{"status":true,"post":{"id":21413,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:07:39","created_at":"2020-01-23T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:07:39.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21413,"is_featured":0,"title":"Anla\u015fma sonras\u0131 ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr<\/span><\/strong>
<\/p>

Yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.5 y\u0131l s\u00fcren m\u00fczakereler neticesinde ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda birinci faz ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131 imzaland\u0131. Birinci faz\u0131, iki taraf\u0131n ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kendi ekonomileri \u00fczerinde yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahribat\u0131n yaralar\u0131n\u0131 sarmak ve ikinci faz anla\u015fman\u0131n m\u00fczakereleri i\u00e7in pazarl\u0131k g\u00fcc\u00fc toplamak i\u00e7in imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131 olarak yorumlamak gerekiyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in, bu anla\u015fma ile birlikte ABD\u2019den 2020\u2019de 76.7 milyar dolar, 2021\u2019de ise 123.3 milyar dolar daha fazla ithalat yapmay\u0131 taahh\u00fct ediyor. ABD, b\u00f6ylece \u00c7in\u2019e verdi\u011fi ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 neredeyse yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya azaltmay\u0131 hedefliyor. ABD, d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine sevinirken, \u00c7in\u2019in g\u00f6z\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131nda olacak. ABD\u2019nin tarife oranlar\u0131nda k\u0131smi bir gev\u015femeye gitmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra bir s\u00fcre ilave tarife art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n gelmeyece\u011fi beklentisiyle IMF, \u00c7in ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 5.8\u2019den y\u00fczde 6\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in, anla\u015fma kapsam\u0131nda fikri m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131, Amerikan \u015firketlerinden yap\u0131lan teknoloji transferlerinde g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fcl\u00fck esas\u0131 ve piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7erli olmas\u0131 ve finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u0131\u015fa daha fazla a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yasal d\u00fczenlemeler ve reformlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirece\u011fi taahh\u00fcd\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131na imza att\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

Bundan sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in iki mesele \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kacak. \u00c7in, finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131ya a\u00e7mak ve fikri m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131n\u0131 daha s\u0131k\u0131 korumaya y\u00f6nelik ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde yasal de\u011fi\u015fiklikler ve reformlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilir. Ancak bunlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ek anlamda uygulamaya ge\u00e7mesi, ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ak\u0131betine y\u00f6nelik belirleyici fakt\u00f6r olacak. Sonu\u00e7ta d\u00fczenleme ve reformlar\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irmek, bunlar\u0131n y\u00fczde y\u00fcz uygulanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na alm\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>

\u0130kinci olarak, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, se\u00e7imler yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a se\u00e7menlere mesaj vermek i\u00e7in \u00c7in\u2019i yeni tarife art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile tehdit etmeye yeltenebilir. <\/span><\/p>

\u0130kinci faz anla\u015fma \u00f6ncesinde Trump\u2019\u0131n yeni bir tarife art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tehdidine gitmemesi ve \u00c7in\u2019in taahh\u00fctlerini yerine getirmesi \u00e7ok kritik. \u0130kinci faz anla\u015fman\u0131n m\u00fczakereleri \u00f6ncesinde her iki taraf\u0131n birbirini zorlay\u0131c\u0131 hamleler yapmas\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r. <\/span>
2020 se\u00e7imlerinin kazanan\u0131 ister Cumhuriyet\u00e7i isterse Demokrat bir aday olsun fark etmez, ABD, \u00c7in\u2019in geli\u015fimini yava\u015flatmak i\u00e7in \u00e7e\u015fitli stratejileri ve politikalar\u0131 uygulamaya sokacakt\u0131r. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte Barack Obama, tarife d\u0131\u015f\u0131 engeller yoluyla \u00c7in\u2019i yava\u015flatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Trump ise tarifeleri daha agresif kullanmay\u0131 tercih etti. <\/span><\/p>

Gelecekteki ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in Tek Ku\u015fak Projesi\u2019ni baltalamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilir; Asya\u2019da \u00c7in i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli pazar olan \u00fclkelerle geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 bir serbest ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalayabilir; \u00c7in\u2019in Afrika ve Ortado\u011fu gibi b\u00f6lgelerde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc kesmenin yollar\u0131n\u0131 arayabilir. Sonu\u00e7ta ABD, \u00c7in\u2019i s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya devam edecek. \u00c7in ise bir taraftan korumac\u0131 \u00f6nlemlere y\u00f6nelik ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak ve yeni teknolojik at\u0131l\u0131mlarla geli\u015fim yolunda h\u0131z kaybetmemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak.<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 ve yeni ticaret m\u00fczakereleri ile ilgili belirsizlikler, k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131 etkilemeye devam edecek. \u015eimdilik bu endi\u015feleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeye ve fiyatlamaya k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre ara verildi.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"anlasma-sonrasi-ticaret-savaslarinin-gelecegi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Anla\u015fma sonras\u0131 ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fi","meta_description":"Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1120,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":9,"name":"NURULLAH","surname":"G\u00dcR","email":"nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr","slug":"prof-dr-nurullah-gur","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600zm0eg4EVw1c01iN.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21512,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21413,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Anla\u015fma sonras\u0131 ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr<\/span><\/strong>
<\/p>

Yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.5 y\u0131l s\u00fcren m\u00fczakereler neticesinde ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda birinci faz ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131 imzaland\u0131. Birinci faz\u0131, iki taraf\u0131n ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kendi ekonomileri \u00fczerinde yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahribat\u0131n yaralar\u0131n\u0131 sarmak ve ikinci faz anla\u015fman\u0131n m\u00fczakereleri i\u00e7in pazarl\u0131k g\u00fcc\u00fc toplamak i\u00e7in imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131 olarak yorumlamak gerekiyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in, bu anla\u015fma ile birlikte ABD\u2019den 2020\u2019de 76.7 milyar dolar, 2021\u2019de ise 123.3 milyar dolar daha fazla ithalat yapmay\u0131 taahh\u00fct ediyor. ABD, b\u00f6ylece \u00c7in\u2019e verdi\u011fi ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 neredeyse yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya azaltmay\u0131 hedefliyor. ABD, d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine sevinirken, \u00c7in\u2019in g\u00f6z\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131nda olacak. ABD\u2019nin tarife oranlar\u0131nda k\u0131smi bir gev\u015femeye gitmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra bir s\u00fcre ilave tarife art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n gelmeyece\u011fi beklentisiyle IMF, \u00c7in ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 5.8\u2019den y\u00fczde 6\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

\u00c7in, anla\u015fma kapsam\u0131nda fikri m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131, Amerikan \u015firketlerinden yap\u0131lan teknoloji transferlerinde g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fcl\u00fck esas\u0131 ve piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7erli olmas\u0131 ve finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u0131\u015fa daha fazla a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yasal d\u00fczenlemeler ve reformlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirece\u011fi taahh\u00fcd\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131na imza att\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

Bundan sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in iki mesele \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kacak. \u00c7in, finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131ya a\u00e7mak ve fikri m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131n\u0131 daha s\u0131k\u0131 korumaya y\u00f6nelik ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde yasal de\u011fi\u015fiklikler ve reformlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilir. Ancak bunlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ek anlamda uygulamaya ge\u00e7mesi, ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ak\u0131betine y\u00f6nelik belirleyici fakt\u00f6r olacak. Sonu\u00e7ta d\u00fczenleme ve reformlar\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irmek, bunlar\u0131n y\u00fczde y\u00fcz uygulanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na alm\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>

\u0130kinci olarak, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, se\u00e7imler yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a se\u00e7menlere mesaj vermek i\u00e7in \u00c7in\u2019i yeni tarife art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile tehdit etmeye yeltenebilir. <\/span><\/p>

\u0130kinci faz anla\u015fma \u00f6ncesinde Trump\u2019\u0131n yeni bir tarife art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tehdidine gitmemesi ve \u00c7in\u2019in taahh\u00fctlerini yerine getirmesi \u00e7ok kritik. \u0130kinci faz anla\u015fman\u0131n m\u00fczakereleri \u00f6ncesinde her iki taraf\u0131n birbirini zorlay\u0131c\u0131 hamleler yapmas\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r. <\/span>
2020 se\u00e7imlerinin kazanan\u0131 ister Cumhuriyet\u00e7i isterse Demokrat bir aday olsun fark etmez, ABD, \u00c7in\u2019in geli\u015fimini yava\u015flatmak i\u00e7in \u00e7e\u015fitli stratejileri ve politikalar\u0131 uygulamaya sokacakt\u0131r. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte Barack Obama, tarife d\u0131\u015f\u0131 engeller yoluyla \u00c7in\u2019i yava\u015flatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Trump ise tarifeleri daha agresif kullanmay\u0131 tercih etti. <\/span><\/p>

Gelecekteki ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in Tek Ku\u015fak Projesi\u2019ni baltalamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilir; Asya\u2019da \u00c7in i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli pazar olan \u00fclkelerle geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 bir serbest ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalayabilir; \u00c7in\u2019in Afrika ve Ortado\u011fu gibi b\u00f6lgelerde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc kesmenin yollar\u0131n\u0131 arayabilir. Sonu\u00e7ta ABD, \u00c7in\u2019i s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya devam edecek. \u00c7in ise bir taraftan korumac\u0131 \u00f6nlemlere y\u00f6nelik ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak ve yeni teknolojik at\u0131l\u0131mlarla geli\u015fim yolunda h\u0131z kaybetmemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak.<\/span><\/p>

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