{"status":true,"post":{"id":35923,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-12-13 09:57:55","created_at":"2022-12-13T09:57:55.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-12-13T09:57:55.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":35923,"is_featured":0,"title":"B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin aritmeti\u011fi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"Y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair resim netle\u015fiyor.","content":"

PROF. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ngur@medipol.com.tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair resim netle\u015fiyor. Son a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek verisine g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, temmuz-eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6neminde y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 3.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. T\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131, bir kez daha b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin lokomotifi oldu. \u0130vme kayb\u0131 ya\u015fayan net ihracat, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir destek sunabildi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ve stoklar ise b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya \u00e7ekti. D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye etkisinin negatife d\u00f6nmesi kuvvetle muhtemel. Bunun da etkisiyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin son d\u00fczl\u00fckte bir kademe daha vites k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltmesi bekleniyor. 2022\u2019nin genelini y\u00fczde 5-5.5 civar\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131yla kapatacak gibi duruyoruz. T\u00fcm i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f \u015foklara ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin G20 ve d\u00fcnya ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi olduk\u00e7a de\u011ferli. Bunu bir kenara not etmek laz\u0131m. Bununla birlikte, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair yapmam\u0131z gereken \u00f6devlerin oldu\u011fu da bir ger\u00e7ek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

\u0130HRACAT ODAKLI B\u00dcY\u00dcME<\/strong><\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

En \u00f6nemli \u00f6devlerimizden biri, ihracat gelirlerini canl\u0131 ve istikrarl\u0131 tutmay\u0131 ba\u015farmak. Salg\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi kas\u0131p kavurdu\u011fu aylarda ihracat\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ne denli hayati oldu\u011funu net olarak g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. \u0130hracattaki s\u0131\u00e7rama sayesinde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi salg\u0131n d\u00f6neminde beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 toparland\u0131. \u0130hracat performans\u0131 sanayiyi aya\u011fa kald\u0131rd\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin daha dengeli ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in katma de\u011ferli ihracata ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z var. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131llarda ihracatta 200 milyar dolar e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015fma yolunda \u00e7ok uzun bir s\u00fcre beklemi\u015ftik. Art\u0131k 250 milyar dolar seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. 300 milyar dolar e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015fmak i\u00e7in 5-10 y\u0131l bekleyerek vakit kaybetmememiz laz\u0131m. Rekabet\u00e7i kur, ihracat\u0131 belli bir seviyeye getirdi. Daha y\u00fckse\u011fe ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek katma de\u011ferli sekt\u00f6r ve \u00fcr\u00fcn gruplar\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7ici ve hedef odakl\u0131 politikalarla desteklemeliyiz. \u00dcr\u00fcn ve pazar \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fi \u00fczerine daha fazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yapmal\u0131y\u0131z. KOB\u0130\u2019lerin e-ihracat olanaklar\u0131ndan daha fazla faydalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamal\u0131y\u0131z. Net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrekli pozitifte tutmam\u0131z, orta gelir tuza\u011f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rmak i\u00e7in \u015fart.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 TABANA YAYMAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Bir di\u011fer ev \u00f6devimiz, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin tabana yay\u0131lmas\u0131yla ilgili. \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn ekonomiden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 pay, son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 32.9\u2019dan y\u00fczde 26.3\u2019e geriledi. Son asgari \u00fccret d\u00fczeltmesiyle birlikte, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn pay\u0131nda 1 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f var. Olumlu bir geli\u015fme olmakla birlikte, bu iyile\u015fmenin tatmin edici oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyemeyiz. Uzun d\u00f6nemli trend negatifte. Daha adil bir refah da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 iki yoldan sa\u011flanabilir. \u0130lk olarak, piyasa mekanizmas\u0131nda olu\u015fan \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n daha c\u00f6mert seviyelere y\u00fckselmesi laz\u0131m. Asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131da tuttu\u011funuzda geriye kalan skalada piyasadaki \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korumaktan olduk\u00e7a uzak oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu noktada reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015fen vazifeler var. \u0130kinci olarak, kamunun maliye politikas\u0131 ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 daha etkin kullanarak piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131nda olu\u015fan gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 birka\u00e7 kademe daha iyile\u015ftirmesi gerekiyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"buyumenin-aritmetigi","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1148,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":9,"name":"NURULLAH","surname":"G\u00dcR","email":"nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr","slug":"prof-dr-nurullah-gur","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600zm0eg4EVw1c01iN.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":36049,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":35923,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin aritmeti\u011fi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"Y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair resim netle\u015fiyor.","content":"

PROF. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ngur@medipol.com.tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair resim netle\u015fiyor. Son a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek verisine g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, temmuz-eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6neminde y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 3.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. T\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131, bir kez daha b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin lokomotifi oldu. \u0130vme kayb\u0131 ya\u015fayan net ihracat, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir destek sunabildi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ve stoklar ise b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya \u00e7ekti. D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye etkisinin negatife d\u00f6nmesi kuvvetle muhtemel. Bunun da etkisiyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin son d\u00fczl\u00fckte bir kademe daha vites k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltmesi bekleniyor. 2022\u2019nin genelini y\u00fczde 5-5.5 civar\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131yla kapatacak gibi duruyoruz. T\u00fcm i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f \u015foklara ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin G20 ve d\u00fcnya ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi olduk\u00e7a de\u011ferli. Bunu bir kenara not etmek laz\u0131m. Bununla birlikte, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair yapmam\u0131z gereken \u00f6devlerin oldu\u011fu da bir ger\u00e7ek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

\u0130HRACAT ODAKLI B\u00dcY\u00dcME<\/strong><\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

En \u00f6nemli \u00f6devlerimizden biri, ihracat gelirlerini canl\u0131 ve istikrarl\u0131 tutmay\u0131 ba\u015farmak. Salg\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi kas\u0131p kavurdu\u011fu aylarda ihracat\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ne denli hayati oldu\u011funu net olarak g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. \u0130hracattaki s\u0131\u00e7rama sayesinde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi salg\u0131n d\u00f6neminde beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 toparland\u0131. \u0130hracat performans\u0131 sanayiyi aya\u011fa kald\u0131rd\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin daha dengeli ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in katma de\u011ferli ihracata ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z var. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131llarda ihracatta 200 milyar dolar e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015fma yolunda \u00e7ok uzun bir s\u00fcre beklemi\u015ftik. Art\u0131k 250 milyar dolar seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. 300 milyar dolar e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015fmak i\u00e7in 5-10 y\u0131l bekleyerek vakit kaybetmememiz laz\u0131m. Rekabet\u00e7i kur, ihracat\u0131 belli bir seviyeye getirdi. Daha y\u00fckse\u011fe ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek katma de\u011ferli sekt\u00f6r ve \u00fcr\u00fcn gruplar\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7ici ve hedef odakl\u0131 politikalarla desteklemeliyiz. \u00dcr\u00fcn ve pazar \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fi \u00fczerine daha fazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yapmal\u0131y\u0131z. KOB\u0130\u2019lerin e-ihracat olanaklar\u0131ndan daha fazla faydalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamal\u0131y\u0131z. Net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrekli pozitifte tutmam\u0131z, orta gelir tuza\u011f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rmak i\u00e7in \u015fart.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 TABANA YAYMAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Bir di\u011fer ev \u00f6devimiz, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin tabana yay\u0131lmas\u0131yla ilgili. \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn ekonomiden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 pay, son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 32.9\u2019dan y\u00fczde 26.3\u2019e geriledi. Son asgari \u00fccret d\u00fczeltmesiyle birlikte, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn pay\u0131nda 1 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f var. Olumlu bir geli\u015fme olmakla birlikte, bu iyile\u015fmenin tatmin edici oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyemeyiz. Uzun d\u00f6nemli trend negatifte. Daha adil bir refah da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 iki yoldan sa\u011flanabilir. \u0130lk olarak, piyasa mekanizmas\u0131nda olu\u015fan \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n daha c\u00f6mert seviyelere y\u00fckselmesi laz\u0131m. Asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131da tuttu\u011funuzda geriye kalan skalada piyasadaki \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korumaktan olduk\u00e7a uzak oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu noktada reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015fen vazifeler var. \u0130kinci olarak, kamunun maliye politikas\u0131 ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 daha etkin kullanarak piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131nda olu\u015fan gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 birka\u00e7 kademe daha iyile\u015ftirmesi gerekiyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"buyumenin-aritmetigi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1148,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}