{"status":true,"post":{"id":14112,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:34:24","created_at":"2016-06-26T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:34:24.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":14112,"is_featured":0,"title":"Brexit \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye a\u011f\u0131r bedel \u00f6dettirebilir","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

K\u00fcresel ekonomi akt\u00f6rleri, neredeyse iki ayd\u0131r Brexit olarak da adland\u0131r\u0131lan \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin AB\u2019de kal\u0131p kalmayaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin tart\u0131\u015fmalarla yat\u0131p kalk\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere, zaten ne Schengen B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ne, ne de Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ne dahil olmamas\u0131 sebebiyle ayr\u0131cal\u0131kl\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne g\u00f6re, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir \u00fcyelik aidat\u0131 da \u00f6d\u00fcyor. Almanya y\u0131lda 16 milyar dolarl\u0131k otomotiv ihracat\u0131 yap\u0131yor \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye. Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00fclkeleri, her y\u0131l \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye 280 milyar dolar mal sat\u0131yorlar. Bu durum, AB\u2019nin \u00f6ncelikli \u00fclkelerinin, \u0130ngiltere i\u00e7in tavizi g\u00f6ze alabilecekleri izlenimi verse de, varillerini Hollanda\u2019dan, \u015fi\u015felerini Bel\u00e7ika\u2019dan, bal\u0131n\u0131 \u0130spanya\u2019dan temin eden bir \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin, AB\u2019den kopma karar\u0131 ile G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalarak, onun da AB\u2019ye ihracat\u0131ndaki avantajlar\u0131 kaybetmesi ile GSYH\u2019sinde y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik bir kayba u\u011frayabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/span><\/p>

YILLIK 78 M\u0130LYAR EURO KAYIP<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Londra\u2019n\u0131n, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ticaret ve finans merkezlerinden biri olarak, 500 milyonluk AB pazar\u0131na eri\u015fim avantaj\u0131 nedeniyle k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte pek \u00e7ok \u015firketin ofis a\u00e7mas\u0131na sebep olan avantaj\u0131 kaybetmesi de cabas\u0131. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 45\u2019ini AB \u00fclkelerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Alman ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015fu Bertelsmann Stiftung, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin AB\u2019deki etkisini kaybetmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ticari kayb\u0131n\u0131n 10 y\u0131l boyunca her sene 78 milyar Euro\u2019ya ula\u015fabilece\u011fini de belirtiyor. Ticari ba\u011flar\u0131n kopmas\u0131yla, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n milli gelirlerinin y\u00fczde 0.3\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130rlanda\u2019n\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 2.7\u2019sini kaybetmesi bekleniyor. <\/span><\/p>

David Cameron, 2015\u2019deki genel se\u00e7imlerde, \u0130ngiliz halk\u0131na AB \u00fcyeli\u011fini bu y\u0131l\u0131n haziran ay\u0131nda oylataca\u011f\u0131 taahh\u00fcd\u00fcnde bulunmu\u015ftu. AB liderleri, \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye bu derece ciddi tavizler vermek konusunda anla\u015famazlar ise \u0130ngiltere\u2019deki referandumdan \u00e7\u0131kacak karar, AB Projesi\u2019nin sonunu dahi tetikleyebilir.<\/span><\/p>

T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019N\u0130N \u00dcYEL\u0130K S\u00dcREC\u0130N\u0130 HIZLANDIRAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Gelinen nokta Avrupa Birli\u011fi Projesi i\u00e7in o kadar berbat ki, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ayr\u0131lmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in kabul edilecek tavizler, AB Projesi\u2019nin t\u00fcm felsefesini y\u0131kacak ve ard\u0131ndan t\u00fcm \u00fcye \u00fclkelerden gelecek taviz talepleri ile proje anlam\u0131n\u0131 yitirecek. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ayr\u0131lmas\u0131na izin verilmesi halinde ise \u2018\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yok\u2019 gibi alg\u0131lanm\u0131\u015f bir projede, bir \u00fclkenin pekala \u00fcyelikten ayr\u0131labildi\u011fi tescil olacak ve belki de, \u0130ngiltere\u2019yi Finlandiya gibi ekonomiler takip edecek. Merkel, bu tablo i\u00e7erisinde, sadece m\u00fclteci sorunu, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ekonomik durumu, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin \u00fcyelikteki gelece\u011fi ile de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Suriye\u2019de t\u0131rmand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 insanl\u0131k trajedisi ile kendi siyasi kariyerini bitirmeye y\u00f6nelik hamlelerini de bertaraf etmek durumda. \u0130lgin\u00e7tir, t\u00fcm bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, san\u0131lan\u0131n aksine, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB\u2019ye \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecini h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir.<\/span><\/p>

VATANDA\u015e YEN\u0130DEN D\u00d6V\u0130Z MEVDUATINA Y\u00d6NELD\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Hane halk\u0131 ve \u015firketler, 3.01 TL\u2019nin dahi \u00fcst\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6ren dolar kurunu iyi de\u011ferlendirip, nisan ay\u0131 sonunda, Cumhuriyet tarihinin en y\u00fcksek rakam\u0131 olarak 165 milyar dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan bankalardaki d\u00f6viz mevduat\u0131 toplam\u0131n\u0131, may\u0131s ay\u0131 sonuna kadar 156.7 milyar dolara inecek kadar bozdurdular. Bu bozdurma ile hesaplardan \u00e7\u0131kan <\/span>8.3 milyar dolara kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelen 24 milyar TL\u2019lik tasarrufu da, TL mevduat\u0131na yat\u0131rarak, nisan ay\u0131 sonunda 707.5 milyar TL olan TL mevduat\u0131 toplam\u0131n\u0131, 741.7 milyar TL\u2019ye getirdiler. Bu arada, 10 milyar TL de fazladan, taze TL mevduat hesaplar\u0131na yatm\u0131\u015f oldu. <\/span><\/p>

Haziran ay\u0131na girilmesi ile birlikte dolar-TL kurunda bir kez daha 2.80 TL d\u00fczeyine geri geli\u015fi zor g\u00f6ren vatanda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z, dolar kurunun 2.96-3.00 TL mi, yoksa 2.92-2.88 TL mi, hangi banda oturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 merakla beklerken, 27 May\u0131s ile 10 Haziran aras\u0131ndaki iki haftada, d\u00f6viz mevduat\u0131n\u0131 2.4 milyar dolar art\u0131rarak, 159.1 milyar dolara getirdiler. D\u00f6vize ge\u00e7i\u015f amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131lan 7 milyar TL\u2019nin 2 milyar TL\u2019si piyasadan gelen TL ile al\u0131n\u0131rken, 5 milyar TL ise TL mevduat\u0131 hesaplar\u0131n-dan kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131. 27 May\u0131s ile 10 Haziran aras\u0131, TL mevduat\u0131 toplam\u0131 da 741.7 milyar TL\u2019den 736.1 milyar TL\u2019ye geldi.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"brexit-ingiltereye-agir-bedel-odettirebilir","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Brexit \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye a\u011f\u0131r bedel \u00f6dettirebilir","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":89,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":14211,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":14112,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Brexit \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye a\u011f\u0131r bedel \u00f6dettirebilir","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

K\u00fcresel ekonomi akt\u00f6rleri, neredeyse iki ayd\u0131r Brexit olarak da adland\u0131r\u0131lan \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin AB\u2019de kal\u0131p kalmayaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin tart\u0131\u015fmalarla yat\u0131p kalk\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere, zaten ne Schengen B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ne, ne de Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ne dahil olmamas\u0131 sebebiyle ayr\u0131cal\u0131kl\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne g\u00f6re, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir \u00fcyelik aidat\u0131 da \u00f6d\u00fcyor. Almanya y\u0131lda 16 milyar dolarl\u0131k otomotiv ihracat\u0131 yap\u0131yor \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye. Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00fclkeleri, her y\u0131l \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye 280 milyar dolar mal sat\u0131yorlar. Bu durum, AB\u2019nin \u00f6ncelikli \u00fclkelerinin, \u0130ngiltere i\u00e7in tavizi g\u00f6ze alabilecekleri izlenimi verse de, varillerini Hollanda\u2019dan, \u015fi\u015felerini Bel\u00e7ika\u2019dan, bal\u0131n\u0131 \u0130spanya\u2019dan temin eden bir \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin, AB\u2019den kopma karar\u0131 ile G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalarak, onun da AB\u2019ye ihracat\u0131ndaki avantajlar\u0131 kaybetmesi ile GSYH\u2019sinde y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik bir kayba u\u011frayabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/span><\/p>

YILLIK 78 M\u0130LYAR EURO KAYIP<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Londra\u2019n\u0131n, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ticaret ve finans merkezlerinden biri olarak, 500 milyonluk AB pazar\u0131na eri\u015fim avantaj\u0131 nedeniyle k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte pek \u00e7ok \u015firketin ofis a\u00e7mas\u0131na sebep olan avantaj\u0131 kaybetmesi de cabas\u0131. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 45\u2019ini AB \u00fclkelerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Alman ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015fu Bertelsmann Stiftung, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin AB\u2019deki etkisini kaybetmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ticari kayb\u0131n\u0131n 10 y\u0131l boyunca her sene 78 milyar Euro\u2019ya ula\u015fabilece\u011fini de belirtiyor. Ticari ba\u011flar\u0131n kopmas\u0131yla, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n milli gelirlerinin y\u00fczde 0.3\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130rlanda\u2019n\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 2.7\u2019sini kaybetmesi bekleniyor. <\/span><\/p>

David Cameron, 2015\u2019deki genel se\u00e7imlerde, \u0130ngiliz halk\u0131na AB \u00fcyeli\u011fini bu y\u0131l\u0131n haziran ay\u0131nda oylataca\u011f\u0131 taahh\u00fcd\u00fcnde bulunmu\u015ftu. AB liderleri, \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye bu derece ciddi tavizler vermek konusunda anla\u015famazlar ise \u0130ngiltere\u2019deki referandumdan \u00e7\u0131kacak karar, AB Projesi\u2019nin sonunu dahi tetikleyebilir.<\/span><\/p>

T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019N\u0130N \u00dcYEL\u0130K S\u00dcREC\u0130N\u0130 HIZLANDIRAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Gelinen nokta Avrupa Birli\u011fi Projesi i\u00e7in o kadar berbat ki, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ayr\u0131lmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in kabul edilecek tavizler, AB Projesi\u2019nin t\u00fcm felsefesini y\u0131kacak ve ard\u0131ndan t\u00fcm \u00fcye \u00fclkelerden gelecek taviz talepleri ile proje anlam\u0131n\u0131 yitirecek. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ayr\u0131lmas\u0131na izin verilmesi halinde ise \u2018\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yok\u2019 gibi alg\u0131lanm\u0131\u015f bir projede, bir \u00fclkenin pekala \u00fcyelikten ayr\u0131labildi\u011fi tescil olacak ve belki de, \u0130ngiltere\u2019yi Finlandiya gibi ekonomiler takip edecek. Merkel, bu tablo i\u00e7erisinde, sadece m\u00fclteci sorunu, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ekonomik durumu, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin \u00fcyelikteki gelece\u011fi ile de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Suriye\u2019de t\u0131rmand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 insanl\u0131k trajedisi ile kendi siyasi kariyerini bitirmeye y\u00f6nelik hamlelerini de bertaraf etmek durumda. \u0130lgin\u00e7tir, t\u00fcm bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, san\u0131lan\u0131n aksine, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB\u2019ye \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecini h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir.<\/span><\/p>

VATANDA\u015e YEN\u0130DEN D\u00d6V\u0130Z MEVDUATINA Y\u00d6NELD\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Hane halk\u0131 ve \u015firketler, 3.01 TL\u2019nin dahi \u00fcst\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6ren dolar kurunu iyi de\u011ferlendirip, nisan ay\u0131 sonunda, Cumhuriyet tarihinin en y\u00fcksek rakam\u0131 olarak 165 milyar dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan bankalardaki d\u00f6viz mevduat\u0131 toplam\u0131n\u0131, may\u0131s ay\u0131 sonuna kadar 156.7 milyar dolara inecek kadar bozdurdular. Bu bozdurma ile hesaplardan \u00e7\u0131kan <\/span>8.3 milyar dolara kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelen 24 milyar TL\u2019lik tasarrufu da, TL mevduat\u0131na yat\u0131rarak, nisan ay\u0131 sonunda 707.5 milyar TL olan TL mevduat\u0131 toplam\u0131n\u0131, 741.7 milyar TL\u2019ye getirdiler. Bu arada, 10 milyar TL de fazladan, taze TL mevduat hesaplar\u0131na yatm\u0131\u015f oldu. <\/span><\/p>

Haziran ay\u0131na girilmesi ile birlikte dolar-TL kurunda bir kez daha 2.80 TL d\u00fczeyine geri geli\u015fi zor g\u00f6ren vatanda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z, dolar kurunun 2.96-3.00 TL mi, yoksa 2.92-2.88 TL mi, hangi banda oturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 merakla beklerken, 27 May\u0131s ile 10 Haziran aras\u0131ndaki iki haftada, d\u00f6viz mevduat\u0131n\u0131 2.4 milyar dolar art\u0131rarak, 159.1 milyar dolara getirdiler. D\u00f6vize ge\u00e7i\u015f amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131lan 7 milyar TL\u2019nin 2 milyar TL\u2019si piyasadan gelen TL ile al\u0131n\u0131rken, 5 milyar TL ise TL mevduat\u0131 hesaplar\u0131n-dan kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131. 27 May\u0131s ile 10 Haziran aras\u0131, TL mevduat\u0131 toplam\u0131 da 741.7 milyar TL\u2019den 736.1 milyar TL\u2019ye geldi.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"brexit-ingiltereye-agir-bedel-odettirebilir","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Brexit \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye a\u011f\u0131r bedel \u00f6dettirebilir","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":89,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}