise y\u00fczde 4.1 oldu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

S\u0131f\u0131r Covid politikas\u0131n\u0131n terkedilmesiyle yeni s\u00fcrprizler olmazsa, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l \u00c7in\u2019de ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ilk \u00e7eyrekten sonra h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 ve y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cin-ekonomisinde-2022-yili","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1262,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":36895,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":36769,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in ekonomisinde 2022 y\u0131l\u0131","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"FAT\u0130H OKTAY","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>fatih@fatihoktay.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2022 pek iyi bir y\u0131l olmad\u0131. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re, \u00fclke GSYH\u2019si 18 trilyon ABD dolar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011fe ula\u015ft\u0131ysa da b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 3 d\u00fczeyinde kald\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefini y\u00fczde 5.5 dolay\u0131nda olarak a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ancak y\u0131l ortas\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z de\u011ferlendirmede belirtmi\u015f oldu\u011fumuz gibi bu y\u0131l\u0131n bahar aylar\u0131nda artan Covid vakalar\u0131 ve e\u015flik eden kapanmalar nedeniyle bu hedefin tutmas\u0131 pratik olarak olanakl\u0131 de\u011fildi, \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi de bu hedeften vazge\u00e7ti\u011fini belirtmi\u015fti.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Hedefin tutturulmas\u0131n\u0131, y\u00f6netimin balon olu\u015fumlar\u0131 ve \u00fclke kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n verimsiz kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek amac\u0131yla gayrimenkul ve konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc kontrol alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar da ekonominin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 keserek zora sokuyordu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131las\u0131, yani \u00fclkede \u00fcretilen mal ve hizmetlerin de\u011feri, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Kalan \u00e7eyreklerde de ayn\u0131 tempo devam etseydi y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda olacak, hedef tutturulacakt\u0131. Ancak Covid vakalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve kapanmalarla\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2. \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 2.4 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme oldu. Yeni salg\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131n\u0131nca\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

3. \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 3.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2. \u00e7eyre\u011fin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi telafi edilip biraz \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131. Vakalar\u0131n artmas\u0131 ve yeni kapanmalarla son \u00e7eyrekte GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermeyip\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

3. \u00e7eyrek d\u00fczeyinde kald\u0131. Bunlar\u0131n sonucunda \u00fclke GSYH\u2019si 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re ancak y\u00fczde 3 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

H\u0130ZMETLER SEKT\u00d6R\u00dcN\u00dcN PERFORMANSI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ana sekt\u00f6rler baz\u0131nda bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2022\u2019de toplam katma de\u011ferdeki art\u0131\u015f, tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden y\u00fczde 4.1; sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 3.8; hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 1.4 oldu. Yani performans\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren sekt\u00f6r, beklenece\u011fi gibi kapanmalardan en \u00e7ok etkilenen hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcyd\u00fc. Y\u0131ll\u0131k 3 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 0.3 puan\u0131 tar\u0131m ve madencilik, 1.4 puan\u0131 sanayi, 1.3 puanl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden geldi. Eskiden sanayi en b\u00fcy\u00fck ana sekt\u00f6rken, art\u0131k \u00c7in\u2019de de hizmetler \u00f6ne ge\u00e7mi\u015f bulunuyor ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 verileriyle GSYH\u2019nin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 53\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc bu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn katma de\u011feri olu\u015fturuyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu sekt\u00f6rdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme genel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck etkiye sahip duruma gelmi\u015f bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Alt sekt\u00f6rler baz\u0131nda baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, 2022 katma de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131, ileri teknoloji imalat kategorisinde y\u00fczde 7.4, bilgi teknolojisi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde y\u00fczde 9.1, y\u00f6netimin ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in y\u00fcklendi\u011fi altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan yararlanan in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 5.5, finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 5.6 d\u00fczeyinde. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k katma de\u011ferin, kapanmalardan en \u00e7ok etkilenen otelcilik ve g\u0131da hizmetleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 2.3; y\u00f6netimin politikalar\u0131n\u0131n vurdu\u011fu gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise y\u00fczde 5.1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

ALTYAPI YATIRIM HARCAMALARI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke GSYH\u2019sindeki de\u011fi\u015fime, harcama-talep kaynaklar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bakarsak, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin en \u00f6nemli kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, 3 puanl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 1.5 puanl\u0131k b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc sa\u011flayan yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131 oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Burada da a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k, devletin ekonomiyi desteklemek i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131nda bulunuyor. T\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n ise b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 1 puan oldu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin bu y\u00f6ndeki politikalar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 2010 sonras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131da \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 salg\u0131n d\u00f6neminde h\u0131z kesmi\u015f bulunuyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Net ihracat\u0131n 2022 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine katk\u0131s\u0131 da 0.5 puan oldu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda hemen di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerden farkl\u0131 olarak enflasyon, \u00c7in\u2019de \u00f6nemli bir sorun de\u011fildi. \u00dclke t\u00fcketici fiyat indeksindeki art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 2, \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ise y\u00fczde 4.1 oldu.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

S\u0131f\u0131r Covid politikas\u0131n\u0131n terkedilmesiyle yeni s\u00fcrprizler olmazsa, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l \u00c7in\u2019de ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ilk \u00e7eyrekten sonra h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 ve y\u0131l\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"cin-ekonomisinde-2022-yili","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1262,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}